Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 48, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Dec 24, 2015, 9:11 AM CST for George County, Greene County, Wayne County, Mississippi. It took effect at Dec 25, 2015, 10:30 AM CST. It was in force for 10 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 24, 2015, 9:11 AM CST (15:11 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 25, 2015, 10:30 AM CST
- Expired
- Jan 4, 2016, 7:00 AM CST
- In force
- 10 days
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Chickasawhay River at Leakesville (LEKM6). The gauge peaked at 24.00 ft at Jan 1, 2016, 9:00 AM CST.
- Action stage
- 15 ft
- Minor stage
- 20 ft
- Moderate stage
- 28 ft
- Major stage
- 31 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02478500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
073 WGUS44 KMOB 241511 FLWMOB BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 911 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015 ...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a flood warning for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Heavy rainfall over the past 24 hours has resulted in rising river levels. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-251511- /O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0047.151225T2000Z-151228T0600Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T2000Z.151226T1200Z.151228T0000Z.NO/ 911 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015 The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a * FLOOD WARNING for The Leaf Near Mclain * From Friday afternoon until late Sunday night * At 8AM Thursday the stage was...15.4 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast * Flood stage is 18 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to rise near 18.5 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday evening. * At 18 feet...Considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-251511- /O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0048.151225T1630Z-151229T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T1630Z.151227T0000Z.151228T1800Z.NO/ 911 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015 The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a * FLOOD WARNING for The Chickasawhay At Leakesville * From Friday morning until Monday evening * At 8AM Thursday the stage was...17.8 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast * Flood stage is 20 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to rise near 21 feet by Saturday evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
20 follow-up statements
770 WGUS84 KMOB 250319 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 919 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-260319- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0047.151225T2000Z-151228T0600Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T2000Z.151226T1200Z.151228T0000Z.NO/ 919 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * From tomorrow early afternoon until late Sunday night. * At 8PM Thursday the stage was 16.8 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to rise near 18.5 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by early Monday morning. * At 18 feet...Considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-260319- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.151225T1647Z-151229T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T1647Z.151227T0000Z.151228T1800Z.NO/ 919 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * From tomorrow late morning until Monday evening. * At 8PM Thursday the stage was 18.6 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to rise near 21 feet by Saturday evening. The river will fall below flood stage by late Monday evening. * At 20 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
714 WGUS84 KMOB 252008 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 208 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-262008- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-151230T0600Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151225T1830Z.151230T0000Z.NO/ 208 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Tuesday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * until late Tuesday night. * At 12PM Friday the stage was 19.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Tuesday evening. * At 19.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the water level drops below 18 feet. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-262008- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-151229T1500Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2129Z.151227T0000Z.151229T0900Z.NO/ 208 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Tuesday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * From late this afternoon until Tuesday morning. * At 01PM Friday the stage was 19.9 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise near 21.0 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning. * At 20.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
203 WGUS84 KMOB 260431 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1031 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-270431- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-151230T1800Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151225T1830Z.151230T1200Z.NO/ 1031 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Wednesday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * until Wednesday afternoon. * At 12PM Friday the stage was 19.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18 feet. * The river will continue to rise to 21.5 feet after midnight Sunday and will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning. * At 19 feet...Considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-270431- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-151230T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151227T0600Z.151229T1800Z.NO/ 1031 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Tuesday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Tuesday evening. * At 9PM Friday the stage was 20.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 21.5 feet by early Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday early afternoon. * At 20 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
048 WGUS84 KMOB 261810 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1210 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-271810- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-151230T1200Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151225T1830Z.151230T0600Z.NO/ 1210 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Wednesday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * until Wednesday morning. * At 6AM Saturday the stage was 20.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet by early Sunday morning. It will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning. * At 19.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the water level drops below 18 feet. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-271810- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151228T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1210 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until further notice. * At 11AM Saturday the stage was 21.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by Monday early afternoon then begin falling. * At 22.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
948 WGUS84 KMOB 270411 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Alabama... Florida... Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa Rosa Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida... Mississippi... Perdido River Near Barrineau Park affecting Baldwin and Escambia Counties. Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia Counties. Yellow River At Milligan affecting Covington...Okaloosa and Santa Rosa Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. Murder Creek At Brewton affecting Escambia County. Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe and Wilcox Counties. Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam affecting Clarke...Monroe and Wilcox Counties. Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along these rivers. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC047-099-131-280411- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /MRFA1.1.ER.151226T1825Z.151231T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam * until further notice. * At 9PM Saturday the stage was 69.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 66 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 77.1 feet by Wednesday evening then begin falling. && LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738 3184 8756 3215 8749 $$ ALC025-099-131-280411- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLBA1.2.ER.151227T0055Z.160101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam * until further notice. * At 9PM Saturday the stage was 42.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 42 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 50.3 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. && LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786 3114 8797 3150 8766 $$ ALC053-271200- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-151227T1200Z/ /BWMA1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151226T2230Z.151227T0600Z.NO/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Murder Creek At Brewton * until Sunday morning. * At 9PM Saturday the stage was 22.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 22 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by after midnight tomorrow. * At 22.4 feet, Street flooding in brewton should gradually end as the creek levels falls below 22 feet. && LAT...LON 3114 8704 3113 8701 3107 8709 3108 8713 $$ ALC003-FLC033-280411- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-151228T2000Z/ /BRPF1.1.ER.151226T0448Z.151226T2300Z.151228T1400Z.NO/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Perdido River Near Barrineau Park * until Monday afternoon. * At 9PM Saturday the stage was 15 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 13 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Monday morning. && LAT...LON 3080 8761 3080 8756 3065 8737 3051 8744 3052 8746 3064 8740 $$ ALC023-025-129-280411- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0055.151227T2320Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.151227T2320Z.160101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From tomorrow afternoon until further notice. * At 9PM Saturday the stage was 25.9 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and continue to rise near 35.6 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-280411- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0056.151228T0325Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.151228T0325Z.160101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From tomorrow late evening until further notice. * At 9PM Saturday the stage was 20.6 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and continue to rise near 27.6 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$ ALC039-041-053-280411- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151228T2236Z/ /RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151226T1030Z.151228T1636Z.NO/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Conecuh River At River Falls * until Monday afternoon. * At 9PM Saturday the stage was 40.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 37 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 40.3 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday morning. * At 40 feet, Considerable flooding of farmlands and some rural roads in the area will occur. && LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680 $$ ALC039-053-280411- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151229T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Conecuh River At Brewton * until further notice. * At 9PM Saturday the stage was 27.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 27 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 29.2 feet by Tuesday early afternoon then begin falling. * At 27 feet, Flooding of farmland in the area will occur and cattle should be moved to higher ground if this has not already been done. && LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712 $$ ALC053-FLC033-280411- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151230T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Escambia River Near Century * until further notice. * At 9PM Saturday the stage was 19.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 17 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 21.1 feet by Wednesday early afternoon then begin falling. * At 19.5 feet, Flooding of farm and pasture lands will gradually subside as the river level drops, but some flooding will continue the next several days. && LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729 3077 8733 3093 8731 $$ ALC039-FLC091-113-280411- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-151228T1832Z/ /MLGF1.1.ER.151226T0436Z.151227T1200Z.151228T1232Z.UU/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Yellow River At Milligan * until Monday afternoon. * At 9PM Saturday the stage was 14.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 12 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 14.6 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning. * At 14.4 feet, Flooding in old milligan will subside as the level drops below 14 feet. && LAT...LON 3099 8658 3099 8652 3069 8663 3069 8667 $$ MSC039-041-111-280411- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-151230T1200Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151225T1830Z.151230T0600Z.NO/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * until Wednesday morning. * At 12PM Friday the stage was 19 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Wednesday morning. * At 19 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the water level drops below 18 feet. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-280411- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160101T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151228T1800Z.151231T1800Z.NO/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Thursday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Thursday evening. * At 09PM Saturday the stage was 21.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by Monday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday early afternoon. * At 22 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$ ALC039-053-FLC091-113-270441- /O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-151227T0530Z/ /BAKF1.1.ER.151224T1619Z.151225T1601Z.151227T0119Z.UU/ 1011 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 The FLOOD WARNING is CANCELLED for The Blackwater River Near Baker * until this evening. * At 9PM Saturday the stage was 10.7 feet. * Flood stage is 11 feet. * Water levels along the Blackwater River near Baker are expected to continue to fall. && LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688 3070 8690 3082 8675 $$
965 WGUS84 KMOB 271651 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1051 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-281651- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-151229T1800Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151225T1830Z.151229T1200Z.NO/ 1051 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Tuesday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * until Tuesday afternoon. * At 6AM Sunday the stage was 20.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * The river is cresting and will fall to below flood stage by Tuesday morning. * At 19.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the water level drops below 18 feet. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-281651- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-151231T0600Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151227T0015Z.151231T0000Z.NO/ 1051 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Wednesday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until late Wednesday night. * At 10AM Sunday the stage was 20.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 20.9 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday evening. * At 20.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
781 WGUS84 KMOB 281557 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 957 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-291557- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-151231T1500Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151225T1830Z.151231T0900Z.NO/ 957 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Thursday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * until Thursday morning. * At 6AM Monday the stage was 20.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Thursday morning. * At 19.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the water level drops below 18 feet. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-291556- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160101T0600Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151227T0015Z.160101T0000Z.NO/ 957 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Thursday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until late Thursday night. * At 09AM Monday the stage was 20.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Thursday evening. * At 20.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
454 WGUS84 KMOB 290433 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida... Mississippi... Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia Counties. Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe and Wilcox Counties. Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam affecting Clarke...Monroe and Wilcox Counties. Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the rivers. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC047-099-131-300433- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /MRFA1.1.ER.151226T1825Z.160101T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam * until further notice. * At 9PM Monday the stage was 76.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 66.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 78.9 feet by Thursday evening then begin falling. && LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738 3184 8756 3215 8749 $$ ALC025-099-131-300432- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLBA1.2.ER.151227T0055Z.160103T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam * until further notice. * At 10PM Monday the stage was 47.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 42.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 50.9 feet by Saturday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. && LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786 3114 8797 3150 8766 $$ ALC023-025-129-300432- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.151227T2027Z.160103T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until further notice. * At 9PM Monday the stage was 32.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 37.3 feet by Saturday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-300432- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.151228T1353Z.160102T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until further notice. * At 10PM Monday the stage was 25.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 28.3 feet by Saturday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$ ALC039-041-053-292000- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151229T2000Z/ /RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151226T1030Z.151229T1400Z.NO/ 1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Tuesday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Conecuh River At River Falls * until Tuesday afternoon. * At 9PM Monday the stage was 37.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 37.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 37.6 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning. At 37.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. && LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680 $$ ALC039-053-300432- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151230T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Conecuh River At Brewton * until further notice. * At 9PM Monday the stage was 29.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 27.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 29.8 feet by tomorrow evening then begin falling. At 31.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become flooded. State highway 41 begins to flood at stages around 23 feet. && LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712 $$ ALC053-FLC033-300432- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151231T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Escambia River Near Century * until further notice. * At 10PM Monday the stage was 19.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 17.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 22.4 feet by Wednesday evening then begin falling. At 19.0 feet, Low lying pastures will flood and cattle should be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729 3077 8733 3093 8731 $$ FLC091-300432- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.151230T1200Z-160102T1500Z/ /CRVF1.1.ER.151230T1200Z.151231T0000Z.160102T0900Z.NO/ 1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Shoal River Near Crestview * From Wednesday morning until Saturday morning. * At 9PM Monday the stage was 6.3 feet. * Nonflood flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 8.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday morning and continue to rise near 8.4 feet by Wednesday evening. At 8.0 feet, Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur. && LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663 3070 8663 3070 8655 $$ MSC039-041-111-300432- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151225T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * until further notice. * At 5PM Monday the stage was 20.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. At 19.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands and agricultural land will subside as the water level drops below 18 feet. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-300432- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160102T2100Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151230T1200Z.160102T1500Z.NO/ 1033 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Saturday afternoon. * At 10PM Monday the stage was 20.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Saturday morning. At 20.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
514 WGUS84 KMOB 291851 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1251 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... LEAF Near MCLAIN affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-301851- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160102T1500Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151230T0600Z.160102T0900Z.NO/ 1251 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the LEAF Near MCLAIN * until Saturday morning. * At 12PM Tuesday the stage was 20.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 20.2 feet tongiht. The river will then fall below flood stage Saturday morning. && $$ MSC039-041-153-301850- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160103T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151231T0000Z.160102T1800Z.NO/ 1251 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE * until Saturday evening. * At 12PM Tuesday the stage was 21.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 23.0 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday early afternoon. At 22.0 feet, flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. && $$
951 WGUS84 KMOB 300317 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 917 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-310317- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160102T1424Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151230T0215Z.160102T0824Z.NO/ 917 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * until Saturday morning. * At 06PM Tuesday the stage was 19.9 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Saturday morning. * At 18.0 feet, considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-310317- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160103T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151231T0000Z.160102T1800Z.NO/ 917 PM CST TUE DEC 29 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Saturday evening. * At 08PM Tuesday the stage was 21.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 23.0 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday early afternoon. * At 22.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
519 WGUS84 KMOB 301620 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1020 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-311620- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160102T1030Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151230T0215Z.160102T0430Z.NO/ 1020 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Friday night... ...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * until late Friday night. * At 9 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 20 feet by midnight. The river will stay around 20 feet through early tomorrow before gradually falling. The river will fall below flood stage late Friday evening. * At 24 feet...Some county roads in the area will become flooded. * At 18 feet...Considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will begin. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-311620- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160103T0430Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151231T0600Z.160102T2230Z.NO/ 1020 AM CST WED DEC 30 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday evening... ...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Saturday evening. * At 9 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 23 feet by midnight. The river will stay around 23 feet through early tomorrow before gradually falling. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday evening. * At 26 feet...Flooding at the Highway Bridge begins when the level rises above 26 feet. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. * At 20 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
761 WGUS84 KMOB 310155 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 755 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-010155- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160102T1047Z/ /MCLM6.1.ER.151225T1211Z.151230T0215Z.160102T0447Z.NO/ 755 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Friday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * until late Friday night. * At 7PM Wednesday the stage was 20.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Friday before midnight. * At 18 feet...Considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-010155- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160103T0430Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.151231T1200Z.160102T2230Z.NO/ 755 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Saturday evening. * At 7PM Wednesday the stage was 22.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 23 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday afternoon. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. * At 20 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
911 WGUS84 KMOB 311632 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida... Mississippi... Mobile River At Barry Steam Plant affecting Baldwin and Mobile Counties. Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe and Wilcox Counties. Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC047-099-131-011632- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /MRFA1.1.ER.151226T1825Z.151231T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam * until further notice. * At 9AM Thursday the stage was 77.9 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 66.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to a stage of 75.9 feet by 6 am Tuesday. && LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738 3184 8756 3215 8749 $$ ALC003-097-011631- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0061.160101T2230Z-000000T0000Z/ /BCKA1.1.ER.160101T2230Z.160105T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Mobile River At Barry Steam Plant * From Friday afternoon until further notice. * At 9AM Thursday the stage was 10.1 feet. * Nonflood flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 12.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon and continue to rise near 14.3 feet by Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. At 11.0 feet, At this stage one foot of water will get under about 25 homes in the hurricane, al. Area. Homes are on stilts. && LAT...LON 3114 8797 3114 8792 3099 8792 3068 8796 3067 8806 3102 8803 $$ ALC023-025-129-011631- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.151227T2027Z.160104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until further notice. * At 9AM Thursday the stage was 36.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 38.3 feet by Monday morning then begin falling. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-011631- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.151228T1353Z.160104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until further notice. * At 10AM Thursday the stage was 27.9 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 28.6 feet by Monday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$ ALC039-053-011631- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1945Z.151230T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Conecuh River At Brewton * until further notice. * At 9AM Thursday the stage was 30.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 27.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to a stage of 27.9 feet by 6 am Tuesday. At 31.0 feet, Some county roads in the area will become flooded. State highway 41 begins to flood at stages around 23 feet. && LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712 $$ ALC053-FLC033-011631- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151231T1600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Escambia River Near Century * until further notice. * At 10AM Thursday the stage was 20.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 17.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to a stage of 18.1 feet by 6 pm Monday. At 19.5 feet, Flooding of farm and pasture lands will gradually subside as the river level drops, but some flooding will continue the next several days. && LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729 3077 8733 3093 8731 $$ FLC091-011631- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-160105T0300Z/ /CRVF1.1.ER.151231T1045Z.160102T0600Z.160104T2100Z.NO/ 1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Shoal River Near Crestview * until Monday evening. * At 9AM Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 8.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 9.6 feet by early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday afternoon. At 8.0 feet, Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur. && LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663 3070 8663 3070 8655 $$ MSC039-041-111-011631- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160103T2100Z/ /MCLM6.2.ER.151225T1211Z.151231T0530Z.160103T1500Z.NO/ 1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Leaf Near Mclain * until Sunday afternoon. * At 10AM Thursday the stage was 21.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 21.5 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood stage late Sunday morning. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-011631- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160104T0730Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.160101T0600Z.160104T0130Z.NO/ 1032 AM CST THU DEC 31 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Sunday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until late Sunday night. * At 10AM Thursday the stage was 23.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 24.0 feet by early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday evening. At 22.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
370 WGUS84 KMOB 010415 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1015 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-020415- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160103T1800Z/ /MCLM6.2.ER.151225T1211Z.151231T0530Z.160103T1200Z.NO/ 1015 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015 ...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for the Leaf Near Mclain * until Sunday afternoon. * At 5PM Thursday the stage was 21.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday morning. * At 18 feet...Considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-020415- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160105T2000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.160102T0000Z.160105T1400Z.NO/ 1015 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015 ...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Tuesday afternoon. * At 9PM Thursday the stage was 23.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 24.1 feet by Friday evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday afternoon. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. * At 20 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will occur. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$ MSC039-041-059-020415- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160103T0600Z/ /MRRM6.1.ER.151231T1615Z.160101T1200Z.160103T0000Z.NO/ 1015 PM CST THU DEC 31 2015 ...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...The Flood Warning continues for the Pascagoula At Merrill * until late Saturday night. * At 9PM Thursday the stage was 22.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 22 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage after 6PM Saturday evening. * At 23.0 feet...Streets and portions of the old business section of Merrill will become flooded. * At 24 feet...the bridge becomes inacessible by automobile. && LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864 3074 8868 3082 8879 $$
428 WGUS84 KMOB 011648 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1048 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-021648- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160103T2024Z/ /MCLM6.2.ER.151225T1211Z.151231T0530Z.160103T1424Z.NO/ 1048 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for the Leaf Near Mclain * until Sunday afternoon. * At 05PM Thursday the stage was 21.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday morning. * At 18.0 feet, considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-021648- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160106T0600Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.160101T1800Z.160106T0000Z.NO/ 1048 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until late Tuesday night. * At 10AM Friday the stage was 24.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 24.1 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday evening. * At 22.0 feet, flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$ MSC039-041-059-021648- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160103T0900Z/ /MRRM6.1.ER.151231T1615Z.160102T0000Z.160103T0300Z.NO/ 1048 AM CST FRI JAN 1 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...The Flood Warning continues for the Pascagoula At Merrill * until late Saturday night. * At 10AM Friday the stage was 22.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 22.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 22.7 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late evening. * At 20.0 feet,water covers the main road at Plum Bluff. && LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864 3074 8868 3082 8879 $$
495 WGUS84 KMOB 020135 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 735 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-030135- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160104T0300Z/ /MCLM6.2.ER.151225T1211Z.151231T0530Z.160103T2100Z.NO/ 735 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...The Flood Warning continues for the Leaf Near Mclain * until Sunday evening. * At 5PM Thursday the stage was 21.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18 feet. * The river will fall to below flood stage by Sunday afternoon. * At 18.0 feet...considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-030134- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160106T0200Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.160101T1730Z.160105T2000Z.NO/ 735 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Tuesday evening. * At 7PM Friday the stage was 24 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Tuesday early afternoon. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$ MSC039-041-059-030134- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160104T0600Z/ /MRRM6.1.ER.151231T1615Z.160102T0600Z.160104T0000Z.NO/ 735 PM CST FRI JAN 1 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...The Flood Warning continues for the Pascagoula At Merrill * until late Sunday night. * At 7PM Friday the stage was 22.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 22 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 22.7 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage by 6PM Sunday evening. * At 23.0 feet, Streets and portions of the old business section of Merrill will become flooded. At 24 feet the bridge becomes inacessible by automobile. * At 20 feet...water covers the main road at Plum Bluff. && LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864 3074 8868 3082 8879 $$
860 WGUS84 KMOB 021809 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1209 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-030925- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160103T0925Z/ /MCLM6.2.ER.151225T1211Z.151231T0530Z.160103T0325Z.NO/ 1209 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning continues for the Leaf Near Mclain * until late tonight. * At 06AM Saturday the stage was estimated at 19.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight. * At 18.0 feet...considerable lowland and agricultural flooding will occur. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-031808- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160105T2000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.160101T1730Z.160105T1400Z.NO/ 1209 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Tuesday afternoon. * At 11AM Saturday the stage was 23.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Tuesday morning. * At 22.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$ MSC039-041-059-031808- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160104T0000Z/ /MRRM6.1.ER.151231T1615Z.160102T0300Z.160103T1800Z.NO/ 1209 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...The Flood Warning continues for the Pascagoula At Merrill * until Sunday evening. * At 11AM Saturday the stage was 22.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 22.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon. * At 23.0 feet, Streets and portions of the old business section of Merrill will become flooded. At 24 feet the bridge becomes inacessible by automobile. * At 20 feet...water covers the main road at Plum Bluff. && LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864 3074 8868 3082 8879 $$
610 WGUS84 KMOB 030218 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 818 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-111-031157- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160103T1157Z/ /MCLM6.3.ER.151225T1211Z.160103T0045Z.160103T0557Z.NR/ 818 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until late tonight... ...The Flood Warning continues for the Leaf Near Mclain * until late tonight. * At 7 PM Saturday the stage was 18.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 18 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this evening. * At 18 feet...Considerable lowland and agricultural flooding continues. && LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871 3098 8877 3114 8887 $$ MSC039-041-153-040218- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160105T1400Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.160101T1730Z.160105T0800Z.NO/ 818 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning... ...The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Tuesday morning. * At 7 PM Saturday the stage was 23 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Tuesday morning. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues. Some roads in low lying areas remain cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$ MSC039-041-059-031800- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-160103T1800Z/ /MRRM6.1.ER.151231T1615Z.160102T0300Z.160103T1200Z.NO/ 818 PM CST SAT JAN 2 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon... ...The Flood Warning continues for the Pascagoula At Merrill * until Sunday afternoon. * At 7 PM Saturday the stage was 22.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 22 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow morning. * At 23 feet...Streets and portions of the Old Business District in Merrill remain flooded. * At 19 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues until the river drops below 18 feet. && LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864 3074 8868 3082 8879 $$
930 WGUS84 KMOB 031801 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1201 PM CST SUN JAN 3 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-041400- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160104T1400Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.160101T1730Z.160104T0800Z.NO/ 1201 PM CST SUN JAN 3 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Monday morning. * At 11AM Sunday the stage was 21.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by after midnight tomorrow. * At 22.0 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will continue and some roads in low lying areas will become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
980 WGUS84 KMOB 040435 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1035 PM CST SUN JAN 3 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-041300- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160104T1300Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.151225T2021Z.160101T1730Z.160104T0700Z.NO/ 1035 PM CST SUN JAN 3 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning... ...The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Monday morning. * At 10 PM Sunday the stage was 20.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will fall below flood stage around midnight. * At 20 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 24, 7:08 AM CST, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 24, 7:08 AM CST, 2 hours 3 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
708 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015
.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.
&&
.AVIATION...
12Z ISSUANCE...IFR TO LOW END MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY ALONG WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA. VISIBILITY MAY BECOME LOCALLY REDUCED TO MVFR TO
IFR LEVELS NEAR HEAVIER CONVECTION. AREAS OF IFR OR LOWER FOG MAY
DEVELOP TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 506 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015/
NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...A PERSISTENT MOIST SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING BETWEEN A BROAD MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS AND A
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SITUATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN. WEAK
IMPULSES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW HAS RESULTED IN THE
CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE REGION...MOST NOTABLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-65. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS CONVECTION CLOSELY FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AS THIS
ACTIVITY WILL BE MOVING OVER SATURATED GROUNDS...BUT SO FAR RAINFALL
RATES HAVE BEEN MINIMAL ENOUGH TO KEEP FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS LOW.
OTHERWISE...UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS
OUR FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS CHRISTMAS EVE MORNING...WITH 4 AM
TEMPERATURE READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS.
IN FACT...THE 4 AM TEMPERATURE AT MOBILE AND PENSACOLA ARE ONLY ABOUT
4 DEGREES AWAY FROM TODAY'S RECORD HIGHS OF 78 DEGREES AT BOTH
LOCATIONS.
THE MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS OUR
REGION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AND EMBEDDED IMPULSES LIFTING
NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE AREA TODAY. ANOMALOUSLY HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN
1.7 AND 1.9 INCHES WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED POTENTIAL OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IF STRONGER STORMS
TRAIN OVER LOCATIONS THAT HAVE RECEIVED BETWEEN 4-6 INCHES OR MORE
OF RAIN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. WHILE THE OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN
LARGE SCALE FLOODING CONCERNS REMAIN LOW ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH...WE WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT AN ELEVATED RISK OF
LOCALIZED FLOODING IN THE GRAPHICS AND HWO. THE WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN MODERATE INSTABILITY TODAY WITH MLCAPE
VALUES BETWEEN 1000-2000 J/KG ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER...DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL BE A LITTLE WEAKER TODAY WITH LESS DYNAMICS IN
PLAY...SO THE OVERALL RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LIMITED.
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY WITH THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY HAIL. NEAR RECORD
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION.
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD WESTWARD TOWARD THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES AND EASTERN GULF TONIGHT...AND THE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE AXIS WILL SUBSEQUENTLY SHIFT NORTHWESTWARD WITH TIME. POPS
WILL BE LOWER TONIGHT...BUT WILL STILL CARRY A CHANCE THROUGH THE
EVENING...THEN DECREASING SOMEWHAT AFTER MIDNIGHT. EXPECT PATCHY FOG
TO DEVELOP LATE...PERHAPS A BIT MORE ROBUST IN COVERAGE CLOSER TO
THE COAST...AND WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL DENSE FOG
FORMATION. LOWS FOR CHRISTMAS MORNING WILL ONCE AGAIN RANGE ABOUT 25
TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...WITH READINGS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
AROUND 70. /21
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...AN AMPLIFYING LONG WAVE
TROF OVER THE WESTERN STATES EVOLVES INTO A CUT OFF LOW ON SATURDAY
CENTERED NEAR THE ARIZONA/MEXICO BORDER WHICH CONTINUES INTO NORTH
CENTRAL MEXICO SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS IS A RATHER UNUSUAL FEATURE EVEN
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...WITH THE 500 MB HEIGHT IN THE UPPER LOW ABOUT
4 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL. AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM...A SERIES OF SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVES MOVE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND EAST CENTRAL STATES ON FRIDAY. THIS IN TURN LEADS
TO A SERIES OF SUBTLE SURFACE WAVES MOVING ALONG A REJUVENATED
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDS FROM THE ARKLATEX TO NEAR THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY. A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS TO THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS MEANWHILE ON FRIDAY IN RESPONSE TO THE
DEVELOPING UPPER LOW...THEN SHIFTS SOUTHWARD INTO WESTERN TEXAS
THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHIFTING
NORTHWARD SOMEWHAT. A SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS GENERALLY ORIENTED ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD WHICH MAINTAINS A MOIST
AND WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA.
HAVE GONE WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS GENERALLY EAST OF I-65 ON BOTH
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...EXCEPT FOR CHANCE POPS WEST OF I-65 CLOSER TO
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND SOMEWHAT BETTER ISENTROPIC LIFT. SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOLLOW FOR EACH NIGHT. OF NOTE IS THAT 850 MB
TEMPERATURES NEAR 16C ON CHRISTMAS ARE RUNNING ABOUT 2 STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL THEN MODESTLY DROP TO 15-16C FOR
SATURDAY...BUT STILL ABOUT 1.5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL.
CONSIDERING THIS AND THE WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW PATTERN...EXPECT RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON CHRISTMAS AT MOBILE AND PENSACOLA THEN NEAR
RECORD HIGHS ON SATURDAY. HERE IS A TABLE OF CURRENT RECORDS AND OUR
FORECAST HIGHS FOR BOTH DAYS...
FRIDAY MOBILE RECORD 77 FORECAST 78
PENSACOLA RECORD 78 FORECAST 78
SATURDAY MOBILE RECORD 78 FORECAST 77
PENSACOLA RECORD 78 FORECAST 77
LOWS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND SATURDAY
NIGHT...ABOUT 30 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. /29
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES
ACROSS EXTREME NORTHERN MEXICO TO NEAR THE TEXAS BORDER ON SUNDAY
WITH THE 500 MB HEIGHT DROPPING TO A STUNNING 5 STANDARD DEVIATIONS
BELOW NORMAL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKENS AND EJECTS OFF TO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION THROUGH TUESDAY. ANOTHER STRONG UPPER SYSTEM DROPS
INTO THE SOUTHWEST STATES MEANWHILE AND THEN ADVANCES ACROSS THE
CENTRAL STATES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A SURFACE LOW OVER TEXAS OCCLUDES
WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM ON SUNDAY...AND FOLLOWS THE UPPER SYSTEM TO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH TUESDAY...BRINGING A TRAILING AND
WEAKENING COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. THE 850
MB FLOW INCREASES TO 40-60 KNOTS ON MONDAY WITH THE STRONGEST 850 MB
WINDS OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE AREA...CLOSEST TO THE
TRAJECTORY OF THE UPPER LOW AS IT PASSES WEST OF THE REGION. THERE
ARE INDICATIONS THAT A LINE OF STORMS MAY DEVELOP WEST OF THE AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ON MONDAY...WITH
SURFACE BASED CAPES POSSIBLY REACHING AROUND 1000 J/KG ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THESE STORMS. THE STRONG 850 MB FLOW WILL RESULT IN HIGH
HELICITY VALUES WHICH WHEN COMBINED WITH THE INSTABILITY WILL RESULT
IN AN ENVIRONMENT CONDUCIVE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. GIVEN THAT
TIMING THE MOVEMENT OF CUT OFF UPPER LOWS IS CHALLENGING...THIS
IMPACTS CONFIDENCE IN TIMING WITH POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FOR
MONDAY. FOR NOW...WILL MAINTAIN WORDING IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAINLY ON MONDAY AND CONTINUE TO
MONITOR. CHANCE POPS ON SUNDAY INCREASE TO LIKELY FOR MONDAY WITH
GOOD CHANCE POPS FOR MONDAY NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS
FOLLOW FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AS THE WEAKENING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH WITH AN OVERRUNNING FLOW PERSISTING IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT. UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES CONTINUE FOR SUNDAY
WHICH MAY ALSO BE NEAR RECORD VALUES...THEN TEMPERATURES FINALLY
TREND LOWER THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS FOR WEDNESDAY IN THE LOWER
TO MID 60S. OVERNIGHT LOWS FOLLOW A SIMILAR TREND...BEGINNING WITH
VERY WARM LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S TRENDING TO THE
40S BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. /29
MARINE...A SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND FROM THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...MAINTAINING A LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE
MARINE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...PARTICULARLY NEAR BAYS AND
SOUNDS. A DENSE MARINE FOG ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE UNTIL NOON
TODAY...AND AN EXTENSION OR ADDITIONAL ADVISORY MAY BECOME LATER
REQUIRED. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM LIFTS ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. /21
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...NONE.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ630>632.
&&
THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOBHazardous weather outlook, Dec 24, 6:31 AM CST, 2 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 631 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015 ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-251245- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL- BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND- ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL- OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 631 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG OR BRIEFLY SEVERE...AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY HAIL. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING OF URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS. A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG MAY DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. FOG MAY BECOME LOCALLY DENSE AT TIMES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM BY MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS CURRENTLY NOT ANTICIPATED. GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-251245- NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 631 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL IMPACT MOBILE BAY AND THE MISSISSIPPI SOUND TODAY...AND POSSIBLY AGAIN THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE IN THE OTHER BAY SYSTEMS. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS TODAY AS MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS CONTINUE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL LIKELY IMPACT AREA BAYS AND SOUNDS... PARTICULARLY MOBILE BAY AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND...THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THE WEEK.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Dec 24, 7:30 AM CST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
730 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015
ALZ056-059-241430-
ESCAMBIA AL-CONECUH AL-
730 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
NORTHWESTERN ESCAMBIA AND CONECUH IN SOUTHCENTRAL ALABAMA UNTIL 830
AM CST...
AT 729 AM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER I65 AND AL
113...OR 15 MILES SOUTH OF FRISCO CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EVERGREEN... CASTLEBERRY... REPTON...
I65 AND AL 41... I65 AND CR 29... I65 AND AL 83...
I65 AND AL 113... I65 AND CR 6... I65 AND US 84...
THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS. AVOID USING WIRED
TELEPHONES DIRECTLY CONNECTED TO OUTSIDE PHONE LINES.
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
GREATLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY AND CREATE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...WHICH MAY CAUSE VEHICLES TO HYDROPLANE. TRAVELERS ARE
URGED TO USE CAUTION.
LAT...LON 3109 8734 3123 8749 3126 8745 3126 8743
3134 8735 3164 8696 3157 8687 3154 8686
3153 8682 3144 8672
TIME...MOT...LOC 1329Z 231DEG 30KT 3122 8734The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 9:11 AM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Perry | 10 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.