Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 41, NWS Mobile, AL

December 23, 2015Escambia County, Florida; Escambia County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Dec 23, 2015, 8:56 AM CST for Escambia County, Florida; Escambia County, Alabama. It took effect at Dec 24, 2015, 2:06 PM CST. It was in force for 58 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 23, 2015, 8:56 AM CST (14:56 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 24, 2015, 2:06 PM CST
Expired
Dec 27, 2015, 12:00 AM CST
In force
58 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Escambia County, AL, Escambia County, FL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Big Escambia Creek at Flomaton (FLMA1). The gauge peaked at 18.74 ft at Dec 25, 2015, 10:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderate10152012/2312/2412/2512/2612/2712/28
Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
21 ft
Major stage
22.5 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02375000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

214 
WGUS44 KMOB 231456
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
856 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015



...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a flood warning for the 
following rivers in Alabama...Florida... 

  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County.

.Heavy rainfall is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours. As a result...river
levels are forecast to rise and a flood warning is now in effect.  It is 
emphasized that the following forecast is based on the expected rainfall during 
the next 24 hours.  If less rainfall occurs...it may be necessary to revise this
stage forecast downward.
..

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-241456-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0041.151225T1500Z-151227T0600Z/
/FLMA1.1.ER.151225T1500Z.151226T0600Z.151227T0000Z.NO/
856 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a 

* FLOOD WARNING for 
  The Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton
* From Friday morning until late Saturday night
* Flood stage is 14 feet. 
* At 14.5 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will gradually subside as the 
  creek drops below 14 feet and continues to fall.

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$
9 follow-up statements
041 
WGUS84 KMOB 240155
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
755 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County. 
  Murder Creek At Brewton affecting Escambia County. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-250155-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.151224T1715Z-151227T0800Z/
/FLMA1.1.ER.151224T1715Z.151225T0600Z.151227T0200Z.NO/
755 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Saturday night...The FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES for
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton
* From tomorrow late morning until late Saturday night.
* At 6PM Wednesday the stage was estimated to be 10.6 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow afternoon. The creek will fall
  below flood stage late Saturday night.
* At 14.5 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will gradually subside as the 
  creek drops below 14 feet and continues to fall.  

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$

ALC053-241851-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0044.151224T1120Z-151224T1851Z/
/BWMA1.1.ER.151224T1120Z.151224T1200Z.151224T1251Z.NO/
755 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Thursday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
for
  the Murder Creek At Brewton
* From early tomorrow until Thursday afternoon.
* At 6PM Wednesday the stage was 20.0 feet. 
* No flood flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise near
  22.1 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet, Flooding of persimmon and ann streets will begin as the creek 
  level rises above 22 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8704 3113 8701 3107 8709 3108 8713


$$

ALC039-053-250155-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.151225T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151225T0600Z.151228T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
755 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* From early Friday morning until further notice.
* At 7PM Wednesday the stage was 23.9 feet. 
* No flood flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and continue to 
  rise near 28.1 feet by Monday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 27 feet, flooding of farmland in the area will occur and cattle should be moved
  higher ground.
  
&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$
086 
WGUS84 KMOB 240234 CCA
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT ...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
755 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County. 
  Murder Creek At Brewton affecting Escambia County. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-250155-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.151224T1715Z-151227T0800Z/
/FLMA1.1.ER.151224T1715Z.151225T0600Z.151227T0200Z.NO/
755 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Saturday night...The FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES for
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton
* From tomorrow late morning until late Saturday night.
* At 6PM Wednesday the stage was estimated to be 10.6 feet.
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow afternoon. The creek will fall
  below flood stage late Saturday night.
* At 14.5 feet, Flooding of lowlands in the area will gradually subside as the 
  creek drops below 14 feet and continues to fall.  

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$

ALC053-241851-
/O.COR.KMOB.FL.W.0044.151224T1120Z-151224T1851Z/
/BWMA1.1.ER.151224T1120Z.151224T1200Z.151224T1251Z.NO/
755 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Thursday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
for
  the Murder Creek At Brewton
* From early tomorrow until Thursday afternoon.
* At 6PM Wednesday the stage was 20.0 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise near
  22.1 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet, Flooding of persimmon and ann streets will begin as the creek 
  level rises above 22 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8704 3113 8701 3107 8709 3108 8713


$$

ALC039-053-250155-
/O.COR.KMOB.FL.W.0040.151225T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151225T0600Z.151228T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
755 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* From early Friday morning until further notice.
* At 7PM Wednesday the stage was 23.9 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and continue to 
  rise near 28.1 feet by Monday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 27 feet, flooding of farmland in the area will occur and cattle should be moved
  higher ground.
  
&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$
153 
WGUS84 KMOB 241626
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1026 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County. 
  
  Perdido River Near Barrineau Park affecting Baldwin and Escambia Counties. 
  
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 
  
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.
  
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-251626-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.151225T0600Z-151226T0000Z/
/FLMA1.1.ER.151225T0600Z.151225T0600Z.151225T1800Z.NO/
1026 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Friday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton
* From after midnight tomorrow until Friday evening.
* At 8AM Thursday the stage was estimated at 12.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The river will continue rising to 14 feet overnight Friday. The river will fall
  below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* At 14 feet...Some homes north of highway 31 may become affected by flood water 
  as the river level rises.  

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$

ALC003-FLC033-251626-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-151226T1200Z/
/BRPF1.1.ER.151224T0718Z.151224T1800Z.151226T0600Z.NO/
1026 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Perdido River Near Barrineau Park
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8AM Thursday the stage was 13.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.6 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* At 13 feet...The river begins to leave its banks at the parking lot of Adventures 
  Unlimited and threatens several permanently parked travel trailers.  

&&

LAT...LON 3080 8761 3080 8756 3065 8737 3051 8744
 3052 8746 3064 8740                  

$$

ALC039-053-251626-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.151227T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151227T1800Z.151229T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* From Sunday early afternoon until further notice.
* At 8AM Thursday the stage was 24.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday early afternoon and continue to 
  rise near 27.7 feet by Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 27 feet...Flooding of farmland in the area will occur and cattle should be moved
  to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC053-FLC033-251626-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151226T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 17.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 19.1 feet by tomorrow evening then 
  begin falling.
* At 19 feet...Low lying pastures will flood and cattle should be moved to higher ground. 

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-251626-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0046.151224T1551Z-151227T0025Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.151224T1551Z.151225T1200Z.151226T1825Z.UU/
1026 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* From late this morning until Saturday evening.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 10.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise 
  near 13.8 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  Saturday afternoon.
* At 11 feet...Some minor flooding of secondary roads and lowlands from around 
  baker downstream will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

FLC091-251626-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0037.151225T1800Z-151228T1800Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151225T1800Z.151226T1800Z.151228T1200Z.NO/
1026 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* From tomorrow early afternoon until Monday afternoon.
* At 8AM Thursday the stage was 7.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to
  rise near 8.4 feet by Saturday early afternoon. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Monday morning.
* At 8 feet...Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$
219 
WGUS44 KMOB 241636
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1036 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015



...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the following 
river in Alabama...Florida...

  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County.

.Heavy rainfall over the past 24 hours has resulted in rising river levels.

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-251636-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.151224T2125Z-151227T0600Z/
/FLMA1.2.ER.151224T2125Z.151225T1800Z.151227T0000Z.NO/
1036 AM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for 
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton 
* until late Saturday night.
* At 930AM Thursday the stage was estimated at 12.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 14 feet. 
* The river will rise above flood stage later this afternoon and continue rising 
  to 16.9 feet by Saturday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday 
  evening.
* At 16.5 feet...Flooding of highway 31 near the flomaton high school will begin as the
  level rises above 16 feet.
* At 17.5 feet...Residential flooding will occur in Flomaton and some evacuations will
  likely be needed.

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$
032 
WGUS44 KMOB 242009
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
209 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015



...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the following 
river in Alabama...Florida...

  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County.

.Heavy rainfall over the past 24 hours has resulted in rising river levels.

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-252009-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.151224T2006Z-151229T0336Z/
/FLMA1.3.ER.151224T1952Z.151225T1200Z.151228T2136Z.NO/
209 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for 
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton 
* until Monday evening.
* At 1 PM Thursday the stage was...13.7 feet. 
* Major flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 14 feet. 
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise near
  19 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* At 17.5 feet...Residential flooding will occur in flomaton and some evacuations will 
  likely be needed.
* At 25 feet...Most of Flomaton will become flooded as the level rises above 25 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$
396 
WGUS84 KMOB 250311
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
911 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County. 
  Perdido River Near Barrineau Park affecting Baldwin and Escambia Counties. 
  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 
  Yellow River At Milligan affecting Covington...Okaloosa and Santa Rosa 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-260311-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-151229T0130Z/
/FLMA1.3.ER.151224T1958Z.151225T1800Z.151228T1930Z.NO/
911 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton
* until Monday evening.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.9 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by early afternoon Monday.
* Residential flooding will occur in flomaton and some evacuations will likely be needed.


&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$

ALC003-252304-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-151225T2304Z/
/STXA1.2.ER.151224T0127Z.151224T2000Z.151225T1704Z.NO/
911 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Friday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Styx River Near Elsanor
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 14.3 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow late morning.
* Residence downstream at seminole landing should be alert to possible flooding as the gage rises to
  12 feet. 

&&

LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8749 3057 8751 3062 8759


$$

ALC003-FLC033-260311-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-151227T0515Z/
/BRPF1.1.ER.151224T0718Z.151226T0600Z.151226T2315Z.NO/
911 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Perdido River Near Barrineau Park
* From early tomorrow until Saturday evening.
* At 7PM Thursday the stage was 12.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise near
  14.4 feet by early Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by noon on Saturday.
* At 13 feet...the river begins to leave it's banks at the parking lot of adventures 
  unlimited and threatens several permanently parked travel trailers.  

&&

LAT...LON 3080 8761 3080 8756 3065 8737 3051 8744
 3052 8746 3064 8740                  

$$

ALC039-053-260311-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.151227T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151227T0300Z.151230T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* From Saturday before midnight until further notice.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 25.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday before midnight and continue to
  rise near 28.8 feet by Tuesday evening. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 27 feet...Flooding of farmland in the area will occur and cattle should be 
  moved to higher ground if this has not already been done.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-260310-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-151227T0524Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.151224T1619Z.151225T1200Z.151226T2324Z.UU/
911 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until Saturday evening.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 13.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.1 feet by tomorrow morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Saturday afternoon.
* At 14 feet...Flooding of east park in Baker occurs at 14 feet and west park 
  becomes flooded at 14.5 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

FLC091-260310-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0037.151227T0000Z-151227T0600Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151227T0000Z.151227T0000Z.151227T0000Z.NO/
911 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Saturday night...The FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* From Saturday evening until late Saturday night.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 7.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday evening and continue to rise to
  near 8 feet by Saturday evening. The river will fall below flood stage by early 
  Sunday morning.
* At 8 feet...Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

ALC039-FLC091-113-260310-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.151226T1950Z-151228T1830Z/
/MLGF1.1.ER.151226T1950Z.151227T1800Z.151228T1230Z.UU/
911 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Yellow River At Milligan
* From Saturday early afternoon until Monday afternoon.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 7.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday early afternoon and continue to
  rise near 14.7 feet by Sunday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood
  stage by early Monday afternoon.
* At 14.5 feet...Antioch road will flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8658 3099 8652 3069 8663 3069 8667


$$
026 
WGUS44 KMOB 251800
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1200 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015



...Observed flooding changed from Major to Minor severity for the following 
river in Alabama...Florida...
...Forecast flooding changed from Major to Minor severity for the following 
river in Alabama...Florida...
  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County Alabama and Escambia
  County Florida.

.Heavy rainfall occurred during the past 24 hours 24 hours. As a result...river
levels have risen and a flood warning is now in effect.  

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-261800-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-151227T0200Z/
/FLMA1.1.ER.151224T1958Z.151225T1800Z.151226T2000Z.NO/
1200 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for 
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton 
* until Saturday evening.
* At 11AM Friday the stage was...14.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
* The river will continue rising to near 14.6 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage  tomorrow early afternoon.
* At 14.5 feet...Flooding of lowlands in the area will gradually subside as the 
  creek drops below 14 feet and continues to fall.

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$
980 
WGUS84 KMOB 260350
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County. 
  Murder Creek At Brewton affecting Escambia County. 
  Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington...Crenshaw and Escambia 
  Counties. 
  Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia Counties. 
  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington...Escambia...Okaloosa and Santa
  Rosa Counties. 
  Yellow River At Milligan affecting Covington...Okaloosa and Santa Rosa 
  Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
 
  Burnt Corn Creek Near Brewton affecting Escambia County. 
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-270350-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-151227T1520Z/
/FLMA1.1.ER.151224T1958Z.151226T1800Z.151227T0920Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton
* From tonight until Sunday morning.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 14 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise near 15.7 
  feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* At 14 feet...Some homes north of highway 31 may become affected by flood water 
  as the level rises above 14 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$

ALC053-261500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-151226T1500Z/
/BCNA1.1.ER.151225T1245Z.151225T1900Z.151226T0900Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Burnt Corn Creek Near Brewton
* until Saturday morning.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 16.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early tomorrow.
* At 16 feet...Flood stage. Persimmon and Ann Street start to flood. Ballfield on
  left bank of creek is flooded. This also a criticle stage for Crede foundry in 
  Brewton.  

&&

LAT...LON 3117 8713 3118 8707 3111 8705 3108 8709


$$

ALC053-261104-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-151226T1104Z/
/BWMA1.1.ER.151225T2034Z.151226T0230Z.151226T0504Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late tonight...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Murder Creek At Brewton
* until late tonight.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 22.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* At 22.5 feet...Street flooding in Brewton should gradually end as the creek 
  levels fall below 22 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8704 3113 8701 3107 8709 3108 8713


$$

ALC039-041-053-270349-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-151228T1052Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.151225T1348Z.151227T0000Z.151228T0452Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Sunday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Conecuh River At River Falls
* until late Sunday night.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 40.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 37 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 42.8 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river will fall below flood stage Sunday around midnight.
* At 40 feet...Considerable flooding of farmlands and some rural roads in the 
  area will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3137 8653 3132 8649 3111 8676 3118 8680


$$

ALC039-053-270349-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0040.151226T1400Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.151226T1400Z.151229T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Conecuh River At Brewton
* From tomorrow morning until further notice.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 26.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 27 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise 
  near 29.1 feet by Tuesday early afternoon.
* At 27 feet...Flooding of farmland in the area will occur and cattle should be 
  moved to higher ground if this has not already been done.  

&&

LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712


$$

ALC053-FLC033-270349-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.151224T0452Z.151230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until further notice.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 19 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 21 feet by Monday early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* At 19 feet...Low lying pastures will flood and cattle should be moved to higher
  ground.  

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-270246-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-151227T0246Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.151224T1619Z.151225T1601Z.151226T2046Z.UU/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker
* until Saturday evening.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 14.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* At 14 feet...Flooding of east park in Baker occurs and west park 
  becomes flooded at 14.5 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
 3070 8690 3082 8675                  

$$

ALC039-FLC091-113-270349-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0049.151226T0520Z-151228T2248Z/
/MLGF1.1.ER.151226T0520Z.151227T0000Z.151228T1648Z.UU/
950 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Yellow River At Milligan
* From tonight until Monday afternoon.
* At 9PM Friday the stage was 11.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise near 14.7 
  feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* At 14.5 feet...Antioch road will flood.  

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8658 3099 8652 3069 8663 3069 8667


$$
313 
WGUS84 KMOB 261739
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1139 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
 

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Alabama...
Florida...
 
  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County.

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC053-FLC033-261809-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-151227T1520Z/
/FLMA1.1.ER.151224T1958Z.151225T2100Z.151226T0234Z.NO/
1139 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The FLOOD WARNING is CANCELLED for
  The Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton
* until Sunday morning.
* At 11AM Saturday the stage was 13.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 23, 5:35 AM CST, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 23, 5:35 AM CST, 3 hours 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
535 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...SEVERE STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...A DEEPLY MOIST SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION EARLY THIS
MORNING BETWEEN A MID LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENING OVER THE ROCKY
MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS STATES AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. EARLY MORNING RADAR IMAGERY
SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF RAIN SPREADING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AHEAD
OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE VICINITY OF
SOUTHEASTERN LA THROUGH SOUTHWEST AL. A FEW HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO LOCATED FROM COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MS AND SOUTHWEST AL THROUGH THE INTERIOR NW FL PANHANDLE AND
ADJACENT SOUTH CENTRAL AL WHERE SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY WAS
AVAILABLE...BUT SO FAR THE STRONGER CELLS HAVE REMAINED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS AS THE BETTER INSTABILITY HAS REMAINED POSITIONED WELL
OFFSHORE.

THE MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY. NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS...THOUGH THE PAST FEW
RUNS OF THE HRRR SHOW A DECREASE IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE FROM SW TO
NE AFTER 9-10 AM AS THE INITIAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRANSLATES
NORTHEAST OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...A DIFLUENT MID LEVEL FLOW PATTERN
WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS
AFTERNOON AS A NEGATIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTS FROM THE
CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWESTERN STATES AND GREAT LAKES REGION.
MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...AND WILL MAINTAIN A LIKELY CHANCE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION
THROUGH THIS PERIOD. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE STRONGER OVER
SOUTHEASTERN MS AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST AL TODAY... WHERE 0-6 KM BULK
SHEAR VALUES WILL AVERAGE 40-45 KNOTS. INSTABILITY WILL ALSO BE ON
THE INCREASE TODAY AS SURFACE DEWPOINTS RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO
AROUND 70 F ACROSS THE REGION. MLCAPE VALUES ARE PROGGED TO INCREASE
TO 500-1000 J/KG OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWFA TO A MORE
IMPRESSIVE 1000-1500 J/KG ACROSS SOUTHEAST MS AND INTERIOR SOUTHWEST
AL. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG SHEAR...INCREASED INSTABILITY ALONG
WITH 0-1 KM SRH VALUES OF 200- 300 M2/S2 WILL BRING A SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT TO MUCH OF THE REGION TODAY...WITH THE BETTER POTENTIAL OVER
SOUTHEAST MS AND INTERIOR SW AL. A FEW TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE TODAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO
RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TODAY AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING STORM SYSTEM TO OUR W/NW. WHILE WIND
GUSTS COULD APPROACH ADVISORY THRESHOLDS NEAR THE COAST...THE
EXPECTED NATURE LOOKS BRIEF AND INFREQUENT ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE
ISSUANCE OF ADVISORY WITH THIS PACKAGE.

A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE MAY LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT...WITH SOME OF THE GLOBAL GUIDANCE INDICATING
ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-65
AND NEAR THE COAST. A SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST AT LEAST INTO THE
EVENING GIVEN AMPLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR/INSTABILITY. WILL MAINTAIN
LIKELY POPS TONIGHT...AND KEEP MENTION OF SEVERE IN THROUGH AT
LEAST THE EVENING. /21

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...A SERIES OF SOUTHERN
STREAM SHORTWAVES MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY THEN WEAKEN
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS UPPER RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN
STATES AND A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE TROF EVOLVES OVER THE WESTERN
STATES. A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES EJECTED DOWNSTREAM FROM THE UPPER TROF
MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS...AND INTERACT WITH AN OLD REMNANT FRONTAL
BOUNDARY LOCATED FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO NEAR THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY...POSSIBLY FORMING SEVERAL SURFACE WAVES MOVING ALONG THE
BOUNDARY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WHILE THE BULK OF GUIDANCE SHOWS
THAT THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE LOCATED GENERALLY WELL TO THE NORTH
OF THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD...THE GFS SHOWS THAT THE BOUNDARY MAY
SHIFT TO OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THURSDAY
NIGHT...CLOSE TO THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA...BEFORE
PUSHING FURTHER TO THE NORTH. HAVE CONTINUED WITH LIKELY POPS ON
THURSDAY WITH CHANCE POPS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT WITH
THE HIGHEST POPS OVER THE INTERIOR NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE AREA.
POPS THEN TAPER OFF TO SLIGHT CHANCE FOR MUCH OF THE AREA FOR
FRIDAY...WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOLLOWING THROUGH SATURDAY. SURFACE
BASED CAPES INCREASE TO 1500-2000 J/KG CHRISTMAS EVE BUT 0-1 KM
HELICITY VALUES SHOULD REMAIN AT 100 M2/S2 SUGGESTING SOME STRONG
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT THE SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL LOOKS LOW AT
THIS TIME.  HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S ON CHRISTMAS
EVE...WITH EVEN WARMER HIGHS FOR CHRISTMAS RANGING FROM THE MID 70S
NEAR THE COAST TO AROUND 80 INLAND. HIGHS ON CHRISTMAS EVE WILL BE
ABOUT 2 DEGREES BELOW THE RECORD HIGHS AT MOBILE AND PENSACOLA...AND
MAY TIE OR BREAK THE RECORD OF 77 AT MOBILE ON CHRISTMAS. LOWS WILL
BE RATHER MILD AND IN THE MID 60S CHRISTMAS EVE NIGHT AND CHRISTMAS
NIGHT. /29

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE
TROF OVER THE WESTERN STATES EVOLVES INTO A CUT OFF LOW OVER THE
EXTREME SOUTHWEST STATES ON SATURDAY...WHICH PROGRESSES SLOWLY ACROSS
THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES THROUGH MONDAY USING THE PREDOMINATE
SOLUTIONS OF THE ECMWF/CMC/NAEFS/UKMET...THEN IS EXPECTED TO LIFT OFF
TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH TUESDAY. AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE
LOW PASSES NORTH OF THE AREA LATE IN THE PERIOD AND IS EXPECTED TO
BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.
WILL HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ON SATURDAY INCREASE TO CHANCE TO GOOD
CHANCE POPS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF
THE FRONT...THEN CHANCE POPS FOLLOW FOR MOST OF THE AREA TUESDAY.
HIGHS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S...THEN
TRENDING COOLER BY TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID 60S...THEN TRENDING COOLER TO THE
50S FOR TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. /29

&&

.MARINE...SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE TODAY THEN SUBSIDES TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS OUR REGION. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS. AREAS OF
DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE WEEK PARTICULARLY IN BAYS AND
COASTAL WATERS DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. A LIGHT TO
MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW FOLLOWS FOR FRIDAY THEN GRADUALLY INCREASES
THROUGH SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      74  67  76  65 /  80  70  70  30
PENSACOLA   76  69  75  66 /  80  70  60  30
DESTIN      76  69  75  66 /  80  70  50  20
EVERGREEN   77  67  79  65 /  80  70  60  30
WAYNESBORO  75  65  78  66 /  80  60  60  40
CAMDEN      76  67  78  66 /  80  70  60  40
CRESTVIEW   75  69  78  65 /  90  70  50  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ALZ265-266.

FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR FLZ202-204-206.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ631-632-650-
     655-670-675.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 23, 8:38 AM CST, 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
838 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-241445-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
838 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS
THAT DEVELOP TODAY...WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH OR AREAL
FLOODING. LOCALIZED FLOODING OF URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE.

A HIGH RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
GULF BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS WILL LIKELY BE
NECESSARY TODAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-241445-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
838 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS WIND AND WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT CAN BE EXPECTED
TODAY AND TONIGHT. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE TODAY. AREAS OF DENSE FOG MAY BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AREAS OF DENSE FOG MAY CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 23, 7:12 AM CST, 1 hour 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
712 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0657 AM     HAIL             MOBILE AIRPORT          30.68N 88.24W
12/23/2015  E0.88 INCH       MOBILE             AL   AMATEUR RADIO

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT RANGELINE ROAD AND I-10

&&

SE
Special weather statement, Dec 23, 7:18 AM CST, 1 hour 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
718 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

MSZ067-075-076-231415-
PERRY MS-WAYNE MS-GREENE MS-
718 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
PERRY...SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE AND GREENE IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI UNTIL
815 AM CST...

AT 717 AM CST...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED 7
MILES SOUTH OF NEW AUGUSTA...OR 17 MILES SOUTH OF RICHTON...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WAYNESBORO...          RICHTON...             BEAUMONT...
NEW AUGUSTA...         STATE LINE...          MCLAIN...
BUCKATUNNA...          CLARA...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MOBILE.

LAT...LON 3178 8847 3127 8844 3093 8906 3119 8915
      3124 8915
TIME...MOT...LOC 1317Z 223DEG 49KT 3110 8902

BUTTS
Local storm report, Dec 23, 7:21 AM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
721 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GRAND BAY               30.48N 88.34W
12/23/2015                   MOBILE             AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            GRAND BAY FD WATER RESCUE AT 188 AND FERNLAND ROAD

&&

SE
Local storm report, Dec 23, 7:28 AM CST, 1 hour 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
728 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0717 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PRICHARD                30.74N 88.09W
12/23/2015                   MOBILE             AL   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            PRICHARD FD WATER RESCUE AT GOLFWAY DRIVE

&&

SE
Local storm report, Dec 23, 7:54 AM CST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
754 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW DEES              30.55N 88.38W
12/23/2015                   MOBILE             AL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MEDIA REPORTS TREES ACROSS ROADWAY AT FORT LAKE ROAD AND
            GASTON LOOP ROAD

&&

SE
Special weather statement, Dec 23, 8:07 AM CST, 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
807 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

ALZ051>053-MSZ067-231500-
CLARKE AL-WASHINGTON AL-CHOCTAW AL-WAYNE MS-
807 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
NORTHWESTERN CLARKE...NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON AND SOUTHWESTERN
CHOCTAW IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE IN SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI UNTIL 900 AM CST...

AT 806 AM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BUCKATUNNA...
OR 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WAYNESBORO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
THOMASVILLE...         MILLRY...              SILAS...
COFFEEVILLE...         FULTON...              BUCKATUNNA...
CLARA...

THE PRIMARY THREATS FROM THIS STORM ARE WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.
WINDS THIS STRONG COULD BLOW OFF TREE LIMBS AND ALSO BLOW AROUND
SMALL UNSECURED OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

SMALL HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MOBILE.

LAT...LON 3199 8807 3199 8779 3178 8767 3142 8845
      3144 8845 3143 8855 3158 8870 3201 8809
TIME...MOT...LOC 1406Z 229DEG 44KT 3152 8851

BUTTS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 5:49 AM CSTRip Current StatementMOBEscambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa36 hr
Dec 23, 7:02 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBEscambia43 min
Dec 23, 7:12 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBEscambia48 min
Dec 23, 7:40 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBEscambia, Santa Rosa65 min
Dec 23, 8:58 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBEscambia61 hr
Dec 22, 10:01 PM CSTSmall Craft AdvisoryMOB24 hr
Dec 23, 2:27 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningMOB33 min
Dec 23, 2:34 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBMobile41 min
Dec 23, 3:47 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningMOB43 min
Dec 23, 4:46 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBMobile29 min
Dec 23, 4:56 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningMOB49 min
Dec 23, 5:23 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBBaldwin67 min
Dec 23, 6:11 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBMobile49 min
Dec 23, 6:32 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBMobile3 hr
Dec 23, 6:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBMobile42 min
Dec 23, 6:36 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningMOB54 min
Dec 23, 6:38 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBBaldwin, Mobile37 min
Dec 23, 6:50 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBMobile3 hr
Dec 23, 8:07 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBChoctaw53 min
Dec 23, 8:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBConecuh, Covington, Escambia67 min
Dec 23, 8:55 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBCovington, Escambia13 days
Dec 23, 9:32 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBCrenshaw28 min
Dec 23, 9:51 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBChoctaw54 min
Dec 23, 11:25 AM CSTMarine Dense Fog AdvisoryMOB4 days
Dec 23, 11:30 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBBaldwin24 hr
Dec 23, 11:32 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBEscambia33 hr
Dec 23, 11:33 AM CSTAreal Flood WarningMOBMobile6 hr
Dec 23, 12:29 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBCrenshaw46 min
Dec 23, 1:11 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBWilcox34 min
Dec 23, 1:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBClarke, Washington43 min
Dec 23, 1:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBClarke, Wilcox46 min
Dec 23, 2:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw49 min
Dec 23, 3:07 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBChoctaw38 min
Dec 23, 5:03 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBChoctaw42 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2015River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.