Severe Thunderstorm Warning 118, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
302 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

.DISCUSSION...
...HOT WEATHER TO CONTINUE RIGHT ON THROUGH THE WORK WEEK WITH
RAIN CHANCES DIMINISHING ABOUT MID WEEK...

...HEAT INDICES ON MONDAY 100 TO 105...

WARM UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER PANHANDLE OF TEXAS AND
SPRAWLED ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN U.S. WILL MOVE LITTLE THROUGH
TUESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP MID STATE IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WHICH
MEANS PERIODS OF CONVECTION WORKING DOWN THROUGH OUR AREA OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TIMING IS VERY DIFFICULT IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE IN
TERMS OF MESO CONVECTIVE SYSTEM'S THAT DEVELOP IN NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW BUT THINK ONE COULD COME DOWN FROM THE NORTH MONDAY NIGHT AND
AFFECT MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE WITH A MORE
POTENT MCS DIVING DOWN FROM THE NORTH DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY
AND INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE TUESDAY EVENING AS A RATHER VIGOROUS
SHORT WAVE MOVES DOWN ON EASTERN SIDE OF UPPER RIDGE. SHORT WAVE
IS ASSOCIATED WITH RATHER STRONG VORTICITY. SOUTHERN PLAINS UPPER
RIDGE THEN BUILDS THIS WAY LESSENING RAIN CHANCES BEGINNING ABOUT
MID WEEK AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH TEMPS
HEATING UP FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      75  95  75  93 /  10  20  20  50
CLARKSVILLE    74  94  75  93 /  10  10  20  40
CROSSVILLE     70  87  71  87 /  30  30  40  60
COLUMBIA       74  95  74  95 /  10  10  10  30
LAWRENCEBURG   74  94  74  95 /  10  10  10  30
WAVERLY        75  95  76  94 /  10   0  10  30

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

BOYD
01

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1248 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-131800-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
1248 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOR MOST AREAS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE THAT ARE EAST OF
INTERSTATE 65...AND A MARGINAL RISK ELSEWHERE IN THE MID STATE.
THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THE POTENTIAL SEVERE STORMS IS FOR DAMAGING
WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...ALTHOUGH SOME LARGE HAIL IS ALSO
POSSIBLE.

FOR LOCATIONS WEST OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU REGION...HEAT INDEX
VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 105 DEGREES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ON MONDAY NIGHT...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS
ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE...WITH THE GREATEST RISK IN THE
NORTHCENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PARTS OF THE REGION. THE MAIN CONCERN
WILL BE FOR DAMAGING WINDS...ALTHOUGH SOME LARGE HAIL MAY OCCUR.

FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS FOR LOCATIONS AROUND AND EAST OF I-65...WITH A
SLIGHT RISK FOR THE REST OF MID STATE. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE
HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

FOR LOCATIONS WEST OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU REGION...MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 105
DEGREES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

REPORTS FROM TRAINED SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH (MEASURED)
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN

LV

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
335 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

TNZ010-011-033-034-122130-
OVERTON TN-FENTRESS TN-PICKETT TN-CLAY TN-
335 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CLAY...FENTRESS...PICKETT AND
OVERTON COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 332 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF CELINA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY
MOVE FROM SOUTHERN KENTUCKY INTO THE UPPER CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LIVINGSTON...JAMESTOWN...CELINA...BYRDSTOWN...ALLARDT...PALL MALL...
DALE HOLLOW LAKE...GRIMSLEY...STANDING STONE STATE PARK...PICKETT
STATE PARK...CRAWFORD AND MOSS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE
STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3638 8472 3637 8473 3635 8473 3635 8474
      3633 8474 3633 8477 3632 8479 3630 8480
      3630 8482 3629 8484 3629 8487 3628 8488
      3624 8488 3624 8489 3617 8521 3661 8569
      3661 8515 3659 8480
TIME...MOT...LOC 2032Z 337DEG 19KT 3664 8537

LV

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>