Alert archive / Colorado / Special Weather Statements in 2015
Special Weather Statement, NWS Pueblo, CO
NWS Pueblo, CO issued this special weather statement at May 14, 2015, 3:52 PM MDT for Bent County, Colorado. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 14, 2015, 3:52 PM MDT (21:52 UTC)
- Expired
- May 14, 2015, 4:30 PM MDT
- In force
- 38 min
- Issued by
- NWS Pueblo, CO
County Bent County, CO
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 262 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 607 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 24 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 82 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 14, 3:51 PM MDT, 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 14, 3:51 PM MDT, 1 minute before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 351 PM MDT THU MAY 14 2015 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 349 PM MDT THU MAY 14 2015 AN UPR LOW OVR CA WL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND BY 00Z SAT AN ELONGATED UPR LOW IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM SRN ID TO SRN CA. THIS WL KEEP S TO SW FLOW ALOFT OVR THE FORECAST AREA THRU THE PERIOD. ISOLD TO SCT SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE EXPECTED ACRS THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING. WITH A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING ACRS SERN CO THIS EVENING IT MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT TO CONTINUE KICKING OFF SOME SHOWERS AND TSTMS THU ABOUT MIDNIGHT OR A LITTLE LATER ALONG THE KS BORDER. OVR THE CONTDVD LATER TONIGHT...A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROF IS FORECAST TO EJECT OFF THE UPR LOW OVR THE WRN STATES...AND MOVE INTO WRN CO. THIS DISTURBANCE WL PROBABLY KEEP SOME SHOWERS GOING THRU THE NIGHT OVR PORTIONS OF THE CONTDVD. THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...ERN MTNS AND I-25 CORRIDOR SHOULD SEE PCPN CHANCES COME TO AN END BY LATE NIGHT. ON FRIDAY MOISTURE WL CONTINUE STREAMING INTO WRN CO AHEAD OF THE UPR LOW WITH FAIRLY GOOD CHANCES FOR PCPN ALONG THE CONTDVD...AND ISOLD TO SCT PCPN OVR AND NR THE ERN MTNS AND THE SAN LUIS VALLEY. MODERATE S TO SW FLOW ALOFT ON FRIDAY WL MIX DOWN DURING THE DAY WITH DEW POINTS ACRS THE SERN PLAINS DECREASING INTO THE UPR 20S TO MID 30S IN THE AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WL HAVE BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS. ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME SHOWERS/TSTMS OVR THE I-25 CORRIDOR FRI AFTERNOON...THE REST OF THE SERN PLAINS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY. .LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 349 PM MDT THU MAY 14 2015 ACTIVE METEOROLOGICAL PATTERN ANTICIPATED OVER THE FORECAST DISTRICT DURING PORTIONS OF THE LONGER TERM WITH PRIMARY METEOROLOGICAL CONCERNS BEING PRECIPITATION(POTENTIALLY HEAVY AT TIMES)...TEMPERATURES...HIGHER ELEVATION MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AT TIMES AND SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. RECENT LONGER TERM COMPUTER SIMULATIONS AND FORECAST MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT INITIAL UPPER SYSTEM LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN NEVADA AT 00Z SATURDAY ROTATES INTO WESTERN COLORADO BY SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE SHIFTING INTO NORTHWESTERN KANSAS BY 06Z SUNDAY AND INTO EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA BY 19Z SUNDAY. THE MORE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WITH THIS INITIAL UPPER DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY EVENING(PRIMARILY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS)...WITH LOCALLY MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ANTICIPATED OVER FAVORED HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS DURING THIS TIME-FRAME...THEREFORE WILL ALLOW EXISTING 3RD/4TH PERIOD WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE AND EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET AS WELL AS THE EASTERN SAN JUAN AND LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FEET TO REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. METEOROLOGICAL FOCUS THEN SHIFTS TO NEXT UPPER DISTURBANCE(CLOSED UPPER LOW) PUSHING INTO CALIFORNIA SUNDAY NIGHT AND THEN MOVING ACROSS UTAH TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING INTO NORTHERN NEBRASKA WEDNESDAY. THIS 2ND STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL TO THE FORECAST DISTRICT BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE HIGHEST PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL ANTICIPATED TUESDAY. IN ADDITION...ELEVATED SEVERE WEATHER PARAMETERS ARE ALSO PROJECTED FROM TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...PRIMARILY FAVORING LOCATIONS FROM THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS/FOOTHILLS INTO EASTERN COLORADO. WFO PUEBLO WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY. THEN...3RD UPPER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING INTO CALIFORNIA FROM LATER WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT THURSDAY...ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES BY LATER NEXT WEEK. ALSO...GENERALLY BELOW SEASONAL MID TO LATE MAY MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED DURING THE LONGER TERM IN COMBINATION WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL MINIMUM TEMPERATURES. FINALLY...HEALTHIEST GRADIENT WINDS DURING THE LONGER TERM ARE ANTICIPATED FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND THEN AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING) ISSUED AT 349 PM MDT THU MAY 14 2015 VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THRU THE NEXT 24 HRS AT THE TAF SITES. THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SHOWERS OR TSTMS AT THE TAF SITES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN MOST LOCATIONS...WITH S TO SW WINDS OF 20-30 KTS. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR COZ058-060-066-068. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 11:00 AM MDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 1100 AM MDT THU MAY 14 2015 COZ058>089-093>099-151700- WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT- LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT- EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT- CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT- WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT- SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT- SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT- LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT- EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT- WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT- WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET- WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT- WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT- CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY- NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT- COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT- WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT- TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT- CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY- EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY- EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY- LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY- 1100 AM MDT THU MAY 14 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ISOLATED STORMS DRIFTING ACROSS THE VALLEYS AND EASTERN PLAINS LATE IN THE DAY. A FEW STORMS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT...MAINLY ALONG THE KANSAS BORDER. THE MAIN STORM THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH...BUT SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A STRONG SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER-LIKE CONDITIONS TO THE MOUNTAINS LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 10000 FEET. THIS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS OVER THE PASSES THIS WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY...GENERALLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LIGHTING AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH. ON TUESDAY...INCREASED SHEAR AND MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS OVER THE PLAINS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL POSSIBLE OVER ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. 28/28
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 14, 3:52 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 352 PM MDT THU MAY 14 2015 COZ097-098-142230- LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY CO-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY CO- 352 PM MDT THU MAY 14 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN PROWERS AND EAST CENTRAL BENT COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM MDT... AT 351 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES SOUTH OF HASTY...OR 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAMAR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF WESTERN PROWERS AND EAST CENTRAL BENT COUNTIES. LAT...LON 3777 10286 3788 10305 3809 10289 3801 10274 TIME...MOT...LOC 2151Z 215DEG 25KT 3789 10290 28
The office that day
Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 3:41 AM MDT | Winter Storm Watch | PUB | Chaffee, Conejos, Lake, Mineral, Rio Grande, Saguache | 25 hr |
| May 14, 5:37 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | PUB | Prowers | 23 min |
| May 14, 5:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Prowers | 30 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Colorado, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.