Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Norman, OK

April 27, 2015Custer County, Roger Mills County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this river flood warning at Apr 27, 2015, 2:00 AM CDT for Custer County, Roger Mills County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Apr 27, 2015, 10:31 AM CDT. It was in force for 31 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2015, 2:00 AM CDT (07:00 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 27, 2015, 10:31 AM CDT
Expired
Apr 28, 2015, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
31 hr
Issued by
NWS Norman, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Custer County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Washita River near Cheyenne (CHYO2).

Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
13.5 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07316500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 26, 6:21 PM CDT, 7 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 26, 6:21 PM CDT, 7 hours 39 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 26, 3:19 PM CDT, 10 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
319 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-272030-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
319 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA... THERE IS ALSO A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA.

LOCATION...
THE ENHANCED RISK EXTENDS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ALTUS TO WAURIKA.

THE SLIGHT RISK INCLUDES ALL AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
ARNETT... TO NORMAN... TO HOLDENVILLE OKLAHOMA.

TIMING...
NOON TO MIDNIGHT

IMPACTS...
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS AND 60 TO 70 MPH DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.
ADDITIONALLY... LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO FLASH
FLOODING.

DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS STALLED NEAR THE RED RIVER AND A DEEPENING
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS WEST TEXAS WILL ALLOW A DRYLINE TO MIX
EASTWARD... FROM SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA INTO CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOUTHEAST WINDS AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE WILL
ALLOW CONTINUAL TRANSPORT OF ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE... WHICH
WILL COMBINE WITH SUFFICIENT HEATING FOR THE PRODUCTION OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY. MEANWHILE... A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM
SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE UNSTABLE AIRMASS THIS
AFTERNOON... RESULTING IN RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG
BOTH THE DRYLINE AND THE STALLED FRONT... WHICH MAY BEGIN A SLOW
RETREAT NORTHWARD LATE IN THE DAY. INITIAL STORMS WILL LIKELY
BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY. COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL PROMOTE LARGE
HAIL GROWTH... AND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS IN THE STRONGEST STORMS. THIS POTENTIAL WILL BE GREATEST
ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN AND FAR SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA. AS AN AREA OF BACKED SURFACE WINDS DEVELOPS DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING... LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL INCREASE
THE CHANCE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE STRONGEST STORMS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN TEXAS AND POTENTIALLY INTO FAR
SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.

ONE OR MORE STORM CLUSTERS MAY DEVELOP DURING THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS. WITH ADEQUATE INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE WIND
PROFILES... SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IS LIKELY TO LINGER
INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT... WITH THE MAIN CONCERN BEING LARGE
HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY
SOME OF THE STORMS... AND AREAS THAT RECEIVE PROLONGED RAINFALL
WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STORMS WILL LIKELY SEE FLOODING.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
THE RISK AREA SHOULD PREPARE FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THE THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS SHOULD DIMINISH BY EARLY MONDAY...
BUT A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE... WITH HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS THE PRIMARY CONCERNS. RAIN IS LIKELY TO LINGER INTO
AT LEAST TUESDAY MORNING... BEFORE GRADUALLY WINDING DOWN DURING
THE DAY. THE PRIMARY CONCERN MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE THE EVER
INCREASING FLOOD POTENTIAL DUE TO PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL. AT
THIS TIME... AREAS OF WEST CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL... AND SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA... APPEAR TO HAVE THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR FLASH
FLOODING AND POSSIBLY RIVER FLOODING. IF MODELS CONTINUE TO
DEPICT HEAVY RAINFALL IN THESE AREAS...A FLOOD WATCH MAY BECOME
NECESSARY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

AUSTIN/KURTZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 26, 7:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNKiowa34 min
Apr 26, 7:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCaddo30 min
Apr 26, 7:52 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCaddo23 min
Apr 26, 8:07 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCaddo53 min
Apr 26, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo38 min
Apr 26, 10:56 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCoal49 min
Apr 27, 9:01 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNBeckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Tillman59 min
Apr 27, 10:01 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNCotton, Greer, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman44 min
Apr 27, 10:57 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNComanche, Cotton, Kiowa, Washita48 min
Apr 27, 11:49 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNComanche, Cotton, Tillman56 min
Apr 27, 2:10 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNStephens2 hr
Apr 27, 2:30 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningOUNGreer, Jackson41 hr
Apr 26, 7:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNFoard27 min
Apr 27, 3:20 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOUNBaylor25 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.