Small Craft Advisory 40, NWS Mobile, AL

213 
WHUS74 KMOB 161735
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1135 AM CST MON NOV 16 2015

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS
AND WILL EXPAND TO ALL BAYS AND INLAND WATERWAYS ON TUESDAY...

.WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AHEAD OF A FRONT EXPECTED
TO CROSS AREA COASTAL WATERS BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND MOVE
EAST EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

GMZ632-650-655-670-675-170200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.SC.Y.0040.151116T1735Z-151118T1200Z/
MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1135 AM CST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET OVER PROTECTED
  WATERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ630-631-633>635-170200-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0040.151117T1200Z-151118T1200Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-PERDIDO BAY-
PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
1135 AM CST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO
6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 KNOTS EARLY TUESDAY

* WAVES/SEAS...CHOPPY TO ROUGH TONIGHT BECOMING ROUGH TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

279 
WHUS74 KMOB 170239
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
839 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS
AND WILL EXPAND TO ALL BAYS AND INLAND WATERWAYS ON TUESDAY...

.WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AHEAD OF A FRONT
EXPECTED TO CROSS AREA COASTAL WATERS BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT AND MOVE EAST EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

GMZ632-650-655-670-675-171045-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-151118T1200Z/
MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
839 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET OVER 
  PROTECTED WATERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MOBILE.

&&

$$

GMZ630-631-633>635-171045-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0040.151117T1200Z-151118T1200Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-PERDIDO BAY-
PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
839 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO
6 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 KNOTS EARLY TUESDAY

* WAVES/SEAS...CHOPPY TO ROUGH TONIGHT BECOMING ROUGH TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MOBILE.

&&

$$

726 
WHUS74 KMOB 171042
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
442 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AND BUILDING SEAS WILL BRING HAZARDOUS
MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE MARINE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHERLY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 7 TO 9 FEET
OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATER TODAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND DECREASE IN SPEED FOLLOWING
THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

GMZ632-650-655-670-675-171900-
/O.EXT.KMOB.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-151118T1800Z/
MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
442 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...5 TO 7 FEET BUILDING TO 7 TO 9 FEET OVER THE OFFSHORE
  WATERS LATE TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MOBILE.

&&

$$

GMZ630-631-633>635-171900-
/O.EXT.KMOB.SC.Y.0040.151117T1200Z-151118T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-PERDIDO BAY-
PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
442 AM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH A
  FEW HIGHER GUSTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...CHOPPY TO ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MOBILE.

&&

$$

564 
WHUS74 KMOB 171829
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1229 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AND BUILDING SEAS WILL BRING
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE MARINE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHERLY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 7 TO
9 FEET OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATER TODAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND DECREASE IN
SPEED FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-180300-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-151118T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1229 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AS
  HIGH AS 30 TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS...7 TO 9 FEET OVER THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
  GULF WATERS. BAY WATERS WILL BE ROUGH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MOBILE.

&&

$$

291 
WHUS74 KMOB 180326
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
926 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AND BUILDING SEAS WILL BRING
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE MARINE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHERLY WEDNESDAY MORNING IN
ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SEAS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL
PERSIST OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL BECOME NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND DECREASE IN SPEED FOLLOWING THE
PASSAGE OF THE FRONT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-181130-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-151118T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
926 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL 
  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 TO 35 KNOTS. 

* WAVES/SEAS...8 TO 10 FEET OVER THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
  GULF WATERS. BAY WATERS WILL BE ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MOBILE.

&&

$$

944 
WHUS74 KMOB 181139
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
539 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AND HIGH SEAS WILL BRING HAZARDOUS
MARINE CONDITIONS THIS MORNING...

.STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE MARINE AREA THIS
MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING AND BECOMING WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY
THIS AFTERNOON FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-181800-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-151118T1800Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
539 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL 
  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 TO 35 KNOTS. 

* WAVES/SEAS...8 TO 11 FEET OVER THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
  GULF WATERS. BAY WATERS WILL BE ROUGH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MOBILE.

&&

$$

938 
WHUS74 KMOB 181720
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1120 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT THAT
IS MOVING EAST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND ASSOCIATED HIGH SEAS
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE MARINE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE DECREASING AND BECOMING
MORE WEST TO NORTHWEST FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT BY THIS
EVENING. 

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-190130-
/O.EXT.KMOB.SC.Y.0040.000000T0000Z-151119T0300Z/
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1120 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL 
  GUSTS AS HIGH AS 30 TO 35 KNOTS. 

* WAVES/SEAS...8 TO 10 FEET OVER THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
  GULF WATERS. BAY WATERS WILL BE ROUGH.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS...
AND/OR SEAS 7 FEET OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS...ESPECIALLY
THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MOBILE.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1207 AM CST MON NOV 16 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
REGION THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING. A EAST-NORTHEAST WIND WILL TURN
TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 10-12 KNOTS ON MONDAY...WITH SCT LOW
CLOUDS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT AROUND 1500 FEET. MVFR CEILINGS WILL
THEN DEVELOP AFTER 13Z WITH BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ALSO AROUND 1500 FEET
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. /22

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 556 PM CST SUN NOV 15 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
00Z ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
REGION THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING. A NORTHEAST WIND WILL TURN TO
THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS ON MONDAY...WITH SCT LOW CLOUDS
DEVELOPING EARLY MONDAY MORNING AROUND 1500 TO 2200 FEET. MVFR
CEILINGS WILL THEN DEVELOP AFTER 17Z WITH BROKEN LOW CLOUDS ALSO
AROUND 1500 TO 2200 FEET ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. /22

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 355 PM CST SUN NOV 15 2015/

NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH MONDAY/...BROAD UPPER RIDGE AXIS OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF STATES THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT EAST TO THE SOUTHEAST
STATES AND FL PENINSULA THROUGH LATE MON AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO A
DEEP UPPER TROF ALONG THE WEST COAST SHIFTING EAST TO THE ROCKIES
AND SOUTHWEST CONUS THROUGH 00Z TUE. WITH THIS PATTERN EXPECT BETTER
MID TO HIGH CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST LATE
TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY INCREASING LOW CLOUDS BY MID MORNING...CONTINUING
THROUGH LATE MON AFTERNOON AS INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BEGINS TO
ADVECT NORTHWARD AS SFC WINDS BEGIN TO VEER SOUTHEAST DURING THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. AS A RESULT SFC DEWPT TEMPS CLIMB TO THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S BY LATE AFTERNOON LEADING TO MUCH HIGHER HUMIDITY
LEVELS ALSO LATER IN THE DAY. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS PATTERN FORMING MAINLY OFF THE COAST EARLY IN THE
DAY SHIFTING NORTH MOSTLY OVER COASTAL AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE
CWFA BY LATE AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME LITTLE TO ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH MON AFTERNOON.

AS FOR TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO LEAN TOWARDS THE WARMER MAV GUIDANCE
FOR LOWS TONIGHT DUE TO INCREASING CLOUDS FROM THE WEST...AND THE
LOWER MAV NUMBERS ON MON DUE TO BETTER CLOUDS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT FALLING TO THE MID 40S
WELL INLAND TO THE NORTH...THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S FURTHER SOUTH
GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR...AND THE LOWER TO
MIDDLE 50S CLOSER TO THE COAST. HIGHS TEMPS ON MON WILL CLIMB TO THE
MIDDLE 70S FOR MOST AREAS. 32/EE

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...A DEEP LONGWAVE TROF
ADVANCES ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...THEN THE
ENTIRE LONGWAVE TROF PATTERN TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...BUT WEAKENS AS WELL...AS A SERIES OF COMBINED
SUBTROPICAL/POLAR 130-170 KNOT UPPER JET IMPULSES ROTATE THROUGH THE
BASE AND EASTERN PORTION OF THE UPPER TROF. A STUBBORN SURFACE RIDGE
OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES SLOWLY WEAKENS THROUGH TUESDAY WHILE THIS
SYSTEM BRINGS A PREFRONTAL TROF AND COLD FRONT TOWARDS THE
AREA...WITH THE PREFRONTAL TROF MOVING THROUGH THE AREA LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING SHORTLY FOLLOWED BY THE COLD FRONT. THE
PRESENCE OF THE WEAKENING SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE LOW
LEVEL SHEAR OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY SLOWING THE SOUTHERLY VEERING
OF THE SURFACE FLOW AND ALSO ENHANCING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE
AREA...RESULTING IN A SOMEWHAT STRONGER LOW LEVEL JET THAN WOULD
OTHERWISE BE THE CASE.

THE 850 MB FLOW INCREASES TO 35-50 KNOTS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...HIGHEST
OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA...THEN INCREASES FURTHER TO
45-60 KNOTS TUESDAY NIGHT AS A PREFRONTAL TROF ADVANCES INTO THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA. 0-1 KM HELICITY VALUES WILL HAVE
INCREASED TO 200-300 M2/S2 BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY WEST OF I-65
WITH VALUES OF 100-200 M2/S2 FURTHER TO THE EAST. SURFACE BASED
INSTABILITY IS LIMITED IN THE HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT OVER THE WESTERN
PORTION OF THE AREA...AND VERY LOW FURTHER TO THE EAST...WITH SURFACE
BASED CAPES OF 200-500 J/KG MAINLY FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND
EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER
CAPE VALUES IN THIS HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT HOWEVER...WITH SREF
PROBABILITIES FOR CAPE GREATER THAN 1000 J/KG NEAR 30-40 PERCENT FOR
EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BEFORE
TAPERING OFF QUICKLY NORTHWARD. WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTION OF THE AREA DURING THE
DAY...AND ISOLATED CONVECTION FURTHER TO THE EAST...SOME STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND COASTAL ALABAMA
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

AN ACTIVE SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO HAVE FORMED ON THE PREFRONTAL
TROF WHICH ADVANCES INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT. 0-1 KM HELICITY VALUES INCREASE TO 200-350 M2/S2 ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE...WITH SURFACE BASED CAPES OF 200-600 J/KG
EXPECTED...HIGHEST NEAR THE COAST. THE SHEAR DECREASES TO 100-200
M2/S2 WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE PREFRONTAL TROF/SQUALL LINE CONTINUES
EASTWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA...WITH SIMILAR SURFACE
BASED CAPE VALUES OF 200-600 J/KG EXPECTED. EXPECTED A CONTINUED
RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE AS IT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT...AND SOMEWHAT LESS SO FOR THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES INCREASE TO 2-2.2 INCHES WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SQUALL LINE
AND EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER
STORMS. CATEGORICAL POPS FOR BOTH TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY ARE
FOLLOWED BY POPS TAPERING OFF QUICKLY WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH MOSTLY
DRY CONDITIONS BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL RANGE
FROM AROUND 60 INLAND TO THE MID 60S NEAR THE COAST...WITH MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S FOR TUESDAY NIGHT.  COOLER TEMPERATURES FOLLOW FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH MID/UPPER 40S INLAND RANGING TO MID 50S NEAR THE
COAST. HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID/UPPER 70S AND COOLER ON
WEDNESDAY...WITH 60S WEST OF I-65 AND LOWER 70S EAST OF I-65. /29

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN RETURNS FOR
SUNDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S WITH LOWS MOSTLY RANGING FROM
THE MID 40S INLAND TO THE LOWER/MID 50S NEAR THE COAST. /29

MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. A
MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY THEN SHIFT
SOUTHEAST AND BUILD THROUGH MID WEEK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT FROM THE WEST. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS MOSTLY
OFFSHORE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 7 TO 9
FEET...DUE TO INCREASING SWELL AND FETCH BY MID WEEK. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD AND ALONG THE FRONT BEGINNING LATE
MONDAY NIGHT CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FEW STORMS COULD BE
STRONG TO SEVERE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL ALSO BE LIKELY BY LATE
TUESDAY CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 32/EE

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
330 PM CST SUN NOV 15 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-161200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
330 PM CST SUN NOV 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS OVER AREA BEACHES THROUGH
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME BETTER DEVELOPED LATE TUESDAY
THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST. CONDITIONS WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS PERIOD. STAY TUNED FOR FUTURE
UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM.

WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEASTERLY AND INCREASING ALONG THE COAST...A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EARLY MONDAY WILL INCREASE TO A HIGH
RISK BY MONDAY AFTERNOON...AND LAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS POSSIBLE
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-161200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
330 PM CST SUN NOV 15 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE OVER AREA COASTAL
WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE LATE MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT...INCREASING THE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR
SMALL CRAFT. MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL FOLLOW...WITH THE
INCREASED HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.