Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 548, NWS Norman, OK

July 3, 2015Jefferson County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 3, 2015, 4:58 PM CDT for Jefferson County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2015, 4:58 PM CDT (21:58 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2015, 5:45 PM CDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS Norman, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Jefferson County, OK

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2015-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 112 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2015-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 111 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
112 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-174 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
954 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
126 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 3, 2:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 2:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
251 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS FORMED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A
COUPLE OF SURFACE BOUNDARIES...ONE IN NORTHWEST/NORTH-
CENTRAL/NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND ANOTHER SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER
IN TEXAS. SHORT-RANGE MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR
STORMS THIS EVENING WILL BE ALONG OUR
SOUTHEASTERN...WESTERN...AND SOUTHERN BORDER COUNTIES. THE SAME
MODELS GENERALLY REDUCE CONVECTION OVERNIGHT...BUT THE CHANCES DO
NOT GO COMPLETELY AWAY. SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
EVENING...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE IMPROBABLE.

AN UNCAPPED AND SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN
TOMORROW...AND DISORGANIZED CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN.

ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...A MUCH HIGHER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND STORMS
WILL ARRIVE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER-
LEVEL WAVE.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY SEASONAL THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD...EXCEPT ON TUESDAY...WHEN WIDESPREAD STORMS AND CLOUDS
WILL LIKELY HOLD AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES
BELOW AVERAGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  89  73  90 /  20  30  30  30
HOBART OK         70  92  73  94 /  20  20  20  10
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  93  75  95 /  30  20  10  10
GAGE OK           67  91  72  93 /  20  20  20  10
PONCA CITY OK     68  89  73  90 /  20  10  50  50
DURANT OK         71  90  73  89 /  50  50  20  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

26/23
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 12:07 PM CDT, 4 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1207 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-041715-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1207 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. A MARGINAL
RISK OF SEVERE STORMS EXISTS ACROSS THE REST OF OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF A CHANDLER
TO NORMAN AND DUNCAN LINE. THIS INCLUDES ARDMORE...ADA...DURANT...
SHAWNEE AND SEMINOLE.

TIMING...
4 TO 9 PM.

IMPACTS...
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS 60 TO 70 MPH...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...

DISCUSSION...
AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE THE UPPER 80S AND 90S THIS
AFTERNOON...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY IN
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA. INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT A FEW
SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. AS INSTABILITY
WEAKENS THROUGH THE EVENING...STORM INTENSITY WILL DECREASE BUT
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA SHOULD BE READY FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
ON SATURDAY...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.  STORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:13 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:28 PM CDT, 30 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:43 PM CDT, 15 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:49 PM CDT, 9 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:53 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
453 PM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0432 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NNE LEEDEY            35.96N 99.30W
07/03/2015                   DEWEY              OK   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWNED

&&

MAUSTIN
Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:58 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
458 PM CDT FRI JUL 03 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 SSE LEEDEY            35.83N 99.32W
07/03/2015  E60 MPH          DEWEY              OK   PUBLIC

&&

MAUSTIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 7:00 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNMajor2 hr
Jul 2, 7:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNOklahoma26 min
Jul 2, 7:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNWoods34 min
Jul 2, 7:46 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNLogan3 hr
Jul 2, 8:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNOklahoma25 min
Jul 2, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNOklahoma43 min
Jul 2, 8:22 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNOklahoma113 min
Jul 2, 8:51 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNLogan, Oklahoma3 hr
Jul 2, 9:57 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNCanadian, Cleveland, Grady, McClain, Oklahoma2 hr
Jul 2, 11:53 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNCleveland, Logan, McClain, Oklahoma3 hr
Jul 3, 2:11 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCleveland34 min
Jul 3, 2:48 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNCleveland, McClain117 min
Jul 3, 5:25 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNGarvin, Murray3 hr
Jul 3, 6:42 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNGarvin, Johnston, Murray, Pontotoc3 hr
Jul 3, 7:32 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Johnston, Marshall and 2 more3 hr
Jul 3, 9:13 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNBryan3 hr
Jul 3, 9:45 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningOUNGarvin, Murray3 hr
Jul 3, 3:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNEllis28 min
Jul 3, 3:59 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNDewey31 min
Jul 3, 4:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNJefferson32 min
Jul 3, 4:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNDewey, Ellis, Roger Mills29 min
Jul 3, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJefferson40 min
Jul 3, 4:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCleveland32 min
Jul 3, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, McClain22 min
Jul 3, 4:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCanadian32 min
Jul 3, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCuster, Dewey, Roger Mills45 min
Jul 3, 4:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNHughes26 min
Jul 3, 5:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNMcClain29 min
Jul 3, 5:20 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNJefferson3 hr
Jul 3, 6:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNWashita37 min
Jul 3, 6:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNStephens37 min
Jul 3, 3:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNClay37 min
Jul 3, 5:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNWilbarger25 min
Jul 3, 6:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNWilbarger28 min
Jul 3, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNWilbarger48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.