Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Norman, OK

March 25, 2015Lincoln County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 25, 2015, 7:04 PM CDT for Lincoln County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Mar 25, 2015, 7:04 PM CDT (00:04 UTC)
Expired: Mar 25, 2015, 7:30 PM CDT
In force: 26 min
Issued by: NWS Norman, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Lincoln County, OK

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 25, 2:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1928 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -15 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1591 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 294 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.1
Supercell composite: 16.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 25, 6:26 PM CDT, 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 25, 6:26 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
626 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

.AVIATION...
0Z TAFS... VFR/MVFR CEILINGS EXPECTED. COLD FRONT WILL CONT TO
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING WITH STRONG NORTH WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN PARTS
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OK... AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THIS
EVENING... WITH STRONG AND VARIABLE WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 237 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY ISSUE IS THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TONIGHT. SATELLITE
SHOWS STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY BE OCCURRING SOON. LARGE HAIL
LOOKS TO BE THE PRIMARY THREAT IN THE AREA GIVEN THE RELATIVELY
HIGH CLOUDS BASES EXPECTED. STORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS ALONG THE
FRONT... BUT ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COLD FRONT
AS WELL. STORMS WILL LIKELY EVOLVE INTO A LINE ALONG THE COLD
FRONT AS IT BARRELS SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA.

ALSO OF CONCERN ARE THE VERY STRONG NORTH WINDS EXPECTED BEHIND
THE FRONT... ESPECIALLY IN WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WHERE WE UPGRADED
TO THE HIGH WIND WARNING EARLIER THIS EVENING. GUSTS OF 60 MPH
WILL CERTAINLY BE POSSIBLE. THESE WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BEHIND THIS FRONT
WITH A SLIGHT WARMING THIS WEEKEND. THE 12Z GFS IS MUCH MORE
AGGRESSIVE WITH PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH AN UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHING THE AREA. THIS SOLUTION IS STILL QUITE AN OUTLIER WITH
OTHER MEDIUM RANGE MODELS PERSISTING WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...
SO HAVE NOT MADE ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  43  61  40  63 /  60   0  10   0
HOBART OK         40  62  38  66 /  20   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  45  63  42  69 /  30   0   0   0
GAGE OK           33  66  36  70 /  30   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     38  60  36  59 /  60  10  10   0
DURANT OK         49  62  41  66 /  70  10   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR OKZ004>010-012-013-019-
     020-025.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR OKZ011-014>018-024.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 4 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR OKZ011-014>018-
     021>024-027-033>036-038.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR OKZ026-028>032-037-
     039>047-050-051.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR OKZ021>023-027-
     033>036-038.

TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

11/25/25

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 25, 11:49 AM CDT, 7 hours 15 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1149 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-261200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1149 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.
THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTH TEXAS... AND SOUTHERN... CENTRAL AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA.

.LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM PONCA CITY
TO KINGFISHER TO CHICKASHA... AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM CHICKASHA TO
PURCELL TO SEMINOLE. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS EAST OF A LINE FROM
MEDFORD TO SEILING TO CLINTON TO HOBART OKLAHOMA TO VERNON AND
SEYMOUR TEXAS.

.TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM 3 PM
THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

.IMPACTS...
LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH
WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. FREQUENT
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE
CONCERNS.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK BOUNDARY THAT PUSHED THROUGH MUCH OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY
IS MOVING NORTH THROUGH NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE THIS MORNING. AS
THIS OCCURS INCREASING AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE AREA. BY MID AFTERNOON... THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER WITH A MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS TO THE SOUTH OF IT ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS. DAYTIME HEATING WILL AID IN INITIATING THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT NEAR THIS BOUNDARY BY MID AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE... CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND
STRONG WIND GUSTS.

MEANWHILE... AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE FROM THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES OUT INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. AS THIS OCCURS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SURGE SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS
OKLAHOMA. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE FRONT BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON FROM PORTIONS OF NORTHERN INTO
WESTERN OKLAHOMA.

THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE THAT ISOLATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP ON A
DRYLINE IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF NORTH
TEXAS... HOWEVER A WARM LAYER OF AIR ALOFT WILL KEEP THE CHANCE OF
STORMS LOWER ALONG THE DRYLINE AND MAY PREVENT STORM DEVELOPMENT
COMPLETELY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE
STORMS ALONG THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY DEVELOP INTO A LINE
OF STORMS THAT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA. SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FARTHER SOUTH AS THE
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
PERIOD.

.STRONG WINDS...
VERY STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT BEHIND A COLD FRONT. WINDS MAY GUST OVER
60 MPH IN SOME AREAS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA. USE CAUTION IF
TRAVELING... ESPECIALLY ON EAST- WEST ROADS. SEE WIND ADVISORY AND
HIGH WIND WARNING FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.FIRE WEATHER...
A DRYLINE WILL WORK EAST ACROSS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND EXTREME
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DRIER AIR WILL COMBINE
WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS TO ELEVATE WILDFIRE
CONCERNS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING.

.COLD TEMPERATURES...
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BEHIND A COLD FRONT TONIGHT. SOME LOCATIONS
OF NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA WILL DROP TO NEAR FREEZING FOR A SHORT TIME
AROUND SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
NEXT MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

.26.
CORRECTED TO REMOVE EXTRA WORD

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 25, 5:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
556 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0551 PM     HAIL             4 N LUTHER              35.72N 97.19W
03/25/2015  M1.75 INCH       OKLAHOMA           OK   STORM CHASER

&&

OUN

Local storm report, Mar 25, 5:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
559 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0557 PM     HAIL             GUTHRIE                 35.88N 97.42W
03/25/2015  E1.00 INCH       LOGAN              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AT I-35 AND HIGHWAY 77

&&

OUN

Local storm report, Mar 25, 6:20 PM CDT, 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
620 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0608 PM     HAIL             EL RENO                 35.53N 97.96W
03/25/2015  E1.75 INCH       CANADIAN           OK   OTHER FEDERAL

0600 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 NNW FORT COBB         35.15N 98.46W
03/25/2015  M60 MPH          CADDO              OK   MESONET

&&

OUN

Local storm report, Mar 25, 6:24 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
624 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     HAIL             11 NNW EDMOND           35.80N 97.56W
03/25/2015  E1.25 INCH       LOGAN              OK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            CHARTER OAK ROAD BETWEEN PENN AND WESTERN.

&&

OUN

Local storm report, Mar 25, 6:27 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
627 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     HAIL             EL RENO                 35.53N 97.96W
03/25/2015  E1.25 INCH       CANADIAN           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT I-40 AND ROUTE 81

&&

OUN

Local storm report, Mar 25, 6:35 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
635 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     HAIL             2 W LUTHER              35.66N 97.23W
03/25/2015  E1.00 INCH       OKLAHOMA           OK   AMATEUR RADIO

0617 PM     HAIL             4 SW BETHANY            35.47N 97.69W
03/25/2015  E1.00 INCH       CANADIAN           OK   AMATEUR RADIO

0622 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 S MUSTANG             35.35N 97.72W
03/25/2015  M73 MPH          CANADIAN           OK   STORM CHASER

0622 PM     HAIL             3 S MUSTANG             35.35N 97.72W
03/25/2015  E1.00 INCH       CANADIAN           OK   STORM CHASER

0627 PM     HAIL             MUSTANG                 35.39N 97.72W
03/25/2015  E1.00 INCH       CANADIAN           OK   AMATEUR RADIO

0622 PM     HAIL             4 W GRACEMONT           35.19N 98.33W
03/25/2015  E1.75 INCH       CADDO              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

0600 PM     HAIL             4 SW EL RENO            35.49N 98.01W
03/25/2015  E2.00 INCH       CANADIAN           OK   STORM CHASER

&&

OUN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 25, 7:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Cleveland	25 min
Mar 25, 7:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Comanche	24 min
Mar 25, 7:14 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Cleveland, McClain, Oklahoma	3 hr
Mar 25, 7:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Caddo, Comanche	51 min
Mar 25, 7:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Cleveland, Grady, McClain	47 min
Mar 25, 7:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Lincoln, Pottawatomie, Seminole	41 min
Mar 25, 8:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garvin, Grady	43 min
Mar 25, 8:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Comanche, Cotton, Grady, Stephens	51 min
Mar 25, 8:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Cleveland, Garvin, McClain, Pottawatomie	45 min
Mar 25, 8:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Cleveland, Garvin, Hughes, McClain, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie and 1 more	41 min
Mar 25, 8:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Hughes	24 min
Mar 25, 8:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Carter, Garvin, Grady, Murray, Stephens	50 min
Mar 25, 9:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Hughes	29 min
Mar 25, 9:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Carter, Garvin, Stephens	25 min
Mar 25, 9:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Coal, Garvin, Hughes, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie, Seminole	64 min
Mar 25, 9:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Murray	24 min
Mar 25, 9:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Coal, Johnston, Murray, Pontotoc	63 min
Mar 25, 10:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Atoka, Coal	56 min
Mar 25, 10:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Love, Marshall	34 min
Mar 25, 10:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Atoka, Johnston	62 min
Mar 25, 11:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Marshall	29 min
Mar 25, 11:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Atoka, Bryan, Johnston, Love, Marshall	54 min
Mar 26, 12:08 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Atoka, Bryan	37 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.