Alert archive / New Jersey / Areal Flood Advisories in 2015

Areal Flood Advisory 147, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

July 27, 20154 counties in New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood advisory at Jul 27, 2015, 3:19 AM EDT for 4 counties in New Jersey. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 27, 2015, 3:19 AM EDT (07:19 UTC)
Expired: Jul 27, 2015, 6:15 AM EDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Camden County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Salem County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 00:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 508 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1362 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Jul 27, 12:43 AM EDT, 2 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 27, 12:43 AM EDT, 2 hours 36 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 26, 9:14 PM EDT, 6 hours 5 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
914 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-280115-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
914 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WITH
THE HEAT INDICES FORECAST TO BE AS HIGH AS THE MID 90S.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ009-010-012-013-015>023-027-
PAZ070-071-101>106-280115-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
914 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WITH
THE HEAT INDICES FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 95 AND 100 DEGREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-280115-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
914 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER LOW AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE MODERATE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES INTO THE DAY
TOMORROW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-280115-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
914 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 26, 9:39 PM EDT, 5 hours 40 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
939 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

PAZ054-055-270215-
CARBON-MONROE-
939 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN CARBON AND SOUTHWESTERN
MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 938 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER LAKE HARMONY...OR 11
MILES WEST OF MOUNT POCONO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PALMERTON...WIND GAP...CHRISTMANS...ROSSLAND...POCONO PINES...LONG
POND...BELTZVILLE STATE PARK...BRODHEADSVILLE...MCMICHAEL...
KUNKLETOWN...MECKESVILLE...BLAKESLEE...PENN FOREST RESERVOIR...SUN
VALLEY...JONAS...ALBRIGHTSVILLE...POCONO RACEWAY...GILBERT...LAKE
HARMONY AND KRESGEVILLE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS. A FLOOD ADVISORY HAS ALREADY BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREA.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MORE THAN 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM.
SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4090 7524 4086 7529 4086 7532 4083 7538
      4081 7554 4079 7560 4100 7577 4101 7573
      4103 7574 4105 7577 4117 7551
TIME...MOT...LOC 0138Z 333DEG 15KT 4106 7558

JRK

Special weather statement, Jul 26, 10:10 PM EDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1010 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

PAZ060-061-270245-
BERKS-LEHIGH-
1010 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN BUCKS...
NORTHEASTERN BERKS...SOUTHERN LEHIGH AND NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY
COUNTIES...

AT 1009 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR KUTZTOWN...OR 14
MILES NORTH OF READING...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALLENTOWN...EMMAUS...KUTZTOWN...FLEETWOOD...TOPTON...BALLY...LYONS...
LENHARTSVILLE...ZIONSVILLE...CLAUSSVILLE...ANCIENT OAKS...MACUNGIE...
ALBURTIS AND FULLERTON.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 30 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4059 7593 4064 7545 4042 7547 4042 7549
      4045 7553 4041 7556 4039 7557 4045 7593
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 265DEG 20KT 4053 7584

JRK

Special weather statement, Jul 26, 10:24 PM EDT, 4 hours 55 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1024 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

PAZ054-055-062-270300-
CARBON-MONROE-NORTHAMPTON-
1024 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN CARBON...WEST
CENTRAL NORTHAMPTON AND SOUTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 1023 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER PENN FOREST
RESERVOIR...OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF LEHIGHTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PALMERTON...CHRISTMANS...DANIELSVILLE...PENN FOREST RESERVOIR...
ROSSLAND...JONAS...BELTZVILLE STATE PARK...GILBERT...
BRODHEADSVILLE...KRESGEVILLE...KUNKLETOWN...SAYLORSBURG...EFFORT...
FIDDLETOWN...MERWINSBURG AND TRACHSVILLE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ALREADY IN EFFECT FOR THE POCONOS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 30 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4094 7572 4102 7563 4091 7526 4074 7543
      4080 7557
TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 302DEG 9KT 4093 7561

JRK

Local storm report, Jul 26, 10:35 PM EDT, 4 hours 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1035 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1028 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CHRISTMANS              40.97N  75.65W
07/26/2015  M2.76 INCH       CARBON             PA   MESONET

            FELL IN 45 MINUTES

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1500645

JRK

Special weather statement, Jul 26, 10:40 PM EDT, 4 hours 39 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1040 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

PAZ060-061-101-270415-
BERKS-WESTERN CHESTER-LEHIGH-
1040 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BERKS AND
POSSIBLY WEST CENTRAL LEHIGH AND NORTHERN CHESTER COUNTIES...

AT 1039 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM STRAUSSTOWN TO NEAR DENVER...AND MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MORE THAN 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM.
SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
READING...WYOMISSING...BIRDSBORO...KUTZTOWN...HAMBURG...FLEETWOOD...
SINKING SPRING...LAURELDALE...WOMELSDORF...WERNERSVILLE...
NEWMANSTOWN...LEESPORT...ADAMSTOWN...SHOEMAKERSVILLE...BERNVILLE...
LYONS...STRAUSSTOWN...LENHARTSVILLE...NEW MORGAN AND FAIRVIEW HGTS.

LAT...LON 4054 7617 4057 7602 4060 7600 4061 7577
      4020 7570 4019 7597 4036 7621 4037 7623
      4052 7626
TIME...MOT...LOC 0239Z 273DEG 12KT 4052 7618 4027 7612

Special weather statement, Jul 26, 10:43 PM EDT, 4 hours 36 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 26, 8:00 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Sussex	30 min
Jul 26, 8:10 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Sussex	4 hr
Jul 26, 8:42 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	PHI	Sussex	4 hr
Jul 26, 10:02 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	PHI	Sussex, Warren	7 hr
Jul 26, 10:43 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Morris, Warren	92 min
Jul 26, 11:05 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Warren	4 hr
Jul 27, 12:54 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Hunterdon	3 hr
Jul 27, 5:20 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Middlesex, Somerset	4 hr
Jul 27, 7:13 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Mercer	4 hr
Jul 26, 8:57 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Monroe	48 min
Jul 26, 9:33 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Carbon, Monroe	3 hr
Jul 26, 9:39 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Monroe	36 min
Jul 26, 10:10 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Lehigh	35 min
Jul 26, 10:24 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Carbon	36 min
Jul 26, 10:40 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Berks	95 min
Jul 26, 11:33 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Berks	3 hr
Jul 27, 1:58 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Berks, Chester, Lehigh, Montgomery	3 hr
Jul 27, 2:33 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Bucks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia	3 hr
Jul 27, 2:31 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Caroline, Cecil, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot	3 hr
Jul 27, 5:03 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	PHI	Queen Anne's	57 min
Jul 27, 5:18 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Caroline, Queen Anne's	4 hr
Jul 27, 7:16 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PHI	Caroline, Queen Anne's, Talbot	4 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in New Jersey, 2015 Every areal flood advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.