Alert archive / Tennessee / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

April 19, 2015Davidson County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this special weather statement at Apr 19, 2015, 3:07 PM CDT for Davidson County, Tennessee. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 19, 2015, 3:07 PM CDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired: Apr 19, 2015, 3:30 PM CDT
In force: 23 min
Issued by: NWS Nashville, TN

County Davidson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 101 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 509 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 92 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 98 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Apr 19, 2:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 19, 2:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
200 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE MAP AT 18Z SHOWS A 1000 MB LOW CENTERED OVER
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS, WITH A WARM FROM SITUATED TO OUR NORTH, A
COLD FRONT STILL WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, AND A PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH JUST NOW CROSSING THE TENNESSEE RIVER THAT IS PROVIDING THE
FOCUS FOR A DEVELOPING LINE OF CONVECTION. SATELLITE IMAGERY IS
STARTING TO SHOW SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS, ESPECIALLY WEST OF
NASHVILLE. LAPS SOUNDING FOR BNA AT 18Z SHOWS WEAK INSTABILITY,
WITH A LIFTED INDEX OF -3.3 AND A CAPE OF 962 J/KG. ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS SUFFICIENTLY MOIST, WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER OF 1.44 INCHES
AND A K-INDEX OF 34. LATEST HRRR SHOWS SCATTERED CELLS ACROSS
MIDDLE TENNESSEE UNTIL A MORE ORGANIZED LINE OF CONVECTION COMES
THROUGH WITH THE COLD FRONT BETWEEN 04Z AND 09Z. GIVEN THE TIMING
OF THE FRONT, THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS APPEARS
LOW, ALTHOUGH MIDDLE TENNESSEE DOES REMAIN UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER TODAY AND TONIGHT, SO ISOLATED CASES OF SEVERE
ACTIVITY ARE STILL POSSIBLE. AFTER A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS ON
MONDAY, LOOK FOR A BRIEF RESPITE ON TUESDAY BEFORE THE NEXT COLD
FRONT DROPS SOUTHWARD THROUGH MIDDLE TENNESSEE WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. GIVEN THAT THE UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE REGION WILL REMAIN
EITHER CYCLONIC OR ZONAL, WARM ADVECTION WILL BE HARD TO COME BY,
AND SO TEMPERATURES DURING THE NEXT 7 DAYS WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW
NORMAL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      60  67  43  72 /  50  40  10  10
CLARKSVILLE    57  66  41  71 /  50  40  05  10
CROSSVILLE     58  62  42  63 /  50  60  20  10
COLUMBIA       59  68  43  73 /  60  30  10  10
LAWRENCEBURG   57  67  43  72 /  60  20  10  10
WAVERLY        57  68  42  72 /  60  30  05  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

ROSE

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 19, 5:27 AM CDT, 9 hours 40 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
527 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-201030-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
527 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MIDDLE
TENNESSEE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. AFTER WIDESPREAD
RAIN SUNDAY MORNING...ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
SUNDAY NIGHT. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

REPORTS FROM TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

SPOTTERS CAN MAKE REPORTS VIA TWITTER USING HASHTAG #TSPOTTER

TO MAKE A REPORT VIA FACEBOOK GO TO:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWS NASHVILLE

SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH (MEASURED)
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN

55

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 19, 9:57 AM CDT, 5 hours 10 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
957 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

TNZ028-191530-
WILSON-
957 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WILSON COUNTY...

AT 956 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR RURAL HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE RURAL HILL...GLADEVILLE...BELINDA
CITY...MOUNT JULIET...LEBANON AND DICKERSON CHAPEL RECREATION AREA.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3635 8635 3631 8636 3631 8630 3634 8630
      3635 8627 3630 8626 3635 8621 3629 8613
      3625 8612 3604 8638 3604 8641 3611 8654
      3614 8653 3614 8656 3620 8658 3628 8654
      3634 8644 3631 8640 3636 8637

11

Special weather statement, Apr 19, 11:05 AM CDT, 4 hours 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1105 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

TNZ009-191645-
MACON-
1105 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MACON COUNTY...

AT 1102 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR HARTSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 35 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE LAFAYETTE AND RED BOILING SPRING.

WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3664 8608 3662 8579 3651 8581 3643 8604
      3647 8619 3648 8619 3649 8623 3664 8610

07

Special weather statement, Apr 19, 2:51 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
251 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

TNZ025-057-059-060-192015-
DICKSON-HICKMAN-MAURY-WILLIAMSON-
251 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DICKSON...HICKMAN...MAURY AND
WILLIAMSON COUNTIES...

AT 248 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CENTERVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE CENTERVILLE...PRIMM SPRINGS...
LYLES...BON AQUA AND FAIRVIEW.

WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3609 8717 3605 8718 3605 8712 3592 8696
      3571 8738 3583 8749 3615 8724

11

Special weather statement, Apr 19, 3:07 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
307 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

TNZ026-027-059-192030-
CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILLIAMSON-
307 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHEATHAM...DAVIDSON AND
WILLIAMSON COUNTIES...

AT 304 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PEGRAM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH INCLUDE NATCHEZ TRACE AT HIGHWAY 96...
KINGSTON SPRINGS...PEGRAM...BELLEVUE...FOREST HILLS...BELLE MEADE...
BELLS BEND...BERRY HILL...BEAMAN PARK...NASHVILLE AND WHITES CREEK.

WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3606 8657 3594 8703 3610 8717 3637 8699
      3637 8698 3638 8695 3639 8689

11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 19, 9:57 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Wilson	33 min
Apr 19, 11:05 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Macon	40 min
Apr 19, 2:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Hickman	24 min
Apr 19, 3:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Davidson, Sumner, Wilson	42 min
Apr 19, 3:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Smith	30 min
Apr 19, 4:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Clay	37 min
Apr 19, 4:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Clay, Jackson, Macon, Smith	49 min
Apr 19, 4:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Rutherford, Smith, Trousdale, Wilson	31 min
Apr 19, 4:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Coffee, Warren	41 min
Apr 19, 5:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Putnam	26 min
Apr 19, 5:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Grundy, Warren	25 min
Apr 19, 5:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OHX	Van Buren, Warren	26 min
Apr 19, 6:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OHX	Houston, Stewart	37 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Tennessee, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.