Alert archive / Tennessee / Special Weather Statements in 2015
Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN
NWS Nashville, TN issued this special weather statement at Jun 19, 2015, 4:55 PM CDT for Fentress County, Tennessee. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 19, 2015, 4:55 PM CDT (21:55 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 19, 2015, 5:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 35 min
- Issued by
- NWS Nashville, TN
County Fentress County, TN
The radar
The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1388 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -27 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 995 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 69 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 58 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 19, 4:03 PM CDT, 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 4:03 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 403 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015 .DISCUSSION... WILL BE BREAKING OUT A LATE AFTERNOON ZONE GROUPING TO DEAL WITH TIMING CONCERNS FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON HRS...OTHERWISE...ON A WHOLE...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN REASONING FOR THE UPCOMING FORECAST PACKAGE. CONSENSUS MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWING CHANCES FOR SHWRS AND TSTMS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT...BUT MOVE EWD AS THE DAY PROGRESSES ON SAT...BEFORE AGAIN THE AREA ENTERS QUITE AN OPPRESSIVE HEAT WAVE EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MUCH ADVERTISED REMNANTS OF T.D. BILL WILL FINALLY IMPACT THE REGION TONIGHT THRU SAT INCREASING RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA. SHORT RANGE MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT HERE...WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR CONVECTION WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WEST AND TRANSITION TO THE ENTIRE AREA OVERNIGHT BEFORE MOVING EAST OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA BY SAT AFTERNOON. MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE RAINFALL OVERNIGHT WITH THE BEST CHANCES REMAINING ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE WITH GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN CONCERNS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. SOME BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ALSO. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 70 DEGREES TONIGHT WITH HIGHS NEAR MORE SEASONAL NORMAL VALUES ON SAT SPANNING THE 80S. ONCE THIS SYSTEM EXITS THE AREA BY LATE SAT NIGHT...THE PATTERN OF DRY WX WITH HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL KICK IN ONCE AGAIN. IN FACT...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WASTE NO TIME SOARING BACK INTO THE 90S ON SUN WITH GENERALLY MOSUNNY SKIES. MON THRU WED STILL LOOK LIKE THEY WILL BE HEADLINED WITH POTENTIAL HEAT ISSUES AS HEAT INDEX VALUES LOOK TO CLOSE IN ON 105F+ DEGREES ALL 3 DAYS ACROSS MOST OF THE MID STATE. HIGHS WILL EASILY REACH INTO AT LEAST THE MID 90S DURING THIS TIME FRAME AS WELL WITH LITTLE RELIEF IN SIGHT FOR AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM DURING THESE DAYS... EXPECT POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU REGION. BY THE END OF NEXT WORK WEEK...THE UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN AND A MORE TYPICAL JUNE PATTERN OF NW UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL ALLOW SOME AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION TO DEVELOP WHICH SHOULD SPELL SOME RELIEF FROM THE PREVIOUS VERY HOT AND HUMID DAYS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... NASHVILLE 72 86 73 95 / 90 70 10 10 CLARKSVILLE 71 86 74 92 / 90 60 0 10 CROSSVILLE 69 81 70 88 / 90 80 40 20 COLUMBIA 71 88 73 94 / 90 50 0 10 LAWRENCEBURG 71 88 73 93 / 90 40 20 10 WAVERLY 71 87 74 92 / 90 50 0 10 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 31
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 19, 3:54 AM CDT, 13 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 354 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015 TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-201000- STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON- HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH- JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON- MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD- COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES- 354 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A FEW STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE WIND GUSTS UP TO 60MPH AND HEAVY RAINFALL CAUSING LOCALIZED FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX VALUES...BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE EACH AFTERNOON SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... REPORTS FROM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HURLEY
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 19, 4:55 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
455 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015
TNZ011-034-192230-
FENTRESS TN-PICKETT TN-
455 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN FENTRESS AND
NORTHEASTERN PICKETT COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...
AT 454 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
JAMESTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JAMESTOWN...ALLARDT AND PICKETT STATE PARK.
LAT...LON 3639 8469 3637 8470 3637 8473 3635 8473
3635 8475 3631 8485 3647 8496 3661 8490
3660 8478 3650 8472 3643 8469 3641 8466
3640 8466
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 238DEG 40KT 3643 8483
21The office that day
Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 5:02 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | OHX | Stewart | 43 min |
| Jun 19, 5:56 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | OHX | Sumner | 34 min |
| Jun 19, 6:23 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | OHX | Macon, Trousdale | 37 min |
| Jun 19, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Macon, Smith, Trousdale | 33 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Tennessee, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.