Special Weather Statement, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT AND THURSDAY)...MOISTURE CONVERGENCE HAD
BEEN CONFINED TO THE TN-NC LINE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD BE
SHIFTING SLIGHTLY WESTWARD INTO VALLEY LOCATIONS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUS...I CARRIED A PRE FIRST PERIOD TO
ACCOUNT FOR BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH 04/00Z.
POPS FOR THIS EVENING RELFECT THE LOWER MOS POPS WITH A MENTION OF
AREAL COVERAGE PREFERRED TIL MIDNIGHT. STORMS HAVE BEEN VERY MUCH
PULSE IN NATURE AND SO FAR JUST ONE REPORT OF PENNY SIZED HAIL.

OTHERWISE...KEPT GOOD CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS GRIDS IN PATCHY FOG
(SOME DENSE) OVERNIGHT. POPS FOR TOMORROW LOOKED GOOD WITH SLIGHTLY
LESS COVERAGE...EXCEPT FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE TN-NC LINE AGAIN. MINS TONIGHT SHOULD BE QUITE SIMILAR TO THIS
MORNING...WHILE MAX TEMPS THURSDAY ARE DEPENDENT ON WHEN AND WHERE
CONVECTION DEVELOPS.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...UPPER LOW WILL
FINALLY GET A KICK OUT OF THE AREA AND MOVE OFF TO OUR EAST AND
EVENTUALLY INTO THE ATLANTIC. HOWEVER... WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL
BE LINGERING OVER THE AREA FOR A WHILE AFTER LEADING TO CONTINUED
RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA. LOW END CHANCES OF RAIN STICK AROUND
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS LIMITED MOISTURE HANGS OVER THE REGION.
FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND AGAIN ON
MONDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASED CHANCES TO START NEXT WEEK OFF
BEFORE WE LOOK TO DRY OUT JUST BEYOND THE TAIL END OF THE 7-DAY
FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             63  84  65  89 /  20  20  10  20
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  62  81  64  85 /  20  30  10  20
OAK RIDGE, TN                       63  83  64  85 /  20  30  10  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              59  79  60  82 /  30  50  20  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

TG/ABM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
304 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-041915-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
304 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...ISOLATED STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS...AS AN UPPER LOW PRESSURE AREA SPINS OVER THE REGION AND A
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS NEAR THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HAIL MOSTLY UP TO PENNY SIZE...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES AND A CONTINUED MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR-MASS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. A RISK OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
EXIST DUE TO THE MOISTURE RICH ENVIRONMENT THAT WILL BE IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION. SOME MINOR FLOODING CONCERNS CAN BE EXPECTED IN
AREAS THAT RECEIVE PROLONGED RAINFALL FROM MORE THAN ONE ROUND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

ISOLATED STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED
WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

TG/AMB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
415 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

TNZ068-086-032100-
LOUDON-NORTHWEST MONROE-
415 PM EDT WED JUN 3 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN LOUDON AND
NORTHWESTERN MONROE COUNTIES...

AT 415 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR SWEETWATER...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SWEETWATER...LOUDON...MADISONVILLE...VONORE...PHILADELPHIA AND
TELLICO VILLAGE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3546 8443 3558 8450 3558 8452 3561 8452
      3561 8454 3563 8452 3563 8456 3566 8457
      3568 8452 3571 8451 3571 8450 3575 8444
      3575 8443 3577 8439 3579 8437 3555 8421
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 152DEG 23KT 3563 8442

MJB

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