Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 65, NWS Paducah, KY

April 25, 2015Daviess County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 25, 2015, 5:21 PM CDT for Daviess County, Kentucky. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Apr 25, 2015, 5:21 PM CDT (22:21 UTC)
Expired: Apr 25, 2015, 5:45 PM CDT
In force: 24 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Daviess County, KY

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 25, 12:55 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 582 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 70 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 377 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 417 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 25, 1:49 PM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 25, 1:49 PM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
149 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 127 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS FAR ERN MO INTO
SRN IL IN THE 19-21Z TIME FRAME WITH LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES
POSSIBLE. SURFACE ANALYSIS AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE
AN ALIGNMENT OF FAVORABLE FACTORS SUGGESTING A HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF
SEVERE STORMS ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA...ESP
ALONG/EAST OF THE MS RIVER.

STRONG HEATING IS RESULTING IN DESTABILIZATION BENEATH COOL
TEMPERATURES ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER VORT MAX/SHEAR AXIS.
VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS CU FIELDS INCREASING ACROSS CNTRL/E-CNTRL
MO WHERE THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES EXIST. MEANWHILE...A GRADUAL
BREAKUP OF CLOUDS IS UNDERWAY ALONG THE WARM FRONT...AND DEWPOINTS
WILL CONTINUE TO RISE INTO THE LOWER 60S.

ELEVATED CONVECTION IS ALREADY DEVELOPING SW OF ST. LOUIS AND SHOULD
ONLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON. MULTIPLE
SUPERCELLS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO TREK EWD THEN SEWD ALONG A SFC
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WITH A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE IN ADDITION
TO LARGE HAIL.

ONCE THE SFC LOW AND FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE REGION LATER THIS
EVENING...A NICE SPELL OF WEATHER SHOULD FINISH OUT MUCH OF THE
REST OF THE SHORT TERM FORECAST AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLE IN OVER
THE NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST. MAY BE A BIT CHILLY AT NIGHT
SUN/MON..WITH TEMPS DOWN INTO THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S.
HOWEVER...DAYTIME TEMPS SHOULD END UP WELL INTO THE 60S.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 127 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ECMWF SHOWS A WEAK FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY EVENING, PRODUCING VERY MINOR QPF, BUT BOTH GFS AND THE
CANADIAN KEEP US DRY FOR THIS PERIOD.  PREFER TO GO WITH THE DRY
SOLUTIONS FOR NOW.

MODELS THEN SHOW SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY, BEING
REINFORCED BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. BY
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.  THIS WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS DRY THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A
LITTLE BELOW SEASONAL WEDNESDAY AND SEASONAL THURSDAY, THEN TREND
A LITTLE WARMER EACH DAY FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS WINDS SHIFT BACK
TO THE SOUTH.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MEFFERT
LONG TERM...RST

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 25, 8:45 AM CDT, 8 hours 36 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
845 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-261345-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
845 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO THIS EVENING. SEVERAL OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLY A
TORNADO OR TWO.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS OUTLOOKED AN ENHANCED RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM MARBLE
HILL MISSOURI TO PADUCAH KENTUCKY TO HOPKINSVILLE...INCLUDING ALL
OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA. A MARGINAL TO SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDS THIS AREA AND EXTENDS AS
FAR WEST AS VAN BUREN AND POPLAR BLUFF MISSOURI.

ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD MOVE SLIGHTLY NORTH
OF EAST BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH. THE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INCREASE RAPIDLY OVER SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND NORTHWEST KENTUCKY BETWEEN 2 PM
AND 5 PM CDT.

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD DIMINISH OVER THE ENTIRE
OUTLOOK AREA BETWEEN 7 PM AND 9 PM CDT TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BEGINNING AROUND
THE NOON HOUR THROUGH EARLY EVENING THIS SATURDAY. WIND AND HAIL
REPORTS...AS WELL AS ANY DAMAGE REPORTS ARE APPRECIATED.

SMITH/RST

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 25, 4:55 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
455 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0432 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GALATIA                 37.84N 88.61W
04/25/2015                   SALINE             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LATE REPORT. LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 25, 5:11 PM CDT, 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
511 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0509 PM     HAIL             UNIONTOWN               37.77N 87.93W
04/25/2015  M1.00 INCH       UNION              KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 25, 5:15 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
515 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0509 PM     HAIL             MORGANFIELD             37.68N 87.91W
04/25/2015  M1.00 INCH       UNION              KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 25, 5:16 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
516 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     HAIL             10 W GOLCONDA           37.36N 88.67W
04/25/2015  E0.25 INCH       POPE               IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RST

Local storm report, Apr 25, 5:18 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
518 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 PM     HAIL             DIXON SPRINGS           37.38N 88.67W
04/25/2015  M0.75 INCH       POPE               IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 25, 5:20 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
520 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ELDORADO                37.81N 88.44W
04/25/2015                   SALINE             IL   PUBLIC

            TREE DOWN ON MOBILE HOME REPORTED.

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 25, 4:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union	50 min
Apr 25, 5:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Henderson, Union, Webster	27 min
Apr 25, 5:24 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	PAH	Henderson	18 min
Apr 25, 5:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston	52 min
Apr 25, 5:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess, Henderson, Hopkins, McLean, Webster	40 min
Apr 25, 5:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston	47 min
Apr 25, 6:04 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Daviess, Henderson, Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg, Webster	116 min
Apr 25, 6:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess, McLean	25 min
Apr 25, 6:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Crittenden, Hopkins	48 min
Apr 25, 6:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian, Hopkins, Muhlenberg	38 min
Apr 25, 3:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Franklin	52 min
Apr 25, 3:36 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	PAH	Franklin, Hamilton, Jackson, Jefferson, Perry, Wayne and 1 more	114 min
Apr 25, 3:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Hamilton, Saline, Williamson	33 min
Apr 25, 4:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Gallatin, Saline, White	24 min
Apr 25, 4:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Franklin, Jackson, Williamson	23 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.