Alert archive / Oklahoma / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015

Flash Flood Warning 132, NWS Norman, OK

August 1, 2015Major County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this flash flood warning at Aug 1, 2015, 6:49 PM CDT for Major County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 1, 2015, 6:49 PM CDT (23:49 UTC)
Expired
Aug 1, 2015, 9:45 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Norman, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Major County, OK

The radar

The Vance AFB radar (KVNX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 310 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-08-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-08-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -28 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1471 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
1 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 1, 6:23 PM CDT, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 1, 6:23 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
623 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE THE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL LINGER THROUGH SUNSET NEAR GAG AND
WWR. COVERAGE WILL REMAIN LIMITED SO WILL INCLUDE VCTS FOR
NOW AND AMEND IF NECESSARY. SKIES WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO CLEAR
AFTER DARK...ALTHOUGH SOME HIGH CLOUDS MAY PERSIST OVER SPS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 246 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SMALL COMPLEX OF STORMS AND EMBEDDED MCV IN SOUTHWEST CONT TO
SLOWLY SHIFT EAST THIS AFTN. THERE HAS ALSO BEEN AN UPTICK IN THE
CONVECTION JUST OUT AHEAD OF THIS COMPLEX... IN AN INSTABILITY
AXIS. THIS ACTIVITY MAY APPROACH THE I-35 CORRIDOR BEFORE
DISSIPATING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. OTHERWISE... COULD
SEE SOME OF THIS CONVECTION LINGER INTO THE EVENING AND EVEN SOME
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT FARTHER NORTH ACROSS FAR WESTERN SECTIONS
OF THE AREA WITH SOME OVERNIGHT WAA.

OTHER THAN PERHAPS SOME ISOLATED ACTIVITY... MUCH OF SUNDAY AND
MONDAY LOOKS DRY WITH WARMER TEMPS RETURNING AREA-WIDE. MODELS DO
INDICATE A MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS
MON NIGHT INTO TUESDAY... WHICH WILL BRING A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN
TO MAINLY NORTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA.

MODELS THEN TRY TO BUILD THE UPPER RIDGE BACK EAST OVER THE PLAINS
FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. MARKING A RETURN TO HOT
AND HUMID CONDITIONS. THE LATEST GFS DOES BRING SEVERAL SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCES OUT OF THE WEST AND TRIES TO BEAT THE RIDGE DOWN BY
LATE IN THE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND. THIS COULD RESULT IN ANOTHER
SFC FRONT AND ADDITIONAL PRECIP CHANCES AS WE APPROACH THE
WEEKEND. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A BIT OF RUN-TO-RUN INCONSISTENCY IN
THE EXTENDED PART OF THE FORECAST WITH REGARD TO THE OVERALL
STRENGTH OF THE UPPER RIDGE... SO CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE SOLUTION
IS NOT HIGH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  71  91  71  93 /  20  10  20  10
HOBART OK         72  94  72  95 /  20  20  30  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  73  96  73  98 /  30  20  20  10
GAGE OK           69  93  70  91 /  30  20  20  30
PONCA CITY OK     72  92  72  94 /  10  10  10  10
DURANT OK         73  96  73  98 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

14/03/03
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 1, 11:57 AM CDT, 6 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1157 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-021200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1157 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
A LOOSELY ORGANIZED COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY EVOLVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. BRIEF PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING ARE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. ADDITIONAL... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THROUGH
THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH INCREASED DAYTIME HEATING.
HOWEVER... WEAK FORCING WILL ONLY SUPPORT SPOTTY ACTIVITY. ONE OR
TWO STRONG STORMS MAY DEVELOP... WITH GUSTY WINDS... FREQUENT
LIGHTNING... AND HEAVY RAINFALL THE PRIMARY CONCERNS. ANY
REMAINING ACTIVITY THIS EVENING WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET... WITH
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS LINGERING ACROSS THE REGION INTO EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR STORMS
WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH MONDAY...SHIFTING TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA EARLY
NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE UNLIKELY...A FEW
STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO BRIEFLY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS. ALSO...DUE TO SLOW STORM MOVEMENT...LOCALIZED FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.HEAT...
AFTER A BRIEF RESPITE FROM THE HEAT THIS WEEKEND...TRIPLE DIGIT
HEAT INDICES WILL RETURN TO MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS
NEXT WEEK.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

AUSTIN/KURTZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 6:28 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNMajor3 hr
Aug 1, 8:39 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryOUNFoard, Knox3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.