Alert archive / Montana / Lake Wind Advisories in 2015

Lake Wind Advisory 1, NWS Missoula, MT

March 27, 2015Flathead County, Lake County, Sanders County, Montana

NWS Missoula, MT issued this lake wind advisory at Mar 27, 2015, 9:46 AM MDT for Flathead County, Lake County, Sanders County, Montana. It took effect at Mar 28, 2015, 9:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2015, 9:46 AM MDT (15:46 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 28, 2015, 9:00 AM MDT
Expired
Mar 28, 2015, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Missoula, MT

Counties Flathead County, MT, Lake County, MT, Sanders County, MT

The radar

The Missoula radar (KMSX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 290 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2015-03-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2015-03-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 234 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2706 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
234 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
240 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake wind advisory went out at Mar 27, 3:36 AM MDT, 6 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 27, 3:36 AM MDT, 6 hours 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
336 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND GUSTY WINDS AND SHOWERS
SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...Fog and low cloud cover has developed through
portions of northwest Montana which model guidance agree will lift
and dissipate beginning mid morning. Other than some passing
clouds early today conditions look to be very nice for this time
of year. High temperatures are still anticipated to reach near
record values.

The next weather system currently just off the west coast is
still forecast to quickly move into the Pacific Northwest late
today. There is plenty of support for showers with possibly
lightning to develop late this evening in north central Idaho that
will expand into western Montana overnight. The trough and cold
front will pass during Saturday morning and will be associated with
rain and increased winds. By the afternoon, showers will decrease
and winds will increase. Most locations will have gusty winds but
along the divide and I-90 corridor have the potential to be quite
gusty with widespread gusts 30-40 mph and even stronger between
Deer Lodge and Butte. Winds are expected to decrease during the
evening as the trough continues off to the east.

A few showers will develop on Sunday otherwise temperatures are
going to be just below normal.

Monday will be another nice spring day before a moist westerly
flow pattern sets up for next week. A cold front is still expected
to pass through the region on Tuesday. Gusty winds, high chances
for precipitation, and lowering snow levels are all expected as
the front passes. Snow levels will lower enough that at least
mountain passes could see light snow accumulation. The active
weather pattern next week will keep temperatures below average and
increased chances for precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION...

Fog has developed in northwest Montana including KGPI. Patchy fog
is also possible in north central Idaho and west central Montana
valleys which will last until around mid morning. High pressure
will build over Idaho and western Montana today so after fog lifts
and dissipates, conditions will be rather nice. The next weather
system will quickly move into the region late today with showers
and even thunderstorms possible in Idaho as early as this evening.
Showers and isolated thunderstorms will move into western Montana
overnight, followed by a cold front Saturday morning that will
bring gusty winds.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...None.
&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Missoula, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 9:46 AM MDTWind AdvisoryMSODeer Lodge, Granite, Lake, Missoula, Powell, Ravalli and 1 more35 hr

Nearby

Lake Wind Advisories in Montana, 2015Every lake wind advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.