Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 20, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Apr 17, 2015, 10:22 AM CDT for Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama. It took effect at Apr 17, 2015, 6:21 PM CDT. It was in force for 9 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 17, 2015, 10:22 AM CDT (15:22 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 17, 2015, 6:21 PM CDT
- Expired
- Apr 26, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 9 days
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Washington County, AL
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Tombigbee River near Coffeeville Dam (CLDA1).
- Action stage
- 24 ft
- Minor stage
- 29 ft
- Moderate stage
- 40 ft
- Major stage
- 47 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02469761, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
239 WGUS44 KMOB 171522 FLWMOB BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1022 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015 ...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a Flood Warning for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Heavy rainfall over the past week in addition to the upcoming forecasted rainfall will result in rising river levels. A Flood Warning is now in effect. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-181522- /O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0020.150417T2321Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150417T2321Z.150421T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1022 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015 The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a * FLOOD WARNING for The Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From this evening until further notice * At 9 AM Friday the stage was...24 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast * Flood stage is 29 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise near 35.2 feet by early Tuesday morning. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the are will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-181522- /O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0021.150418T0542Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150418T0542Z.150420T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1022 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015 The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a * FLOOD WARNING for The Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From late tonight until further notice * At 10 AM Friday the stage was...18.4 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast * Flood stage is 24 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to rise near 27.8 feet by Monday early afternoon. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
18 follow-up statements
937 WGUS84 KMOB 180106 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 806 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-190106- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0422Z.150422T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 806 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From tonight until further notice. * At 7PM Friday the stage was 27.6 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise near 33 feet by Tuesday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-190106- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.150418T0949Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150418T0949Z.150420T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 806 PM CDT FRI APR 17 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From early tomorrow until further notice. * At 7PM Friday the stage was 20.9 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise near 26.6 feet by Monday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pastureland in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
314 WGUS84 KMOB 181621 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1121 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-191621- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1121 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until further notice. * At 10AM Saturday the stage was 29.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 32.9 feet by early Thursday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. * At 29 feet, pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-191621- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T0130Z.150422T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1121 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From this evening until further notice. * At 11AM Saturday the stage was 22.8 feet. * No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise near 26.5 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24 feet, flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
353 WGUS84 KMOB 190408 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1108 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-200408- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1108 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until further notice. * At 10 PM Saturday the stage was 30.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 30.9 feet by Thursday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-200408- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T0510Z.150423T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1108 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From after midnight tomorrow until further notice. * At 10 PM Saturday the stage was 23.5 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to rise near 25.4 feet by Thursday early afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
572 WGUS84 KMOB 190827 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 327 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-200827- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 327 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until further notice. * At 2 AM Sunday the stage was 30.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 31.4 feet by early Thursday morning then begin falling. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-200827- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1500Z.150423T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 327 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From late this morning until further notice. * At 3 AM Sunday the stage was 23.8 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise near 24.6 feet by Thursday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
266 WGUS84 KMOB 191221 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 721 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-201221- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 721 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until further notice. * At 6 AM Sunday the stage was 30.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 31.4 feet by early Thursday morning then begin falling. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-201221- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150423T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 721 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until further notice. * At 7 AM Sunday the stage was 24 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 24.6 feet by Thursday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
963 WGUS84 KMOB 191512 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1012 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-201512- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150424T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1012 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until further notice. * At 9AM Sunday the stage was 30.9 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 33.8 feet by Friday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. * At 29 feet, Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-201512- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150424T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1012 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until further notice. * At 10AM Sunday the stage was 24.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 25.9 feet by early Friday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. * At 24 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
333 WGUS84 KMOB 201624 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1124 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-211624- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1124 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until further notice. * At 10 AM Monday the stage was 31.9 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 33.3 feet by Wednesday evening then begin falling. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-211623- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150423T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1124 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until further notice. * At 11 AM Monday the stage was 25.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26.1 feet by Thursday morning then begin falling. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will continue. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
659 WGUS84 KMOB 220420 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1120 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-230420- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150426T0325Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T0000Z.150425T2125Z.NO/ 1120 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Saturday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until Saturday evening. * At 10PM Tuesday the stage was 33.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 33.4 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon. * At 29 feet...pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-230420- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-150426T1434Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150423T1200Z.150426T0834Z.NO/ 1120 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until Sunday morning. * At 11PM Tuesday the stage was 26.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26.3 feet by Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning. * At 24.0 feet, flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
069 WGUS84 KMOB 221433 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 933 AM CDT WED APR 22 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-231433- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150427T0800Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T1800Z.150427T0200Z.NO/ 933 AM CDT WED APR 22 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Sunday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until late Sunday night. * At 8AM Wednesday the stage was 33.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 34.2 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday before midnight. * At 29 feet...pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-231433- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-150427T0900Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150423T0600Z.150427T0300Z.NO/ 933 AM CDT WED APR 22 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until late Sunday night...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until late Sunday night. * At 9AM Wednesday the stage was 26.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday before midnight. * At 24 feet...flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
159 WGUS84 KMOB 230235 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 935 PM CDT WED APR 22 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-240235- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150427T0400Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T0100Z.150426T2200Z.NO/ 935 PM CDT WED APR 22 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until Sunday evening. * At 8PM Wednesday the stage was 33.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday afternoon. * At 29 feet...pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-240235- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-150427T0900Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150423T0200Z.150427T0300Z.NO/ 935 PM CDT WED APR 22 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until late Sunday night. * At 9PM Wednesday the stage was 26.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday before midnight. * At 24 feet...flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
455 WGUS84 KMOB 231445 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 945 AM CDT THU APR 23 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-241445- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150427T0430Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T1200Z.150426T2230Z.NO/ 945 AM CDT THU APR 23 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until Sunday evening. * At 9AM Thursday the stage was 33.9 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday afternoon. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-241445- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-150427T0447Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150423T1100Z.150426T2247Z.NO/ 945 AM CDT THU APR 23 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until Sunday evening. * At 9AM Thursday the stage was 26.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26.6 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Sunday evening. * At 24 feet...flooding of low lying farm and pastureland in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
663 WGUS84 KMOB 240115 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 815 PM CDT THU APR 23 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-250115- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150427T1912Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T1700Z.150427T1312Z.NO/ 815 PM CDT THU APR 23 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday afternoon...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until Monday afternoon. * At7PM Thursday the stage was 33.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Monday morning. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-250115- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-150427T1536Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150424T0600Z.150427T0936Z.NO/ 815 PM CDT THU APR 23 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until Monday morning. * At 8PM Thursday the stage was 26.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26.7 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning. * At 24 feet...flooding of low lying farm and pastureland in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
479 WGUS84 KMOB 241431 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 931 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-251431- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 931 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From late Tuesday morning until further notice. * At 8AM Friday the stage was 33.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue to fall to a stage of 31.1 feet by 8AM tomorrow. The river will continue to fall and should be below flood stage by 2PM on Sunday. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-251431- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150424T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 931 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until further notice. * At 9AM Friday the stage was 26.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue to fall to a stage of 26 feet by 8AM tomorrow morning with further slow falls thereafter. * At 24 feet...flooding of low lying farm and pastureland in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
394 WGUS84 KMOB 250136 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 836 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-260136- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 836 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From Tuesday evening until further notice. * At 7PM Friday the stage was 33.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early monday morning. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-260136- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150424T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 836 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until further notice. * At 8PM Friday the stage was 26.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24.0 feet. * The river will continue to fall to a stage of 24.0 feet by Monday afternoon. It will rise again to a stage of 24.5 feet by Wednesday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 24 feet...flooding of low lying farm and pastureland in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
409 WGUS84 KMOB 251424 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 924 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-261424- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150427T0130Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T1700Z.150426T1930Z.NO/ 924 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Sunday evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until Sunday evening. * At 8AM Saturday the stage was 32.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-261424- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-150427T1434Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150424T0600Z.150427T0834Z.NO/ 924 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Monday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until Monday morning. * At 9AM Saturday the stage was 26 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Monday morning. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
738 WGUS84 KMOB 251607 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1107 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-261607- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1107 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From late Tuesday morning until further notice. * At 10AM Saturday the stage was 32 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue to fall to a stage of 30.3 feet by 8AM Sunday. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-261607- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150424T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1107 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until further notice...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * until further notice. * At 10AM Saturday the stage was 26 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26 feet by this afternoon then begin falling. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
008 WGUS84 KMOB 260435 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1135 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 ...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay at Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along these rivers. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-270435- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1135 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * From Wednesday evening until further notice. * At 10PM Saturday the stage was 30.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 1 AM Monday. * At 29 feet, pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-270435- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150424T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1135 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From early Thursday morning until further notice. * At 11PM Saturday the stage was 25.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 1 PM Monday. * At 24 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$ MSC039-041-153-260505- /O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150426T1559Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.150419T1315Z.150421T0900Z.150426T0110Z.NO/ 1135 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 The FLOOD WARNING is CANCELLED for The Chickasawhay At Leakesville * At 10PM Saturday the stage was 19.7 feet and the river was falling. * Flood stage is 20 feet. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
723 WGUS84 KMOB 261519 FLSMOB FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 1019 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama... Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && ALC023-025-129-270400- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150427T0400Z/ /CLDA1.1.ER.150418T0912Z.150423T1700Z.150426T2200Z.NO/ 1019 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until this evening...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam * until this evening. * At 9AM Sunday the stage was 29.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 29 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 29.4 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by late this afternoon. * At 29 feet...Pastureland in the area will become flooded and livestock need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3231 8803 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8806 3160 8810 3178 8822 $$ ALC023-025-129-271519- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-150501T1500Z/ /LRYA1.1.ER.150419T1138Z.150424T0600Z.150501T0900Z.NO/ 1019 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015 ...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED until Friday morning...The FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES for the Tombigbee River Near Leroy * From Thursday morning until Friday morning. * At 10AM Sunday the stage was 24.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 24 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Friday morning. * At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands in the area will occur. Cattle in low lying areas may need to be moved to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8806 3149 8786 3114 8792 3114 8802 3149 8793 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 17, 4:36 AM CDT, 5 hours 46 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 17, 4:36 AM CDT, 5 hours 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
436 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...STILL A BIT OF A CHALLENGE WHERE
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR LATER TODAY. CURRENTLY RADAR
LOOPS CONTINUE SHOW HEAVY RAIN OVER THE NW QUAD OF THE CWFA WITH
STORM TOTALS OF 7 TO 8 IN LOCALLY OVER LOWER PARTS OF CHOCTAW CO IN
SW AL RESULTING IN SEVERAL ROAD AND BUSINESSES CLOSED IN AND THE
AROUND THE TOWN OF GILBERTOWN AL. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS THE
HEAVIEST RAIN TO OCCUR OVER WESTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWFA
THIS MORNING THEN SHIFTING EAST...MOSTLY INLAND...AND GRADUALLY
WEAKENING IN INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING AS A SHORT
LIVED UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL GULF REGION LATE
THIS EVENING...WITH RIDGE AXIS SHIFTING EAST OF THE CWFA SHORTLY
AFTER 12Z SAT. WITH ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS REMAINING SATURATED OVER
THE LOWER AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA COMBINED WITH MORE
HEAVY RAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE DAY...WE WILL
CONTINUE WITH THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NOW FOR AREAS MENTIONED
ABOVE. AT THE SFC COOLER DRYER AIR TO THE NE WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE
DOWN ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SAT MORNING LEADING TO A
WEAK THERMAL/MOISTURE BOUNDARY NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST BY EARLY SAT
MORNING. THIS BOUNDARY COULD BECOME THE FOCUS FOR MORE HEAVY RAIN
MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE WEEKEND AS IT
RETREATS NORTH AND DISSIPATES. AS FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY THE BEST
INSTABILITY LOOKS TO OCCUR OVER THE LOWER HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA
TODAY WITH THE BEST VERTICAL SHEAR ALSO OCCURRING NEAR THE COAST
EARLY THIS MORNING...WEAKENING SIGNIFICANTLY AND SHIFTING NORTHWARD
OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF THE CWA BY MIDDAY. ALOFT WINDS BEGIN TO VEER
LATER THIS MORNING WITH 850 WINDS AT 20 TO 25 KTS GENERALLY FROM THE
WSW BY EARLY AFTERNOON. AS FOR TEMPS WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE COOLER MAV
GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS TODAY DUE TO CLOUDS AND RAIN AND THE WARMER MAV
GUIDANCE OVERNIGHT DUE MOSTLY TO LOW CLOUDS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT AND
EARLY SAT MORNING. HIGHS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST PARTS OF THE CWFA AND THE MID TO UPPER 70S
FOR MOST OTHER AREAS. TONIGHT THE LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO
MIDDLE 60S FOR INLAND AREAS AND THE UPPER 60S ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. 32/EE
(SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...ON SATURDAY WE EXPECT A WARM FRONT TO
MOVE ASHORE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. AVERAGE PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL BE CLOSE TO 2.0 INCHES
WHICH IS CLOSER TO SUMMER NUMBERS THAN SPRING NUMBERS. OUTPUT OF
GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHT INDICATES A NEGATIVELY TILTED 500 MB TROUGH
WHICH WILL BE SHORT IN LENGTH...WILL MOVE INTO OUR REGION AND AS A
RESULT THE LOW LEVEL WIND PROFILE WILL SHOW A SHARP CLOCKWISE TURN
THROUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER TO 850 MB. WE ARE SHOWING 200 TO 300 MB
HELICITY IN THE VICINITY OF 200 TO 300 M^2/S^2 SATURDAY AFTERNOON
WHICH IS QUITE WORRISOME DESPITE FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR SATURDAY
WHOSE TEMPERATURE AND DEWPOINT PROFILES INDICATE MOIST ADIABATIC
RENDERING CAPES AROUND OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE 1000. AT THIS POINT WE
BELIEVE WE COULD STILL SEE LOW TOPPED SUPERCELLS WITH THE REALIZATION
THAT THE CAPE FORECAST COULD CHANGE CAUSING THE DEPTH OF SUCH
CONVECTION TO INCREASE. WE ARE THINKING THE HIGHEST RISK WILL BE WEST
OF I-65 FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.
AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES EAST TOWARD SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DURING THE NIGHT...THE RISK WILL DIMINISH
SLIGHTLY. AS WELL THESE STORMS SHOULD BE HEAVY RAINMAKERS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ONE OR MORE INCHES OF RAINFALL IN LESS THAN AN HOUR
THEREFORE WE ARE AT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING.
BY SUNDAY THE AXIS OF MAXIMUM MOISTURE TRANSPORT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL
BE FURTHER TO OUR EAST BUT THAT 500 MB TROUGH AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL KEEP THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ELEVATED
ALBEIT LIKELY WITH LESS RAINFALL. 77/BD
.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY) MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
AFTERNOON THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO FINALLY PUSH THROUGH THE
REGION BRINGING WITH IT A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND AND FINALLY AN
END TO WET CONDITIONS. OUR NEIGHBORS AND US CONCUR THAT LOWS COULD
DROP BELOW BLENDED GUIDANCE TO THE UPPER 50S IN OUR FAR NORTHWEST
REGIONS AND WE ADJUSTED ACCORDINGLY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
INTRODUCE AN ENVIRONMENT OF SUBSIDENCE KEEPING DRY CONDITIONS
THROUGH THURSDAY. 77/BD
.MARINE...A LIGHT ONSHORE WIND TODAY WILL SHIFT EAST TO NORTHEAST
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SAT MORNING AS A WEAK SURGE OF COOLER/DRIER AIR
MOVES IN THE FROM THE NORTHEAST LATE TODAY THROUGH EARLY SAT. A
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP LATE SAT
INTO SUN AND CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND AS THE
UPPER TROF OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY EVENTUALLY SHIFTS
NORTHEAST. A SFC COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE SOUTH OVER THE
MARINE AREA BY EARLY TUE LEADING TO A MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW
THROUGH MID WEEK...THEN SHIFTING MOSTLY SOUTHEAST LATER IN THE WEEK
AS A SFC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES REESTABLISHED ALONG THE
EASTERN SEABOARD AND EASTERN GULF. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY
SUN. 32/EE
.AVIATION...
17.12Z ISSUANCE...MVFR TO IFR CIGS THROUGH 18.12Z. THE LOWER
CEILINGS WILL BE MOSTLY IN AND AROUND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOWER CEILINGS
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF LOW STRATUS IN RESPONSE TO A
WEAK SURGE OF COOLER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
SAT MORNING. WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AT 8 TO 12 KNOTS
WITH HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH THE MORNING SHIFTING WEST TO NORTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING THEN NORTH TO NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT
AND EARLY SAT MORNING. 32/EE
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 79 65 76 69 78 / 80 30 80 70 70
PENSACOLA 77 66 77 70 76 / 80 30 80 60 70
DESTIN 78 69 77 70 76 / 70 30 70 60 70
EVERGREEN 70 63 76 68 77 / 80 30 80 60 70
WAYNESBORO 76 62 75 66 79 / 90 30 80 70 60
CAMDEN 69 63 75 67 79 / 90 30 70 70 70
CRESTVIEW 74 63 78 68 77 / 80 30 70 70 70
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR CHOCTAW-CLARKE-
ESCAMBIA-LOWER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-UPPER
MOBILE-WASHINGTON.
FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR COASTAL ESCAMBIA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND ESCAMBIA-INLAND
OKALOOSA-INLAND SANTA ROSA.
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR GEORGE-GREENE-PERRY-
STONE-WAYNE.
GM...NONE.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 17, 5:37 AM CDT, 4 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 537 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-181200- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 537 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST AREAS GENERALLY SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE STRETCHING FROM ANDALUSIA ALABAMA TO BUTLER ALABAMA INCLUDING ALL AREAS IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. SOIL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FLASH FLOODING IN THESE AREAS. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANIED WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. A MODERATE RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE GULF BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY WITH LINGERING EFFECTS POSSIBLE INTO EARLY NEXT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WATCH AREA...WITH ISOLATED LOCATIONS POSSIBLY RECEIVING AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES LOCALLY. AT THIS POINT...IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO DETERMINE WHERE EACH UPCOMING ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SET UP...BUT THE ENTIRE REGION SHOULD BE ON ALERT FOR A CONTINUED INCREASED THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF DEVELOPING COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. A MODERATE RISK FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE GULF BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-181200- NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 537 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 10:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 6 hr |
| Apr 17, 4:25 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 2 hr |
| Apr 17, 6:52 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 3 hr |
| Apr 17, 9:04 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke | 6 hr |
| Apr 17, 10:22 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Choctaw, Clarke, Washington | 10 days |
| Apr 17, 11:31 AM CDT | Rip Current Statement | MOB | 55 hr | |
| Apr 17, 12:12 PM CDT | Small Craft Advisory | MOB | 4 hr | |
| Apr 17, 1:15 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Mobile | 3 hr |
| Apr 17, 6:48 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Washington | 42 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.