Small Craft Advisory 47, NWS Mobile, AL

698 
WHUS74 KMOB 121925
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
125 PM CST SAT DEC 12 2015

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY FOR
SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND AND THE GULF WATERS OF
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL PRECEDE A FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MARINE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. A BRIEF STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL FOLLOW
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...BUT SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON
MONDAY. 

GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675-130330-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0047.151213T1200Z-151214T1800Z/
SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
125 PM CST SAT DEC 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO
NOON CST MONDAY...

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND GUSTY EARLY SUNDAY.

* WAVES/SEAS...BUILDING TO AROUND 4 FEET NEAR SHORE AND UP TO AROUND
  8 FEET WELL OFFSHORE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

380 
WHUS74 KMOB 122358
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
558 PM CST SAT DEC 12 2015

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT 6 AM SUNDAY THROUGH NOON CST
MONDAY FOR SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND AND THE GULF
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.ONSHORE WINDS BECOME STRONG ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE MARINE AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT. A BRIEF STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW FOLLOWS IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT BUT SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.

GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675-130900-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0047.151213T1200Z-151214T1800Z/
SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
558 PM CST SAT DEC 12 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO
NOON CST MONDAY...

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND GUSTY.

* WAVES/SEAS...BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 7 TO 9 FEET
  WELL OFFSHORE.  BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...AND/OR
SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

809 
WHUS74 KMOB 130920
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
320 AM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH NOON CST MONDAY
FOR SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND AND THE GULF WATERS
OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL PRECEDE A FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MARINE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. A BRIEF STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL FOLLOW
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...BUT SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON
MONDAY. 

GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675-131730-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0047.151213T1200Z-151214T1800Z/
SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
320 AM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY...

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND GUSTY.

* WAVES/SEAS...BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 7 TO 9 
  FEET WELL OFFSHORE. BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS ROUGH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

662 
WHUS74 KMOB 131731
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1131 AM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH NOON CST
MONDAY FOR SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND AND THE
GULF WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL PRECEDE A FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE MARINE AREA TONIGHT. A BRIEF STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL FOLLOW
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...BUT SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON
MONDAY.

GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675-140145-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-151214T1800Z/
SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1131 AM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY...

* WINDS...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 7 TO 9 
  FEET WELL OFFSHORE. BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS ROUGH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

215 
WHUS74 KMOB 140045
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
645 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON CST MONDAY FOR
SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY...THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND AND THE GULF WATERS OF
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL PRECEDE A FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE MARINE AREA TONIGHT. A BRIEF STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL FOLLOW
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...BUT SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY
ON MONDAY.

GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675-140845-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-151214T1800Z/
SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
645 PM CST SUN DEC 13 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHERLY 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...6 TO 8 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 7 TO 9 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.
  BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...AND/OR
SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS
FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

732 
WHUS74 KMOB 140744
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
144 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON TODAY FOR MOBILE
BAY...THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND AND THE GULF WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL PRECEDE A FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MARINE AREA. A BRIEF STRONG WESTERLY FLOW WILL FOLLOW THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE...BUT SHOULD QUICKLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.

GMZ630-141545-
/O.EXA.KMOB.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-151214T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-
144 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHERLY 18 TO 23 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675-141545-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-151214T1800Z/
SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
144 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHERLY 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...6 TO 8 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 7 TO 9 FEET WELL 
  OFFSHORE. BAYS AND COASTAL WATERS ROUGH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

685 
WHUS74 KMOB 141519 AAA
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
919 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

.A LIGHT TO MODERATE WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. 

GMZ630>632-650-655-670-675-141630-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SC.Y.0047.000000T0000Z-151214T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
919 AM CST MON DEC 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1147 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z ISSUANCE...A DIFFICULT FORECAST OVERNIGHT FOR THE ONSET OF
EXPECTED LOWER CEILINGS WITH FOG DEVELOPMENT. WILL BEGIN WITH
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS ALTHOUGH A FEW PATCHES OF LIFR CONDITIONS
ARE PRESENT MOSTLY OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES. EXPECT PREVAILING MVFR
CONDITIONS IN LIGHT FOG TO DEVELOP EARLY ON FOLLOWED BY IFR
CONDITIONS LATER TONIGHT...POSSIBLY LOWERING TO LIFR/VLIFR
CONDITIONS IN NUMEROUS AREAS ALTHOUGH THE DEGREE OF COVERAGE OF
POSSIBLE LIFR/VLIFR REMAINS CHALLENGING. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS
INCREASE TO 10-15 KNOTS BY MID MORNING ON SATURDAY ALONG WITH VFR
CONDITIONS. /29

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 554 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
00Z ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD ARE
FOLLOWED BY LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH PROGRESSIVELY LOWER CEILINGS
ALONG WITH FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT. THE DEGREE TO WHICH FOG
DEVELOPMENTS AND CEILINGS LOWER REMAINS CHALLENGING AND HAVE OPTED
TO STAY CLOSE TO THE CURRENT FORECAST WHICH BALANCES THE RISKS OF LOW
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES FAIRLY WELL. WILL HAVE MVFR CONDITIONS IN
LIGHT FOG DEVELOPING LATER THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY IFR CONDITIONS
LATER TONIGHT. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR LIFR/VLIFR CONDITIONS AS
WELL LATER TONIGHT BUT WILL MONITOR AT THIS POINT. SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS 10-15 KNOTS WITH VFR CONDITIONS FOLLOW BY MID MORNING ON
SATURDAY. /29

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 351 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2015/

NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH SATURDAY/...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS AFTERNOON
SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DIVING INTO THE WESTERN
PART OF THE COUNTRY. THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEEPENING AS
IT HEADS EAST... AMPLIFYING THE FLOW DOWNSTREAM ACROSS OUR REGION
THROUGH SATURDAY. AS A RESULT...SHORTWAVE RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO BE
IN CONTROL OF OUR AREA AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND.

FOR TONIGHT...THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES AND AIDS IN FRONTOGENESIS IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES.
WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE...CENTERED OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA
COAST...REMAINS IN CONTROL OF WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS OUR REGION.
WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET...WE COULD SEE ANOTHER
FOGGY NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF OUR AREA DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS.

THE LATEST PROBABILISTIC GUIDANCE INDICATES THE GREATEST ODDS OF FOG
DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3AM WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...STRETCHING INTO ADJACENT AREAS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
(WEST OF MOBILE BAY).  THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG INCREASES TO OUR ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA BETWEEN 3AM AND SUNRISE...THEN DISSIPATES BY MID-
MORNING.  RIGHT NOW...I BELIEVE THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MIXING
OVERNIGHT TO PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF DENSE FOG IN OUR AREA.

SOUTHERLY WINDS...COMBINED WITH THE SUBSIDENT NATURE OF RIDGING
ALOFT...WILL ALLOW ANOTHER WARM DAY TO BE SEEN SATURDAY. THICKNESS
VALUES BETWEEN THE 1000 AND 850 MB LEVELS SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THOSE
SEEN TODAY...WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN HIGH TEMPERATURES SATURDAY
AFTERNOON BEING VERY CLOSE TO THOSE TODAY.  BASED ON EVERYTHING...I
HAVE INCREASED HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
FOR SATURDAY AND WE COULD SEE SOME RECORDS BREAK IN OUR REGION.
/BUTTS/

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...UNSEASONABLY WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A SQUALL LINE ALONG A COLD
FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT. A SOUTHEASTERLY
SURFACE WIND FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT SUNDAY WITH
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF FLORIDA
AND ALABAMA AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. AFTERNOON WIND SPEEDS
COULD CLIMB INTO THE 20 TO 25 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS FROM 30 TO 35 MPH.
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO OCCUR IN THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH
ALABAMA BUT AT 5 TO 10 MPH LOWER. TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL AGAIN
CLIMB TO NEAR OR ABOVE RECORD LEVELS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE SLOWED THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE
COLD FRONT OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF RUNS AND DEPICT THE UPPER LEVEL
DYNAMICS WEAKENING AS THE BOUNDARY APPROACHES. THE COMBINED EFFECT
WILL BE TO REDUCE TO LIMIT THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER WEATHER.
THE TIMING OF THE FRONT PRETTY MUCH INSURES THERE WILL BE LITTLE IF
ANY INSTABILITY TO TAP INTO...HOWEVER WITH THE LOW LEVEL JET OVER THE
AREA CAN'T COMPLETELY RULE OUT A SURFACE GUST OF 60 MPH OR MORE AND
SUSPECT WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS ALONG THE SQUALL LINE OF 35 TO 45 MPH.
BRIEF HEAVY SHOWERS ARE STILL ANTICIPATED BUT THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM
SHOULD LIMIT RAINFALL TOTALS TO LESS THAN AN INCH.

THE HIGH WINDS OVER THE GULF AND COASTLINE MAY ALSO CREATE HIGH SURF
OF 5 FEET OR MORE ALONG AREA BEACHES...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS...AND
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG VERY FLOOD PRONE AREAS SUCH AS FORT
PICKENS AND PERHAPS THE WEST END OF DAUPHIN ISLAND ARE POSSIBLE.

AS FAR AS TIMING...EXPECTING THE SQUALL LINE TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AROUND 7 TO 9 PM SUNDAY NIGHT...TO A LINE GENERALLY FROM
THOMASVILLE TO MOBILE AROUND MIDNIGHT AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA
BY DAYBREAK.

TEMPERATURES MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE CONSIDERABLY COOLER THEN
WHAT WE HAVE EXPERIENCED AS OF LATE. MONDAY'S HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 60S AND MONDAY NIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO
THE LOW TO MID 40S MOST AREAS BUT IN THE LOW 50S ALONG THE COAST. /08

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...A BRIEF PERIOD OF FAIR WEATHER
IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH DAYTIME HIGHS CLIMBING
INTO THE UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. OVERNIGHT
LOWS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO UPPER 50S ARE EXPECTED WITH INCREASING
CLOUD COVER OVERNIGHT. A WEAKER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA AND LINGER THROUGH THURSDAY PROVIDING US WITH A CLOUDY...SHOWERY
PERIOD OF WEATHER. SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO SCATTER OUT THURSDAY NIGHT
WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES RETURNING BY FRIDAY. /08

MARINE...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...A MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE WEEKEND...AS WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL.
SMALL CRAFT MAY NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION SATURDAY OVER THE OFFSHORE
GULF OF MEXICO WATERS DUE TO A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT.

SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...INCREASING WINDS AND
BUILDING SEAS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND...AS A
STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO AND ACROSS OUR REGION. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES (FOR WINDS) MAY BE NEEDED BY SUNDAY FOR THE ENTIRE MARINE
AREA AS GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED 20 KNOTS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT.

ADVERSE MARINE CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY IN
WAKE OF THE FRONT...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES (FOR SEAS/WINDS)
REMAINING POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WATERS HEADING INTO THE
NEW WORK WEEK BEFORE ABATING.  WINDS WILL BECOME W-NW BEHIND THE
FRONT MONDAY... THEN BACK TO MORE OF A S-SW DIRECTION TOWARD
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. /BUTTS/

CLIMATE...

WITH SATURDAY'S AND SUNDAY'S HIGH TEMPERATURES AGAIN EXPECTED TO
HOVER AROUND THE 80 DEGREE MARK...WE COULD SEE A FEW RECORDS BROKEN
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY INCLUDE...

SATURDAY'S RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES:
MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT... 81 (SET IN 1971)
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT... 79 (SET IN 1971)

SUNDAY'S RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES:
MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT... 79 (SET IN 2007)
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT... 79 (SET IN 2001)

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
609 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-121100-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
609 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT...POSSIBLY BECOMING DENSE
IN SOME LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE
FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON OVER
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...THEN THE ENTIRE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS
TIME...THE MAIN RISKS ARE ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH
STRAIGHT-LINE WIND DAMAGE. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND HEAVY SURF AND MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ON SATURDAY FOLLOWED BY A
HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY BE NEEDED
LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-121100-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
609 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE WEEKEND
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. A FEW STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY SUNDAY NIGHT.