Frost Advisory 6, NWS Pueblo, CO

314 
WWUS75 KPUB 290153
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
753 PM MDT WED OCT 28 2015

COZ085-086-089-093-095>098-291000-
/O.CON.KPUB.FR.Y.0006.151029T0900Z-151029T1500Z/
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-
INCLUDING...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...
LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...LAMAR
753 PM MDT WED OCT 28 2015

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...SOUTHERN EL PASO...PUEBLO...CROWLEY...OTERO... 
  KIOWA...BENT AND PROWERS COUNTIES. 

* TEMPERATURE...29 TO 35.

* IMPACT....FROST SENSITIVE PLANTS COULD BE DAMAGED OR KILLED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FROST SENSITIVE PLANTS SHOULD BE PROTECTED OR BROUGHT INDOORS TO
EXTEND THEIR GROWING SEASON.

&&

$$

602 
WWUS75 KPUB 291121
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
521 AM MDT THU OCT 29 2015

COZ085-086-089-093-095>098-291230-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FR.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-151029T1500Z/
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-
INCLUDING...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...
LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...LAMAR
521 AM MDT THU OCT 29 2015

...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE FROST
ADVISORY. 

CLOUDS HAVE KEPT TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S
ACROSS THE AREA.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1120 AM MDT WED OCT 28 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1113 AM MDT WED OCT 28 2015

ADJUSTED SKY COVER GRIDS FOR TODAY PER SATELLITE AND SHORT TERM
MODELS. REINITIALIZED FRONT END GRIDS WITH LATEST OBSERVATIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 337 AM MDT WED OCT 28 2015

...PLEASANT FALL DAY TODAY...

SHOULD DE A PRETTY QUIET DAY ACROSS OUR CWA THIS WEDNESDAY. TEMPS
OVER THE PLAINS ARE CURRENTLY MAINLY IN THE UPPER 30S AND A FEW
LOWER 40S...WITH SOME POCKETS BELOW FREEZING IN EL PASO COUNTY AND
ALONG THE SRN I-25 CORRIDOR. WINDS STILL NOT CALM SO THIS HAS KEPT
TEMPS UP...BUT SHOULD QUIET DOWN BEFORE SUNRISE SO SHOULD SEE TEMPS
CONTINUE TO DROP THIS MORN. SOME FROST ALREADY ON THE WINDOWS HERE
AT THE WFO SO FROST ADVISORY LOOKS ON TARGET.

TEMPS SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE COMFORTABLE 60S OVER THE PLAINS
TODAY...AND THE 50S FOR THE HIGH VALLEYS. PLENTY OF SUN EARLY
ON...BUT WILL SEE INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS LATER IN THE DAY AND
WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY BY THU MORNING AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM STARTS
MOVING INTO CO. CLOUDS TONIGHT SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY FROST OR FREEZE
OVER THE PLAINS TONIGHT. WILL MAINTAIN SOME LOW POPS OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE CONTDVD AFTER ABOUT 09Z TONIGHT...BUT NOT EXPECTING
MUCH MORE THAN A FLURRY OR LIGHT SHSN EARLY THURSDAY. ROSE

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 337 AM MDT WED OCT 28 2015

TWO WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION DURING THIS EXTENDED
FORECAST TIME PERIOD. THE FIRST WILL MOVE THROUGH DURING THE
THURSDAY/FRIDAY TIME PERIOD...AND THE 2ND SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN
STARTING LATE TUESDAY.

THURSDAY...

DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WILL BEGIN TO AMPLIFY
DURING THIS PERIOD. CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS WILL BE OVER THE REGION
AND SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER THE CONTDVD AND WILL SLOWLY
MOVE EAST DURING THE DAY. BY LATE AFTERNOON A FEW SHOWERS MAY BE
IMPINGING ONTO THE PLAINS. MAX TEMPERATURES THURSDAY WILL BE
SEASONABLE.

BY THURSDAY NIGHT SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE
CONTDVD AND A FEW INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. SHOWERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ON THE PLAINS...WITH THE
BEST CHANCE OVER THE FAR SE PLAINS.

FRIDAY...

THE BEST OVERALL CHANCE OF PRECIP WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY
OCCUR FRIDAY MORNING AS THE BEST FORCING MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG THE CO/NM
BORDER...ESPECIALLY THE SW MTNS...S SANGRES AND FAR SE PLAINS.
FRIDAY SHOULD BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE WEEK WITH L/M50S ACROSS
MOST OF THE PLAINS. LOTS OF CLOUDS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY IN THE
MORNING. BY LATER FRIDAY...POPS WILL BE DECREASING OVER THE MTNS
WITH CONTINUED HIGH POPS OVER THE FAR SE CO REGION. COULD SEE SOME
DECENT QPF OVER FAR SE CO...WITH 0.25-0.35 POSSIBLE.

FRIDAY EVENING THE PRECIP WILL END FOR THE MOST PART OF THE MTNS AND
WILL MOVE OUT OF THE PLAINS. MIN TEMPS EARLY SAT MORNING COULD BE
AROUND FREEZING OVER MOST OF THE PLAINS...WITH 20S/L30S OVER EL PASO
COUNTY.

SATURDAY (HALLOWEEN)...

A VERY NICE DAY IS ANTICIPATED. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE LIKELY WITH
MAX TEMPS IN THE 60S PLAINS. DRY CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS ARE
LIKELY FOR ALL OF THE TRICK OR TREATERS.

SUNDAY...

TEMPS GO ABOVE NORMAL ONCE AGAIN WITH 70S LIKELY MOST OF THE
PLAINS AND 50S TO LOWER 60S VALLEYS. IT WILL BE DRY ACROSS THE
ENTIRE REGION.

MONDAY INTO MID WEEK...

ALL LONG RANGE GUIDANCE AMPLIFY A TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS
AND THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SW FLOW TO GRADUALLY RAMP UP OVER THE
STATE. PRECIP WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO MOVE INTO COLORADO SOMETIME
TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SW MTNS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE SLOW
TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...SO WE MAY SEE AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF
WET WEATHER ALONG THE CONTDVD WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE TROUGH SHOULD
MOVE OVER THE STATE THURSDAY NIGHT. \/HODANISH

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1113 AM MDT WED OCT 28 2015

VFR EXPECTED ALL AREAS NEXT 24 HOURS...INCLUDING KCOS...KPUB AND
KALS TAF SITES. SOME ISOLATED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AFTER 12Z THURSDAY.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...LW
SHORT TERM...ROSE
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...LW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1147 AM MDT WED OCT 28 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-291800-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1147 AM MDT WED OCT 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

POCKETS OF FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY. FROST SENSITIVE PLANTS SHOULD BE
COVERED OR BROUGHT INDOORS TO CONTINUE THEIR GROWING SEASON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL COVER THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
SEVERAL INCHES OF HIGH ELEVATION SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THIS PERIOD. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHERN
MOUNTAINS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE
FOR SOME WET SNOW DOWN TO ABOUT 6000 FEET DURING THIS PERIOD.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION NEXT WEEK. AT THIS
TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL PRIMARILY IMPACT THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE...NORTH OF MONARCH PASS ON MONDAY...AND THEN ALL THE WAY
SOUTH TO THE NEW MEXICO BORDER MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS ALONG THE DIVIDE COULD BE SIGNIFICANT DURING THIS
PERIOD IF CURRENT MODEL PROJECTIONS ARE CORRECT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

50/50