Severe Thunderstorm Warning 194, NWS Pueblo, CO

720 
WWUS55 KPUB 092238
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
438 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

COC071-092315-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0194.000000T0000Z-150709T2315Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
438 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...

AT 437 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES EAST OF
BRANSON...OR 22 MILES NORTHEAST OF DES MOINES...MOVING NORTH AT 15
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3718 10389 3719 10341 3700 10343 3700 10381
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 177DEG 11KT 3703 10361 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KT

505 
WWUS55 KPUB 092258
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
458 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

COC071-092315-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0194.000000T0000Z-150709T2315Z/
LAS ANIMAS CO-
458 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...

AT 458 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 18 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF KIM...OR 24 MILES NORTHEAST OF DES MOINES...MOVING NORTH AT 10
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3718 10389 3719 10341 3700 10343 3700 10381
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 186DEG 9KT 3702 10353 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
307 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 307 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

AN UPR LEVEL LOW WAS OVR CENTRAL CA AND WRN NV THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.  THIS LOW IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT NORTHWARD A
BIT ON FRIDAY.  A DISTURBANCE EJECTING OFF THIS UPR LOW...WL MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD ACRS THE FORECAST AREA LATER THIS EVENING. AS THIS
WAVE MOVES ACRS THE AREA...IT WL LIKELY ENHANCE PCPN CHANCES OVR THE
MTNS AND HIGH VALLEYS FIRST AND THEN HELP SPREAD PCPN ACRS THE SERN
PLAINS.  THAT DISTURBANCE EXITS THE FORECAST AREA TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 09Z...WHILE ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER
THE SERN CORNER OF THE STATE...WHICH MAY BRING SOME PCPN TO THE SERN
CORNER AND EASTERN BORDER AREAS INTO THE MORNING HOURS.

THE DISTURBANCE MOVING ACRS THE SERN CORNER OF THE STATE...IS THEN
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST BY NOON.  THE NAM SHOWS ANOTHER
WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD INTO CENTRAL CO IN THE
AFTERNOON...HELPING KICK OFF SHOWERS/TSTMS OVR THE CENTRAL MTNS AND
PROBABLY OVR THE PIKES PEAK AND TELLER COUNTY AREA.  IT LOOKS LIKE
THE REST OF THE AREA SHOULD GENERALLY SEE ISOLATED SHOWERS/TSTMS.
HIGH TEMPS ON FRI SHOULD GENERALLY BE A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL...WITH
80S TO LOWER 90S ACRS THE SERN PLAINS...AND IN THE 70S OVR THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY AND UPR ARKANSAS VALLEY.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 307 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

...MORE SUMMER LIKE TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND...

FRIDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY...MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY BECOMES MORE WESTERLY AND WEAKENS INTO THE WEEKEND AS
AS AN UPPER TROUGH LIFTS OUT ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND
NORTHERN TIER OF STATES WITH A BROAD UPPER HIGH RETROGRADING ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND INTO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. MODELS
CONTINUE TO INDICATE DRIER AIR ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND LEADING
TO MORE EARLY SUMMER LIKE WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT...WITH A FEW POSSIBLE STRONGER STORMS ACROSS THE FAR SE PLAINS
WHERE THE BEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN. ANY STORMS ON
SATURDAY LOOK TO BE FAIRLY ISOLATED AND HIGH BASED...PRODUCING MORE
WIND THAN RAIN...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

THE LATEST GFS IS STILL INDICATING AN INCREASE IN MID AND UPPER
LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA ON SUNDAY...WHERE AS THE NAM AND EC
KEEP THE MOISTURE SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND ARE
NOT PRODUCING MUCH IN THE WAY OF QPF ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THAT
SAID...HAVE TAPERED BACK POPS A TAD ACROSS THE AREA...KEEPING
ISOLATED POPS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ATTM. TEMPS ALOFT WARM
UNDERNEATH THE RETROGRADING RIDGE (14C TO 18C AT H7) AND WITH LESS
EXPECTED CONVECTION AND WEAK DOWNSLOPE FLOW...SHOULD SEE MORE
SUMMER LIKE TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO MID 90S ACROSS THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS AND MAINLY 60S AND 70S ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MONDAY-THURSDAY...STILL LOOKS LIKE THE PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
WETTER AGAIN AS THE UPPER HIGH OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES DRIFTS
SOUTH AND EAST ALLOWING FOR INCREASING SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO
THE REGION. THIS...ALONG WITH A FEW DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS SENDING WEAK FRONTS ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS...WILL ALLOW FOR BETTER CHANCES OF WETTING RAINS
AREAWIDE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO
REMAIN AROUND SEASONAL AVERAGES THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 307 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KPUB THROUGH AT LEAST LATE
TONIGHT. TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VCNTY OF KPUB THIS EVENING.
LATE TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME STRATUS TO MOVE INTO THE
KPUB AREA...BUT AT THIS TIME IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE IT WL BE
WIDESPREAD. FRIDAY AFTERNOON CHANCES FOR TSTMS IN THE VCNTY OF
KPUB SHOULD BE FAIRLY LOW.

KCOS MAY SEE SOME TSTMS IN THE VCNTY THROUGH MIDNIGHT. IT LOOKS LIKE
SOME LOW STRATUS WL DEVELOP AGAIN AT KCOS LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
INTO FRI MORNING. ISOLD TSTMS WL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AT
KCOS.

KALS SHOULD SEE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH AT LEAST LATE TONIGHT...WITH
TSTMS POSSIBLE IN THE VCNTY THROUGH THIS EVENING. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR LOW CLOUD DEVELOPMENT LATE TONIGHT...BUT CHANCES OF
THIS OCCURRING  LOOKS LOW.  SOME TSTMS WL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VCNTY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...28
LONG TERM...MW
AVIATION...28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1127 AM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-101730-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1127 AM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH BEING THE MAIN
THREATS. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

AREAS THAT HAVE SEEN HEAVY RAIN DURING THE LAST COUPLE OF
DAYS...MAY HAVE FLASH FLOOD CONCERNS TODAY IF HEAVY RAIN MOVES
INTO THESE LOCATIONS. THE BURN SCARS AND URBAN AREAS WILL BE THE MOST
SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING.

ONE OR TWO SEVERE STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING HAIL THE
SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. PRIMARY
STORM THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS.
HOWEVER...A FEW STORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS COULD PRODUCE LOCAL HEAVY
RAIN AND FLOODING.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY MOISTEN UP
AGAIN AS SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INCREASES OVER THE REGION. THIS
WILL BRING INCREASING CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN TO
THE MOUNTAINS ON MONDAY...GRADUALLY SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE
PLAINS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

28/28

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
244 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

COZ088-094-092130-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY CO-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT CO-
244 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
UNTIL 330 PM MDT...

AT 243 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
TRINCHERA...OR 21 MILES EAST OF TRINIDAD...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRANSON AND TRINCHERA.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3713 10427 3728 10394 3703 10381 3700 10399
      3700 10420
TIME...MOT...LOC 2043Z 247DEG 11KT 3708 10414

KT/AL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
317 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

COZ094-097-099-092200-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY CO-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY CO-
LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY CO-
317 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS...WEST
CENTRAL BACA AND SOUTHWESTERN BENT COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM MDT...

AT 316 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16
MILES NORTH OF KIM...OR 36 MILES SOUTH OF NORTH LA JUNTA...MOVING
EAST AT 5 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL LAS
ANIMAS...WEST CENTRAL BACA AND SOUTHWESTERN BENT COUNTIES.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3736 10336 3753 10344 3767 10317 3742 10305
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 248DEG 6KT 3748 10332

KT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
358 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

COZ093-094-097-092245-
LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY CO-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY CO-
LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY CO-
358 PM MDT THU JUL 9 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN LAS ANIMAS...
SOUTHEASTERN OTERO AND SOUTHWESTERN BENT COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM MDT...

AT 358 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 17
MILES SOUTH OF HIGBEE...OR 31 MILES SOUTH OF NORTH LA JUNTA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN LAS
ANIMAS...SOUTHEASTERN OTERO AND SOUTHWESTERN BENT COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 3742 10348 3749 10368 3775 10359 3764 10328
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 205DEG 8KT 3753 10354

KT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
411 PM MDT THU JUL 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0402 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNE MONUMENT          39.12N 104.86W
07/09/2015  M0.80 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MN