Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
356 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA TONIGHT, THEN HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN DURING WEDNESDAY. THIS HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH FRIDAY. HOWEVER, A WEAK COLD FRONT ARRIVES
FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY THEN RETURNS NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT LATE
SATURDAY. A POTENTIALLY WEAKENING COLD FRONT IS THEN FORECAST TO
MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
RETURNS FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
A LATE-DAY SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING
ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA, FROM SOUTHERN NJ AND
INTO THE DELMARVA. THIS BOUNDARY IS PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED
SHWR/TSTORM ACTIVITY, AND WE HAVE INCREASED POPS ACCORDINGLY TO HIGH
CHANCE AND LOW LIKELY FOR THESE AREAS. ANY SHWRS/TSTORMS WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AS THERE IS AMPLE
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE, WITH PWATS REMAINING AROUND 2.0 INCHES AND
SURFACE DEW POINTS HOLDING IN THE LOW 70S. WHILE WIDESPREAD
STRONGER TO SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED, DEVELOPING STORMS IN
THIS ENVIRONMENT COULD BRIEFLY PULSE UP AND PRODUCE STRONG WIND
GUSTS TO THE SURFACE AS THERE IS ADEQUATE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR.

ELSEWHERE, A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH OUR REGION FROM
THE NORTHWEST. AS THIS FRONT EDGES INTO NORTHERN AND WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO THIS EVENING, SOME SCATTERED
SHWRS AND TSTORMS MAY ACCOMPANY IT, ESPECIALLY INTO THE POCONOS, THE
LEHIGH VALLEY, AND NORTHWEST NJ. THE OPPORTUNITY FOR SHWR/TSTORM
ACTIVITY LOOKS TO BE RELATIVELY SHORT-LIVED, THOUGH, AS MOST MODEL
GUIDANCE INCLUDING THE HRRR AND NAM12 TENDS TO SOMEWHAT WEAKEN THE
INCOMING CONVECTION AS IT ENTERS AND MOVES THROUGH OUR NORTHWEST
ZONES. AS MENTIONED ABOVE A FEW BRIEFLY STRONGER STORMS COULD ALSO
PULSE-UP IN THESE AREAS, WITH GUSTY WINDS BEING THE MAIN CONCERN.

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS OUR REGION THROUGH THE LATE
EVENING HOURS AND PASS OFFSHORE AROUND MIDNIGHT. ANY REMAINING
SCATTERED SHWR/TSTORM ACTIVITY WILL QUICKLY TAPER OFF WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE FRONT, AND IN ITS WAKE, A DRIER AIRMASS WILL BEGIN TO
OVERSPREAD THE REGION THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. SKIES ARE ALSO EXPECTED
TO CLEAR IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST. OVERNIGHT MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE MORE COMFORTABLE
THAN RECENT NIGHTS, AS LOWS RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S IN THE NORTH TO
MOSTLY THE UPPER 60S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
WITH THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED COLD FRONT MOVING FARTHER OFFSHORE
THROUGH THE DAYTIME WEDNESDAY, INCOMING HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
THE GREAT LAKES AND MIDWEST STATES WILL GRADUALLY BE BUILDING
EASTWARD TOWARD OUR REGION. A NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS
WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION ON WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS.
AMPLE SUNSHINE IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE DAY, WITH PERHAPS A FEW
AFTERNOON CUMULUS DEVELOPING. IN ADDITION, DEW POINTS WILL BE
DROPPING INTO THE 50S THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY, GIVING THE AREA
RELIEF FROM THE HUMIDITY. A BLEND OF MET/MAV GUIDANCE PUTS AFTERNOON
HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE REGION, WITH
PERHAPS THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE POCONOS ONLY REACHING THE MID TO
UPPER 70S.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE SYNOPTIC SETUP IS COMPRISED OF A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY,
WHICH THEN SHIFTS EAST SOME INTO FRIDAY. THIS FEATURE SHOULD SHIFT
EAST LATER FRIDAY AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIVES SOUTHEASTWARD FROM
THE MIDWEST. THIS TROUGH SHOULD AMPLIFY THE MAIN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE NORTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND, WITH SOME
RELAXATION POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE ARE SOME HINTS WITHIN THE
GUIDANCE THAT A STRONG RIDGE ACROSS THE PLAINS MAY START TO EXPAND
NORTHEASTWARD NEXT WEEK INTO THE MID ATLANTIC. WE USED A MODEL BLEND
FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY, THEN WENT WITH THE 12Z WPC
GUIDANCE. SOME ADJUSTMENTS WERE THEN MADE FOLLOWING ADDITIONAL
COLLABORATION WITH OUR NEIGHBORING OFFICES.

FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS IN PLACE, HOWEVER
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE AREA. THIS
SHOULD RESULT IN LESS CLOUDINESS AND A DIMINISHING WIND ALONG WITH
MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES.

FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA GRADUALLY
WEAKENS DURING THIS TIME FRAME, HOWEVER AN AIRMASS CHARACTERIZED BY
LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS IS ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AS
SHORT WAVE ENERGY DIGS INTO ITS BASE. THIS IS MOST NOTED ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND WHERE THE COLD POOL ALOFT IS MORE PRONOUNCED. THE COOLING
ALOFT MAY ALLOW FOR A BIT MORE CLOUDINESS ACROSS OUR NORTHERN AREAS
ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY, HOWEVER IT APPEARS THAT ANY SHOWER CHC IS
RATHER LOW. A SOUTHERN TRACKING SHORT WAVE THOUGH MAY ALLOW FOR A
WEAK SURFACE LOW TO DEVELOP ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH.
GIVEN THE ORIENTATION OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND A SEPARATE
BOUNDARY ARRIVING FROM THE NORTH, THIS FEATURE SHOULD REMAIN FAR
ENOUGH TO OUR SOUTH. AS A RESULT, WE CONTINUED WITH A DRY FORECAST.

FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...SOME UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING SHOULD MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND A WARM FRONT MAY LIFT NORTH AS A
RESULT. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH LATE
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING OUR WAY
LATE SUNDAY. THE FRONT ITSELF MAY BEGIN TO WEAKEN, HOWEVER A
POSSIBLE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH MAY HELP FOCUS SOME CONVECTION AS WAA
OCCURS IN CONJUCTION WITH SOME MOISTURE RETURN. THE MAIN PORTION OF
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO TRACK FARTHER NORTH, THEREFORE
MUCH OF THE LIFT FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION COULD BE FARTHER NORTH AS
WELL. WE FAVORED WPC GUIDANCE WHICH CARRIES CHC POPS ON SUNDAY
ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OR LINGERING SURFACE
TROUGH IN OUR VICINITY MIGHT BE ABLE TO FORCE SOME CONVECTION
MONDAY, AS OUR AREA REMAINS INFLUENCED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
MIGRATING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ON
TUESDAY, ALTHOUGH WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY FORECAST
TO BE NEARBY. FOR NOW, WE INCLUDED A SLIGHT CHC POP IN THE GRIDDED
DATABASE/FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

LATE-DAY AND THIS EVENING...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE TAF SITES OUTSIDE OF ANY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHWRS/TSTORMS
WHICH COULD TEMPORARILY REDUCE CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY VSBYS, TO MVFR
OR POSSIBLE IFR. REGARDING THE WINDS, WESTERLY WINDS AVERAGING 5 TO
8 KNOTS AT LATE-DAY WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS
BETWEEN THE 02Z TO 04Z TIMEFRAME FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE AREA.

OVERNIGHT...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH SKIES CLEARING THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT. NORTHWEST WINDS AVERAGING 5 TO 10 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE.

WEDNESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS WITH PERHAPS SOME MIDDAY TO AFTERNOON
CUMULUS DEVELOPING WITH BASES 5,000 FEET. NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE,
WITH SOME GUSTS BETWEEN 15 TO 20 KNOTS POSSIBLE INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR WITH NORTHWEST WINDS DIMINISHING TO 5 KNOTS OR
LESS.

THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...VFR. WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS NEAR 10 KNOTS,
ALTHOUGH LIGHTER EACH NIGHT.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...VFR OVERALL, WITH SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE AREA WATERS TONIGHT AND
THROUGH THE DAYTIME WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER, SOME SCATTERED SHWRS/TSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT,
ESPECIALLY FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS, YIELDING POSSIBLE BRIEF
HIGHER WINDS AND/OR SEAS. FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE AROUND
MIDNIGHT OR SO ACROSS THE WATERS, A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST IS
ANTICIPATED. DURING THE DAYTIME WEDNESDAY THE WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS
COULD GUST AROUND 20 KNOTS AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY FOR THE COASTAL
WATERS.

OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...THE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. THIS
WILL RESULT IN SOME DECREASE IN THE WINDS.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A WEAK FRONT ARRIVES FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY
HOWEVER IT THEN LOOKS TO LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT LATER
SATURDAY. A SOUTHERLY WIND SHOULD INCREASE SUNDAY AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT, HOWEVER THE CONDITIONS OVERALL SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GORSE
NEAR TERM...KLINE
SHORT TERM...KLINE
LONG TERM...GORSE
AVIATION...GORSE/KLINE
MARINE...GORSE/KLINE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
353 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>023-027-
PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-222000-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
353 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-222000-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
353 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-222000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
353 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
602 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

NJZ001-008-212230-
SUSSEX-MORRIS-
602 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN MORRIS AND
SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 602 PM EDT...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS OVER
BRANCHVILLE...OR NEAR NEWTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWTON...FRANKLIN...HAMBURG...OGDENSBURG...SUSSEX...BRANCHVILLE...
VERNON VALLEY...PELLETTOWN...HIGHLAND LAKE...FIVE POINTS...LAKE
MOHAWK AND CRANDON LAKES.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING
CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER
INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4120 7437 4100 7459 4104 7488 4117 7490
      4122 7486 4126 7449
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 276DEG 27KT 4112 7476

MWG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
609 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

PAZ054-060>062-212245-
CARBON-BERKS-NORTHAMPTON-LEHIGH-
609 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN CARBON...
WEST CENTRAL NORTHAMPTON...BERKS AND LEHIGH COUNTIES...

AT 608 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR NEW MAHONING TO NEAR FREDERICKSBURG...AND MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH.

HEAVY DOWNPOURS, WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALLENTOWN...READING...LEHIGHTON...BETHLEHEM...WYOMISSING...
NORTHAMPTON...NAZARETH...PALMERTON...KUTZTOWN...JIM THORPE...
HAMBURG...SLATINGTON...FLEETWOOD...SINKING SPRING...LAURELDALE...
WOMELSDORF...BATH...WERNERSVILLE...NEWMANSTOWN AND WALNUTPORT.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4052 7625 4058 7605 4057 7602 4065 7598
      4074 7576 4080 7586 4085 7577 4077 7519
      4023 7602 4049 7643
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 288DEG 31KT 4077 7574 4041 7647

JRK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
612 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

NJZ013-014-020-026-212245-
OCEAN-EASTERN MONMOUTH-WESTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
612 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN MONMOUTH AND
NORTHEASTERN OCEAN COUNTIES...

AT 612 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER RAMTOWN...OR 10 MILES
NORTH OF TOMS RIVER...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOMS RIVER...LAKEWOOD...MANASQUAN...POINT PLEASANT BEACH...
MANTOLOKING...RAMTOWN...LEISURE VILLAGE...ALLENWOOD...FREEWOOD
ACRES...BRICK TOWNSHIP...LEISURE VILLAGE EAST...DOVER BEACHES
NORTH...POINT PLEASANT...BRIELLE...SPRING LAKE HEIGHTS...SPRING
LAKE...SEA GIRT...BAY HEAD...SOUTH BELMAR AND WEST BELMAR.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4012 7404 4007 7404 4006 7412 4005 7405
      4001 7405 4001 7408 4000 7406 3998 7406
      4001 7409 4000 7414 4003 7427 4017 7428
      4017 7401
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 281DEG 23KT 4010 7414

MWG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
625 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

NJZ001-007-008-212300-
SUSSEX-MORRIS-WARREN-
625 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WARREN...
MORRIS AND SOUTHERN SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 624 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM GREENDELL TO NEAR SLOATSBURG...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MORRISTOWN...NEWTON...DOVER...HOPATCONG...EAST HANOVER...LINCOLN
PARK...KINNELON...HACKETTSTOWN...BOONTON...BUTLER...WHARTON...
ROCKAWAY...MORRIS PLAINS...MOUNT ARLINGTON...MENDHAM...MOUNTAIN
LAKES...STANHOPE...RIVERDALE...NETCONG AND OGDENSBURG.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING
CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER
INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4091 7433 4088 7434 4086 7432 4082 7434
      4073 7470 4100 7493 4111 7448 4104 7450
      4105 7445 4102 7443 4103 7442 4100 7430
      4097 7428 4092 7429 4090 7427
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 339DEG 19KT 4100 7482 4116 7415

MWG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
638 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

PAZ071-104>106-212300-
PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
638 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL BUCKS...
NORTHEASTERN PHILADELPHIA AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...

AT 637 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER DOYLESTOWN...OR 19
MILES NORTH OF PHILADELPHIA...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PHILADELPHIA...BENSALEM...DOYLESTOWN...HATBORO...JENKINTOWN...
CHALFONT...ROCKLEDGE...ABINGTON...BRYN ATHYN...IVYLAND...ANDALUSIA...
FEASTERVILLE-TREVOSE...FRICKS...WILLOW GROVE...FEASTERVILLE...
NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA...RICHBORO...HORSHAM...NEW BRITAIN AND
PENNDEL.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING
CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER
INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4033 7526 4038 7504 4009 7488 4002 7517
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 345DEG 16KT 4028 7513

MWG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
648 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

PAZ060>062-101-103-105-212315-
BERKS-WESTERN CHESTER-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-LEHIGH-UPPER
BUCKS-
648 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL
CHESTER...NORTHWESTERN BUCKS...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTHAMPTON...EASTERN
BERKS...SOUTHEASTERN LEHIGH AND NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...

AT 645 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR
COFFEETOWN TO NEAR SINKING SPRING...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR ALONG OR JUST OUT AHEAD
OF THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALLENTOWN...READING...BETHLEHEM...POTTSTOWN...EMMAUS...WYOMISSING...
QUAKERTOWN...HELLERTOWN...BIRDSBORO...KUTZTOWN...FLEETWOOD...SINKING
SPRING...LAURELDALE...EAST GREENVILLE...WERNERSVILLE...TOPTON...HONEY
BROOK...FERNDALE...SCHWENKSVILLE AND ELVERSON.

HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BRIEFLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND CAUSE SOME
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4068 7557 4053 7509 3999 7586 4006 7594
      4011 7594 4014 7588 4031 7613
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 297DEG 29KT 4061 7558 4029 7604

JRK