Alert archive / Arizona / Wind Advisories in 2015
Wind Advisory 16, NWS Phoenix, AZ
NWS Phoenix, AZ issued this wind advisory at Nov 15, 2015, 2:41 AM MST. It took effect at Nov 16, 2015, 11:00 AM MST. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 15, 2015, 2:41 AM MST (09:41 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 16, 2015, 11:00 AM MST
- Expired
- Nov 16, 2015, 5:00 PM MST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Phoenix, AZ
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
283 WWUS75 KPSR 150941 NPWPSR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 241 AM MST SUN NOV 15 2015 .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO STRONG WINDS SUNDAY EVENING LINGERING INTO MONDAY EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA. A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL SPREAD INTO CENTRAL ARIZONA RESULTING IN BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY TUESDAY MORNING. CAZ033-152300- /O.NEW.KPSR.WI.Y.0015.151116T0000Z-151116T1500Z/ IMPERIAL COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRAWLEY...CALEXICO...EL CENTRO... GLAMIS...IMPERIAL...THE SALTON SEA 141 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 7 AM PST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SUNDAY TO 7 AM PST MONDAY. * AFFECTED AREA...THE PENINSULAR RANGES INCLUDING THE JACUMBA AND IN- KO-PAH MOUNTAINS IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF IMPERIAL COUNTY...ESPECIALLY THE MOUNTAIN GRADE/PASS ON INTERSTATE 8 WEST OF EL CENTRO. * TIMING...SUNDAY LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * WINDS...FROM THE WEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 55 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO 1 MILE...LOCALLY LESS AT TIMES...IN BLOWING DUST AND SAND. * IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. USE CAUTION ALONG INTERSTATE 8...ESPECIALLY WEST OF EL CENTRO. STRONG CROSS WINDS ALONG NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED ROADWAYS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ AZZ020-CAZ031-152300- /O.NEW.KPSR.WI.Y.0016.151116T1800Z-151117T0000Z/ LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EHRENBERG...PARKER...BLYTHE 241 AM MST SUN NOV 15 2015 /141 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015/ ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /10 AM PST/ TO 5 PM MST /4 PM PST/ MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /10 AM PST/ TO 5 PM MST /4 PM PST/ MONDAY. * AFFECTED AREA...THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN ARIZONA AND CALIFORNIA. * TIMING...MONDAY MIDDAY THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. * WINDS...FROM THE NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * IMPACTS...PERIODS OF BLOWING AND/OR LOFTED DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES...LOCALLY DOWN 1 TO 2 MILES AT TIMES. STRONG CROSS WINDS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ030-032-152300- /O.NEW.KPSR.WI.Y.0015.151116T1200Z-151117T0300Z/ JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTTONWOOD VISITOR CENTER...KEYS VIEW... LOST HORSE...CHIRIACO SUMMIT...DESERT CENTER...EAGLE MOUNTAIN 141 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM PST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM PST MONDAY. * AFFECTED AREA...EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY AND JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK. * TIMING...EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS...FROM THE NORTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO 1 MILE...LOCALLY LESS...AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST. * IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. STRONG VEHICLE CROSS WINDS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR AREA MOTORISTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGE TOPS AND THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ AZZ024-152300- /O.CON.KPSR.FZ.A.0001.151117T0600Z-151117T1600Z/ SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOBE...MIAMI...SAN CARLOS...SUPERIOR... TOP-OF-THE-WORLD...ALSO INCLUDING APACHE...BARTLETT...CANYON... HORSESHOE...ROOSEVELT...AND SAGUARO LAKES 241 AM MST SUN NOV 15 2015 ...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * AFFECTED AREA...SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF GLOBE AND MIAMI. * TEMPERATURE...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES EVENTUALLY DROPPING INTO THE MIDDLE 20S IN THE COMMUNITIES OF MIAMI AND GLOBE. * IMPACTS...COLD TEMPERATURES MAY BE HAZARDOUS TO PETS LEFT OUTDOORS AND MAY ALSO DAMAGE UNPROTECTED NON-NATIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD DESTROY OR DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$
5 follow-up statements
921 WWUS75 KPSR 152031 NPWPSR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 131 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015 .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO STRONG WINDS SUNDAY EVENING LINGERING INTO MONDAY EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA. A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL SPREAD INTO CENTRAL ARIZONA RESULTING IN BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY TUESDAY MORNING. CAZ033-160445- /O.EXT.KPSR.WI.Y.0015.151116T0000Z-151116T1800Z/ IMPERIAL COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRAWLEY...CALEXICO...EL CENTRO... GLAMIS...IMPERIAL...THE SALTON SEA 1231 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM PST MONDAY... * AFFECTED AREA...STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE PENINSULAR RANGES INCLUDING THE JACUMBA AND IN-KO-PAH MOUNTAINS IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF IMPERIAL COUNTY...ESPECIALLY THE MOUNTAIN GRADE/PASS ON INTERSTATE 8 WEST OF EL CENTRO. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO AFFECT THE IMPERIAL VALLEY BUT NOT QUITE AS STRONG. * TIMING...SUNDAY LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * WINDS...FROM THE WEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 55 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO 1 MILE...LOCALLY LESS AT TIMES...IN BLOWING DUST AND SAND. * IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. USE CAUTION ALONG INTERSTATE 8... ESPECIALLY WEST OF EL CENTRO. STRONG CROSS WINDS ALONG NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED ROADWAYS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ030-032-160445- /O.EXT.KPSR.WI.Y.0015.151116T0000Z-151117T0600Z/ JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTTONWOOD VISITOR CENTER...KEYS VIEW... LOST HORSE...CHIRIACO SUMMIT...DESERT CENTER...EAGLE MOUNTAIN 1231 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM PST MONDAY... * AFFECTED AREA...EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY AND JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK. * TIMING...LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS...FROM THE NORTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO 1 MILE...LOCALLY LESS...AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST. * IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. STRONG VEHICLE CROSS WINDS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR AREA MOTORISTS...ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGE TOPS AND THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ AZZ020-CAZ031-160445- /O.CON.KPSR.WI.Y.0016.151116T1800Z-151117T0000Z/ LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EHRENBERG...PARKER...BLYTHE 131 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015 /1231 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2015/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /10 AM PST/ TO 5 PM MST /4 PM PST/ MONDAY... * AFFECTED AREA...THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN ARIZONA AND CALIFORNIA. * TIMING...MONDAY MIDDAY THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. * WINDS...FROM THE NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * IMPACTS...PERIODS OF BLOWING AND/OR LOFTED DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES...LOCALLY DOWN 1 TO 2 MILES AT TIMES. STRONG CROSS WINDS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ AZZ024-160445- /O.CON.KPSR.FZ.A.0001.151117T0600Z-151117T1600Z/ SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOBE...MIAMI...SAN CARLOS...SUPERIOR... TOP-OF-THE-WORLD...ALSO INCLUDING APACHE...BARTLETT...CANYON... HORSESHOE...ROOSEVELT...AND SAGUARO LAKES 131 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015 ...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * AFFECTED AREA...SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF GLOBE AND MIAMI. * TEMPERATURE...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES EVENTUALLY DROPPING INTO THE MIDDLE 20S IN THE COMMUNITIES OF MIAMI AND GLOBE. * IMPACTS...COLD TEMPERATURES MAY BE HAZARDOUS TO PETS LEFT OUTDOORS AND MAY ALSO DAMAGE UNPROTECTED NON-NATIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD DESTROY OR DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$
236 WWUS75 KPSR 152138 NPWPSR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 238 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015 .A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO STRONG WINDS THIS EVENING LINGERING INTO MONDAY EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA. A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL SPREAD INTO CENTRAL ARIZONA RESULTING IN BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY TUESDAY MORNING. AZZ024-161300- /O.UPG.KPSR.FZ.A.0001.151117T0600Z-151117T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KPSR.FZ.W.0006.151117T0600Z-151117T1600Z/ SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOBE...MIAMI...SAN CARLOS...SUPERIOR... TOP-OF-THE-WORLD...ALSO INCLUDING APACHE...BARTLETT...CANYON... HORSESHOE...ROOSEVELT...AND SAGUARO LAKES 238 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM MONDAY TO 9 AM MST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PHOENIX HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM PM MONDAY TO 9 AM MST TUESDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * AFFECTED AREA...SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF GLOBE AND MIAMI. * TEMPERATURE...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES EVENTUALLY DROPPING INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S IN THE COMMUNITIES OF MIAMI AND GLOBE ON TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...COLD TEMPERATURES MAY BE HAZARDOUS TO PETS LEFT OUTDOORS AND MAY ALSO DAMAGE UNPROTECTED NON-NATIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL DESTROY OR DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ CAZ033-161300- /O.CON.KPSR.WI.Y.0015.151116T0000Z-151116T1800Z/ IMPERIAL COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRAWLEY...CALEXICO...EL CENTRO... GLAMIS...IMPERIAL...THE SALTON SEA 138 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST MONDAY... * AFFECTED AREA...STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE PENINSULAR RANGES INCLUDING THE JACUMBA AND IN-KO-PAH MOUNTAINS IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF IMPERIAL COUNTY...ESPECIALLY THE MOUNTAIN GRADE/PASS ON INTERSTATE 8 WEST OF EL CENTRO. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO AFFECT THE IMPERIAL VALLEY BUT NOT QUITE AS STRONG. * TIMING...SUNDAY LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * WINDS...FROM THE WEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 55 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO 1 MILE...LOCALLY LESS AT TIMES...IN BLOWING DUST AND SAND. * IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. USE CAUTION ALONG INTERSTATE 8... ESPECIALLY WEST OF EL CENTRO. STRONG CROSS WINDS ALONG NORTH- SOUTH ORIENTED ROADWAYS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ030-032-161300- /O.CON.KPSR.WI.Y.0015.151116T0000Z-151117T0600Z/ JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTTONWOOD VISITOR CENTER...KEYS VIEW... LOST HORSE...CHIRIACO SUMMIT...DESERT CENTER...EAGLE MOUNTAIN 138 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST MONDAY... * AFFECTED AREA...EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY AND JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK. * TIMING...LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * WINDS...FROM THE NORTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO 1 MILE...LOCALLY LESS...AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST. * IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. STRONG VEHICLE CROSS WINDS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR AREA MOTORISTS... ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGE TOPS AND THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ AZZ020-CAZ031-161300- /O.CON.KPSR.WI.Y.0016.151116T1800Z-151117T0000Z/ LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EHRENBERG...PARKER...BLYTHE 238 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015 /138 PM PST SUN NOV 15 2015/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /10 AM PST/ TO 5 PM MST /4 PM PST/ MONDAY... * AFFECTED AREA...THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN ARIZONA AND CALIFORNIA. * TIMING...MONDAY MIDDAY THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. * WINDS...FROM THE NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * IMPACTS...PERIODS OF BLOWING AND/OR LOFTED DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES...LOCALLY DOWN 1 TO 2 MILES AT TIMES. STRONG CROSS WINDS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
560 WWUS75 KPSR 160953 NPWPSR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 253 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015 .A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN STRONG WINDS TODAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL SPREAD INTO CENTRAL ARIZONA THIS EVENING WITH BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY TUESDAY MORNING. AZZ024-162230- /O.CON.KPSR.FZ.W.0006.151117T0600Z-151117T1600Z/ SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOBE...MIAMI...SAN CARLOS...SUPERIOR... TOP-OF-THE-WORLD...ALSO INCLUDING APACHE...BARTLETT...CANYON... HORSESHOE...ROOSEVELT...AND SAGUARO LAKES 253 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST TUESDAY... * AFFECTED AREA...SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF GLOBE AND MIAMI. * TEMPERATURE...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES EVENTUALLY DROPPING INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S IN THE COMMUNITIES OF MIAMI AND GLOBE ON TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...COLD TEMPERATURES MAY BE HAZARDOUS TO PETS LEFT OUTDOORS AND MAY ALSO DAMAGE UNPROTECTED NON-NATIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL DESTROY OR DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ CAZ033-161800- /O.CON.KPSR.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-151116T1800Z/ IMPERIAL COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRAWLEY...CALEXICO...EL CENTRO... GLAMIS...IMPERIAL...THE SALTON SEA 153 AM PST MON NOV 16 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING... * AFFECTED AREA...STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE PENINSULAR RANGES INCLUDING THE JACUMBA AND IN-KO-PAH MOUNTAINS IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF IMPERIAL COUNTY...ESPECIALLY THE MOUNTAIN GRADE/PASS ON INTERSTATE 8 WEST OF EL CENTRO. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS MORNING. * WINDS...WEST AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 50 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO 1 MILE...LOCALLY LESS AT TIMES...IN BLOWING DUST AND SAND. * IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. USE CAUTION ALONG INTERSTATE 8... ESPECIALLY WEST OF EL CENTRO. STRONG CROSS WINDS ALONG NORTH- SOUTH ORIENTED ROADWAYS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ AZZ020-CAZ031-162230- /O.CON.KPSR.WI.Y.0016.151116T1800Z-151117T0000Z/ LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EHRENBERG...PARKER...BLYTHE 253 AM MST MON NOV 16 2015 /153 AM PST MON NOV 16 2015/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MST /10 AM PST/ THIS MORNING TO 5 PM MST /4 PM PST/ THIS AFTERNOON... * AFFECTED AREA...THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN ARIZONA AND CALIFORNIA. * TIMING...MIDDAY THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON TODAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. * IMPACTS...PERIODS OF BLOWING AND/OR LOFTED DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES...LOCALLY DOWN 1 TO 2 MILES AT TIMES. STRONG CROSS WINDS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ CAZ030-032-162230- /O.CON.KPSR.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-151117T0600Z/ JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTTONWOOD VISITOR CENTER...KEYS VIEW... LOST HORSE...CHIRIACO SUMMIT...DESERT CENTER...EAGLE MOUNTAIN 153 AM PST MON NOV 16 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... * AFFECTED AREA...EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY AND JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 50 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO 1 MILE...LOCALLY LESS...AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST. * IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. STRONG VEHICLE CROSS WINDS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR AREA MOTORISTS... ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGE TOPS AND THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
030 WWUS75 KPSR 162050 NPWPSR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 150 PM MST MON NOV 16 2015 .A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL RESULT IN STRONG WINDS CONTINUING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. A VERY COLD AIRMASS WILL SPREAD INTO CENTRAL ARIZONA THIS EVENING WITH BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY TUESDAY MORNING. AZZ024-170500- /O.CON.KPSR.FZ.W.0006.151117T0600Z-151117T1600Z/ SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOBE...MIAMI...SAN CARLOS...SUPERIOR... TOP-OF-THE-WORLD...ALSO INCLUDING APACHE...BARTLETT...CANYON... HORSESHOE...ROOSEVELT...AND SAGUARO LAKES 150 PM MST MON NOV 16 2015 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST TUESDAY... * AFFECTED AREA...SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF GLOBE AND MIAMI. * TEMPERATURE...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES EVENTUALLY DROPPING INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S IN THE COMMUNITIES OF MIAMI AND GLOBE ON TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...COLD TEMPERATURES MAY BE HAZARDOUS TO PETS LEFT OUTDOORS AND MAY ALSO DAMAGE UNPROTECTED NON-NATIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL DESTROY OR DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ CAZ030-032-170000- /O.EXT.KPSR.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-151117T0000Z/ JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTTONWOOD VISITOR CENTER...KEYS VIEW... LOST HORSE...CHIRIACO SUMMIT...DESERT CENTER...EAGLE MOUNTAIN 1250 PM PST MON NOV 16 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON... * AFFECTED AREA...EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY AND JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK. * TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 50 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO 1 MILE...LOCALLY LESS...AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST. * IMPACTS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. STRONG VEHICLE CROSS WINDS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR AREA MOTORISTS... ESPECIALLY NEAR RIDGE TOPS AND THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$ AZZ020-CAZ031-170000- /O.CON.KPSR.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-151117T0000Z/ LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EHRENBERG...PARKER...BLYTHE 150 PM MST MON NOV 16 2015 /1250 PM PST MON NOV 16 2015/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /4 PM PST/ THIS AFTERNOON... * AFFECTED AREA...THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN ARIZONA AND CALIFORNIA. * TIMING...MIDDAY THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON TODAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 40 MPH. * IMPACTS...PERIODS OF BLOWING AND/OR LOFTED DUST WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES...LOCALLY DOWN BELOW 3 MILES AT TIMES. STRONG CROSS WINDS WILL CREATE CHALLENGING AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR WIND GUSTS OF BETWEEN 40 AND 58 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS OVER DESERT AREAS COULD RESULT IN BRIEFLY LOWERED VISIBILITIES TO WELL UNDER A MILE AT TIMES IN BLOWING DUST OR BLOWING SAND. USE EXTRA CAUTION. && $$
527 WWUS75 KPSR 162354 NPWPSR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ 454 PM MST MON NOV 16 2015 A VERY COLD AIRMASS..THAT HAS NOW SPREAD INTO CENTRAL ARIZONA THIS EVENING...WILL BRING BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES TO AREAS ACROSS SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY TUESDAY MORNING. AZZ020-CAZ031-170100- /O.EXP.KPSR.WI.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-151117T0000Z/ LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EHRENBERG...PARKER...BLYTHE 454 PM MST MON NOV 16 2015 /354 PM PST MON NOV 16 2015/ ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 5 PM MST /4 PM PST/ THIS AFTERNOON... GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS CONTINUED TO DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. AT 4 PM MST WINDS IN MOST LOCATIONS WERE WELL BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF. THUS THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 5 PM MST. $$ CAZ030-032-170100- /O.EXP.KPSR.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-151117T0000Z/ JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COTTONWOOD VISITOR CENTER...KEYS VIEW... LOST HORSE...CHIRIACO SUMMIT...DESERT CENTER...EAGLE MOUNTAIN 354 PM PST MON NOV 16 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON... GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS CONTINUED TO DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY. AT 3 PM PST WINDS IN MOST LOCATIONS WERE WELL BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF. THUS THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 4 PM PST. $$ AZZ024-171200- /O.CON.KPSR.FZ.W.0006.151117T0600Z-151117T1600Z/ SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOBE...MIAMI...SAN CARLOS...SUPERIOR... TOP-OF-THE-WORLD...ALSO INCLUDING APACHE...BARTLETT...CANYON... HORSESHOE...ROOSEVELT...AND SAGUARO LAKES 454 PM MST MON NOV 16 2015 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST TUESDAY... * AFFECTED AREA...SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF GLOBE AND MIAMI. * TEMPERATURE...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES EVENTUALLY DROPPING INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S IN THE COMMUNITIES OF MIAMI AND GLOBE ON TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...COLD TEMPERATURES MAY BE HAZARDOUS TO PETS LEFT OUTDOORS AND MAY ALSO DAMAGE UNPROTECTED NON-NATIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL DESTROY OR DAMAGE CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Phoenix, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Nov 14, 8:00 PM MST, 6 hours 41 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 8:00 PM MST, 6 hours 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
800 PM MST SAT NOV 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS...SEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL PERSIST THIS WEEKEND...
HOWEVER A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL AFFECT THE REGION
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THESE DISTURBANCES WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
MAINLY TO CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARIZONA...WITH THE FINAL WEATHER
SYSTEM USHERING IN A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS ON MONDAY. STRONG AND GUSTY
WINDS WILL ALSO DEVELOP MONDAY OVER PARTS OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES
WILL MODERATE DURING THE MIDDLE AND END OF NEXT WEEK...WITH A RETURN
OF AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
A SERIES OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES CONTINUED TO ADVANCE TOWARD AZ.
EACH DISTURBANCE IS A LITTLE STRONGER...AND WILL CULMINATE IN A
STRONG FRONTAL PASSAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH PHOENIX.
ONE WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVED THROUGH FAR NORTHERN AZ TODAY...HOWEVER
THE AIRMASS WAS BONE DRY OVER THE REGION. EVEN THE UPSTREAM SAN
DIEGO SOUNDING MEASURED JUST 0.13 INCHES OF PRECIP WATER. HOWEVER
NOT FAR AWAY ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WAS EDGING
NORTH THROUGH NORTHERN BAJA/NORTHWEST MEXICO JUST 75 AND 100 MILES
SOUTH OF TUCSON AND YUMA RESPECTIVELY. THIS MOISTURE WILL BE DRAWN
NORTH INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST AZ BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING...
FORCED NORTH BY BACKING LOW LEVEL SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THE NEXT TWO
WEATHER DISTURBANCES.
THEREFORE...SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS IS FORECAST TONIGHT ACROSS
OUR FORECAST AREA...SOUTHEAST CA TO SOUTH CENTRAL AZ...WITH A SURGE
OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BY LATE MORNING SUNDAY GENERALLY FROM PHOENIX
EASTWARD...ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CURRENT FORECASTS
COVER THIS WELL.
ADDITIONALLY...PRE-FRONTAL GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH ARE
FORECAST OVER SOUTHEAST CA AND THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY BY LATE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH EVEN STRONGER WINDS SPREADING EAST TOWARD
PHOENIX BY EARLY MONDAY WITH THE COLD FRONT. A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON
INSTABILITY SHOWERS ARE ALSO FORECAST FROM PHOENIX EAST MONDAY
AFTERNOON.
CURRENT FORECASTS LOOK GOOD. NO UPDATES PLANNED.
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AT 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON...DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTED ACROSS THE AREA AND A WEAK UPPER LOW COULD BE SEEN IN THE
VAPOR IMAGERY EMBEDDED IN THE OVERALL WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...CENTERED
OVER NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA. THIS WEAK FEATURE...WHICH WAS NOT EVEN
ASSOCIATED WITH ANY CLOUD COVER...WILL QUICKLY RACE NORTHEAST LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BEING KICKED OUT BY ANOTHER LOW
APPROACHING THE SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA/NRN BAJA COAST. THE LOW OFF THE
CA COAST WAS ALSO CLEARLY VISIBLE ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. SKIES AT 2
PM WERE SUNNY AND SURFACE DEWPOINTS...DESPITE RISING 5-10 DEGREES
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...REMAINED LOW AND WERE MOSTLY IN THE 20S
OVER THE CENTRAL DESERTS. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WERE RUNNING
SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER THAN 24 HOURS AGO...AND HIGHS TODAY WILL
LOWER TO NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL LEVELS.
GUIDANCE REMAINS VERY CONSISTENT IN CALLING FOR THE WEAK LOW OFF THE
SRN CA COAST TO MOVE INLAND LATE TONIGHT AND PUSH ACROSS ARIZONA
SUNDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER DEEP AND COLD PACIFIC TROUGH. A SUBTROPICAL
JET CUTTING UNDERNEATH THE WEAKER LOW WILL ADVECT INCREASING AMOUNTS
OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY EVENTUALLY LEADING TO A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS FROM PHOENIX EASTWARD BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SINCE THE
ATMOSPHERE IS QUITE DRY AT THE MOMENT...THE INCREASING MID/UPPER
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL TAKE TIME TO WORK ITS WAY INTO THE BOUNDARY
LAYER AND THAT IS WHY NO PRECIP OF ANY CONSEQUENCE IS EXPECTED IN
THE PHOENIX AREA UNTIL MID DAY ON SUNDAY. WITH THE INCREASE IN CLOUD
COVER AND FALLING HEIGHTS...TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL FALL
OFF...DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA. TEMPS WILL STAY IN THE MID 70S OVER THE
WARMER...SUNNIER...WESTERN DESERTS.
OPERATIONAL MODEL GUIDANCE...SUCH AS RUNS FROM THE
NAM/GFS/ECMWF...REMAIN VERY CONSISTENT IN CALLING FOR A DEEP AND
COLD PACIFIC UPPER TROF TO DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD AND THROUGH THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT BRINGING PRIMARILY VERY
COOL TEMPERATURES AS WELL AS WINDY CONDITIONS TO SERN CA AND
ARIZONA. DUE PARTIALLY TO A SOMEWHAT OVERLAND TRAJECTORY...THIS WILL
BE A MOISTURE STARVED SYSTEM AND WE ARE NOT LOOKING AT ANY
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION. MOST DESERT LOCALES WILL SEE LESS THAN
ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH STORM TOTAL VALUES
POSSIBLY APPROACHING ONE HALF INCH OVER FAVORER HIGHER TERRAIN
LOCATIONS IN SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY. H5 HEIGHT FALLS WILL BE OVER 200M
MONDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND DYNAMICS WILL BE IMPRESSIVE WITH
STRONG Q CONVERGENCE BULLSEYES ADVERTISED AS WELL AS JET DYNAMICS
AND PVA PLAYING A ROLE. THE COLD AIRMASS MOVING IN ALSO MEANS THAT
DESPITE THE RATHER LOW PWAT VALUES...SOME PRECIP WILL BE ABLE TO BE
WRUNG OUT OF THE ATMOSPHERE AS THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA. BEST PERFORMING MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS VERY COOL
WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND HIGHS MONDAY OVER THE DESERTS WILL DROP INTO
THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S...AND MONDAY NIGHT LOWS WILL PLUMMET DESPITE
THE CONTINUED BREEZINESS AS STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL OFFSET THE
MODERATING EFFECTS OF THE BREEZES. WE ARE CALLING FOR THE FIRST
FREEZING TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON ACROSS SOUTHERN GILA
COUNTY...AND THE FORECAST LOWS AT GLOBE/MIAMI MONDAY NIGHT SHOULD
FALL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. AS SUCH WE HAVE ISSUED A FREEZE
WATCH FOR MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS ZONE 24...SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY.
STRONG LOW/MID LEVEL WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROF...WITH
925MB TO 850M NORTHWEST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40KT AT TIMES...WILL
COMBINE WITH LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION TO PRODUCE WINDY CONDITIONS
OVER THE WESTERN DESERTS WITH SOME OF THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED
OVER PORTIONS OF JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK...EASTERN RIVERSIDE
COUNTY AND THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.
IT IS LIKELY THAT A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED IN THE FUTURE FOR
PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN AZ DESERTS AS WELL AS MUCH OF SERN CA.
DUE TO VERY CONSISTENT GUIDANCE...POPS HAVE CHANGED VERY LITTLE WITH
THIS SYSTEM...AND WILL REMAIN IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY FROM PHOENIX
EAST SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ON MONDAY...WITH SLIGHT
CHANCES EXPECTED OVER THE SOUTHWEST AZ DESERTS. STRONG
SUBSIDENCE/DVV MOVING IN BEHIND THE TROF AXIS MONDAY WILL LEAD TO
SUBSTANTIAL CLEARING FROM THE WEST...WITH SKIES BECOMING MOSTLY
SUNNY WEST OF MARICOPA COUNTY BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. ON MONDAY NIGHT
THERE WILL BE A LINGERING THREAT OF RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW
SHOWERS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF PHOENIX...WITH POPS IN THE
PHOENIX AREA DROPPING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS.
ON TUESDAY...THE UPPER LOW WILL SHIFT INTO NEW MEXICO AND THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS...WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE OVERSPREADING THE REGION.
OPERATIONAL AND ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT FORECASTING
A MORE HASTY EASTWARD PROGRESSION TO THE COLD CORE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...DESPITE SUNNY SKIES/FULL INSOLATION PREVAILING
OVER THE AREA...LINGERING COLD AIR IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL RESULT
IN ANOTHER COOL DAY TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY ONCE AGAIN BE
LIMITED TO THE LOWER/MIDDLE 60S AT LOWER ELEVATIONS OF CNTRL
ARIZONA...THOUGH REBOUNDING NEAR 70 IN SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA. IN
ADDITION RELATED TO THE QUICKER SYSTEM PROGRESSION...LOW LEVEL
PRESSURE GRADIENTS SHOULD RELAX FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED
SO STRONGER WINDS MAY NOT BE AS PROBLEMATIC TUESDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH
THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.
VERY LITTLE TO NO WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS
THE HEMISPHERIC FLOW PATTERN BECOMES DOMINATED BY LONGER WAVELENGTH
FEATURES...AND SOME MEASURE OF STRONG FLAT RIDGING BECOMES SITUATED
OVER THE EAST PACIFIC/SOUTHWEST CONUS. ENSEMBLE MEANS SUGGEST H5
HEIGHTS IN A 576-582DM RANGE THROUGHOUT THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK...AND HAVE TAILORED FORECAST TEMPERATURES TOWARDS CONSENSUS
MEANS YIELDING A NEAR PERFECT FORECAST OF HIGHS IN THE 70S AND
LOWER 80S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S.
&&
.AVIATION...
SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA INCLUDING KPHX...KIWA...AND KSDL...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WIND WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREATER
PHOENIX AREA THROUGH 15Z SUN. HOWEVER...INCREASING CLOUDS BECOMING
BKN-OVR 6 TO 12 THSD AGL IS EXPECTED AFTER 15Z SUN AND CONTINUING
THROUGH 01Z MON...ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SOUTHEAST
WIND 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA/SOUTHWEST ARIZONA INCLUDING KIPL AND KBLH...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT WIND UNDER 9 KNOTS EXPECTED THROUGH
12Z SUN. INCREASING CLOUDS BECOMING BKN NEAR 10 THSD AGL FROM 12Z
SUN TO 01Z MON...WITH PRE-COLD FRONTAL SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING 10
TO 12 KNOTS...BECOMING 15 TO 25 KNOTS FROM 22Z SUN TO 01Z MON.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDED TAFS.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
VIGOROUSLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF
THE WEEK. THERE IS A LIMITED WINDOW FOR SOME PRECIPITATION
ACTIVITY...MOSTLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE EAST AND NORTH OF
PHOENIX. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS AREA RIDGETOPS EARLY
MONDAY BEFORE MIXING DOWN INTO THROUGH TO THE SURFACE...WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS ORIENTED FROM THE NORTHWEST ACROSS SOUTHEAST CA
INCLUDING JOSHUA TREE NP. GUSTS APPROACHING 50 MPH ARE NOT OUT OF
THE QUESTION. ALONG WITH THE ELEVATED WINDS...A MUCH COOLER AND
DRIER AIRMASS WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION INTRODUCING THE POTENTIAL
FOR A PERIOD OF TIME MONDAY MIDDAY INTO THE AFTERNOON WHERE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS MAY BE OBSERVED. DECREASED WINDS AND A
RETURN TO GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES IS ANTICIPATED BY THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT BASED ON STANDARD OPERATING
PROCEDURES.
&&
.PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AZ...FREEZE WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR I
AZZ024.
CA...NONE.I
&&
VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/PHOENIX
DISCUSSION...VASQUEZ/CB/MO
AVIATION...VASQUEZ
FIRE WEATHER...NOLTEThe office that day
Everything else NWS Phoenix, AZ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2:38 PM MST | Freeze Warning | PSR | 42 hr | |
| Nov 15, 2:41 AM MST | Wind Advisory | PSR | 38 hr |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Arizona, 2015Wind Advisories in California, 2015Every wind advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.