River Flood Warning 60, NWS Mobile, AL

454 
WGUS84 KMOB 290433
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
Mississippi...
 
  Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia 
  Counties. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe and Wilcox 
  Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam affecting Clarke...Monroe and Wilcox 
  Counties. 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the rivers. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC047-099-131-300433-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.151226T1825Z.160101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Monday the stage was 76.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 66.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 78.9 feet by Thursday evening then 
  begin falling.


&&

LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738
 3184 8756 3215 8749                  

$$

ALC025-099-131-300432-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.2.ER.151227T0055Z.160103T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam
* until further notice.
* At 10PM Monday the stage was 47.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 50.9 feet by Saturday evening.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.


&&

LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786
 3114 8797 3150 8766                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-300432-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.151227T2027Z.160103T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Monday the stage was 32.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 37.3 feet by Saturday evening.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.


&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-300432-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.151228T1353Z.160102T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 10PM Monday the stage was 25.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.3 feet by Saturday morning.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will 
occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground.  

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

ALC039-041-053-292000-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151229T2000Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151226T1030Z.151229T1400Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Tuesday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Conecuh River At River Falls
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9PM Monday the stage was 37.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 37.6 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  tomorrow morning.
At 37.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying farm and pasturelands in the area will 
occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680


$$

ALC039-053-300432-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151230T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Monday the stage was 29.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.8 feet by tomorrow evening then 
  begin falling.
At 31.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become flooded. State highway 
41 begins to flood at stages around 23 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC053-FLC033-300432-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151231T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until further notice.
* At 10PM Monday the stage was 19.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.4 feet by Wednesday evening then 
  begin falling.
At 19.0 feet, Low lying pastures will flood and cattle should be moved to higher
ground.  

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

FLC091-300432-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.151230T1200Z-160102T1500Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151230T1200Z.151231T0000Z.160102T0900Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* From Wednesday morning until Saturday morning.
* At 9PM Monday the stage was 6.3 feet. 
* Nonflood flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue to rise 
  near 8.4 feet by Wednesday evening. 
At 8.0 feet, Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

MSC039-041-111-300432-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151225T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until further notice.
* At 5PM Monday the stage was 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
At 19.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the 
water level drops below 18 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-300432-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160102T2100Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151230T1200Z.160102T1500Z.NO/
1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 10PM Monday the stage was 20.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by Wednesday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage late Saturday morning.
At 20.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

337 
WGUS84 KMOB 291845
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA
1245 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-301845-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.151230T1600Z-160103T0600Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151230T1600Z.160101T1800Z.160103T0000Z.NO/
1245 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Saturday night...The FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES for
  the SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* From tomorrow late morning until late Saturday night.
* At 12PM Tuesday the stage was 6.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise near 9 feet by Friday.
At 8.0 feet, some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur.  

&&


$$

029 
WGUS84 KMOB 300256
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
856 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-310256-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.160101T0200Z-160103T1400Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.160101T0200Z.160102T0000Z.160103T0800Z.NO/
856 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* From Thursday evening until Sunday morning.
* At 08PM Tuesday the stage was 6.9 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* At 8.0 feet, Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

790 
WGUS84 KMOB 301729
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1129 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 
  
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-311729-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.160101T0400Z-160102T1536Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.160101T0400Z.160101T1800Z.160102T0936Z.UU/
1129 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday morning...
...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* From tomorrow late evening until Saturday morning.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 6.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage around 10 pm tomorrow and continue to 
  rise near 11.9 feet by Friday afternoon. The river will fall below flood
  stage early Saturday.
* At 14 feet...Flooding of East Park in Baker.
* At 11 feet...Minor flooding of secondary roads and lowlands around Baker and
  downstream from Baker.
* At 9.5 feet...Kennedy and Peaden Bridges flood upstream.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

FLC091-311729-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.160101T0600Z-160104T0400Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.160101T0600Z.160102T1200Z.160103T2200Z.NO/
1129 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday evening...
...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* From early Friday morning until Sunday evening.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 7.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage around 1 am Friday and continue to 
  rise near 9.3 feet by early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood
  stage Sunday afternoon.
* At 10 feet...Flooding of trailers north of the Okaloosa Correctional Institute.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding of low lying areas.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

528 
WGUS84 KMOB 310302
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
902 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-053-010302-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151230T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* until further notice.
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was 30.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 29.3 feet by 6AM Friday.
* At 31 feet...Some county roads in the area will become flooded.
* At 27 feet...Flooding of farmland in the area will occur.
* At 23 feet...State Highway 41 begins to flood.
* At 22 feet...Flooding of low lying pastureland in the area. Cattle should be
  moved to higher ground. 

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC053-FLC033-010302-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151231T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until further notice.
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was 20.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 20.4 feet by after midnight tomorrow 
  then begin falling.
* At 23 feet...Widespread flooding of pasture and farm land will continue. Water
  begins to reach Mystic Springs Road, Worley Road, Bamer Holley Lane, and River Bend 
  Road. About 5 homes become isolated in the McDavid and Molino areas. Public boat
  ramps at Mystic Springs and Fairgrougnd Road are submurged.
* At 19 feet...Low lying pastures will flood. Cattle should be moved to higher
  ground.
* At 13 feet...Minor overflow of lowlands in the area.


&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

FLC091-010302-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.151231T1500Z-160104T1200Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151231T1500Z.160102T0000Z.160104T0600Z.NO/
902 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* From tomorrow late morning until Monday morning.
* At 8PM Wednesday the stage was 7.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to 
  rise near 9.9 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall below flood stage by 6AM on Monday. 
* At 10 feet...Flooding of trailers north of the Okaloosa Correctional Institute will occur.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding of low lying areas can be expected.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

911 
WGUS84 KMOB 311632
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
Mississippi...
 
  Mobile River At Barry Steam Plant affecting Baldwin and Mobile Counties. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe and Wilcox 
  Counties. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC047-099-131-011632-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.151226T1825Z.151231T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 77.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 66.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 75.9 feet by 6 am Tuesday.


&&

LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738
 3184 8756 3215 8749                  

$$

ALC003-097-011631-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0061.160101T2230Z-000000T0000Z/
/BCKA1.1.ER.160101T2230Z.160105T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Mobile River At Barry Steam Plant
* From Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 10.1 feet. 
* Nonflood flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon and continue to rise 
  near 14.3 feet by Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
At 11.0 feet, At this stage one foot of water will get under about 25 homes in 
the hurricane, al. Area. Homes are on stilts.  

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8797 3114 8792 3099 8792 3068 8796
 3067 8806 3102 8803                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-011631-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.151227T2027Z.160104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 36.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 38.3 feet by Monday morning then begin 
  falling.


&&

LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-011631-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.151228T1353Z.160104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 27.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.6 feet by Monday morning.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

ALC039-053-011631-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151230T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 30.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 27.9 feet by 6 am Tuesday.
At 31.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become flooded. State highway 
41 begins to flood at stages around 23 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC053-FLC033-011631-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151231T1600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until further notice.
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 20.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 18.1 feet by 6 pm Monday.
At 19.5 feet, Flooding of farm and pasture lands will gradually subside as the 
river level drops, but some flooding will continue the next several days.  

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

FLC091-011631-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160105T0300Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151231T1045Z.160102T0600Z.160104T2100Z.NO/
1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Monday evening.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.6 feet by early Saturday morning. The
  river will fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
At 8.0 feet, Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

MSC039-041-111-011631-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160103T2100Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.151225T1211Z.151231T0530Z.160103T1500Z.NO/
1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 21.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 21.5 feet by this evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-011631-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160104T0730Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.160101T0600Z.160104T0130Z.NO/
1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Sunday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until late Sunday night.
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 23.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.0 feet by early Friday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage Sunday evening.
At 22.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in 
low lying areas will become cut off by high water.  

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

332 
WGUS84 KMOB 010342
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
942 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-053-020342-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151230T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* until further notice.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 29.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 28.9 feet by 6AM Saturday morning with 
  further falls thereafter.
* At 31 feet...Some county roads in the area will become flooded.
* At 27 feet...Flooding of farmland in the area will occur.
* At 23 feet...State Highway 41 begins to flood.
* At 22 feet...Flooding of low lying pastureland in the area. Cattle should be
  moved to higher ground. 

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC053-FLC033-020342-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.160101T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Thursday the stage was 20.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 20.6 feet by early Friday morning then 
  begin falling.
* At 23 feet...Widespread flooding of pasture and farm land will continue. Water
  begins to reach Mystic Springs Road, Worley Road, Bamer Holley Lane, and River Bend 
  Road. About 5 homes become isolated in the McDavid and Molino areas. Public boat
  ramps at Mystic Springs and Fairgrougnd Road are submurged.
* At 19 feet...Low lying pastures will flood. Cattle should be moved to higher
  ground.
* At 13 feet...Minor overflow of lowlands in the area.


&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-020342-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160102T1545Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.151231T2333Z.160101T1200Z.160102T0945Z.UU/
942 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until Saturday morning.
* At 9PM Thursday the stage was 11.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.2 feet by Friday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by 6AM Saturday morning.
* At 12 feet...Flooding of secondary roads and lowlands will subside as the river drops below 12 feet.
* At 11 feet...Some minor flooding of secondary roads and lowlands from around 
  Baker downstream will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

FLC091-020341-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160104T1800Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151231T1045Z.160102T0600Z.160104T1200Z.NO/
942 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 8.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet by early Saturday morning. The
  river will fall below flood stage by 6AM Sunday morning.
* At 10 feet...Flooding of trailers north of the Okaloosa Correctional Institute will occur.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding of low lying areas can be expected.    

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

706 
WGUS84 KMOB 011814
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1214 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-021000-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160102T1000Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.151231T2333Z.160101T0930Z.160102T0400Z.UU/
1214 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until late tonight.
* At 11AM Friday the stage was 11.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late tonight.
* At 11.0 feet, Some minor flooding of secondary roads and lowlands from around 
  Baker downstream will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

FLC091-021814-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160105T0000Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151231T1045Z.160102T0600Z.160104T1800Z.NO/
1214 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Monday evening.
* At 11AM Friday the stage was 8.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.3 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage  Monday early afternoon.
* At 8.5 feet, Lowland flooding in the area will diminish as the river drops below
  8 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

393 
WGUS84 KMOB 020324
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
924 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC039-053-030324-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-160106T0300Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151230T0915Z.160105T2100Z.NO/
924 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 29 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday afternoon.
* At 31 feet...Some county roads in the area will become flooded.
* At 27 feet...Flooding of farmland in the area will occur.
* At 23 feet...State Highway 41 begins to flood.
* At 22 feet...Flooding of low lying pastureland in the area. Cattle should be
  moved to higher ground.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC053-FLC033-030324-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160106T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.160101T0315Z.160105T1800Z.NO/
924 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 20.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Tuesday early 
  afternoon.
* At 23 feet...Widespread flooding of pasture and farm land will continue. Water
  begins to reach Mystic Springs Road, Worley Road, Bamer Holley Lane, and River Bend 
  Road. About 5 homes become isolated in the McDavid and Molino areas. Public boat
  ramps at Mystic Springs and Fairgrougnd Road are submurged.
* At 19 feet...Low lying pastures will flood. Cattle should be moved to higher
  ground.
* At 13 feet...Minor overflow of lowlands in the area.


&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

FLC091-030324-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160104T2100Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151231T1045Z.160102T1800Z.160104T1500Z.NO/
924 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by late Monday morning.
* At 10 feet...Flooding of trailers north of the Okaloosa Correctional Institute will occur.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding of low lying areas can be expected.    
 

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

381 
WGUS84 KMOB 021801
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1201 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-031801-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160106T1800Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.160101T0315Z.160106T1200Z.NO/
1201 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 11AM Saturday the stage was 19.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* At 19 feet...Low lying pastures will flood. Cattle should be moved to higher
  ground.
* At 13 feet...Minor overflow of lowlands in the area.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

FLC091-031801-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160104T1500Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151231T1045Z.160102T0230Z.160104T0900Z.NO/
1201 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Monday morning.
* At 11AM Saturday the stage was 8.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.8 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage  Monday morning.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding of low lying areas can be expected.   

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

378 
WGUS84 KMOB 030235
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
835 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-040235-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160104T1200Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151231T1045Z.160102T0230Z.160104T0600Z.NO/
835 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Monday morning.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 8.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will persist around 8.5 feet through the overnight hours. The river 
  will fall below flood stage early Monday morning.
* At 8.5 feet...Lowland flooding will diminish as the river drops below 8 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

704 
WGUS84 KMOB 031745
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1145 AM CST SUN JAN 3 2016
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-041745-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.160101T0315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1145 AM CST SUN JAN 3 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until further notice.
* At 11AM Sunday the stage was 19.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 17.0 feet by Friday morning.
* At 19 feet...Low lying pastures will flood. Cattle should be moved to higher
  ground.
* At 13 feet...Minor overflow of lowlands in the area.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

FLC091-040300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151231T1045Z.160102T0230Z.160103T2100Z.NO/
1145 AM CST SUN JAN 3 2016

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* From late this morning until this evening.
* At 11AM Sunday the stage was 8.0 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise 
  near 8.1 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by early this evening.
* At 8.0 feet, Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

394 
WGUS84 KMOB 031817
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1217 PM CST SUN JAN 3 2016
 

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-031847-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151231T1045Z.160102T0230Z.160103T1625Z.NO/
1217 PM CST SUN JAN 3 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Shoal River Near Crestview
* until this evening.
* At 11AM Sunday the stage was 8.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
At 8.0 feet, Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
910 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST MARINE DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.MARINE...HAVE INCLUDED CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY IN THE TORNADO WATCH
EFFECTIVE UNTIL NOON CST. 32/EE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 900 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...SEE UPDATED INFORMATION FOR LAND AREAS BELOW.

UPDATE...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT ALL COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST AL UNTIL
NOON CST.

TORNADO WATCH FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST MS HAS BEEN CANCELED. 32/EE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 713 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...SEE UPDATED INFORMATION FOR LAND AND MARINE AREAS BELOW.

UPDATE...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT ALL COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST AL UNTIL
NOON CST. 32/EE

MARINE...TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NEAR WATERS OF AL AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA OUT TO 20 NM...EXCLUDING CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY...UNTIL
NOON CST. 32/EE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 534 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
12Z ISSUANCE...MVFR TO IFR CIGS AND VISIBILITIES THROUGH 29.12Z.
LOWER CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES MOSTLY IN AND AROUND HEAVY SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS OUT AHEAD OF
THE FRONT AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. AS A RESULT A WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COUNTIES WHERE ALL TERMINAL SITES ARE
LOCATED. WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS MOSTLY FROM THE SOUTH CAN BE
EXPECTED. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF A SQUALL LINE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTH AT 15 TO 25
KNOTS THIS MORNING WITH HIGHER GUSTS SHIFTING SOUTHWEST TO WEST IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING THEN
NORTH DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 KNOTS TONIGHT AND EARLY TUES MORNING.
32/EE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 508 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015/

A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT THE
REGION TODAY...

NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE INLAND COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST MS.
THIS WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED FURTHER EAST OVER SW AL AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATER THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS MORNING CONTINUING INTO THE AFTERNOON
IS RESPONSE TO A VIGOROUS UPPER TROF/CLOSED LOW TRACKING NORTHEAST
FROM SOUTH TEXAS TO THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM A
STRONG 50 TO 60 KNOT H85 JET PUSHES ACROSS LA/MS AND WESTERN AL
HELPING TO GENERATED STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR...0-3 KM HELICITY VALUES
RANGING FROM 300 TO 500 M2/S2...COMBINED WITH MODEST SURFACE BASED
INSTABILITY...CAPES MOSTLY FROM 600 TO 1000 J/KG ALONG WITH DEEP
MOISTURE...PWATS INCREASING TO ABOUT 1.9 IN. LATEST HI RES DATA
CONTINUES TO SHOW THE BEST FORCING OR LIFT WITH THIS PATTERN
OCCURRING OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CWFA EARLY THIS
MORNING THEN PUSHING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST QUICKLY THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ENERGY ALOFT NOW LOOKS TO BE TRACKING A TAD
FURTHER TO THE EAST AND A LITTLE STRONGER COMPARED TO YESTERDAYS
MODEL RUNS ENHANCING THE SEVERE THREAT FOR OUR CWFA THROUGH ABOUT
NOON OVER THE WESTERN HALF AND MID TO LATE AFTERNOON TO THE EAST. THE
BEST SHEAR IN THE LOWER LEVELS WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN HALF
WEAKENING SOMEWHAT TO THE EAST AS THE H85 JET AXIS SHIFTS
NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE LOWER MS TO THE CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL AL.
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS MOSTLY IN BOWING SEGMENTS ALONG A STRONG
SQUALL LINE WITH MAYBE A FEW SPIN UPS ALONG AND OUT AHEAD OF THE LINE
CAN BE EXPECTED. FOR TONIGHT SKIES WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS LINGERING TO THE EAST MAINLY IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT.

DUE TO THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW THIS MORNING AND BREAKER HEIGHTS
INCREASING TO 4 TO 6 FEET HAVE OPTED TO GO WITH A HIGH SURF ADVISORY
COMBINED WITH A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. HAVE ALSO INCLUDED A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL ZONES
OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST THROUGH THIS MORNING DUE TO THE STRONG H85
JET.

AS FOR TEMPS WILL USE A BLEND OF THE MAV AND ECMWF MOS GUIDANCE
THROUGH TONIGHT MOSTLY FOR BETTER CONSISTENCY WITH SURROUNDING WFOS.
HIGHS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S INLAND AND NEAR
THE COAST...FOLLOWED BY LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S TO THE WEST AND
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S TO THE EAST. 32/EE

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...A MOIST SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION DURING
THE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME TO THE WEST OF A
PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SITUATED OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN AND THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND ADJACENT PLAINS STATES. THE NEXT SHORTWAVE
TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW IS FORECAST TO LIFT FROM
THE NORTHWESTERN GULF TOWARD THE GULF COAST STATES LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...BRINGING INCREASED DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
AND LIFT BACK ACROSS MUCH OF OUR REGION. LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW
WILL ALSO BRING A RETURN OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BACK INTO OUR AREA
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION...
ALONG WITH DEEP LAYER MOISTURE/LIFT WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS TUESDAY NIGHT...BECOMING
MORE WIDESPREAD IN COVERAGE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT
SURFACE COLD FRONT ADVANCES SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS OUR AREA. THE
PRIMARY CONCERN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME ADDITIONAL FLOODING CONCERNS
GIVEN THE VERY SATURATED GROUNDS OVER OUR REGION. OUR LATEST RAINFALL
FORECAST CALLS FOR AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. A LIKELY CHANCE OF RAIN
WILL SHIFT INTO SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. A FEW STRONG STORMS STILL CANNOT BE RULED TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...BUT THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK REMAINS LIMITED. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE COOLER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
60S GENERALLY TO THE WEST OF I-65...AND IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S
TO THE EAST. /21

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER
AIRMASS WILL SETTLE SOUTHWARD ACROSS OUR AREA LATE IN THE WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL LINGER NEAR THE
COAST LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH DRY WEATHER CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGHS WILL ONLY RANGE IN THE 50S
FRIDAY-SUNDAY...WITH LOWS BACK IN THE 30S ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNING. /21

MARINE...SOUTHERLY WINDS AND SEAS WILL BUILD THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. SEAS UP
TO 10 FEET WELL OFFSHORE WILL BE POSSIBLE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD AND ALONG THE FRONT WITH SOME
STORMS BECOMING STRONG TO SEVERE. GUSTY STRAIGHT LINE WINDS ALONG
WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO/WATERSPOUT WILL BE POSSIBLE. A MODERATE
WESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING NORTH AND DIMINISHING THROUGH TUESDAY. A
MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL REDEVELOP BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF A
STRONGER COLD FRONT...LEADING TO A MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WIND
FLOW THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN
EXTENDED TO COVER ALL MARINE ZONES THROUGH NOON TODAY. 32/EE

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR ALZ263>266.

FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-
     206.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-
     206.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR FLZ202-204-206.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ630>635.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ650-655-
     670-675.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
557 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-291200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
557 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT TODAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
WILL ALL BE A CONCERN.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CERTAINLY BE A CONCERN WITH THE HEAVIER
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS GIVEN THE ANTECEDENT SATURATED SOIL
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA...SO THERE WILL BE A RISK OF ADDITIONAL
FLOODING/FLASH FLOODING. FORTUNATELY THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
PROGRESSIVE...SO THE CURRENT FORECAST IS CALLING FOR A GENERAL 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND 3 INCHES.

A HIGH RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND HIGH SURF CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE GULF BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. A MODERATE RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
WESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-291200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
557 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS SOME STRONG TO SEVERE CAN BE
EXPECTED AHEAD AND ALONG THE FRONT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

HAZARDOUS WIND AND SEAS CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE WAKE OF A
STRONGER COLD FRONT LATER IN THE WEEK.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
543 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

MSZ067-075-076-281215-
PERRY MS-WAYNE MS-GREENE MS-
543 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
PERRY...SOUTHERN WAYNE AND GREENE IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI UNTIL 615
AM CST...

AT 542 AM CST...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED FROM 7 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LEAKESVILLE TO NEAR MCLAIN...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RICHTON...             LEAKESVILLE...         BEAUMONT...
NEW AUGUSTA...         STATE LINE...          MCLAIN...
BUCKATUNNA...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3143 8894 3154 8894 3157 8846 3100 8844
      3100 8883 3091 8884 3091 8904 3143 8905
TIME...MOT...LOC 1142Z 186DEG 37KT 3107 8864

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
657 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

ALZ051>053-261-262-281400-
MOBILE INLAND AL-CLARKE AL-WASHINGTON AL-BALDWIN INLAND AL-
CHOCTAW AL-
657 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...INLAND
MOBILE...CLARKE...WASHINGTON...INLAND BALDWIN AND SOUTHWESTERN
CHOCTAW IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA UNTIL 800 AM CST...

AT 657 AM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MOWA CHOCTAW
RESERVATION...OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF CITRONELLE...MOVING NORTH AT
35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JACKSON...             CITRONELLE...          GROVE HILL...
CHATOM...              MOUNT VERNON...        MILLRY...
SILAS...               COFFEEVILLE...         MCINTOSH...
GULFCREST...           MOWA CHOCTAW RESERVATION...
SAINT STEPHENS...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3176 8752 3170 8753 3170 8757 3163 8756
      3141 8768 3138 8772 3134 8773 3134 8775
      3137 8776 3133 8779 3130 8778 3130 8774
      3098 8790 3099 8824 3179 8843
TIME...MOT...LOC 1257Z 182DEG 31KT 3117 8805