Severe Thunderstorm Warning 174, NWS Pueblo, CO

047 
WWUS55 KPUB 262123
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
323 PM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

COC043-119-262145-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0174.000000T0000Z-150626T2145Z/
TELLER CO-FREMONT CO-
323 PM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN TELLER AND NORTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTIES...

AT 323 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CRIPPLE
CREEK...OR 26 MILES WEST OF COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING SOUTH AT 15
MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHWESTERN TELLER AND NORTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3861 10512 3855 10525 3867 10531 3870 10533
      3880 10533 3879 10522
TIME...MOT...LOC 2123Z 343DEG 12KT 3872 10529 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HODANISH

156 
WWUS55 KPUB 262130
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
330 PM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

COC043-119-262145-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0174.000000T0000Z-150626T2145Z/
TELLER CO-FREMONT CO-
330 PM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN TELLER AND NORTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTIES...

AT 330 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CRIPPLE CREEK...OR 27 MILES WEST OF COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING
SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHWESTERN TELLER AND NORTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3855 10525 3867 10531 3870 10533 3877 10533
      3875 10524 3859 10516
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 349DEG 14KT 3870 10530 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HODANISH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1105 AM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1017 AM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

FINE TUNED POPS FOR THE REGION FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
PLAINS MAINLY EAST OF THE INTERSTATE WILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY FOR
THE MOST PART. EXCEPTIONS MAY BE N EL PASO AND THE RATON MESA
REGION. MOST OF THE PRECIP TODAY WILL FALL ALONG THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE PIKES PEAK REGION...AND THE WET MTNS AND SANGRE
MTNS. OVERALL HIGHEST POPS WILL BE PIKES PEAK AND S SANGRES. THE
SAN JUANS MAY ALSO SEE SOME ISOLD/SCTD POPS...ESPECIALLY S OF THE
RIO GRANDE.

THERE WILL BE AN OBVIOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING THREAT ON TOP
OF PIKES PEAK TODAY. MANY PEOPLE WHO ARE WATCHING THE PIKES PEAK
HILL CLIMB ACTIVITIES ARE VERY EXPOSED TO THE LTG THREAT. I HAVE
TWEETED THAT THE BEST PLACE TO BE IN THIS SITUATION IS IN YOUR
HARD TOPPED VEHICLE.

GIVEN THE SHEAR AND CAPE...A MARGINALLY SVR STORM OR TWO WILL BE
POSSIBLE. HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. SPC HAS MOST OF ABOVE
AFOREMENTIONED AREAS IN A MARGINAL RISK. \/HODANISH

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 416 AM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

CURRENTLY...

STRATIFORM SHOWERS CONTINUE ALONG THE ERN CO BORDER ASSOCIATED WITH
MCS MOVING THROUGH KANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH HEADING INTO THE LATE MORNING HOURS.

TODAY...

MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW THIS MORNING...WILL ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A STRATUS LAYER. MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED THIS
MORNING ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR. MOST AREAS WILL SEE THE STRATUS
BREAKING UP AROUND 16Z WITH AREAS CLOSER TO THE MTNS SEEING STRATUS
BREAK UP BY 17Z.

THE RIDGE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER UTAH WILL AMPLIFY TODAY AND
TONIGHT ALLOWING FOR WINDS OUT OF THE NNW ALOFT...WITH ANOTHER ROUND
OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON NEAR AND AROUND THE MTN
AREAS. STORMS WILL INITIALLY FORM NEAR THE PIKES PEAK
MASSIF...WET MOUNTAINS...AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS...BEFORE
DRIFTING SSE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOWS SPOTTY CONVECTIVE SHOWERS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUES. LATEST NAM
GUIDANCE HAS 1000-1500J/KG OF CAPE WITH AROUND 25 KTS OF
SHEAR...CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STORMS ON THE STRONGER
SIDE THIS AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERNS WITH STORMS WILL BE
LIGHTNING...ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...AND SMALL HAIL.
TEMPS WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE L80S.

TONIGHT...

ANY LINGERING SHOWERS WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN COLORADO BORDER WITH
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ELSEWHERE.  CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
HEADING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 416 AM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

NOT MANY ADJUSTMENTS NEEDED FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST THOUGHTS AS
POPS AND TEMPERATURES REMAIN THE PRIMARY LONGER TERM ISSUES.

RECENT LONGER TERM COMPUTER SIMULATIONS...PV ANALYSIS AND
FORECAST MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT ENOUGH ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST DISTRICT TO ALLOW
FOR CONTINUE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED PRIMARILY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH THURSDAY.

UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER WESTERN UTAH AT 12Z SATURDAY SLOWLY
OSCILLATES INTO EASTERN UTAH BY 00Z TUESDAY BEFORE SLOWLY SHIFTING
BACK WEST INTO NORTHERN NEVADA BY 00Z FRIDAY.

SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FEW DAYS...THE AVAILABLE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE
IN COMBINATION WITH THE DAILY OROGRAPHIC HEATING CYCLE...OCCASIONAL
NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE SURGES AND PERIODIC UPPER
DISTURBANCES ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
PRIMARILY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THURSDAY(GENERALLY FAVORING HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS).

IT STILL APPEARS THAT THE MORE INTENSE STORMS DURING THE LONGER
TERM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND/OR
STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE EVENTS AT TIMES. AS ALWAYS...WFO
PUEBLO WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR CLOSELY. ALSO...THE HIGHEST
POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION OVER THE FORECAST
DISTRICT DURING THE LONGER TERM SHOULD BE NOTED INTO THE WEEKEND
AND THEN AGAIN FROM LATER TUESDAY INTO NEXT FRIDAY.

FINALLY...TEMPERATURES RUNNING NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE LATE
JUNE/EARLY JULY CLIMATOLOGICAL AVERAGES ARE ANTICIPATED IN
COMBINATION WITH CONTINUED LOW-GRADE GRADIENT WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1017 AM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

ISOLD TSRA WILL BE POSSIBLE AT ALL 3 TAF SITES THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE VFR EXPECTED AT THE THREE TAF SITES...KCOS...KPUB AND
KALS

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...HODANISH
AVIATION...HODANISH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1108 AM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-271715-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1108 AM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND I-25 CORRIDOR. THE MAIN THREATS WITH THE STORMS WILL
BE DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 40
MPH... HOWEVER SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL
HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN. THERE WILL ALSO BE THE POTENTIAL FOR ONE OR
TWO SEVERE STORMS ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR AND LOCATIONS SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 50... WITH HAIL THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND WIND GUSTS
AROUND 60 MPH BEING THE MAIN SEVERE THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED PRIMARILY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED EACH DAY...FAVORING HIGHER TERRAIN
LOCATIONS. THE PRIMARY METEOROLOGICAL THREATS WITH THESE STORMS
WILL BE HAZARDOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF PERIODS OF
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 50
MPH AT TIMES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

34/34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
308 PM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

COZ076-077-081-083-085-262200-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7400 FT CO-CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY CO-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500FT/PIKE'S PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND
11000 FT CO-NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY  ABOVE 8500FT CO-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT CO-
308 PM MDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN TELLER...
SOUTHWESTERN EL PASO AND NORTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM
MDT...

AT 308 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
CRIPPLE CREEK...OR 24 MILES WEST OF COLORADO SPRINGS...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CRIPPLE CREEK...VICTOR AND CANON CITY.

LAT...LON 3886 10520 3854 10491 3841 10522 3870 10536
      3870 10533 3881 10533
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 332DEG 18KT 3876 10526

HODANISH