Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Morristown, TN

017 
WWUS54 KMRX 212117
SVSMRX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
517 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

VAC167-169-195-720-212126-
/O.CAN.KMRX.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-150621T2130Z/
RUSSELL VA-SCOTT VA-CITY OF NORTON VA-WISE VA-
517 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN RUSSELL...
NORTHEASTERN SCOTT AND SOUTHEASTERN WISE COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF
NORTON IS CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.

LAT...LON 3702 8245 3699 8241 3698 8237 3696 8236
      3698 8232 3692 8211 3673 8232 3694 8261
      3703 8250
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 300DEG 27KT 3689 8234 

$$

DGS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
323 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...SKIES ARE PARTLY TO MOSTLY
SUNNY AT MID AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS. SOME CUMULUS HAS FORMED BUT TO THE NORTH IN EASTERN KY
AND SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE BEGINNING TO
DEVELOP AND SLOWLY MOVE EAST. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SINK
SLOWLY SOUTH AND MOVE INTO NORTHEAST AREAS IN A FEW HOURS AND
BECOME STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE WITH HIGH WINDS AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING. HAIL TO QUARTER SIZED AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO
COULD OCCUR. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE INTO THIS EVENING FROM THE NORTH
AND THEN SLOWLY DECREASE LATE. EXPECT LOWS TO STAY MILD UPPER 60S
NORTHEAST TO LOWER 70S CENTRAL AND SOUTH. HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS
CONTINUE MONDAY AS UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER FORECAST AREA. THE
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA WILL BE ON THE EDGE OF THE RIDGE WITH
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST AND A LITTLE HIGHER
CHANCE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL ONCE AGAIN
APPROACH 100.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS RIDGING
CONTINUES TO BUILD TO THE WEST OF THE AREA. STILL EXPECTING
TEMPERATURES TO REACH INTO THE 90'S THROUGH WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA...AND THIS WILL LEAD TO UPPER 90'S TO NEAR TRIPLE
DIGIT HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE AFTERNOON ON THESE DAYS. THEN, AS A
LOW MOVES ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA, IT WILL DRAG BEHIND IT A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT WILL STALL SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FORECAST
AREA. EXACT LOCATION OF THE STALLED BOUNDARY IS DIFFICULT TO
ASCERTAIN AT THIS POINT, BUT CURRENTLY BELIEVE IT WILL BE AROUND
KENTUCKY. WHEREVER THIS BOUNDARY SETS UP, ALONG AND NORTH OF IT,
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE A PRETTY GOOD CHANCE TO FORM.
SO GENERALLY HAVE HIGHER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION IN THE NORTHERN
AREAS INTO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. THEN SOME SHORTWAVES AND SURFACE
LOWS MOVE ACROSS NORTH OF THE AREA, THAT WILL BRING IN SOME MORE
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION. CURRENTLY ONE OF THE BEST LOOKING
FEATURES TO FOCUS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY COME
OVER THE WEEKEND AS A LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND HELPS
INTRODUCE A LARGE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE OVER THE AREA. AGAIN,
CONFIDENCE IN MODELS IS RELATIVELY LOW AT THIS TIME DUE TO RUN-TO-
RUN INCONSISTENCIES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             72  95  74  98 /  10  10   0  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  72  94  72  96 /  20  20  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       71  94  73  97 /  20  10  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              68  91  68  93 /  30  20  20  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

TD/ABM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
108 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-221700-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
108 PM EDT SUN JUN 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE OHIO VALLEY REGION WILL BE MOVING
EAST OR SOUTHEAST TODAY. THESE STORMS MAY MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND AS FAR SOUTH AS NORTHERN TENNESSEE NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 40. ISOLATED STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
HAIL OF DIME TO QUARTER SIZE...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 60 MPH COULD
OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.

ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP LATE IN THE DAY...BUT
ARE NOT LIKELY TO REACH STRONG TO SEVERE LEVELS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY CLIMB THROUGH THE WORK WEEK...AND HEAT
INDICES WILL BE AT OR NEAR THE TRIPLE DIGITS EACH DAY THROUGH THE
EXTENDED. NOT ONLY IS THE HEAT INDEX GOING TO BE HIGH...BUT THE
TRIPLE DIGIT INDICES OCCUR FOR 2 TO 3 DAYS STRAIGHT. THIS COULD
PROVE DANGEROUS FOR PEOPLE AND PETS OUTDOORS OR WITH INSUFFICIENT
COOLING. HEAT SAFETY MEASURES MAY NEED TO BE TAKEN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TD