Freeze Warning 6, NWS Pueblo, CO

436 
WWUS75 KPUB 060506
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1006 PM MST THU NOV 5 2015

COZ083-085>089-093>099-061315-
/O.CON.KPUB.FZ.W.0006.151106T0600Z-151106T1600Z/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...CANON CITY...PENROSE...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...
WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...
ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...
LAMAR...SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
1006 PM MST THU NOV 5 2015

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST FRIDAY...

* LOCATION...THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR AND 
  EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY. 

* TEMPERATURES...TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO FALL 
  INTO THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30. 

* IMPACT...PLANTS MAY BE DAMAGED OR KILLED IF LEFT OUTSIDE 
  UNCOVERED. UNDRAINED SPRINKLERS AND EXPOSED PIPES MAY BE 
  AFFECTED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

954 
WWUS75 KPUB 061102
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
402 AM MST FRI NOV 6 2015

COZ083-085>089-093>099-061600-
/O.CON.KPUB.FZ.W.0006.000000T0000Z-151106T1600Z/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...CANON CITY...PENROSE...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...
WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...
ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...
LAMAR...SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
402 AM MST FRI NOV 6 2015

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING...

* LOCATION...THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR AND 
  EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY. 

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS MORNING WILL REMAIN IN
  THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30 BEFORE CLIMBING BACK ABOVE FREEZING
  AFTER 9 AM MST.

* IMPACT...PLANTS MAY BE DAMAGED OR KILLED IF LEFT OUTSIDE 
  UNCOVERED. UNDRAINED SPRINKLERS AND EXPOSED PIPES MAY BE 
  AFFECTED AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

233 
WWUS75 KPUB 061525
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
825 AM MST FRI NOV 6 2015

COZ083-085>089-093>099-061630-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FZ.W.0006.000000T0000Z-151106T1600Z/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...CANON CITY...PENROSE...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...
WALSENBURG...TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...
ROCKY FORD...BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...
LAMAR...SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
825 AM MST FRI NOV 6 2015

...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZE
WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR AND
EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1020 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 934 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

UPDATED TO ADJUST POPS AND SKY COVER TODAY AND TONIGHT BASED
ON OBS AND LATEST GUIDANCE. WEBCAMS AND LOOK OUT THE WINDOW
SHOW LITTLE IN THE WAY OF EXTENSIVE CLOUDS FOR THE ER MTN RANGES
RIGHT NOW...SO HAVE REDUCED POPS THIS MORNING FOR PIKES PEAK
AND THE SANGRES/WETS. ALSO CUT BACK CLOUD COVERAGE FOR THE
PLAINS AND DELAYED ONSET OF LOW POPS TIL THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGHLIGHTS LOOK ON TRACK. ROSE

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 458 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

...COOL AND UNSETTLED TODAY...

MAIN UPPER DISTURBANCE TO PASS OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO TODAY...IN A
COUPLE OF PIECES.  ONE PIECE IS EVIDENT IN SATELLITE PICTURES
SPINNING OVER NORTHEAST ARIZONA AT THIS TIME.  THE OTHER IS TRACKING
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO. THE 2 PIECES WILL CONGEAL SOMEWHAT
OVER EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AS THEY CONTINUE EASTWARD.  SNOW WILL CONTINUE ALONG
THE CONTINENTAL THIS MORNING. THEN...LATER IN THE MORNING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON...THE FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TO
PLAINS.  LATEST MODEL RUNS DON'T HAVE ANYTHING VERY ORGANIZED COMING
ACROSS THE PLAINS TODAY...MAINLY JUST TRANSITORY...SCATTERED
SHOWERS.  TEMPERATURES HAVE COOLED ENOUGH...NOW...THAT PRECIPITATION
COULD BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE ACROSS THE PLAINS
TODAY.  THE NAM12 INDICATES THAT 700 MB TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO
ANYWHERE FROM -6 DEGREES CELSIUS NORTH TO -3 DEGREES CELSIUS SOUTH
ACROSS THE PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD BE COLD ENOUGH FOR
SNOW DOWN TO AT LEAST 6000 FEET...AND POSSIBLY EVEN LOWER GIVEN
HEAVY ENOUGH PRECIPITATION TO DRAG THE MELTING LAYER DOWN. THEY'VE
ALREADY HAD SNOW IN DENVER EARLY THIS MORNING AT THE MILE HIGH MARK
OF 5280. SO...ANY SHOWERS WE GET TODAY COULD BE AN INTERESTING MIX
OF RAIN...SNOW AND GRAUPEL.  BECAUSE OF THE LACK OF ORGANIZATION...
HOWEVER...NOT REALLY EXPECTING ANY WIDESPREAD OR SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS.  BUT...THERE COULD BE LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH
OR SO IN SOME AREAS...MAINLY ABOVE 6000 FEET.  THIS WOULD INCLUDE
THE COLORADO SPRINGS AREA AND ALL OF EL PASO AND TELLER COUNTIES. IT
WOULD ALSO INCLUDE THE SAN LUIS...UPPER ARKANSAS AND WET MOUNTAIN
VALLEYS.

THIS EVENING...ANY PRECIPITATION SHOULD CLEAR OUT OF THE PICTURE
PRETTY QUICKLY...SAVE FOR CONTINUING SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS RESULTING FROM COLD...MOIST NORTHWEST FLOW.  LEFT ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE ONE OF THE COLDEST AIR MASSES SO FAR THIS
SEASON.  IF WE GET ENOUGH CLEARING...AND THE WINDS SUBSIDE ENOUGH...
WE WILL LIKELY TAKE THE PLUNGE INTO A HARD FREEZE ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA.  NOT TOTALLY SURE ABOUT THE CLOUDS AND WINDS...THOUGH...SO FOR
NOW...WILL CONTINUE WITH THE FREEZE WATCH ACROSS THE PLAINS.  THE
DAY SHIFT CAN MAKE THE CALL ON WHETHER OR NOT TO UPGRADE TO AN
ACTUAL FREEZE WARNING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 458 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

FRIDAY...AN UPPER DISTURBANCE SWEEPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES ON
FRI...AFFECTING THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE AND GIVING THE
FORECAST AREA A GLANCING BLOW. IT WILL BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS TO THE
CENTRAL MTS THROUGH THE DAY...AND ENHANCED CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE
PALMER DVD INTO THE EVENING. TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN COOL
THROUGH THE DAY...WITH MAX TEMPS IN THE 40S AND 50S. OVERNIGHT FRI
NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING A WIDESPREAD FREEZE IS FORECAST TO AFFECT
THE E PLAINS.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...TEMPORARY RIDGING ON SAT WILL GIVE WAY TO
W-SW FLOW ALOFT FOR SUN AND MON...PROVIDING FOR DRY AND WARMING
CONDITIONS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE NEXT WORK
WEEK. MAX TEMPS IN THE 50S ON SAT WILL WARM INTO THE 60S FOR SUN AND
MON.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THE NEXT UPPER LOW PRESSURE TROUGH DROPS OUT
OF THE PAC NW AND CROSSES THE GREAT BASIN MON NIGHT. BOTH THE EC AND
GFS MODELS SHOW THIS...THOUGH THE EC DIGS THE TROUGH A BIT FURTHER
SOUTH AND SLOWS IT DOWN CONSIDERABLY. REGARDLESS...PCPN INITIATES
ALONG THE CONTDVD TUE MORN AND GRADUALLY SWEEPS EAST ACROSS THE MTS
AND HIGH VALLEYS THROUGH THE DAY. AT THIS TIME...DECIDED TO SIDE
MORE WITH THE GFS WHICH PAINTS THIS FEATURE AS QUICK MOVING...AND
BRINGING PCPN TO MAINLY THE HIGHER TERRAIN. IF THE EC STAYS
CONSISTENT...THEN THE PLAINS WILL HAVE TO BE MOISTENED UP A
BIT...AND TUE TEMPS WILL HAVE TO BE LOWERED. STAY TUNED. MOORE

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1016 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

MAIN AVN CONCERN WILL BE THE CONTINUED THREAT OF SHOWERS THROUGH
ABOUT 00Z...PARTICULARLY AT KCOS AND KPUB. COULD SEE MVFR OR BRIEF
PERIOD OF IFR AT KCOS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS SHOULD
CLEAR FROM MOST AREAS AFTER 00Z. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT.
MTNS WILL ALSO GRADUALLY CLEAR THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT
FOR A FEW LINGERING SHSN OVER THE MTNS N OF KMYP. TAF SITES SHOULD
REMAIN VFR ON FRIDAY. ROSE

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR COZ083-
085>089-093>099.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR COZ058-
060.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR COZ066-068.

&&

UPDATE...ROSE
SHORT TERM...LW
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...ROSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
619 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-061400-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
619 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO
TODAY...BRINGING SNOW TO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...AND A MIXTURE OF
SCATTERED RAIN...SNOW AND GRAUPEL SHOWERS ELSEWHERE.  IT WILL DROP
ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...WITH
LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AN INCH OR 2 POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ABOVE 6000
FEET.  BELOW 6000 FEET...SOME WET SNOW IS POSSIBLE TOO...BUT NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS TONIGHT WITH
ANOTHER INCH OR 2 POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ELSEWHERE...ANY
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO END.

AS SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT...SOME OF THE COLDEST AIR
SO FAR THIS SEASON WILL SETTLE IN ACROSS THE AREA.  A HARD FREEZE IS
POSSIBLE IN MANY AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

TEMPERATURES FRIDAY MORNING...AND AGAIN SATURDAY MORNING...ARE
FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES...PRODUCING
A WIDESPREAD FREEZE FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN PLAINS.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO APPROACH
THE STATE BEGINNING ON TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A GOOD
CHANCE FOR SNOW TO THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.

50/27

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
841 AM MST THU NOV 05 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0841 AM     SNOW             1 NNW MONARCH PASS      38.51N 106.33W
11/05/2015  M6.5 INCH        CHAFFEE            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1006 AM MST THU NOV 05 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1004 AM     SNOW             2 NE LEADVILLE          39.27N 106.27W
11/05/2015  M1.6 INCH        LAKE               CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1011 AM MST THU NOV 5 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 AM     SNOW             2 NE LEADVILLE          39.27N 106.27W
11/05/2015  M1.6 INCH        LAKE               CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OBSERVER LOCATION 2 NE LEADVILLE.

&&

NWS PUEBLO CO
IRIS SYSTEM