Alert archive / New Jersey / Winter Weather Advisories in 2015

Winter Weather Advisory 16, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

February 25, 20158 counties in New Jersey; 5 counties in Maryland; Kent County, New Castle County, Sussex County, Delaware

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this winter weather advisory at Feb 25, 2015, 4:14 AM EST for 8 counties in New Jersey; 5 counties in Maryland; Kent County, New Castle County, Sussex County, Delaware. It took effect at Feb 25, 2015, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for 14 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 25, 2015, 4:14 AM EST (09:14 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 25, 2015, 10:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 26, 2015, 12:06 PM EST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 158 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2015-02-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2015-02-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 239 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
576 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
74 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
239 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
302 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

177 
WWUS41 KPHI 250914
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
414 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015

DEZ003-004-252115-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.150226T0300Z-150226T1800Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH
414 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES EXPECTED.

* TIMING...SNOW DEVELOPS LATE TONIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ROADS MAY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY DURING THE
  THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

HEAVENER
6 follow-up statements
788 
WWUS41 KPHI 252022
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
322 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

...SNOW TO IMPACT THE THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE...
 
DEZ002-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-260830-
/O.EXA.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.150226T0300Z-150226T1800Z/
KENT-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...
EASTON...DENTON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...
OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY
322 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
  HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE. 
 
* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* TIMING...SNOW DEVELOPS LATE TONIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL LIKELY BE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY DURING
  THE THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

* WINDS...NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
  MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MAINLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S WHILE ITS
  SNOWING.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF 
SOME EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION.

&&

$$

DEZ003-004-260830-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.150226T0300Z-150226T1800Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH
322 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...
 
* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW DEVELOPS LATE TONIGHT AND WILL BE ONGOING DURING
  THE MORNING COMMUTE BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE THURSDAY MORNING.
  THE STEADIEST AND HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD BE OCCURRING DURING THE
  MORNING COMMUTE.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BE SNOW COVERED AND POSSIBLY TREACHEROUS
  DURING THE THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH NEAR
  THE COAST.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S WHILE ITS SNOWING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF MUCH
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATIONS ON THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

$$
295 
WWUS41 KPHI 260254
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
954 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

DEZ003-004-261100-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.150226T0300Z-150226T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0006.150226T0800Z-150226T1800Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH
954 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY.
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* HAZARD TYPE...ACCUMULATING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN 3 AM AND 5 AM THURSDAY
  MORNING, THEN TAPER OFF EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
  AFFECT THE MORNING COMMUTE. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD BE FALLING
  DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS,
  WITH AN IMPACT ON THE THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH, WITH THE
  HIGHEST GUSTS CLOSER TO THE COAST.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. IF YOU ARE
DRIVING, ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION ESPECIALLY
DURING THURSDAY MORNING. USE EXTRA CAUTION ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES
AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES, AS THESE TEND TO ICE UP FIRST.

&&

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>020-026-027-261100-
/O.EXB.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.150226T1100Z-150226T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
954 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY.

* HAZARD TYPE...ACCUMULATING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES, WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FOR
  LOCATIONS FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
  ADVISORY AREA.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN 6 AM AND 9 AM THURSDAY
  MORNING, THEN TAPER OFF BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS, WITH
  SOME IMPACT DURING THE COURSE OF THE THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF SOME
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION DURING THURSDAY MORNING.
USE EXTRA CAUTION ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED
SURFACES, AS THESE TEND TO ICE UP FIRST.

&&

$$

DEZ002-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-261100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.150226T0900Z-150226T1800Z/
KENT-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...
EASTON...DENTON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...
OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY
954 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* HAZARD TYPE...ACCUMULATING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN 4 AM AND 6 AM THURSDAY, THEN
  TAPER OFF EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS,
  WITH AN IMPACT TO THE THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH, WITH THE
  HIGHEST GUSTS CLOSER TO THE NEW JERSEY COAST.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF SOME
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION DURING THURSDAY MORNING. USE
EXTRA CAUTION ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES,
AS THESE TEND TO ICE UP FIRST.

&&

$$
799 
WWUS41 KPHI 260925
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
425 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015


DEZ003-004-261800-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150226T1800Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH
425 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* HAZARD TYPE...ACCUMULATING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL MOVE IN BEFORE SUNRISE AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  THE MORNING COMMUTE BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MID DAY. THE
  HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD BE FALLING DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS
  IS EXPECTED.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH... WITH 
  THE HIGHEST GUSTS CLOSER TO THE COAST.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...NEAR 30 DEGREES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. IF YOU ARE
DRIVING... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION ESPECIALLY
DURING THURSDAY MORNING. USE EXTRA CAUTION ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES
AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES... AS THESE TEND TO ICE UP FIRST.

&&

$$

DEZ002-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-261800-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-150226T1800Z/
KENT-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...
EASTON...DENTON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...
OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY
425 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* HAZARD TYPE...ACCUMULATING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL MOVE IN AROUND SUNRISE...THEN TAPER OFF BY
  MID DAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH... WITH THE 
  HIGHEST GUSTS CLOSER TO THE NEW JERSEY COAST.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF SOME
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION DURING THURSDAY MORNING. USE
EXTRA CAUTION ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES...
AS THESE TEND TO ICE UP FIRST.

&&

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>020-026-027-261800-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.150226T1100Z-150226T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
425 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* HAZARD TYPE...ACCUMULATING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES... WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS 
  FOR LOCATIONS FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE 
  ADVISORY AREA.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL MOVE IN AFTER SUNRISE...THEN TAPER OFF BY MID
  DAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS.

* WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF SOME
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION DURING THURSDAY MORNING. USE
EXTRA CAUTION ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES...
AS THESE TEND TO ICE UP FIRST.

&&

$$
929 
WWUS41 KPHI 261429
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
929 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015


DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>020-026-027-261530-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-150226T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
929 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

THE PRIMARY SNOW EVENT HAS ENDED IN THESE COUNTIES NEAR AND JUST
SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 95. OTHER THAN A FEW FLURRIES ANOTHER COLD
DAY IS IN PROGRESS.

$$

DEZ003-004-261800-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150226T1800Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH
929 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...SUSSEX COUNTY DELAWARE

* HAZARD TYPE...ACCUMULATING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BE TAPERING TO FLURRIES BY MIDDAY WITH THE
  BULK OF THIS EVENT HAVING ALREADY OCCURRED.

* VISIBILITIES...OCCASIONAL 1/2 MILE VISIBILITY IN SNOW WILL END
  BY 11 AM.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. IF YOU ARE
DRIVING... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION ESPECIALLY
DURING THURSDAY MORNING. USE EXTRA CAUTION ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES
AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES... AS THESE TEND TO ICE UP FIRST.

&&

$$

DEZ002-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-261800-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-150226T1800Z/
KENT-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...
EASTON...DENTON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...
OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY
929 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* HAZARD TYPE...ACCUMULATING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BE TAPERING TO FLURRIES BY MIDDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF SOME
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION DURING THURSDAY MORNING. USE
EXTRA CAUTION ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES...
AS THESE TEND TO ICE UP FIRST.

&&

$$

DRAG
427 
WWUS41 KPHI 261614
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1114 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015


DEZ002-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021-022-025-261715-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-150226T1800Z/
KENT-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...
EASTON...DENTON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...ATLANTIC CITY
1114 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MARYLANDS EASTERN SHORE, CENTRAL
DELAWARE AND MOST OF SOUTHEAST NEW JERSEY.  

THE SIX HOUR SNOW EVENT IS IN THE PROCESS OF TAPERING TO FLURRIES. 

FLURRIES CAN OCCUR FROM TIME TO TIME THIS AFTERNOON WITH A SLIGHT
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION BUT ESSENTIALLY THE WORST HAS OCCURRED. 

$$

DEZ003-004-261800-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150226T1800Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH
1114 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...SUSSEX COUNTY DELAWARE

* HAZARD TYPE...ACCUMULATING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW IS IN THE PROCESS OF TAPERING TO FLURRIES AND THE
  WARNING WILL PROBABLY BE CANCELLED BY 1230 PM.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS DUE TO ANY REMAINING SNOW COVERED
  ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. IF YOU ARE
DRIVING... ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION ESPECIALLY
DURING THURSDAY MORNING. USE EXTRA CAUTION ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES
AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES... AS THESE TEND TO ICE UP FIRST.

&&

$$

NJZ023-024-261800-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-150226T1800Z/
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY
1114 AM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...CAPE MAY AND ATLANTIC COUNTIES OF FAR SOUTHERN NEW
  JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPE...ACCUMULATING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW IS IN THE PROCESS OF TAPERING TO FLURRIES AND THIS
  ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED BY 1230 PM.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. GIVE YOURSELF SOME
EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION DURING THURSDAY MORNING. USE
EXTRA CAUTION ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OTHER ELEVATED SURFACES...
AS THESE TEND TO ICE UP FIRST.

&&

$$

DRAG
861 
WWUS41 KPHI 261706
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1206 PM EST THU FEB 26 2015


DEZ003-004-261815-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150226T1800Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH
1206 PM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING. 

SNOW HAS ENDED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. SOME SLICK SPOTS
AND SNOWCOVERED ROADS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FROM SNOW EARLIER TODAY.
FLURRIES ARE STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

NJZ023-024-261815-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0016.000000T0000Z-150226T1800Z/
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY
1206 PM EST THU FEB 26 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SNOW HAS ENDED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. SOME SLICK SPOTS
AND SNOWCOVERED ROADS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FROM SNOW EARLIER TODAY.
FLURRIES ARE STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

GAINES

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Feb 24, 9:41 PM EST, 6 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 24, 9:41 PM EST, 6 hours 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
941 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD
AND OUT TO SEA INTO WEDNESDAY, THEN A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
OUR AREA LATER WEDNESDAY. A MORE POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG
THE GULF COAST TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD, WHICH THEN RACES OUT TO SEA
WELL TO OUR EAST ON THURSDAY. STRONG ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
IN MONTANA WILL ARRIVE ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THIS COMING
WEEKEND, THEN A COLD FRONT PROBABLY CROSSES OUR AREA SUNDAY NIGHT OR
MONDAY. A MORE IMPORTANT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SHOULD APPROACH FROM
THE SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
THERE REMAINS TWO FEATURES OF NOTE TONIGHT, THE FIRST IS LOW
PRESSURE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST AND THEN ANOTHER LOW NORTH OF
THE GREAT LAKES THAT WILL TOSS A COLD FRONT TOWARD OUR AREA.

LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THIS EVENING WILL TRACK
WELL TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST TONIGHT. THERE IS SOME LIFT EXTENDING
FAIRLY FAR NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE LOW AS AN INVERTED
SURFACE TROUGH TYPE FEATURE EXISTS. THIS HAS ASSISTED AN AREA OF
LIGHT SNOW TO MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DELMARVA AND INTO FAR
SOUTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY THIS EVENING. A LOOK AT SOME TRAFFIC
CAMERAS REVEALS LIGHT SNOW WITH A LIGHT COATING IN SOME AREAS.
THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT OFFSHORE FAIRLY QUICKLY THIS
EVENING BUT WILL GRAZE THE COASTAL AREAS. THE POPS WERE INCREASED
QUITE A BIT ALONG THE COAST EARLIER, HOWEVER THESE THEN DECREASE
THROUGH ABOUT THE MIDNIGHT HOUR AS THE BETTER LIFT SHOULD BE
SHIFTING FARTHER OFFSHORE. OVERALL, JUST A COATING OF SNOW ACROSS
SOME OF THE COASTAL AREAS.

THE NEXT SYSTEM IS MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES IN THE FORM OF LOW
PRESSURE. THIS FEATURE WILL TOSS A COLD FRONT TOWARD OUR AREA
ALTHOUGH AN INITIAL SURFACE TROUGH MAY RESULT IN A WIND SHIFT TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST LATE. THERE IS NOT MUCH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM, AND THE MAIN SHORT WAVE IS FORECAST TO PASS NORTH OF OUR
AREA. HOWEVER, WE MAY BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT A FEW SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND THEREFORE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
WERE MAINTAINED.

GIVEN SOME CLOUD COVER AND LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE NEXT
COLD FRONT, IT WILL NOT BE AS BITTERLY COLD AS LAST NIGHT. THE
HOURLY GRIDS WERE ADJUSTED BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS AND THEN
THE LAMP/LAV GUIDANCE WAS USED TO ASSIST WITH TEMPERATURES AND DEW
POINTS. NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE LOW TEMPERATURES ATTM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY WITH THE
FRONT. THE FRONT WILL HELP INCREASE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA, WITH
WINDS GUSTING AROUND 20-25 MPH AT TIMES DURING THE DAY. THE GOOD
NEWS IS HIGHS WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY, BUT WITH
THE WIND IT WILL FEEL COLDER.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
500MB: PREDOMINANTLY WEST OR WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. A SHORT WAVE IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM WEDNESDAY NIGHT ZIPS ENE
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE CONFLUENCE ZONE WITH THE NORTHERN
STREAM. SEVERAL WEAK SHEAR RELATED SHORT WAVES CROSS THE AREA
THEREAFTER BUT ARE GENERALLY DRY DUE TO THE OVERWHELMING SUBSIDENCE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING ARCTIC HIGH. EARLY NEXT WEEK THERE
SHOULD BE A MUCH MORE SUBSTANTIAL WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION
PATTERN WITH A MODELED 180 KT 250 MB JET CORE OVER MAINE...RRQ FOR
OUR AREA ON TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES...WE HOPE THE CLIMATE SECTION HAS CONSIDERABLE
USEFUL INFORMATION NOT ONLY FOR FEBRUARY BUT ALSO A COMPARISON TO
JANUARY AND THE HISTORICAL DATABASE. CALENDAR DAY TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY-SATURDAY SHOULD AVERAGE 14 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
THEN 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY; 0 TO 5 BELOW NORMAL
MONDAY AND NEAR NORMAL TUESDAY AS WE DELAY THE WARMING 24 HOURS
EACH DAY WE DO THIS AFTERNOON EXTENDED PRODUCT.

FORECAST BASIS:  UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED, 50 50 BLEND 12Z/24 GFS/NAM
MOS GUIDANCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY NIGHT, 12Z/24 MEX MOS FRIDAY
AND FRIDAY NIGHT THEN THE 15Z/24 WPC GRIDDED ELEMENTS OF MAX/MIN
TEMP, 12 HOUR POP, 6 HOUR DEWPOINT-SKY-WIND FROM SATURDAY-NEXT
TUESDAY.

THE DAILIES BELOW...

WEDNESDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY...WATCHING THE NW EXTENT OF THE SNOW SHIELD
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE WHICH SHOULD FOR THE
MOST PART PASS OUT TO SEA WITH ONLY A LITTLE SNOW FOR POSSIBLY SRN
DELAWARE AND THE SOUTHERN TIP OF NJ. THERE SHOULD BE QUITE A BIT
OF CLOUD COVER NW OF THE SNOW SHIELD BUT FOR NOW THE THINKING IS
DRY AIR BELOW 5000 FT SHOULD RENDER THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE .01
AS VIRGA. DESPITE LACK OF ATLANTIC EASTERLY INFLOW AT OUR LATITUDE
THIS NEEDS TO BE MONITORED FOR A SLIGHTLY LARGER RESPONSE THAN
NOW FORECAST. WE'VE MAINTAINED CONSIDERABLE CONTINUITY WITH THE
MID SHI9FT FORECAST. YOU'LL NOTE A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS FURTHER
N ACROSS E PA AND WESTERN NJ ON THURSDAY BUT FOR NOW MY CONFIDENCE
IN THAT OCCURRENCE IS WELL BELOW AVERAGE.

THIS SHORT WAVE PASSAGE HOLDS UP THE ARRIVAL OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS.
N-NE WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH
ALONG AND SE OF I95.

CONFIDENCE ON THE OVERALL FORECAST SCENARIO FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT-
THURSDAY: AVERAGE.

FRIDAY - SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL OVER THE REGION
WITH ZONALISH FLOW ALOFT TAKING SHAPE. A COUPLE MORE WELL BELOW AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE DAYS ARE EXPECTED. PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE ANTICIPATED
BOTH DAYS WITH NORTHERLY GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH AND LESS OF A NORTHERLY
WIND SATURDAY. ITS NOT IMPOSSIBLE TO SEE SOME FLURRIES HERE AND
THERE FRIDAY BUT FOR NOW THESE ARE NOT IN THE FORECAST.

AS THE HIGH CRESTS OVER OUR AREA SATURDAY BAROMETRIC PRESSURE
SHOULD RISE CLOSE TO 30.8 INCHES.

RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL PROBABLY RENDER MOS GUIDANCE LESS
EFFECTIVE THAN THE APPLICATION OF THE GFS 2M TEMPS OVER THE
COUNTRYSIDE LOCATIONS SUCH AS KPTW, KABE, KFWN, KSMQ, KMIV.

CONFIDENCE ON THE OVERALL FORECAST SCENARIO FOR FRIDAY-SATURDAY:
AVERAGE.

SUNDAY...THICKENING CLOUDS AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. NOT NEARLY
AS COLD AFTER A POSSIBLE VERY EARLY MORNING RADIATING RECORD LOW
AT KACY? A PERIOD OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON OR EVENING
IN THE WAA PATTERN AHEAD OF THIS NEXT COLD FRONT. LOWERED THE MAX
TEMPS AS FCST BY WPC WITH A BLEND OF THE 12Z/24 MEX AND EC 2M
TEMPS. 2M TEMPS AGAIN MAY PROVE MORE USEFUL IN FORECASTING THE LOW
TEMPS FOR THE NJ COUNTRYSIDE, PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF WAA CLOUD
COVER NEAR DAYBREAK. MINS MAY BE AT 12010AM SUNDAY. CONFIDENCE:
AVERAGE.

MONDAY...CFP POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY A PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION,
MAINLY EARLY. SEASONABLE. GUSTY NW WINDS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON?
CONFIDENCE: BELOW AVERAGE NOT ONLY ANY PRECIPITATION OCCURRENCE
AFTER 12Z BUT ALSO THE MAX TEMPS MIGHT BE FORECAST SEVERAL DEGREES
TOO WARM.

TUESDAY...JET DYNAMICS...WAA AND POOLING MOISTURE IN THE SOUTHERN
UNITED STATES FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT A HEAVY PRECIPITATION EVENT.
TOO EARLY FOR DETAILS SINCE THE SYSTEM MAY END UP SLIGHTLY WEAKER
AND THEREFORE COLDER AND FURTHER EAST. ESSENTIALLY A MIXED PCPN
EVENT AT THIS DISTANT OUTLOOK. CONFIDENCE: AVERAGE OR ABOVE ON AN
EVENT BUT ONLY AVERAGE OR BELOW ON THE THERMAL PROFILES.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE,
KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

TONIGHT...VFR CEILINGS OVERALL. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT AN MVFR
CEILING DEVELOPS IN THE KRDG AND KABE AREAS FOR A TIME OVERNIGHT,
HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS LOW AND THEREFORE JUST CARRIED A SCATTERED
CLOUD DECK FOR NOW. THERE WILL BE SOME MVFR VISIBILITIES /PERHAPS
CEILINGS/ AT KACY DUE TO SOME LIGHT SNOW THROUGH ABOUT 04Z.
SOUTHERLY WINDS 5-10 KNOTS, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OR TURNING
WEST TO NORTHWEST BY MORNING.

WEDNESDAY...VFR. WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 10-15 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 20 KNOTS, THEN DIMINISHING TOWARD EVENING.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - THURSDAY MORNING...VFR CIGS. GUSTY N WINDS TO
15 OR 20 KT POSSIBLE I95 EWD. POSSIBLE LIGHT MVFR/IFR SNOW SOUTH
AND EAST OF PHL/ILG...COULD AFFECT MIV/ACY LATE THURSDAY MORNING
BEFORE MOVING OUT TO SEA.

THURSDAY AFTERNOON...VFR PARTIAL CLEARING.  N WIND GUST 15-20KT.

FRIDAY - SATURDAY...VFR. N WIND WIND GUST 15-20 KT FRIDAY AND
LESS SATURDAY.

SUNDAY...VFR CIGS. CHANCE OF MVFR CONDITIONS IN SNOW SUNDAY
AFTERNOON OR NIGHT. CHANCE OF LIGHT WIND.

&&

.MARINE...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY, THEN SOUTHWEST-
WEST OVERNIGHT AS A SURFACE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. AS LOW
PRESSURE LIFTS TO OUR NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, WINDS
WILL INCREASE, ESPECIALLY AS A SECONDARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
ATLANTIC WATERS MAY BEGIN TO SEE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
AROUND DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. SO A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
ATLANTIC WATERS. FOR THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY, THESE AREAS MAY BE FAR ENOUGH AWAY FROM THE
DEPARTING LOW THAT THE PRESSURE GRADIENT MAY NOT CONTRIBUTE ENOUGH
TO CREATE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS, SO NO ADVISORY FOR THE
REST OF THE AREA.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... WINDS TURN NLY AND INCREASE
TO AROUND 20-25 KT WITH SCA POSSIBLE AT LEAST OFF SNJ AND THE DE
ATLC WATERS. ATLANTIC SEAS SHOULD BUILD TO 5 OR 6 FEET EAST OF S
NJ AND OVER THE ATLC DELAWARE WATERS.

FRIDAY - SATURDAY...SUB-SCA EXPECTED, THOUGH PERSISTENT NORTH NORTHEAST
WINDS MAY ALLOW FOR BUILDING SEAS ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES TO SCA
HAZARDOUS SEAS OF 5 FT WITH A SHORT 5 SEC PERIOD. COASTAL FLURRIES
POSSIBLE FROM THE BACKEDGE OF OCEAN EFFECT, PRIMARILY DEPENDENT ON
THE 925MB WIND DIRECTION.

SUNDAY...NO MARINE HEADLINES ANTICIPATED.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD LOWS FOR THE NEXT TWO PRIME DAYS FOR RECORDS. ADDED KACY
RER LOW FOR MARCH 1 AT THE END OF THIS SECTION WHERE RADIATIONAL
COOLING MIGHT PERMIT A RECORD SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE WAA CLOUD
COVER CUTS OFF THE COOLING.

ALSO THIS SECTION PROBABLY WONT UPDATE WEDNESDAY BUT WILL UPDATE
AGAIN THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MORNINGS.

POR / SITE / RECORD LOW FEB 27  /   FEB 28

1872 / KPHL /     6 1900        /    9 1934
1874 / KACY /     7 1934*       /    2 1934
1894 / KILG /     5 1934        /   -5 1934
1922 / KABE /    -2 1963        /  -10 1934
1869 / KRDG /     4 1934*       /    3 1934
1865 / KTTN /     6 1934        /    1 1934
1948 / KGED /    10 1963        /    8 1950
1901 / KMPO /    -9 1993        /  -15 1907

KACY RER FOR 3/1 IS 5 IN 1980.

NOTES: * INDICATES OTHER YEARS.
       POR = PERIOD OF RECORD, THE YEAR OFFICIAL CLIMATE OBS BEGAN.

THE FOLLOWING IS A TABLE OF THE ***PROJECTED*** TOP 5 COLDEST
FEBRUARY'S ON RECORD, BASED ON THE TUESDAY AFTERNOON FORECAST,
AND THUS SUBJECT TO CHANGE. EACH RANKING DENOTES THE MEAN FEBRUARY
TEMPERATURE /F/ AND YEAR OF OCCURRENCE.

WE REREVIEWED THESE PROJECTIONS LISTED BELOW USING THIS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON (24TH -430 PM MAX/MIN AND THE PHI FCST AS SEEN ON NDFD
AND SFT'S AS OF 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON. WE SEE PHL/ABE/ILG ALL VERY
CLOSE TO YESTERDAYS PROJECTIONS AND SEEMINGLY LOCKED INTO THE
RANKINGS AS POSTED BELOW. KACY COULD RADIATE ALOT MORE THAN INDICATED
AND IF ANYTHING ODDS FAVOR KACY RUNNING COLDER THAN THIS TUESDAY
AFTERNOONS PROJECTION!

POR  / SITE  / 1ST RANK / 2ND RANK / 3RD RANK / 4TH RANK / 5TH RANK

1872 / KPHL / 22.2(1934) 23.0(1979) 24.3(1885) 24.6(1978) 25.1(2015)
1874 / KACY / 21.6(1979) 23.8(1978/1934) 24.4(2015) 25.5(1875)25.7(1905)
1894 / KILG / 20.2(1934) 22.1(1979) 22.7(1978) 24.1(2015) 24.9(1936)
1922 / KABE / 16.6(1934) 18.5(2015) 20.4(1979) 21.6(1936) 22.0(1963)

PER THE ABOVE TABLE, BOTH ABE IS ON TRACK FOR THE SECOND COLDEST
FEBRUARY, ATLANTIC CITY 3RD COLDEST FOLLOWED BY THE FOURTH
COLDEST AT ILG, AND THE FIFTH COLDEST AT PHL.

THE FOLLOWING IS A TABLE OF THE ***PROJECTED*** MEAN FEBRUARY 2015
TEMPERATURES /F/ AND DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL. THIS IS ALSO BASED ON
THE CURRENT FORECAST, AND THUS SUBJECT TO CHANGE. JANUARY 2015 MEAN
TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO INCLUDED FOR COMPARISON PURPOSES.

POR  / SITE / FEB MEAN(F) / FEB NORMAL(F) / DEPARTURE / JAN MEAN(F)

1872 / KPHL / 25.1        / 35.7          / -10.6     / 30.9
1874 / KACY / 24.4        / 35.3          / -10.9     / 30.2
1894 / KILG / 24.1        / 35.1          / -11.0      / 30.3
1922 / KABE / 18.5        / 30.7          / -12.2      / 25.9

IN GENERAL, MEAN TEMPERATURES AT OUR FOUR MAJOR CLIMATE SITES ARE ON
TRACK TO BE AROUND 10 TO 12 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR FEBRUARY 2015.
IT'S ALSO INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT THE PROJECTED FEBRUARY 2015 MEAN
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW THE JANUARY 2015 MEAN TEMPERATURES.
TO PUT THIS IN PERSPECTIVE, NORMAL MEAN FEBRUARY TEMPERATURES AT OUR
FOUR MAJOR CLIMATE SITES ARE ABOUT 2 TO 3 DEGREES WARMER THAN JANUARY.
THE OPPOSITE IS SHAPING UP FOR FEBRUARY 2015.

ALSO...OF INTEREST...THIS WOULD ALSO BE THE SECOND COLDEST MONTHLY
MEAN TEMPERATURE ON RECORD AT ALLENTOWN SINCE RECORDS BEGAN IN
1922; FEBRUARY 1934 BEING THE COLDEST!

PHL PROJECTS 12TH COLDEST MONTHLY MEAN SINCE RECORDS BEGAN IN 1873.

ATLANTIC CITY 7TH COLDEST MONTHLY MEAN SINCE RECORDS BEGAN THERE
IN 1874.

WILMINGTON HAS MISSING DATA IN ITS DATABASE (1897-1916) AND SO WE
DONT FOCUS AS MUCH ATTENTION ON THAT RECORD.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     ANZ450-451.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DRAG/GORSE
NEAR TERM...GORSE
SHORT TERM...ROBERTSON
LONG TERM...DRAG
AVIATION...DRAG/GORSE
MARINE...DRAG/ROBERTSON
CLIMATE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 24, 5:35 PM EST, 10 hours 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
535 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

PAZ054-055-252245-
CARBON-MONROE-
535 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

WIND CHILL VALUES BETWEEN 10 AND 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO ARE
PROBABLE AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ060>062-101>106-252245-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
535 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PERIODS OF SNOW OR WINTRY PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ013-014-016>027-PAZ070-071-
252245-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
535 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR
THURSDAY MORNING WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW
PRIMARILY SOUTHEAST DELAWARE.

PERIODS OF SNOW OR WINTRY PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-252245-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
535 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ICE MAY HAMPER MARINE NAVIGATION ON THE BAYS AND INLETS, ESPECIALLY
DELAWARE BAY AND THE TIDAL DELAWARE. ICE SHOULD GROW IN COVERAGE
AND THICKEN MUCH OF THIS WEEK. AS OF TODAY DELAWARE BAY WAS
REPORTEDLY ABOUT 80 PERCENT ICE COVERED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ICE MAY HAMPER MARINE NAVIGATION ON THE BAYS AND INLETS, ESPECIALLY
DELAWARE BAY AND THE TIDAL DELAWARE. ICE SHOULD GROW IN COVERAGE
AND THICKEN MUCH OF THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 25, 4:03 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryPHI24 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in New Jersey, 2015Winter Weather Advisories in Maryland, 2015Winter Weather Advisories in Delaware, 2015Every winter weather advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.