Alert archive / Colorado / Winter Storm Warnings in 2015

Winter Storm Warning 28, NWS Pueblo, CO

November 3, 20154 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this winter storm warning at Nov 3, 2015, 3:34 AM MST for 4 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Nov 3, 2015, 11:00 PM MST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 3, 2015, 3:34 AM MST (10:34 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 3, 2015, 11:00 PM MST
Expired
Nov 5, 2015, 11:00 AM MST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Conejos County, CO, Mineral County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 218 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 00:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 244 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 00:00Z on 2015-11-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 00:00Z on 2015-11-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 150 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2697 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
219 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

953 
WWUS45 KPUB 031034
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
334 AM MST TUE NOV 3 2015

COZ066-068-031845-
/O.UPG.KPUB.WS.A.0018.151104T0600Z-151105T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.WS.W.0028.151104T0600Z-151105T1800Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
334 AM MST TUE NOV 3 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM MST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM
THIS EVENING TO 11 AM MST THURSDAY. THIS UPGRADES AND
REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A MOIST PACIFIC JET STREAM WILL PRODUCE
  PERIODS OF HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
  MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...10 TO 20 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 GUSTING TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACT...A COMBINATION OF HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW...POOR
  VISIBILITIES...AND ICY OR SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO THE
LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR
BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA DURING
THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT. IF YOU
BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE UNTIL
HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN YOUR ENGINE 10
MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE IS CLEAR OF
SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$
9 follow-up statements
967 
WWUS45 KPUB 031732
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1032 AM MST TUE NOV 3 2015

COZ066-068-040145-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0028.151104T0600Z-151105T1800Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
1032 AM MST TUE NOV 3 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM MST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A MOIST PACIFIC JET STREAM WILL PRODUCE 
  PERIODS OF HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO 
  THURSDAY MORNING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...10 TO 20 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 GUSTING TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACT...A COMBINATION OF HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW...POOR 
  VISIBILITIES...AND ICY OR SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$
SR
553 
WWUS45 KPUB 032205
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
305 PM MST TUE NOV 3 2015

COZ066-068-040615-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0028.151104T0600Z-151105T1800Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
305 PM MST TUE NOV 3 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM MST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A MOIST PACIFIC JET STREAM WILL PRODUCE
  PERIODS OF HEAVY BLOWING SNOW FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY
  MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...10 TO 20 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 GUSTING TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACT...A COMBINATION OF HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW...POOR 
  VISIBILITIES...AND ICY OR SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN 
  VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-040615-
/O.NEW.KPUB.WW.Y.0055.151104T1800Z-151106T0000Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
305 PM MST TUE NOV 3 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM
MST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM
WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM MST THURSDAY.

* LOCATION...THE MOSQUITO RANGE AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000
  FEET.

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM AND STRONG JET STREAM WILL
  BRING A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY
  INTO THURSDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW COVERED...RESULTING IN
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL OVER THE PASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
SR
993 
WWUS45 KPUB 040058
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
558 PM MST TUE NOV 3 2015

COZ066-068-041200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0028.151104T0600Z-151105T1800Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
558 PM MST TUE NOV 3 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING
TO 11 AM MST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A MOIST PACIFIC JET STREAM WILL PRODUCE 
  PERIODS OF HEAVY BLOWING SNOW FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY 
  MORNING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...10 TO 20 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 GUSTING TO 50 MPH AT TIMES.

* IMPACT...A COMBINATION OF HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW...POOR 
  VISIBILITIES...AND ICY OR SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN 
  VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-041200-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0055.151104T1800Z-151106T0000Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
558 PM MST TUE NOV 3 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY
TO 5 PM MST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE MOSQUITO RANGE AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM AND STRONG JET STREAM WILL
  BRING A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS FROM
  WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW COVERED...RESULTING IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL OVER THE PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
326 
WWUS45 KPUB 041055
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
355 AM MST WED NOV 4 2015

COZ066-068-041900-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0028.000000T0000Z-151105T1800Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
355 AM MST WED NOV 4 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A MOIST PACIFIC JET STREAM WILL PRODUCE
  PERIODS OF HEAVY BLOWING SNOW FROM TODAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...10 TO 20 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 GUSTING TO 50 MPH AT TIMES.

* IMPACT...A COMBINATION OF HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW...POOR 
  VISIBILITIES...AND ICY OR SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN 
  VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-041900-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0055.151104T1800Z-151106T0000Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
355 AM MST WED NOV 4 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS
MORNING TO 5 PM MST THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE MOSQUITO RANGE AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM AND STRONG JET STREAM WILL
  BRING A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS TODAY INTO
  THURSDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW COVERED...RESULTING IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL OVER THE PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
867 
WWUS45 KPUB 041903
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1203 PM MST WED NOV 4 2015

COZ066-068-050315-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0028.000000T0000Z-151105T1800Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
1203 PM MST WED NOV 4 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A MOIST PACIFIC JET STREAM WILL PRODUCE
  PERIODS OF HEAVY BLOWING SNOW INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...10 TO 20 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 GUSTING TO 50 MPH AT TIMES.

* IMPACT...A COMBINATION OF HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW...POOR 
  VISIBILITIES...AND ICY OR SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN 
  VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-050315-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-151106T0000Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
1203 PM MST WED NOV 4 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE MOSQUITO RANGE AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM AND STRONG JET STREAM WILL
  BRING A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS INTO
  THURSDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* WIND...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW COVERED...RESULTING IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL OVER THE PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
975 
WWUS45 KPUB 042143
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
243 PM MST WED NOV 4 2015

COZ066-068-050545-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0028.000000T0000Z-151105T1800Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
243 PM MST WED NOV 4 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A MOIST PACIFIC JET STREAM WILL PRODUCE 
  PERIODS OF HEAVY BLOWING SNOW INTO THURSDAY MORNING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...AN ADDITIONAL 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH STORM
  TOTALS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 GUSTING TO 40 MPH AT TIMES.

* IMPACT...A COMBINATION OF HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW...POOR 
  VISIBILITIES...AND ICY OR SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN 
  VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-050545-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-151106T0000Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
243 PM MST WED NOV 4 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE MOSQUITO RANGE AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM AND STRONG JET STREAM WILL 
  BRING A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS INTO 
  THURSDAY. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* WIND...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW COVERED...RESULTING IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL OVER THE PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
SR
517 
WWUS45 KPUB 050304
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
804 PM MST WED NOV 4 2015

COZ066-068-051300-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0028.000000T0000Z-151105T1800Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
804 PM MST WED NOV 4 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A MOIST PACIFIC JET STREAM WILL PRODUCE 
  PERIODS OF HEAVY BLOWING SNOW INTO THURSDAY MORNING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...AN ADDITIONAL 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH STORM 
  TOTALS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 GUSTING TO 40 MPH AT TIMES.

* IMPACT...A COMBINATION OF HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW...POOR 
  VISIBILITIES...AND ICY OR SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN 
  VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-051300-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-151106T0000Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
804 PM MST WED NOV 4 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...THE MOSQUITO RANGE AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM AND STRONG JET STREAM WILL 
  BRING A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS INTO 
  THURSDAY. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* WIND...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW COVERED...RESULTING IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL OVER THE PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
516 
WWUS45 KPUB 051052
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
352 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

COZ066-068-051800-
/O.CON.KPUB.WS.W.0028.000000T0000Z-151105T1800Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
352 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATION...THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  10000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A MOIST PACIFIC JET STREAM WILL PRODUCE
  PERIODS OF HEAVY BLOWING SNOW THROUGH THIS MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 8 INCHES...WITH STORM
  TOTALS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 GUSTING TO 35 MPH AT TIMES.

* IMPACT...A COMBINATION OF HEAVY...BLOWING SNOW...POOR 
  VISIBILITIES...AND ICY OR SNOW COVERED ROADS WILL RESULT IN 
  VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA. IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...LISTEN TO
THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER
TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL IN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE TIME OF THE WARNING...TAKE ALONG A WINTER SURVIVAL
KIT. IF YOU BECOME STRANDED IN A RURAL AREA...STAY WITH YOUR
VEHICLE UNTIL HELP ARRIVES. TO KEEP WARM IN YOUR VEHICLE...RUN
YOUR ENGINE 10 MINUTES EACH HOUR...AND MAKE SURE THE EXHAUST PIPE
IS CLEAR OF SNOW TO AVOID CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING.

&&

$$

COZ058-060-051900-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-151106T0000Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
352 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...THE MOSQUITO RANGE AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM AND STRONG JET STREAM WILL
  BRING A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS TODAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* WIND...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW COVERED...RESULTING IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL OVER THE PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
464 
WWUS45 KPUB 051757
WSWPUB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1057 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

COZ066-068-051900-
/O.EXP.KPUB.WS.W.0028.000000T0000Z-151105T1800Z/
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
INCLUDING...NORTH PASS...CUMBRES PASS...WOLF CREEK PASS
1057 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM MST THIS MORNING...

LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY WIND DOWN THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

COZ058-060-060000-
/O.CON.KPUB.WW.Y.0055.000000T0000Z-151106T0000Z/
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
INCLUDING...CLIMAX...MOSQUITO PASS...INDEPENDENCE PASS...
MT ELBERT...MT MASSIVE
1057 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...THE MOSQUITO RANGE AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 
  11000 FEET. 

* CAUSE AND TIMING...A STORM SYSTEM AND STRONG JET STREAM WILL 
  BRING A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOWFALL TO THE MOUNTAINS TODAY. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* WIND...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME ICY AND SNOW COVERED...RESULTING IN 
  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL OVER THE PASSES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE PLANNING TO TRAVEL IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE
TIME OF THE ADVISORY...LISTEN TO THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND
CONSIDER TRAVELING AT ANOTHER TIME OR BY ANOTHER ROUTE.

&&

$$
SR

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Nov 2, 10:51 PM MST, 4 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 2, 10:51 PM MST, 4 hours 43 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1051 PM MST MON NOV 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 PM MST MON NOV 2 2015

...WARM AND BREEZY AGAIN TOMORROW WITH FIRE DANGER INCREASING...

TEMPERATURES ARE ONCE AGAIN APPROACHING RECORD HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON
THOUGH HAVE COME UP JUST SHY AS OF 2130Z. WITH AN HOUR STILL TO
GO...KPUB AND KCOS COULD STILL TIE OR BREAK THE OLD RECORDS.
MEANWHILE...WINDS IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS HAVE BEEN GUSTY AGAIN
TODAY. DEW POINTS HAVE BEEN MUCH LOWER THAN GUIDANCE AND MODEL BLEND
GRIDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EL PASO COUNTY AND THE UPPER ARKANSAS
RIVER VALLEY...WHICH HAS BEEN THE TREND OF LATE. WHEN COMBINED WITH
THE SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
HAVE DROPPED BELOW 15 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...AND WHERE
THE WINDS HAVE KICKED UP...SOME AREAS HAVE BEEN HITTING OR
APPROACHING RED FLAG CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON.  ITS BEEN FAIRLY
SPOTTY AND BRIEF AND WINDS SHOULD SIMMER DOWN HERE TOWARDS 00Z. LOWS
TONIGHT WILL ONCE AGAIN END UP ON THE WARM SIDE GIVEN CONTINUED LEE
TROFFING AND WENT CLOSE TO A GUIDANCE/PERSISTENCE BLEND.

FOR TOMORROW...WESTERN U.S. UPPER TROF WILL EDGE EASTWARD TOWARDS
THE GREAT BASIN WITH 90+KT UPPER JET SHIFTING ACROSS CO.  SFC
PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES ALONG THE LEE OF THE SE MTS...AND ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS ALONG THE PERIPHERIES OF THE LEE
SIDE SFC LOW. THIS SHOULD MAKE IT EASIER FOR CONDITIONS TO MEET
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PARAMETERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DROPPED SFC DEW
POINTS FROM WHAT MODEL BLENDS GAVE BASED ON THEIR PERFORMANCE OVER
THE PAST COUPLE DAYS...AND APPEARS RHS SHOULDN'T HAVE TOO MUCH
TROUBLE MEETING THE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR RED FLAG. SO WILL ALL
DEPEND ON FUELS AND WINDS. LATEST UPDATES TO THE FUELS STATUS PAGE
INDICATE MOUNTAINS ZONES ARE FOR THE MOST PART...NO LONGER
CRITICAL...AND AM ONLY GETTING SPOTTY AREAS OF FIRE ZONE 222 AND 225
MEETING CRITICAL CONDITIONS FOR A COUPLE HOURS ON TUESDAY.  MAIN
AREAS WILL BE THE I-25 ZONES...AS WELL AS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS...WHICH HAVE BEEN PLACED UNDER A RED FLAG WARNING
FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON. NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS APPEAR TO BE
WITHIN THE SFC TROF AXIS...AND WINDS THERE MAY END UP TOO LIGHT...SO
WILL REFRAIN FROM ADDING THESE ZONES FOR NOW. HOWEVER...A SLIGHTLY
DIFFERENT POSITION TO VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT TAF SITES OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. SHOULD SEE SOME PERIODS OF BREEZY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-25 KTS AT BOTH KCOS AND KALS THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON...THEN AT ALL THREE TAF SITES AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
-KTTHE SFC TROF COULD MEAN MORE ZONES MAY NEED TO BE ADDED AT A
LATER POINT. OTHER AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE PUEBLO COUNTY...WHERE
EASTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS MAY NOT QUITE MAKE THE WIND
CRITERIA...BUT SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS LOOK LIKELY. WILL GO
AHEAD AND INCLUDE THE PUEBLO COUNTY ZONE...BUT IT MAY BE A MORE
MARGINAL EVENT FOR THIS ZONE.

MEANWHILE...MOUNTAINS SHOULD START TO SEE SOME SHOWERS MOVE IN LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT MAJORITY OF THE IMPACT WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL
LATER TUESDAY NIGHT. HAVE DELAYED INCREASING POPS IN LATEST FORECAST
PACKAGE.  -KT

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 247 PM MST MON NOV 2 2015

...HEAVY SNOW FOR THE SAN JUANS WEDNESDAY...

MAIN FOCUS IN THE EXTENDED WILL BE THE IMPACT OF A PROGRESSIVE
TROUGH IN THE TUE NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY TIME FRAME. THIS SYSTEM IS
CURRENTLY OVER THE WEST COAST AND IS BRINGING RAIN AND SNOW TO NRN
CA. IT WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT BASIN ON TUESDAY...THEN SLOWLY
TRANSLATE AS A CUT OFF LOW INTO THE 4 CORNERS REGION BY THURSDAY
MORNING. BIGGEST IMPACT WILL BE A PERIOD OF HEAVY WIND-DRIVEN SNOW
FOR THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY.

LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVE DELAYED THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION A BIT...SO
HAVE CUT BACK POPS FOR TUE NIGHT...AND FOR AREAS EAST OF THE MTS AS
SW WINDS WILL LEAD TO CONTINUED DOWNSLOPE DRYING AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM.
POPS RAMP UP WED MORNING...AND EXPECT THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL FROM THE
SYSTEM OVER THE ERN SAN JUANS DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THIS IS WHEN
A 50 KNOT MID LEVEL JET WILL TRANSLATE OVER THE 4 CORNERS REGION.
STRONG SW WINDS ALONG WITH A DECENT MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH IS THE
CLASSIC RECIPE FOR HEAVY SNOW OVER THE SAN JUANS...AND IT LOOKS LIKE
ALL THE INGREDIENTS ARE IN PLACE. MODELS TYPICALLY UNDERESTIMATE SW
FLOW EVENTS FOR THIS AREA...BUT THE GFS AND NAM SEEM IN REASONABLE
AGREEMENT IN FORECASTING ABOUT AN INCH OR SO OF QPF FOR THE SAN
JUANS. THE QPF BULLSEYE VARIES FROM RUN TO RUN BASED ON THE POSITION
OF THE JET AND MOISTURE STREAM...BUT THE AREA IN GENERAL SHOULD SEE
A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW. SO...HAVE JOINED GJT IN ISSUING A WATCH FOR
THE SW MTS LATE TUE NIGHT INTO THU MORNING. MODELS CURRENTLY CUT OFF
PRECIP EARLY THU WITH THE TROUGH PASSAGE...BUT WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE THE PROGS SLOW A BIT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS
IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT THE CUTOFF LOW WILL TAKE ITS TIME DEVELOPING
OVER THE 4 CORNERS REGION. SNOW LEVELS START OFF AROUND 10000 FEET
AND WILL DROP TO VALLEY FLOORS BY LATE WED...BUT IN GENERAL THIS
LOOKS LIKE A HIGH ELEVATION EVENT WHICH WILL IMPACT THE PASSES AND
ABOVE. STORM TOTAL SNOW SHOULD BE IN THE 10 TO 20 INCH RANGE FOR THE
WARNED AREA.

E OF THE MTS...REMAINS PRETTY DRY AND ON THE MILD SIDE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...AS DRY DOWNSLOPE FLOW CONTINUES. COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
OVER THE PLAINS EARLY THURSDAY WILL TRANSITION THINGS ON THURSDAY.
H7 TEMPS THU FALL TO AROUND MINUS FOUR OR SO AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE.
COULD SEE A QUICK SHOT OF QPF FOR THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND POINTS EAST
THU AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVE...BUT AMOUNTS ARE NOT LOOKING ALL THAT
IMPRESSIVE. BEST CHANCE OF PRECIP WILL BE OVER THE PIKES PEAK
REGION AND PALMER DVD. SNOW LEVELS WILL START OFF AROUND 7000
FEET SO WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SOME SNOW SHOWERS
AFFECTING THE MONUMENT HILL AREA DURING AFTERNOON-EVENING COMMUTE.
FZG LEVELS DROP SHARPLY THU NIGHT...BUT BY THIS TIME THE TROUGH IS
PAST SO AM NOT EXPECTING MUCH IF ANY SNOWFALL FOR KCOS OR THE REST
OF THE PLAINS. DEPENDING ON THE TROUGH TIMING...COULD FINALLY SEE
A HARD FREEZE FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE PLAINS BY FRI MORNING.

RIDGING FOLLOWS THIS SYSTEM FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH TEMPS AGAIN
MODERATING AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A
WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL PASS TO OUT NE ON FRIDAY BUT SHOULD HAVE MINIMAL
AFFECT ON OUR AREA. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM TO IMPACT OUR AREA LOOKS TO
ARRIVE SOMETIME TUE OR WED OF NEXT WEEK. ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1050 PM MST MON NOV 2 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE KALS...KCOS AND
KPUB TAF SITES DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS DRY SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER
FLOW DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA. IN ADDITION...GUSTY SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS IN THE 15 TO 25 KNOT RANGE AT TIMES ARE
PROJECTED AT THE TAF SITES...PRIMARILY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
FOR COZ066-068.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST TUESDAY FOR COZ226>230-
233-237.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 2, 6:47 PM MST, 8 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
647 PM MST MON NOV 2 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-040200-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
647 PM MST MON NOV 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH LOW HUMIDITY VALUES
TO PRODUCE NEAR CRITICAL TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. AREAS OVER EL PASO AND PUEBLO COUNTIES...AND
LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50 ARE PROJECTED TO EXPERIENCE THE
MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS...AND CAUTION IS ADVISED WITH ANY OUTDOOR
BURNING ACTIVITIES.

A STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION BEGINNING
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SHOWERS ARE FORECAST
TO MOVE INTO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND SPREAD
EAST INTO THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND EASTERN MOUNTAINS ON WEDNESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE PLAINS THURSDAY MORNING
WITH SHOWERS FILLING IN BEHIND THE FRONT. SNOW LEVELS WILL
INITIALLY BE HIGH...ABOVE 12000 FEET TUESDAY...BEFORE FALLING TO
AROUND 9000 FEET WEDNESDAY AND 6000 FEET THURSDAY. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE GREATEST OVER THE SAN JUAN RANGE
WHERE 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...AND 2 TO 4 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS. LOCATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET
ON THE PALMER DIVIDE AND RATON RIDGE MAY SEE A DUSTING OF SNOW BY
THURSDAY EVENING.

A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY WHICH MAY
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT SNOWFALL FOR THE MOUNTAINS.

COLDER AIR WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE PLAINS AND TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 30S...PRODUCING FREEZING CONDITIONS IN AREAS THAT HAVE
YET TO SEE A FREEZE THIS FALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 3, 3:05 PM MSTWinter Weather AdvisoryPUBChaffee, Lake, Saguache50 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Colorado, 2015Every winter storm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.