Flash Flood Warning 75, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
255 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SOME BANDS OF RAIN AFFECT MAINLY EASTERN TWO-
THIRDS OF THE AREA LATE TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. WITH TROPICAL
AIRMASS IN PLACE WE ARE RECEIVING HIGHER RAINFALL RATES THAN WOULD
OTHERWISE BE ANTICIPATED WITH THIS TYPE OF ACTIVITY. WILL
THEREFORE KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR CURRENT AREA THROUGH 12Z
MONDAY MORNING.

THERE REMAINS A LOW CHANCE FOR A FEW ISOLATED STORMS ACROSS FAR
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA LATE TODAY... WOULD BE MAINLY A HAIL
THREAT ALONG WITH ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN.

ANOTHER UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY
AFTN WITH A FEW MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER MUCH OF
THE MORE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF
THE RED RIVER.

WITH MODEST MID LEVEL FLOW WILL CONT TO SEE MINOR RIPPLES MOVE
THROUGH PORVIDING AT LEAST SOME OPPORTUNITY FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. MORE
SUBSTANTIAL STORM SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY THE END
OF THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  62  79  61  81 /  20  40  30  20
HOBART OK         60  78  57  82 /  20  40  20  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  63  79  60  85 /  20  50  20  20
GAGE OK           57  80  54  80 /  20  20  10  30
PONCA CITY OK     60  81  59  80 /  20  20  30  20
DURANT OK         65  78  63  83 /  30  70  50  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR OKZ008-012-013-
     016>020-022>032-035-038>048-050>052.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR TXZ090.

&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1145 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-251000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1145 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

.FLOODING...
FLOODING REMAINS THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH TONIGHT.
NUMEROUS STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE FLOODING...AND ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL DELAY RECOVERY...OR MAKE FLOODING WORSE. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
ENID TO CLINTON ... HOBART AND WALTERS OKLAHOMA AND HENRIETTA TEXAS.

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY
ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA INTO
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE
OF SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...
WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH ALONG WITH AND A LOW CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.FLOODING...
SEVERAL RIVERS WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE FOR SEVERAL DAYS. ANY
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL DELAY RECOVERY...OR CAUSE RIVERS TO RISE
HIGHER. HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE MOST DAYS THROUGH THIS
PERIOD...BUT THE MOST SIGNIFICANT RISK OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE ON
FRIDAY.

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A RISK OF A FEW SEVERE STORMS MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY...AND A FEW
MAY BE SEVERE EACH DAY...ESPECIALLY FRIDAY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

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