Alert archive / Idaho / Red Flag Warnings in 2015
Red Flag Warning 18, NWS Spokane, WA
NWS Spokane, WA issued this red flag warning at Aug 22, 2015, 3:06 PM PDT for 5 counties in Idaho. It took effect at Aug 23, 2015, 12:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 57 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 22, 2015, 3:06 PM PDT (22:06 UTC)
- In effect from
- Aug 23, 2015, 12:00 PM PDT
- Expired
- Aug 25, 2015, 9:00 PM PDT
- In force
- 57 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Spokane, WA
Counties Benewah County, ID, Bonner County, ID, Boundary County, ID, Kootenai County, ID, Shoshone County, ID
The radar
The Spokane radar (KOTX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 441 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 662 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 3 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 56 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
696 WWUS86 KOTX 222206 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 306 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. OUR PRIMARY CONCERN IS FOR AREAS IN WASHINGTON WITH ONGOING LARGE FIRES. A RETURN TO TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S COMBINED WITH VERY LOW HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY. POOR NIGHT TIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL PROMOTE FIRES THROUGH THE NIGHT. STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY ALSO ALLOW ACTIVE FIRES TO BE QUITE ACTIVE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD VERY WELL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE RE-EVALUATED AS WE SEE HOW THE FIRES RESPOND SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WAZ677-680-682-684>687-231500- /O.NEW.KOTX.FW.W.0018.150823T1900Z-150825T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 306 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPOKANE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 9 PM PDT MONDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 677 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 680 EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 682 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 684 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 685 EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 686 EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 687 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687). * HAINES: 5...WITH LOCALIZED HAINES 6. * WINDS: WEST OR NORTHWEST GAP WINDS OF 8 TO 12 MPH ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CASCADES. FOR EASTERN AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON LOOK FOR AFTERNOON WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 TO 10 MPH. * TIMING: BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSISTING THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON HUMIDITY OF 9 TO 14 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS. 15 TO 20 PERCENT IN THE MOUNTAINS. * TEMPERATURES: AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. * IMPACTS: HIGH POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$
11 follow-up statements
537 WWUS86 KOTX 222223 AAA RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 323 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. OUR PRIMARY CONCERN IS FOR AREAS IN WASHINGTON WITH ONGOING LARGE FIRES. A RETURN TO TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S COMBINED WITH VERY LOW HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY. POOR NIGHT TIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL PROMOTE FIRES THROUGH THE NIGHT. STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY ALSO ALLOW ACTIVE FIRES TO BE QUITE ACTIVE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD VERY WELL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE RE-EVALUATED AS WE SEE HOW THE FIRES RESPOND SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WAZ677-680-682-684>687-231500- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0018.150823T1900Z-150825T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 323 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPOKANE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 9 PM PDT MONDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 677 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 680 EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 682 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 684 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 685 EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 686 EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 687 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687). * HAINES: 5...WITH LOCALIZED HAINES 6. * WINDS: WEST OR NORTHWEST GAP WINDS OF 8 TO 12 MPH ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CASCADES. FOR EASTERN AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON LOOK FOR AFTERNOON WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 TO 10 MPH. * TIMING: BEGINNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSISTING THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON HUMIDITY OF 9 TO 14 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS. 15 TO 20 PERCENT IN THE MOUNTAINS. * TEMPERATURES: AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. * IMPACTS: HIGH POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$
866 WWUS86 KOTX 231233 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 533 AM PDT SUN AUG 23 2015 ...CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. THE PRIMARY CONCERN IS FOR AREAS WITH ONGOING LARGE FIRES. A RETURN TO TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S COMBINED WITH VERY LOW HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY. POOR NIGHT TIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL PROMOTE FIRES THROUGH THE NIGHT. STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY ALSO ALLOW CURRENT FIRES TO BE QUITE ACTIVE. IN ADDITION...WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING BY LATE MONDAY. THESE CONDITIONS COULD VERY WELL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE RE-EVALUATED AS WE SEE HOW THE FIRES RESPOND SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE IDAHO PANHANDLE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. WAZ677-680-682-684>687-232230- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0018.150823T1900Z-150825T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 533 AM PDT SUN AUG 23 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR HOT...DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS...FOLLOWED BY BREEZY WINDS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 677 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 680 EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 682 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 684 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 685 EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 686 EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 687 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687). * HAINES: WIDESPREAD 5...LOCAL POCKETS OF 6. * WINDS: WEST OR NORTHWEST GAP WINDS OF 9 TO 14 MPH ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CASCADES LATE TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. FOR NORTHEAST WASHINGTON EXPECT AFTERNOON WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH TODAY AND SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH ON MONDAY. LOCAL GUSTS 20 MPH. * TIMING: BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSISTING THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: 7 TO 15 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND 15 TO 22 PERCENT OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. * TEMPERATURES: DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO MID 90S. * IMPACTS: HIGH POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ IDZ101-232230- /O.NEW.KOTX.FW.A.0015.150824T1900Z-150825T0400Z/ NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101)- 533 AM PDT SUN AUG 23 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR HOT...DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS...FOLLOWED BY BREEZY WINDS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPOKANE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR HOT...DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS...FOLLOWED BY BREEZY WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101 NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101). * HAINES: 4 TO 5. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * TIMING: MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: 13 TO 20 PERCENT. * TEMPERATURES: MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. * IMPACTS: HIGH POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
464 WWUS86 KOTX 232209 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 309 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... .FIRES IN CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON ABOVE TODAYS SMOKY INVERSION HAVE PRODUCED IMPRESSIVE SMOKE PLUMES. FIRES BELOW THE SMOKY INVERSION DO NOT APPEAR TO BE BURNING AS ACTIVELY. AN INCREASE IN WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS ON MONDAY WILL LIKELY DISPERSE SOME OF THE SMOKE ALLOWING FIRES AT ALL ELEVATIONS TO BURN MORE ACTIVELY BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. DRY...WARM...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY...AND THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR WASHINGTON HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH 9 PM THURSDAY. TODAY...IDAHO FIRES DO NOT APPEAR TO BE RESPONDING AS MUCH AS THE FIRES IN NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON. SMOKE PLUMES ON SATELLITE ARE NOT PRODUCING AS MUCH SMOKE HIGH INTO THE ATMOSPHERE. WE ARE WAITING TO TALK WITH CREWS ON THESE FIRES TO DETERMINE WHETHER TO UPGRADE THE IDAHO FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING. MONDAY SHOULD BE MORE ACTIVE THAN TODAY WITH MORE WIND ON THE RIDGES, BUT MUCH OF THE PANHANDLE MAY HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. A RED FLAG BASED ON HAINES INDEX ALONE IS BORDERLINE. WAZ677-680-682-684>687-240615- /O.EXT.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150826T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 309 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 677 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 680 EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 682 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 684 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 685 EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 686 EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 687 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687). * HAINES: 5. LOCALIZED HAINES 6 IN NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON. * WINDS: MONDAY AFTERNOON WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 6 TO 12 MPH RANGE WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 20 MPH. RIDGE TOP GUSTS TO 20 MPH OR MORE WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. WIND ON TUESDAY SHOULD DECREASE INTO THE 3 TO 7 MPH RANGE. * TIMING: DRY AND UNSTABLE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: POOR NIGHT-TIME RH RECOVERIES ON THE RIDGES AND MID SLOPES SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL PROMOTE FIRE ACTIVITY THROUGH THE NIGHT. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY OF 10 TO 15 MPH. * IMPACTS: POTENTIAL FOR HIGH FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ IDZ101-240615- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.A.0015.150824T1900Z-150825T0400Z/ NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101)- 309 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101 NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101). * HAINES: 4 TO 5. * WINDS: MONDAY AFTERNOON WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 4 TO 9 MPH RANGE WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 17 MPH. RIDGE TOP GUSTS TO 15 MPH OR MORE WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * TIMING: MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: 13 TO 18 PERCENT. * IMPACTS: POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
173 WWUS86 KOTX 232358 AAA RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 458 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... .FIRES IN CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON ABOVE TODAYS SMOKY INVERSION HAVE PRODUCED IMPRESSIVE SMOKE PLUMES. FIRES BELOW THE SMOKY INVERSION DO NOT APPEAR TO BE BURNING AS ACTIVELY. AN INCREASE IN WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS ON MONDAY WILL LIKELY DISPERSE SOME OF THE SMOKE ALLOWING FIRES AT ALL ELEVATIONS TO BURN MORE ACTIVELY BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. DRY...WARM...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY...AND THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR WASHINGTON HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH 9 PM TUESDAY. TODAY...IDAHO FIRES DO NOT APPEAR TO BE RESPONDING AS MUCH AS THE FIRES IN NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON. SMOKE PLUMES ON SATELLITE ARE NOT PRODUCING AS MUCH SMOKE HIGH INTO THE ATMOSPHERE. WE ARE WAITING TO TALK WITH CREWS ON THESE FIRES TO DETERMINE WHETHER TO UPGRADE THE IDAHO FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING. MONDAY SHOULD BE MORE ACTIVE THAN TODAY WITH MORE WIND ON THE RIDGES...BUT MUCH OF THE PANHANDLE MAY HAVE SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. A RED FLAG BASED ON HAINES INDEX ALONE IS BORDERLINE. WAZ677-680-682-684>687-241500- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150826T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 458 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 677 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 680 EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 682 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 684 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 685 EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 686 EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 687 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687). * HAINES: 5. LOCALIZED HAINES 6 IN NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON. * WINDS: MONDAY AFTERNOON WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 6 TO 12 MPH RANGE WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 20 MPH. RIDGE TOP GUSTS TO 20 MPH OR MORE WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. WIND ON TUESDAY SHOULD DECREASE INTO THE 3 TO 7 MPH RANGE. * TIMING: DRY AND UNSTABLE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: POOR NIGHT-TIME RH RECOVERIES ON THE RIDGES AND MID SLOPES SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL PROMOTE FIRE ACTIVITY THROUGH THE NIGHT. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY OF 10 TO 15 MPH. * IMPACTS: POTENTIAL FOR HIGH FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ IDZ101-241500- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.A.0015.150824T1900Z-150825T0400Z/ NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101)- 458 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101 NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101). * HAINES: 4 TO 5. * WINDS: MONDAY AFTERNOON WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 4 TO 9 MPH RANGE WITH LOCALIZED GUSTS TO 17 MPH. RIDGE TOP GUSTS TO 15 MPH OR MORE WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * TIMING: MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: 13 TO 18 PERCENT. * IMPACTS: POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
887 WWUS86 KOTX 241235 AAB RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 535 AM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE EARLY THIS WEEK... .FIRES ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON WILL CONTINUE TO BE ACTIVE TODAY. AN INCREASE IN WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY DISPERSE SOME OF THE SMOKE. DRY...WARM...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY EVENING. FIRES ACROSS NORTH IDAHO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BURN ACTIVE TODAY...ESPECIALLY WITH MORE WIND ON THE RIDGES. ALTHOUGH HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE ON THE RISE. INSTABILITY LEVELS LOOK MARGINAL. WILL EVALUATE CONDITIONS LATER THIS MORNING. WAZ677-680-682-684>687-241900- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150826T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 535 AM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR HOT...DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 677 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 680 EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 682 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 684 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 685 EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 686 EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 687 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687). * HAINES: 5. LOCALIED HAINES 6 IN NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON. * WINDS: WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * TIMING: TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: 9 TO 19 PERCENT. * IMPACTS: POTENTIAL FOR HIGH FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ IDZ101-241900- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.A.0015.150824T1900Z-150825T0400Z/ NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101)- 535 AM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON PDT TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101 NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101). * HAINES: 3 TO 5. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * TIMING: THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: 11 TO 21 PERCENT. * IMPACTS: POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
367 WWUS86 KOTX 241440 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 740 AM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE EARLY THIS WEEK... .FIRES ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON WILL CONTINUE TO BE ACTIVE TODAY. AN INCREASE IN WEST OR SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL LIKELY DISPERSE SOME OF THE SMOKE. DRY...WARM...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY EVENING. CURRENT FIRES ACROSS NORTH IDAHO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BURN ACTIVE TODAY...ESPECIALLY ON MID AND UPPER SLOPES WHERE MORE WIND WILL BE PRESENT. OTHERWISE...WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED AND THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHERN IDAHO HAS BEEN CANCELLED. IDZ101-241545- /O.CAN.KOTX.FW.A.0015.150824T1900Z-150825T0400Z/ NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101)- 740 AM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPOKANE HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. HOT...DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL BE PRESENT MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE IDAHO PANHANDLE. IN ADDITION...A MODEST INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR ON RIDGETOPS MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO INCREASE BURN BEHAVIOR ON THE MID AND UPPER SLOPES. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE LACK OF INCREASED FIRE BEHAVIOR OBSERVED ON SUNDAY...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ WAZ677-680-682-684>687-250000- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150826T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 740 AM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR HOT...DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 677 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 680 EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 682 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 684 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 685 EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 686 EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 687 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687). * HAINES: 5. LOCALIZED HAINES 6 IN NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON. * WINDS: WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * TIMING: TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: 9 TO 21 PERCENT. * IMPACTS: POTENTIAL FOR HIGH FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$
231 WWUS86 KOTX 242219 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 319 PM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...DRY AND LOCALLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS POSSIBLY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...WIDELY SCATTERED DRY LIGHTNING FOR PALOUSE AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. OUR AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN IS THE PALOUSE...AND THE CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE INCLUDING SHOSHONE... LATAH...BENEWAH...AND KOOTENAI COUNTIES. THE ONGOING RED FLAG WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...NORTH CENTRAL...AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL BE ASSESSED THIS EVENING AND AGAIN TUESDAY MORNING. THICK SMOKE APPEARS TO HAVE SUPPRESSED FIRE ACTIVITY SO FAR TODAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING MAY DISPERSE SOME OF THE SMOKE...BUT THICK SMOKE MAY ON TUESDAY MAY ONCE AGAIN SUPPRESS WILDFIRES. FOR THE REMAINDER OF MONDAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY...FIRES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE THE THICK SMOKE LAYER WILL HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO EXPERIENCE RAPID GROWTH. IDZ101-WAZ674-251500- /O.EXB.KOTX.FW.W.0018.150825T0500Z-150825T1500Z/ NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101)- EAST WASHINGTON PALOUSE AND SPOKANE AREA (ZONE 674)- 319 PM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH LAL 6... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPOKANE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH LAL 6...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM PDT TUESDAY. * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101 NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 674 EAST WASHINGTON PALOUSE AND SPOKANE AREA (ZONE 674). * COMMUNITIES: THE CORRIDOR FROM LACROSSE...TO PULLMAN...TO HARRISON...TO KELLOGG...TO CLARK FORK APPEARS TO HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR LAL 6 TONIGHT. AREAS NORTH OF SPOKANE AND SANDPOINT APPEAR TO HAVE LESS CHANCE FOR LIGHTNING. * LAL: LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 6 (WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS) * TIMING: LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: NEW WILDFIRE IGNITIONS ARE THE PRIMARY CONCERN. WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH MAY OCCUR...BUT DONT SEEM LIKELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF WIDELY SCATTERED DRY LIGHTNING AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW WILDFIRES. && $$ WAZ677-680-682-684>687-251500- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150826T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 319 PM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 677 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 680 EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 682 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 684 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 685 EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 686 EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 687 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687). * HAINES: 5. AREAS THAT CLEAR OUT OF THICK SMOKE WILL HAVE THE BEST POTENTIAL OF TAPPING INTO THE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING. RIDGE TOP GUSTS OF 25 MPH MAY PERSIST OVERNIGHT. * TIMING: DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES (30-40 PERCENT) ON THE RIDGES AND MID SLOPES. AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITY OF 10 TO 17 PERCENT. * IMPACTS: POTENTIAL FOR HIGH FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. FIRES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE THE THICK SMOKE LAYER WILL HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO EXPERIENCE RAPID GROWTH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$
906 WWUS86 KOTX 250543 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 1043 PM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...DRY AND LOCALLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS POSSIBLY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...WIDELY SCATTERED DRY LIGHTNING FOR PALOUSE AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST CONCERN LAYS ACROSS THE PALOUSE INTO SPOKANE AND KOOTENAI COUNTY...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BONNER AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN SHOSHONE COUNTY. THE ONGOING RED FLAG WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...NORTH CENTRAL...AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. FIRES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE THE THICK SMOKE LAYER WILL HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO EXPERIENCE RAPID GROWTH AND THE POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. WAZ677-680-682-684>687-251500- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150826T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 1043 PM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 677 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 680 EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 682 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 684 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 685 EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 686 EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 687 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687). * HAINES: 5. AREAS THAT CLEAR OUT OF THICK SMOKE WILL HAVE THE BEST POTENTIAL OF TAPPING INTO THE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH. RIDGE TOP GUSTS OF 25 MPH. * TIMING: DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES (30-40 PERCENT) ON THE RIDGES AND MID SLOPES. AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITY OF 10 TO 17 PERCENT. * IMPACTS: POTENTIAL FOR HIGH FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. FIRES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE THE THICK SMOKE LAYER WILL HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO EXPERIENCE RAPID GROWTH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ IDZ101-WAZ674-251500- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150825T1500Z/ NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101)- EAST WASHINGTON PALOUSE AND SPOKANE AREA (ZONE 674)- 1043 PM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH LAL 6... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101 NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 674 EAST WASHINGTON PALOUSE AND SPOKANE AREA (ZONE 674). * COMMUNITIES: THE CORRIDOR FROM LACROSSE...TO CHENEY TO SPOKANE TO ROCKFORD...TO SPIRIT LAKE AND COEUR D'ALENE TO COCOLALLA HAS THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY. SMALLER ISOLATED CHANCES WILL EXIST TOWARD PULLMAN TO KELLOGG...BUT ARE STILL A DEFINITE POSSIBILITY. * LAL: LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 6 (WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS) * TIMING: LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: NEW WILDFIRE IGNITIONS ARE THE PRIMARY CONCERN. WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH MAY OCCUR...BUT DONT SEEM LIKELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF WIDELY SCATTERED DRY LIGHTNING AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW WILDFIRES. && $$
047 WWUS86 KOTX 250546 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 1046 PM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...DRY AND LOCALLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS POSSIBLY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...WIDELY SCATTERED DRY LIGHTNING FOR SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON THROUGH IDAHO PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THE HIGHEST CONCERN LAYS ACROSS THE PALOUSE INTO SPOKANE AND KOOTENAI COUNTY...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN BONNER AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN SHOSHONE COUNTY. THE ONGOING RED FLAG WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...NORTH CENTRAL...AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. FIRES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE THE THICK SMOKE LAYER WILL HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO EXPERIENCE RAPID GROWTH AND THE POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. WAZ677-680-682-684>687-251500- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150826T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 1046 PM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 677 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 680 EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 682 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 684 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 685 EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 686 EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 687 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687). * HAINES: 5. AREAS THAT CLEAR OUT OF THICK SMOKE WILL HAVE THE BEST POTENTIAL OF TAPPING INTO THE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH. RIDGE TOP GUSTS OF 25 MPH. * TIMING: DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES (30-40 PERCENT) ON THE RIDGES AND MID SLOPES. AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITY OF 10 TO 17 PERCENT. * IMPACTS: POTENTIAL FOR HIGH FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. FIRES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE THE THICK SMOKE LAYER WILL HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO EXPERIENCE RAPID GROWTH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ IDZ101-WAZ674-251500- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150825T1500Z/ NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101)- EAST WASHINGTON PALOUSE AND SPOKANE AREA (ZONE 674)- 1046 PM PDT MON AUG 24 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT TUESDAY FOR WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH LAL 6... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 101 NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 674 EAST WASHINGTON PALOUSE AND SPOKANE AREA (ZONE 674). * COMMUNITIES: THE CORRIDOR FROM LACROSSE...TO CHENEY TO SPOKANE TO ROCKFORD...TO SPIRIT LAKE AND COEUR D'ALENE TO COCOLALLA HAS THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY. SMALLER ISOLATED CHANCES WILL EXIST TOWARD PULLMAN TO KELLOGG...BUT ARE STILL A DEFINITE POSSIBILITY. * LAL: LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 6 (WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS) * TIMING: LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: NEW WILDFIRE IGNITIONS ARE THE PRIMARY CONCERN. WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH MAY OCCUR...BUT DONT SEEM LIKELY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF WIDELY SCATTERED DRY LIGHTNING AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW WILDFIRES. && $$
819 WWUS86 KOTX 251242 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 542 AM PDT TUE AUG 25 2015 ...DRY AND LOCALLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... .THE ONGOING RED FLAG WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...NORTH CENTRAL...AND NORTHEAST WASHINGTON FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. FIRES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE THE THICK SMOKE LAYER WILL HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO EXPERIENCE RAPID GROWTH AND THE POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THIS EVENING. IDZ101-WAZ674-251345- /O.CAN.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150825T1500Z/ NORTHERN AND CENTRAL IDAHO PANHANDLE (ZONE 101)- EAST WASHINGTON PALOUSE AND SPOKANE AREA (ZONE 674)- 542 AM PDT TUE AUG 25 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR WIDELY SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH LAL 6... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPOKANE HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. SHOWERS WITH AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. HOWEVER SCATTERED DRY LIGHTNING IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED AND THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED. $$ WAZ677-680-682-684>687-260400- /O.CON.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150826T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 542 AM PDT TUE AUG 25 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... * AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONE 677 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 680 EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 682 EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 684 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 685 EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 686 EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686) AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 687 EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687). * HAINES: 5. AREAS THAT CLEAR OUT OF THICK SMOKE WILL HAVE THE BEST POTENTIAL OF TAPPING INTO THE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. * WINDS: SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * TIMING: DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING. * RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITY OF 10 TO 18 PERCENT. * IMPACTS: POTENTIAL FOR HIGH FIRE ACTIVITY FOR OUR CURRENT LARGE WILDFIRES. FIRES AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE THE THICK SMOKE LAYER WILL HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO EXPERIENCE RAPID GROWTH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$
663 WWUS86 KOTX 260354 RFWOTX URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 854 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 2015 WAZ677-680-682-684>687-260500- /O.EXP.KOTX.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-150826T0400Z/ EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE VALLEYS (ZONE 677)- EAST WASHINGTON SOUTH CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 680)- EAST WASHINGTON CENTRAL CASCADE MOUNTAINS (ZONE 682)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN/METHOW VALLEYS (ZONE 684)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTH CASCADES (ZONE 685)- EAST WASHINGTON NORTHEAST (ZONE 686)- EAST WASHINGTON OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS (ZONE 687)- 854 PM PDT TUE AUG 25 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS... THE HOT AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS HAVE DISSIPATED FOR THIS EVENING. WE WILL MONITOR POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING HOT. HOWEVER THE INTRUSION OF SOME MID-LEVEL MOISTURE MAY LIMIT THE DEEPER INSTABILITY AND KEEP HAINES IN THE LOW CATEGORY. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Spokane, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Aug 22, 2:56 PM PDT, 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 22, 2:56 PM PDT, 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
256 PM PDT SAT AUG 22 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will be in place through the week bringing warm
temperatures and very dry conditions coupled with light winds.
Lows in the northern valleys will be quite chilly tonight dipping
into the 30s. Strong morning inversions will likely lead to poor
air quality due to high concentrations of wildfire smoke. The next
round of winds, precipitation, and cooler weather looks to arrive
around next weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
...HOT...DRY...UNSTABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH AT
LEAST MONDAY CONTRIBUTING TO INCREASED WILDFIRE ACTIVITY...
Tonight through Sunday Night: High pressure will strengthen over
the region. This will promote a warming trend Sunday into Monday
with high temperatures climbing back into the mid to upper 80s and
low 90s. Dew point temperatures are also going to be very dry,
especially overnight tonight into Sunday. These dry dew points
combined with weak winds and no cloud cover will actually promote
strong radiational cooling in the valleys. With high temperatures
only warming into the 70s, we will see a steep drop off in
temperatures down into the 40s and for the mountain valleys
cooling into the 30s for many spots. Some of our colder spots
across the northern valley locations may even flirt with the lower
30s. This will include areas in and around Republic, MetalineFalls,
Deer Park, Priest Lake and Bonners Ferry. It is not out of the
question that a few spots will approach the freezing mark, but
confidence is low that freezing temperatures will actually be
reached. However, I did add patchy frost to the forecast for these
cold spots. The cold temperatures will occur despite warming
temperatures aloft. Temperatures at 850 mbs will warm about 5 to 8
degrees Celsius through tonight compared to what was observed last
night. This is in response to a weakening easterly gradient. These
warmer temperatures will create thermal belts on mid-slopes with
strong inversions setting up at the surface. In turn, these strong
inversions will trap smoke across the many of our mountain valleys
heading into Sunday. /SVH
Monday through Wednesday: The 500mb ridge axis will move eastward
and set up over Idaho and Montana Monday through Wednesday. The
subtle increase in on-shore flow over western Washington will
produce cooler weather in Seattle, but will do little to bring
cooler conditions to areas east of the Cascades. The increasing
temperature/pressure gradient across the Cascades will produce a
modest increase in gap winds along the East Slopes. We will also
see our typical west or southwest winds develop over the Palouse,
West Plains, Upper Basin, and northeast Washington in response to
the thermal low that is expected to develop over Central
Washington in this time frame. The 8 to 12 mph winds will help
disperse some of the smoke, but areas near wildfires will likely
be overwhelmed by the volume of smoke produced by big fires.
The forecast remains free of precipitation for the most part.
Several GFS model runs continue to produce high based showers over
north central Oregon Monday evening and perpetuate these showers
overnight into south central Washington overnight...possibly into
the north Idaho Panhandle by Tuesday morning. The moisture on
model soundings is so marginal that it is tough to get too excited
about precipitation, but we may need to add some nocturnal, high
based showers (and possibly thunderstorms) Monday night into
Tuesday morning. /GKoch
Wednesday through Friday, the Inland NW will remain under broad
southwest flow as a deep area of low pressure settles over the
Eastern Pacific and a ridge of high pressure anchors along the
Northern Rockies. Look for this pattern to deliver above normal
warmth...small chance for showers or thunderstorms...and
occasional afternoon breeziness. Temperatures (at least the idea
of above normal warmth) carries the highest confidence as models
are in good agreement that 850mb temperatures remain in the lower
20's Celsius. Mixing this down dry adiabatically will yield high
temperatures in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Smoke will be the main
impact to forecast and potential for busts. Pacific moisture will
get drawn northward within the southwest flow and bring a small
chance for showers and thunderstorms. Forecast instability is not
terribly impressive and any activity will likely be tied to any
number of weak waves. Confidence remains low that any lightning
will be generated in this pattern but given the warmth and
increasing moisture, it cannot be ruled out quite yet. As for
winds, we do see a strengthening jet aloft and deepening marine
layer over Wrn WA. Consequently, while no significant fronts are
expected in this time-frame, afternoon mixing should allow for
occasional wind gusts 15-30 mph each afternoon and early evening.
Saturday and Sunday: Models continue to hint that the offshore trough
will make a run inland. There remains considerable differences
related to timing. In addition, models have made similar attempts
to bring in a cooler trof on a few occasional this summer that
have failed to occur. Consequently, confidence is low on exact
impacts but this mornings latest model guidance suggest the
potential for another windy cold front, showers and t-storms, and
return to 70s and 80s in this time-frame. Models also indicate the
trof will tap into a really juicy air mass. Whether this equates
to just clouds, steady rains, showers, or wet storms is yet to be
decided. How fast the system comes onshore and what time of day
will contribute to these factors. The Climate Prediction Center
8-14 day outlook seems to favor these odds with the forecast
favoring below normal temps and above normal precipitation odds
for the Pac NW. /sb
&&
.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: High pressure across western MT will continue to result
in light northeast winds across the ID Panhandle and into eastern
WA. These winds will push the greatest concentration of smoke into
the southern Columbia Basin and into the east slopes of the
Cascade Mtns. Sky conditions are expected to improve at KMWH
through the afternoon. Smoke will begin to accumulate at KEAT
this afternoon with MVFR vis possible by the afternoon. Some
improvement is expected at KPUW and KLWS, but skies will likely
remain hazy with MVFR vis possible through at least much of the
early afternoon hours. Depending on how active area wildfires
become today, more MVFR and localized IFR conditions will be
possible overnight due to smoke being trapped under a
strengthening surface inversion. /SVH
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
RED FLAG WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR HOT...DRY...AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. OUR
PRIMARY CONCERN ARE AREAS IN WASHINGTON WITH ONGOING LARGE FIRES.
A RETURN TO TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S COMBINED WITH
VERY LOW HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASED FIRE
ACTIVITY. POOR NIGHT TIME RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL PROMOTE
FIRES THROUGH THE NIGHT. STEEP LOW/MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY ALSO
ALLOW ACTIVE FIRES TO BE QUITE ACTIVE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD VERY
WELL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE RE-
EVALUATED AS WE SEE HOW THE FIRES RESPOND SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
/GKoch
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane 49 87 58 88 60 88 / 0 0 0 0 10 10
Coeur d'Alene 46 87 53 88 55 88 / 0 0 0 0 10 10
Pullman 41 87 50 88 54 88 / 0 0 0 0 10 10
Lewiston 54 94 63 94 64 95 / 0 0 0 0 10 10
Colville 41 87 49 89 51 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 10
Sandpoint 39 85 44 84 47 86 / 0 0 0 0 10 10
Kellogg 42 86 52 88 53 88 / 0 0 0 0 10 10
Moses Lake 46 91 54 92 56 91 / 0 0 0 0 10 0
Wenatchee 55 90 64 89 62 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
Omak 47 86 51 90 51 90 / 0 0 0 0 0 0
&&
.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning from 1 PM Sunday to 9 PM PDT Monday for East
Washington Central Cascade Mountains (Zone 682)-East
Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
Washington North Cascades (Zone 685)-East Washington
Northeast (Zone 686)-East Washington Okanogan Highlands
(Zone 687)-East Washington Okanogan/Methow Valleys (Zone
684)-East Washington South Central Cascade Mountains (Zone
680).
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 22, 4:49 AM PDT, 10 hours 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 449 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 2015 IDZ001>004-026-027-WAZ031>038-041>044-231400- NORTHERN PANHANDLE-COEUR D'ALENE AREA-IDAHO PALOUSE- CENTRAL PANHANDLE MOUNTAINS-LEWISTON AREA- LEWIS AND SOUTHERN NEZ PERCE COUNTIES-NORTHEAST BLUE MOUNTAINS- LOWER GARFIELD AND ASOTIN COUNTIES-WASHINGTON PALOUSE- MOSES LAKE AREA-UPPER COLUMBIA BASIN-SPOKANE AREA- NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS-OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS-WENATCHEE AREA- EAST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES-OKANOGAN VALLEY-WATERVILLE PLATEAU- 449 AM PDT SAT AUG 22 2015 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North Idaho... North Central Idaho...Central Washington...East Central Washington...North Central Washington...Northeast Washington and Southeast Washington. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Idaho, 2015Red Flag Warnings in Washington, 2015Every red flag warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.