Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
400 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH OUR AREA SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY NEAR THE ROCKIES
IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION,
SENDING A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR AREA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN GRADUALLY BUILD EAST INTO OUR REGION FROM
MIDWEEK THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
A DISORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN STEADILY MOVING EASTWARD
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA WHERE BULK SHEAR VALUES
ARE LESS THAN 25 KNOTS. AS THIS LINE MOVES CLOSER TO OUR REGION IT
WILL BEGIN TO INGEST MORE UNSTABLE AIR WITH BETTER BULK SHEAR IN
PLACE ALLOWING FOR SOMEWHAT MORE ORGANIZATION AND LONGEVITY.
EXPECTING THESE STORMS TO MOVE INTO OUR WESTERN ZONES OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS STILL SHOW LONG THIN CAPE
PROFILES WITH SOME DRY AIR IN THE MID-LEVELS. LATEST RUC DCAPE
VALUES ARE AROUND 800 TO 1000J/KG WITH STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE
WIND GUSTS THE MAIN THREAT TO ANY OF THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED AS THEY PUSH THROUGH WITH PWAT VALUES
RUNNING AROUND THE 99TH PERCENTILE FOR MID-MAY. THIS COUPLED WITH
VERY DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD ALLOW FOR MORE EFFICIENT RUNOFF TO OCCUR
WITH PONDING ON ROADWAYS AND POOR DRAINAGE LOCATIONS. FORTUNATELY
THE MEAN STEERING FLOW OF THESE STORMS IS ALLOWING THEM TO MOVE
RELATIVELY QUICKLY, AROUND 30 KNOTS TOWARDS THE EAST.

ONCE THESE STORMS EITHER PUSH OFF THE COAST OF BECOME ELEVATED IN
NATURE WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING MORE SCATTERED SHOWER
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE LATE EVENING HOURS BEFORE
WE DRY OUT SOME. VERY MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST TONIGHT WITH AMPLE
MOISTURE IN THE LOW-LEVELS. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE AS THE WINDS
DECOUPLE AND BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
ALMOST A CARBON COPY OF SATURDAY IN TERMS OF THE SHOWER/CONVECTION
THREAT DURING THE DAY...MAYBE NOT AS WIDESPREAD. WE WILL HAVE THE
MOISTURE IN PLACE WITH ANOTHER WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE
FORECAST. ONE OF THE BIGGEST QUESTIONS IS THE POTENTIAL LACK OF
BETTER SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY WITH A PERSISTENT STRATOCU DECK IN
PLACE...MAYBE SOME BREAKS POSSIBLE AS THE WINDS VEER MORE TOWARDS
THE WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES MAY END UP A TAD COOLER
WITH THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THE LOW-LEVEL INVERSION,
BUT A WARMER STARTING POINT SHOULD YIELD LOW-80S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DESPITE STARTING OUT UNDER THE AXIS OF AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
RIDGE...THERE LOOK TO BE PLENTY OF OPPORTUNITIES FOR RAIN, AT
LEAST TO BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIODS.

SUNDAY NIGHT...SHORTWAVE RIDGE PIVOTS OVERHEAD, WHILE AT THE
SURFACE, THE WEAK COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SLIDE SOUTH OVER THE
REGION. THE COMBINATION OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE, ALONG
WITH A NOCTURNAL INVERSION SHOULD HELP TO SUPPRESS OVERNIGHT
CONVECTION. THEREFORE, STAYED CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH
PRECIP CHANCES DROPPING FROM 20 TO 50 PERCENT IN THE EVENING TO 10
TO 20 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.

MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...SURFACE LOW STILL EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES REGION, WHILE IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS, THE
RIDGE SHIFTS OFF SHORE. PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW ON MONDAY
RESULTING IN LOW CLOUDS, MAY LIMIT SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY, BUT
ELEVATED INSTABILITY IS POSSIBLE. THEREFORE, INCLUDED THUNDERSTORM
MENTION ACROSS THE REGION, THOUGH WOULD EXPECT MOSTLY STRATIFORM
RAIN OR SHOWERS ON MONDAY. ON TUESDAY HOWEVER, WINDS SHIFT TO
SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY AS A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH ARRIVES
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD ARRIVE TUESDAY
EVENING/OVERNIGHT. THERE ALSO APPEARS TO BE SUBSTANTIAL SPEED
SHEAR (20 TO 35 KT) THROUGH THE DAY. THERE ARE A FEW POTENTIAL
LIMITATIONS TO CONVECTION THOUGH, PRIMARILY MEAGER LAPSE RATES
ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES SHOULD BE
WELL ABOVE NORMAL, AND THE WARM CLOUD LAYER IS EXPECTED TO BE
QUITE DEEP. AND WHILE FORECAST STORM MOTIONS SHOULD BE AROUND 20
TO 25 KT, THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING STORMS IF THE PRE
FRONTAL TROUGH SERVES AS A FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION.
THEREFORE, WILL ADD MENTION IN THE HWO OF HEAVY RAIN THREAT.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...FRONT CLEARS OUT QUICKLY BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING, LEAVING THE REGION UNDER A MOSTLY DRY PATTERN
AS A SURFACE HIGH IS EXPECTED TO BUILD IN OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTHEAST. A FEW CAVEATS, HOWEVER. FIRST, A PAIR OF SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE DEPARTING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MAY
DIG OVER OUR REGION, BUT THE TIMING OF THE TROUGHS IS UNCERTAIN,
AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY BE LIMITED WITH PERSISTENT DOWN SLOPE
FLOW. SECOND, BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW A COASTAL LOW DEVELOPING
OVER THE CAROLINA/VIRGINIA COASTS BY FRIDAY. DEPENDING ON HOW FAR
NORTH THIS DEVELOPS, IT COULD RESULT IN PRECIP ACROSS THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA AND FAR SOUTHERN NJ.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

THIS EVENING - TONIGHT...MOSTLY VFR WITH SOME MVFR/IFR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. STILL THINKING MOST OF THE
THUNDER ACTIVITY OCCURS AROUND 20 TO 00Z THIS EVENING FROM WEST TO
EAST. AFTERWARDS LINGERING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALLOWING CONDITIONS
TO DETERIORATE TOWARDS MVFR AFTER MIDNIGHT...LOW CONFIDENCE ON MVFR
CONDITIONS TONIGHT.

SUNDAY...ANY MVFR RESTRICTIONS SHOULD LIFT/BURN OFF BY LATE MORNING
ALLOWING FOR MORE VFR CONDITIONS. CONTINUED SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
KEEP MOISTURE STREAMING INTO THE REGION SO WE MAY NOT BREAK OUT MUCH
DURING THE DAY. MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...WIDESPREAD MVFR AND LOCALIZED IFR
CONDITIONS WITH LOW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS POSSIBLE FOR MUCH OF THE
PERIOD. CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MVFR AND LOCALIZED IFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
TONIGHT - SUNDAY...SUB-SCA CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WATERS EXPECTED.
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY ALLOWING SEAS TO BUILD
UPWARDS OF 4 FEET BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WITH COLDER THAN NORMAL WATER
TEMPERATURES AND A WARMER AIRMASS IN PLACE EXPECTING THE AMOUNT OF
MIXING TO BE KEPT TO A MINIMUM...LESS THAN 20 KNOTS.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...SUB SCA CONDITIONS LIKELY. HOWEVER, A FEW
GUSTS ABOVE 20 KT ARE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY ON THE OCEAN WATERS, AND
HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF ANY
THUNDERSTORMS.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SCA
CRITERIA.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
THE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS IS BORDERLINE LOW TO MODERATE FOR THE
NJ COAST ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JOHNSON
NEAR TERM...HEAVENER
SHORT TERM...HEAVENER
LONG TERM...JOHNSON
AVIATION...HEAVENER/JOHNSON
MARINE...HEAVENER/JOHNSON
RIP CURRENTS...O'HARA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
401 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-070-071-101>106-172015-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-
CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
401 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD PRODUCE POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING
AND MINOR FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. A FEW STORMS COULD BE
STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

HEAVY RAIN WITH THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND TUESDAY COULD RESULT
IN FLOODING ESPECIALLY IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

ANZ430-431-450>455-172015-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
401 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE STRONG
WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
735 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

DEZ001-NJZ016-017-PAZ070-071-102-170015-
NEW CASTLE-GLOUCESTER-SALEM-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-DELAWARE-
735 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN NEW CASTLE...
NORTHWESTERN GLOUCESTER...NORTHWESTERN SALEM...DELAWARE...
SOUTHWESTERN PHILADELPHIA AND SOUTHEASTERN CHESTER COUNTIES...

AT 734 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER TALLEYVILLE...OR 7
MILES NORTH OF WILMINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PHILADELPHIA...WILMINGTON...CHESTER...WEST DEPTFORD...YEADON...
CARNEYS POINT...FOLCROFT...SWARTHMORE...ELSMERE...PAULSBORO...PENNS
GROVE...EAST LANSDOWNE...SWEDESBORO...NEWPORT...ARDEN...SOUTH
PHILADELPHIA...GIBBSTOWN...PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...
PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL ARPT AND ELAM.

LAT...LON 3991 7565 3998 7522 3968 7517 3971 7550
      3972 7551 3971 7553 3972 7564
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 267DEG 17KT 3983 7556

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
737 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

NJZ001-007-008-170000-
MORRIS-SUSSEX-WARREN-
737 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WARREN...NORTHERN
MORRIS AND SOUTHERN SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 736 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER GREENDELL...OR NEAR
NEWTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWTON...HOPATCONG...KINNELON...MOUNT ARLINGTON...FRANKLIN...
STANHOPE...HAMBURG...NETCONG...OGDENSBURG...ANDOVER...GREENDELL...
LAKE TELEMARK...LAKE MOHAWK...HIGHLAND LAKE...ALLAMUCHY-PANTHER
VALLEY...GREEN POND AND WHITE MEADOW LAKE.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4120 7440 4118 7439 4109 7450 4107 7449
      4104 7450 4105 7445 4102 7443 4103 7442
      4101 7436 4094 7432 4089 7486 4107 7491
TIME...MOT...LOC 2336Z 254DEG 24KT 4100 7480

SFJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
758 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

MDZ015-019-020-170045-
QUEEN ANNE'S-TALBOT-CAROLINE-QUEEN ANNE'S-TALBOT-
758 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL QUEEN
ANNE'S...TALBOT AND CENTRAL CAROLINE COUNTIES...

AT 757 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR WYE MILLS TO PRINCE FREDERICK...AND MOVING EAST
AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  GRASONVILLE AND COPPERVILLE AROUND 800 PM EDT.
  WYE MILLS AROUND 805 PM EDT.
  SKIPTON AROUND 810 PM EDT.
  QUEEN ANNE...CORDOVA AND MATTHEWS AROUND 820 PM EDT.
  GRIFFIN AROUND 825 PM EDT.
  DENTON AROUND 835 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE HILLSBORO.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3876 7633 3886 7634 3890 7629 3879 7620
      3879 7619 3895 7623 3894 7624 3898 7621
      3891 7573 3862 7608 3868 7621 3876 7622
      3871 7628 3878 7629 3876 7632 3867 7634
      3876 7638
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 270DEG 24KT 3890 7615 3855 7661

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
801 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

NJZ001-008-170045-
MORRIS-SUSSEX-
801 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN MORRIS AND
SOUTHEASTERN SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 801 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR LAKE MOHAWK...OR 9
MILES EAST OF NEWTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOPATCONG...KINNELON...BUTLER...RIVERDALE...PEQUANNOCK TOWNSHIP...
GREEN POND...LAKE TELEMARK AND LAKE MOHAWK.

LAT...LON 4097 7464 4103 7465 4106 7450 4104 7450
      4105 7445 4102 7443 4103 7442 4102 7439
      4100 7430 4098 7430 4097 7427 4095 7428
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 269DEG 24KT 4100 7457

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
821 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

NJZ008>010-012>015-019-020-PAZ106-170115-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MORRIS-MERCER-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-EASTERN
MONMOUTH-WESTERN MONMOUTH-HUNTERDON-OCEAN-LOWER BUCKS-
821 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL
BURLINGTON...MIDDLESEX...EAST CENTRAL HUNTERDON...SOUTHEASTERN
MORRIS...MERCER...NORTH CENTRAL OCEAN...MONMOUTH...SOMERSET AND
SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS COUNTIES...

AT 820 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR PEAPACK AND GLADSTONE TO LAWRENCEVILLE TO NEAR
BENSALEM...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TRENTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...PERTH AMBOY...MORRISTOWN...SOMERVILLE...
SOMERSET...EDISON...MIDDLETOWN...OLD BRIDGE...HOWELL...EAST
BRUNSWICK...BRIDGEWATER...SOUTH BRUNSWICK...SAYREVILLE...NORTH
BRUNSWICK...MARLBORO...MANALAPAN...EWING...CARTERET AND TINTON FALLS.

LAT...LON 4041 7400 4036 7407 4014 7423 4012 7492
      4030 7479 4073 7476 4085 7433 4074 7437
      4067 7446 4065 7441 4060 7446 4060 7421
      4050 7428 4046 7426 4041 7403 4042 7401
      4047 7402 4045 7401
TIME...MOT...LOC 0020Z 255DEG 28KT 4068 7470 4032 7473 4011 7490

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
823 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-104-106-170100-
NORTHWESTERN
BURLINGTON-CAMDEN-GLOUCESTER-PHILADELPHIA-DELAWARE-EASTERN
MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
823 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON...
NORTHWESTERN GLOUCESTER...CAMDEN...SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...
SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE...PHILADELPHIA AND SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS
COUNTIES...

AT 822 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER PAULSBORO...OR NEAR
GLOUCESTER CITY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PHILADELPHIA...CAMDEN...GLOUCESTER CITY...CHERRY HILL...EVESHAM...
MOUNT LAUREL...DEPTFORD...VOORHEES...WEST DEPTFORD...LINDENWOLD...
BELLMAWR...YEADON...WOODBURY...PITMAN...RIVERSIDE...BERLIN...
PALMYRA...FOLCROFT...SWARTHMORE AND PAULSBORO.

LAT...LON 3972 7531 3996 7536 4010 7493 3975 7482
TIME...MOT...LOC 0022Z 261DEG 22KT 3986 7523

ROBERTSON