Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS New York, NY

248 
WGUS71 KOKX 012210
FFSOKX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
610 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2015

CTC001-009-012220-
/O.CAN.KOKX.FF.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150601T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FAIRFIELD CT-NEW HAVEN CT-
610 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN FAIRFIELD AND NORTHWESTERN
NEW HAVEN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE
A THREAT.

LAT...LON 4156 7295 4156 7292 4148 7290 4135 7355
      4152 7353 4154 7345 4149 7344 4151 7339
      4149 7337 4147 7331 4149 7333 4151 7332
      4151 7316 4156 7316 4157 7309 4161 7305
      4162 7302 4163 7302 4164 7294

$$

DSW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
348 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE REGION
ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE NORTHEAST AS LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND BECOMES NEARLY
STATIONARY SOUTH OF THE AREA FOR THE START OF THE NEW WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
DEEP AND MOIST SW FLOW CONTINUES AHEAD OF DEVELOPING CANADIAN
CLOSED UPPER LOW AND MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY CLOSED UPPER LOW
TONIGHT.

SHOWER AND ISOLATED TSTM ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE
THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL OCCUR DUE TO A
STRENGTHENING LLJ ADVECTING IN AN ANOMALOUSLY MOIST AND WEAKLY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS INTO THE REGION OVER A SLOWLY EASTWARD DRIFTING
SURFACE WAVE AND ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES. IN ADDITION...DEEP LAYER LIFT SHOULD INCREASE AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE AND RIGHT REAR QUAD OF
70-80 KT JET STREAK TONIGHT.

THIS WILL CONTINUE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
ACCOMPANYING URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. SOME SMALLER
STREAMS...ESPECIALLY IN NJ...COULD ALSO EXCEED BANKFULL. FLASH FLOOD
WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL BUT EASTERN LI FOR THIS THREAT. SEE HYDRO
SECTION FOR MORE INFORMATION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE NORTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW TRACKS THROUGH QUEBEC INTO NORTHERN
MAINE DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...THE STALLED FRONT
TO THE SOUTH...WITH WEAK WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKING ALONG
IT...GRADUALLY GETS PUSHED FARTHER SOUTH AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE N/NW.

A TRANSITION TO MAINLY STRATIFORM RAIN AND DECREASING PROBABILITY
OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED FROM NW TO SE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING AS LLJ AND INSTABILITY AXIS GETS PUSHED FARTHER
SE. FRONTOGENETIC/DEFORMATION BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
STILL EXPECTED WITH DEEP LIFT OF THE MOIST AIRMASS. A GENERAL 1 TO
3 INCHES OF RAIN LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL BUT EASTERN LI FOR THIS
THREAT. SEE HYDRO SECTION FOR MORE INFORMATION.

WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER...ONSHORE FLOW AND PCPN...TEMPS WILL
BE ABOUT 15 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ONCE AGAIN ON
TUESDAY...STRUGGLING TO REACH 60 DEGREES.

GRADUALLY DRYING FROM NW TO SE EXPECTED TUE AFTERNOON INTO TUE
EVENING AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION FROM THE
NORTH. CHILLY CONDITIONS FOR JUNE...WITH LOWS WILL ABOUT 5 TO 10
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TUE NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND MOVES OFFSHORE ON
THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST U.S. ON WEDNESDAY...AND LOW PRES
WILL DEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. AS A RESULT...CAN EXPECT
A PROLONGED PERIOD OF EASTERLY FLOW FOR THE MID-WEEK PERIOD. SKIES
WILL BE CLOUDY...ESPECIALLY FOR COASTAL AREAS...AND TEMPS WILL FALL
JUST BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S.

WITH THE HIGH OFFSHORE ON FRIDAY...SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. LOW PRES OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST MOVES
OFFSHORE AS WELL. TEMPS WILL WARM UP BY A FEW DEGREES TO CLOSE OUT
THE WORK WEEK. THAT FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY...AND
LIKEWISE WILL BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA FOR
THE START OF THE NEW WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

ANOTHER LOW LOOKS TO DEVELOP ON THAT BOUNDARY AND IMPACT THE REGION
WITH RAIN FOR THE START OF THE NEW WORK WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY JUST SOUTH OF THE
TERMINALS TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE TRAVELING
ALONG THE FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

LIFR/IFR CIGS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THESE SHOWERS...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND LOCATION IS
TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN TAFS AT THIS TIME. SOME OF THE RAIN MAY BE
HEAVY AT TIMES. THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AND
START TO DIMINISH AFTER 16Z ON TUESDAY.

E-NE WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY AROUND 10-20 KT TODAY. WINDS COULD
INCREASE A BIT OVERNIGHT...THEN DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY
AS THEY BECOME MORE NORTHERLY.

     NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT:  HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS LIKELY FOR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES.
AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR TIMING OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS LIKELY FOR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES.
AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR TIMING OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS LIKELY FOR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES.
AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR TIMING OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS LIKELY FOR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES.
AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR TIMING OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS LIKELY FOR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES.
AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR TIMING OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS LIKELY FOR CEILINGS/VISIBILITIES.
AMENDMENTS POSSIBLE FOR TIMING OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
.TUESDAY AFTERNOON...IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WITH RAIN.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR.
.WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY...VFR.
.FRIDAY...LOW CHANCE OF SUB-VFR IN SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
A STEADY MARGINAL SCA E/NE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT ON THE OCEAN. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
VEER AND WEAKEN TUESDAY...WITH SEAS THEN GRADUALLY FALLING BELOW
SCA LEVELS TUE NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TOWARDS THE WATERS.

ONCE SEAS FALL BELOW SCA LEVELS TUE NIGHT INTO WED....HIGH PRES
OVER THE WATERS WILL KEEP WINDS/SEAS BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WATERS THIS
WEEKEND.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH 00Z WED FOR ALL BUT
EASTERN LI FOR URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING THREAT FROM ANY
TRAINING HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW FLASHY STREAMS
AND SMALL RIVERS...ESPECIALLY IN NE NJ...COULD EXCEED BANKFULL DUE
TO THE SATURATED GROUNDS FROM RAINFALL OVER THE LAST 36 HRS.

ADDITIONAL BASIN AVG QPF OF 1 TO 3 INCHES EXPECTED INTO TUE
EVE BEFORE COMING TO AND END.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR CTZ005>012.
NY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR NYZ067>075-078-
     080-176>179.
NJ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR NJZ002-004-006-
     103>108.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MPS/NV
NEAR TERM...MPS/NV
SHORT TERM...NV
LONG TERM...MPS
AVIATION...BC
MARINE...MPS/NV
HYDROLOGY...MPS/NV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
309 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2015

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078-080-176>179-021915-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
309 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ079-081-021915-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
309 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-021915-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
309 PM EDT MON JUN 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1237 PM EDT MON JUN 01 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ROSELLE PARK            40.67N  74.27W
06/01/2015                   UNION              NJ   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            EAST LINCOLN FROM WALNUT TO HEMLOCK

&&

FEB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1252 PM EDT MON JUN 01 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ROSELLE PARK            40.67N  74.27W
06/01/2015                   UNION              NJ   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            EAST LINCOLN CLOSED FROM WALNUT TO HEMLOCK

&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

FEB