River Flood Warning 30, NWS Mobile, AL

924 
WGUS84 KMOB 021045
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
445 AM CST MON NOV 2 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-031045-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151105T1630Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151102T2230Z.151104T0600Z.151105T1030Z.NO/
445 AM CST MON NOV 2 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Thursday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for the Shoal River Near Crestview
* From late this afternoon until Thursday morning.
* At 4AM Monday the stage was 7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise
  near 9.3 feet by early Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by 7AM Thursday morning.
* At 8 feet...Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

817 
WGUS84 KMOB 021454
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
854 AM CST MON NOV 2 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-031454-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151106T0430Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151102T2024Z.151104T1200Z.151105T2230Z.NO/
854 AM CST MON NOV 2 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Thursday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* From this afternoon until Thursday evening.
* At 8AM Monday the stage was 7.7 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise near
  10.0 feet by Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday evening.
* At 8.0 feet, Some minor flooding of low lying areas will occur.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

935 
WGUS84 KMOB 030207
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
807 PM CST MON NOV 2 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 


SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-040207-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151105T1800Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151102T1707Z.151104T0000Z.151105T1200Z.NO/
807 PM CST MON NOV 2 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Thursday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
for the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 7PM Monday the stage was 8.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.5 feet by tomorrow evening. The river
  will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* At 8.5 feet, Lowland flooding in the area will diminish as the river drops below
  8 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

548 
WGUS84 KMOB 031419
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
819 AM CST TUE NOV 3 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-041419-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151106T0000Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151102T1707Z.151104T0000Z.151105T1800Z.NO/
819 AM CST TUE NOV 3 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Thursday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Thursday evening.
* At 7 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.5 feet by this evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage early Thursday afternoon.
* At 8.5 feet...Lowland flooding in the area will diminish as the river drops below
  8 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

201 
WGUS84 KMOB 040513
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1113 PM CST TUE NOV 3 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-050513-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151106T0112Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151102T1707Z.151104T0415Z.151105T1912Z.NO/
1113 PM CST TUE NOV 3 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Thursday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Thursday evening.
* At 10PM Tuesday the stage was 10.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by Thursday early afternoon.
* At 10.0 feet, Some flooding of trailers north of the okaloosa correctional 
  institue may occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

448 
WGUS84 KMOB 041446
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
846 AM CST WED NOV 4 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-051446-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151106T0430Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151102T1707Z.151104T0745Z.151105T2230Z.NO/
846 AM CST WED NOV 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Thursday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until Thursday evening.
* At 8 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* At 10 feet...Some flooding of trailers north of the okaloosa correctional 
  institue occurs as the river rises above 10 feet  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

365 
WGUS84 KMOB 050605
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1205 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-060300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151106T0300Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151102T1707Z.151104T0745Z.151105T2100Z.NO/
1205 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until this evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until this evening.
* At 11PM Wednesday the stage was 8.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* At 8.5 feet, Lowland flooding in the area will diminish as the river drops below
  8 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

553 
WGUS84 KMOB 051641
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1041 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

FLC091-060400-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-151106T0400Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.151102T1707Z.151104T0745Z.151105T2200Z.NO/
1041 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until this evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview
* until this evening.
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 8.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 8 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* At 8.5 feet, Lowland flooding in the area will diminish as the river drops below
  8 feet.  

&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
 3070 8663 3070 8655                  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
912 PM CST SUN NOV 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...SEE UPDATED INFORMATION FOR LAND AREAS BELOW.

&&

.UPDATE...SFC WARM FRONT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG THE NW FL
COAST...JUST NORTH OF DESTIN BUT STILL SOUTH OF PENSACOLA. THE
BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO LIFT NORTH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS IN RESPONSE
TO THE STRONG SHORTWAVE OVER EASTERN TX SLOWLY EJECTING EAST. A
BROAD SFC LOW CURRENTLY SOUTH OF SOUTHEAST LA WILL TRACK NORTHEAST
OVERNIGHT AND DEEPEN SLIGHTLY OVER SW AL. CONTINUE TO EXPECT RENEWED
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE AND AHEAD OF THE SFC LOW AND ITS
ATTENDANT WARM/COLD FRONT AS DEEP LAYER ASCENT INCREASES OVERNIGHT.
HI RES GUIDANCE INDICATES THE 850MB JET WILL STRENGTHEN TO 35-45 KT
AFTER 06Z ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR. 0-1KM SRH INCREASES TO
150-200 M2/S2 EAST OF I-65 WHICH IS WHERE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SHEAR
IS PRESENT. WHEN COMBINED WITH MLCAPES INCREASING TO NEAR 500 J/KG
ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES...THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE STORMS
OVERNIGHT IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE SFC LOW AND IN THE VICINITY OF THE
WARM FRONT. JUST HOW FAR THE WARM FRONT MAKES IT IS STILL A BIT
UNCERTAIN. HOWEVER...WE BELIEVE THE GREATEST SEVERE RISK IS ALONG THE
AL COAST INTO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...PERHAPS SHIFTING INTO S
CTRL AL IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN BE REALIZED. ANY SEVERE STORM WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND BRIEF
TORNADOES.

WITH PRECIPITABLE WATERS STILL IN THE 2.00 TO 2.40 INCH RANGE...AREAS
OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT. GIVEN THE DEEP LAYER
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND OVERALL SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE
SYSTEM...TRAINING OF STORMS IS LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHERN AL AND THE NW
FL PANHANDLE. THEREFORE...WILL CONTINUE THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
THOSE AREAS AS AN ADDITIONAL 2-4 INCHES IS LIKELY IN SOME AREAS. THE
HEAVY RAIN THREAT LOOKS TO NOW STAY EAST OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
MS...THEREFORE THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED THERE. 34/JFB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 546 PM CST SUN NOV 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
00Z ISSUANCE...WILL SEE A LULL IN HEAVY RAINFALL THIS EVENING AS AN
AREA OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS MOVE EAST OF THE W FL PANHANDLE
AND S CTRL AL. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT AS A SFC LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST INTO THE AREA OFF THE GULF.
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALLY STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CLOSER
TO THE AL/NW FL COAST. STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY OF
THE CONVECTION. A LIFTING OF CIGS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF COASTAL
AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A WARM FRONT MOVES NORTH...WITH WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHERLY AND GUSTY TO THE SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT. AXIS OF
STORMS SHIFTS EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING WITH CIGS
LIFTING TO MVFR LEVELS AND WINDS BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE SW-NW.
34/JFB

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 406 PM CST SUN NOV 1 2015/

.LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH MONDAY/...UPPER AIR MAP ANALYSIS SHOWS A
VIGOROUS SOUTHERN STREAM STORM SYSTEM ADVANCING EASTWARD ACROSS
EASTERN TEXAS. EAST OF THIS FEATURE...AN ACTIVE HIGH LEVEL SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT IS PRESENT AND INTERSECTS A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
DRAPED FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF AND ON DOWN INTO
THE WESTERN GULF SOUTH OF LOUISIANA. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE IN THE
HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR WITH PWAT VALUES 2.1 TO 2.3 INCHES
CONTINUING TO POOL NORTHWARD ACROSS THE LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY. SATELLITE
DATA SHOWS CLOUD TOP WARMING OVER THE GULF NEAR THE BOUNDARY AND THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A NET DECREASE IN ACTIVITY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS...BUT ANOTHER ROUND OF DEVELOPMENT IS FORECAST OVERNIGHT.

SOUTHERN STREAM STORM BEGINS TO EJECT ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER DELTA THROUGH THE NIGHT. DIFFLUENT HIGH LEVEL FLOW COUPLED WITH
A FRONTAL WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTING UP ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI
SOUND BRINGS ENHANCED LIFT AS WE GO THROUGH THE NIGHT. WITH THE LOW
LIFTING POLEWARD...WARM SECTOR LOOKS TO PENETRATE THE INTERIOR
ZONES MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-65. WITH SFC DEWPOINTS LIFTING INTO
THE MID 70S...HIGHER RESOLUTION MESOSCALE MODELS SUGGEST MODEST
INSTABILITY SETTING UP WITH THE HIGHER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT. THIS COUPLED WITH 0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE
HELICITY VALUES MOVING UPWARD TO ABOVE THE 150 M2/S2 THRESHOLDS...
SUGGEST THAT THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SPINNERS THAT COULD
SPAWN A FEW TORNADOES...DEVELOPING WITHIN AN EASTWARD MOVING SQUALL
LINE LATE IN THE NIGHT. FORECASTERS HAVE A LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AND GIVEN LATEST
DATA...FORECASTERS ARE CONSIDERING AN ELEVATED THREAT CLOSER TO THE
COASTAL COUNTIES ON THE 4 PM PACKAGE.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE THREAT...UNFORTUNATELY THERE IS ALSO A
CONTINUED THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING OVERNIGHT. THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA IS HIGHLIGHTED WITH A SLIGHT RISK SWATH FOR EXCESSIVE
RAINS. STORM TOTAL RAINS THUS FAR SHOW SEVERAL POCKETS OF NEARLY 3
INCHES OF RAIN. WITH NEW CONVECTION TONIGHT GENERALLY PARALLEL TO THE
MEAN FLOW AND SLOW EASTWARD MOTION...REPEATED MOTION OF THE BETTER
ORGANIZED RAINS OVER THE SAME AREAS...LEADING TO AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO
4 INCHES OF RAIN...IS CERTAINLY PLAUSIBLE OVERNIGHT. THUS...THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE EXTENDED EASTWARD IN SPACE AND TIME THROUGH
9 AM MONDAY.

AS THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND SURFACE LOW LIFTS AWAY DURING THE
DAY MONDAY...RAIN COVERAGE LOOKS TO LOWER THROUGH THE DAY...BECOMING
MORE ISOLATED OVER THE WESTERN ZONES. CATEGORICAL COVERAGES REMAIN
OVER THE EASTERN ZONES. /10

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL QUICKLY LIFT NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE TN VALLEY TO THE EAST
COAST MONDAY NIGHT...WHILE WEAK SURFACE RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. A MUCH DRIER
DEEP LAYER AIRMASS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA IN THE WAKE
OF THE DEPARTING SYSTEM MONDAY NIGHT AND WE EXPECT DECREASING CLOUD
COVER WITH COOLER OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S
INLAND AND IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST. AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OF PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND ADJACENT SOUTHEASTERN STATES THROUGH TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME. WE THEREFORE EXPECT DRY WEATHER WITH
MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS AND WARM DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO THE
LOWER 80S. /21

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...A DRY FORECAST SHOULD CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY WITH THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. THE RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD FARTHER
EASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS MID
LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW INCREASES ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT DEEPENING UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS STATES. THE
NEXT SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TN AND MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AND SOUTHWARD
ACROSS MS/AL/GA INTO SATURDAY. INCREASING DEEP LAYER MOISTURE/LIFT
AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. A LOW CONFIDENCE
FORECAST GOING INTO LATE NEXT WEEKEND AS EVOLUTION AND EASTWARD
PROGRESSION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS HIGHLY
UNCERTAIN. GLOBAL GUIDANCE SHOWS A SIGNAL OF MOISTURE OVERHEAD INTO
THE FIRST PART OF SUNDAY...SO WILL AT LEAST KEEP A LOW CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. /21

MARINE...A FRONTAL WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS UP ACROSS THE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND TONIGHT AND WEAKENS WHILE IT MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN
ALABAMA AND GEORGIA ON MONDAY. ATTENDANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES
ACROSS THE MARINE AREA MONDAY MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER
NEAR STORMS UNTIL THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. AN OFFSHORE FLOW
FOLLOWS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND BECOMES MORE EASTERLY BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE SETTING UP OVER THE SOUTHEAST
STATES. /10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR ALZ051>060-261>266.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR ALZ265-266.

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR FLZ201>206.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR FLZ202-204-206.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR GMZ650-655-670-
     675.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
945 PM CST SUN NOV 1 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-030400-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
945 PM CST SUN NOV 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING OF URBAN AND LOW LYING AREAS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AS WELL AS THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN...SOME STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE LATE TONIGHT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE
THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS.

A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG AREA BEACHES THROUGH
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD MONITOR THE
WEATHER THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...AND ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY REPORTS OF
SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-030400-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
945 PM CST SUN NOV 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA OVERNIGHT. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF WATERS.

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE MARINE AREA
LATE TONIGHT. HIGH WINDS...LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS AND VERY HEAVY RAINS
WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.