Alert archive / Montana / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Missoula, MT

May 30, 2015Mineral County, Montana

NWS Missoula, MT issued this special weather statement at May 30, 2015, 4:13 PM MDT for Mineral County, Montana. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 30, 2015, 4:13 PM MDT (22:13 UTC)
Expired
May 30, 2015, 5:00 PM MDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS Missoula, MT

County Mineral County, MT

The radar

The Missoula radar (KMSX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Spokane, WA (KOTX), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 152 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Spokane, WA at 12:00Z on 2015-05-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Spokane, WA at 12:00Z on 2015-05-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 130 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1654 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
191 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 30, 2:33 PM MDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 2:33 PM MDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
233 PM MDT SAT MAY 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...Numerous showers and thunderstorms have developed
across north central Idaho and in Northwest Montana down to the
I-90 corridor including Missoula and the Northern Bitterroot
valley. Storms are expected to increase in coverage and persist
through mid to late evening. Impacts include, small hail,
lightning, gusty winds and locally heavy rain.

A weak ridge builds Sunday along with it warmer temperatures and
scattered afternoon showers or a thunderstorm.

Monday will be a pretty active day with thunderstorms likely.
Convection will begin fairly early in central Idaho then move
north to encompass all of western Montana along with the vigorous
short wave. There is plenty of dynamic support and moisture
available for the potential of some pretty intense thunderstorms,
especially in west central and northwest Montana. Very heavy
rains, hail and gusty winds are likely with storms Monday
afternoon and well into the evening.

There is pretty good dynamics to support thunderstorms through
Tuesday morning, especially in Northwest Montana. Another
significant impact from this system could be the potential for
significant rain in far Northwest Montana Monday night through
Tuesday. Models are indicating a mid level low pressure system
closing off and wrapping precipitation around which could bring
some health amounts of rain. There is some uncertainty to the
location of this circulation but wherever it ends up (Canada or
northwest Montana) significant rain is expected.

The rest of next week will bring scattered showers and isolated
storms each day.

&&

.AVIATION...Scattered thunderstorms will impact kgpi and kmso
through 31/0400z. Some storms will be strong with gusty winds to
40 mph at times, lightning, intense rain and small hail. KBTM and
KSMN may see a shower or thunderstorm but they will be less
intense and more scattered in nature. Expect lingering showers at
all terminals after 31/0400z through Sunday morning.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...None.
&&

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 2:53 PM MDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
253 PM MDT SAT MAY 30 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             1 NNW DE BORGIA         47.39N 115.35W
05/30/2015  E0.88 INCH       MINERAL            MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MOST OF THE HAIL WERE DIME SIZE, BUT A FEW
            WERE PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE. THIS SPOTTER WAS
            NOT UNDER THE STORM CORE ACCORDING TO RADAR.
            STRONG GUSTY WINDS EST. TO 50 MPH.

&&

DTN
Special weather statement, May 30, 3:32 PM MDT, 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
332 PM MDT SAT MAY 30 2015

MTZ004-302200-
LOWER CLARK FORK REGION MT-
332 PM MDT SAT MAY 30 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN SANDERS...WEST
CENTRAL MISSOULA AND EAST CENTRAL MINERAL COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM
MDT...

AT 331 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
SUPERIOR...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SUPERIOR...RIVERBEND...KEYSTONE AND LOZEAU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4716 11500 4737 11491 4732 11447 4704 11459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 282DEG 17KT 4721 11485
Special weather statement, May 30, 3:33 PM MDT, 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
333 PM MDT SAT MAY 30 2015

MTZ001-003-004-302200-
FLATHEAD/MISSION VALLEYS MT-KOOTENAI/CABINET REGION MT-
LOWER CLARK FORK REGION MT-
333 PM MDT SAT MAY 30 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN SANDERS COUNTY UNTIL
400 PM MDT...

AT 333 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES EAST OF PARADISE...OR 18 MILES NORTHEAST OF SUPERIOR...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PERMA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4732 11479 4744 11478 4747 11442 4728 11441
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 272DEG 21KT 4738 11460
Local storm report, May 30, 3:36 PM MDT, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
336 PM MDT SAT MAY 30 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N HAUGAN              47.41N 115.41W
05/30/2015  M0.55 INCH       MINERAL            MT   MESONET

            LOLO PORTABLE #2 RAWS (TR286) AT 3746 FEET.
            THE RAIN FELL BETWEEN 208 AND 308 PM MDT.

&&

DTN
Local storm report, May 30, 4:11 PM MDT, 2 minutes before
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Special weather statement, May 30, 4:13 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Missoula, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 30, 2:02 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOMineral43 min
May 30, 2:13 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOSanders47 min
May 30, 2:25 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOFlathead35 min
May 30, 2:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOMineral, Sanders33 min
May 30, 2:33 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOFlathead42 min
May 30, 2:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOMineral, Sanders31 min
May 30, 3:24 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningMSOMineral2 hr
May 30, 3:32 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOMineral28 min
May 30, 3:33 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOMineral27 min
May 30, 3:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOMineral, Missoula33 min
May 30, 4:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementMSOMissoula31 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Montana, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.