Alert archive / Florida / High Surf Advisories in 2015

High Surf Advisory 3, NWS Mobile, AL

October 25, 2015Escambia County, Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; Baldwin County, Mobile County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this high surf advisory at Oct 25, 2015, 1:49 PM CDT for Escambia County, Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida; Baldwin County, Mobile County, Alabama. It took effect at Oct 26, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 39 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 25, 2015, 1:49 PM CDT (18:49 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 26, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT
Expired
Oct 27, 2015, 4:00 PM CDT
In force
39 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL

Counties Baldwin County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-10-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 21 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-10-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 228 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
21 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
538 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
228 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
260 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

642 
WHUS44 KMOB 251849 AAA
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
149 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...HIGH SURF ALONG WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...

.A STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL BRING HIGH SURF...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO THE COASTAL
AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-260415-
/O.NEW.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.151026T0600Z-151027T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.151026T1500Z-151027T1100Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0021.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
149 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM CDT
TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM CDT
TUESDAY. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM CDT
TUESDAY. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICATED TIDAL LEVELS.

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS 5 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. 
  THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP
CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW
AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-260415-
/O.NEW.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.151026T1500Z-151027T1100Z/
MOBILE CENTRAL-BALDWIN CENTRAL-
149 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 6 AM CDT
TUESDAY. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICATED TIDAL LEVELS. 

* TIMING...LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR NUISANCE FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE
  COAST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW
AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
9 follow-up statements
952 
WHUS44 KMOB 260407
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1107 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...HIGH SURF ALONG WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...

.A STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL BRING HIGH SURF...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO THE COASTAL
AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-261200-
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.151026T0600Z-151027T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.151026T1500Z-151027T1100Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0021.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
1107 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
6 AM CDT TUESDAY...

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICATED TIDAL LEVELS.

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS 5 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. 
  THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-261200-
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.151026T1500Z-151027T1100Z/
MOBILE CENTRAL-BALDWIN CENTRAL-
1107 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
6 AM CDT TUESDAY...

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICATED TIDAL LEVELS.

* TIMING...LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...MINOR NUISANCE FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE 
  COAST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
579 
WHUS44 KMOB 261014
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
514 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...HIGH SURF ALONG WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...

.A STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL BRING HIGH SURF...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TO THE COASTAL
AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-262100-
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.151026T1500Z-151027T1100Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0021.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
514 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 6 AM CDT TUESDAY...

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICATED TIDAL LEVELS.

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS 5 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. 
  THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-262100-
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.151026T1500Z-151027T1100Z/
MOBILE CENTRAL-BALDWIN CENTRAL-
514 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 6 AM CDT TUESDAY...

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICATED TIDAL LEVELS.

* TIMING...LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...MINOR NUISANCE FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE 
  COAST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
397 
WHUS44 KMOB 261427 AAA
CFWMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
927 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...HIGH SURF ALONG WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND COASTAL
FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...

.A STRONG SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW EARLY TODAY WILL SHIFT MORE SOUTH LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO BRING HIGH SURF...DANGEROUS
RIP CURRENTS AND COASTAL FLOODING TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST. 

HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA IS
BETWEEN 900 PM CDT AND 933 PM CDT. THIS MEANS THE TIDE WILL CONTINUE
TO RISE FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND THIS EVENING...REACHING 3 TO 4
FEET ABOVE PREDICATED LEVELS.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-270000-
/O.UPG.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.151026T1500Z-151027T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.CF.W.0001.151026T1427Z-151027T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0021.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
927 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY. THE COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE PREDICATED TIDAL LEVELS.

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS 5 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. 
  THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA
SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP
CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. 

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-270000-
/O.UPG.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.151026T1500Z-151027T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.CF.W.0001.151026T1427Z-151027T0600Z/
MOBILE CENTRAL-BALDWIN CENTRAL-
927 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY. THE COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE PREDICATED TIDAL LEVELS.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE COAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA
SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$
159 
WHUS44 KMOB 261427 CCA 
CFWMOB

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
927 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...HIGH SURF ALONG WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND COASTAL
FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...

.A STRONG SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW EARLY TODAY WILL SHIFT MORE SOUTH LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO BRING HIGH SURF...DANGEROUS
RIP CURRENTS AND COASTAL FLOODING TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT A
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST. 

HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA IS
BETWEEN 900 PM CDT AND 933 PM CDT. THIS MEANS THE TIDE WILL CONTINUE
TO RISE FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND THIS EVENING...REACHING 3 TO 4
FEET ABOVE PREDICATED LEVELS.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-270000-
/O.UPG.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.151026T1500Z-151027T1100Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.CF.W.0001.151026T1427Z-151027T0600Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.RP.S.0021.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
927 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY. THE COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED TIDAL LEVELS.

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS 5 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. 
  THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA
SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP
CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. 

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-270000-
/O.UPG.KMOB.CF.Y.0001.151026T1500Z-151027T1100Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.CF.W.0001.151026T1427Z-151027T0600Z/
MOBILE CENTRAL-BALDWIN CENTRAL-
927 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY. THE COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED TIDAL LEVELS.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE COAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA
SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$
451 
WHUS44 KMOB 270139
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
839 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...HIGH SURF ALONG WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND COASTAL
FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...

.A STRONG SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW EARLY TODAY WILL SHIFT MORE SOUTH
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO BRING HIGH SURF...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND COASTAL FLOODING TO THE COASTAL AREAS
OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
AS A RESULT A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COAST.

HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA IS
BETWEEN 900 PM CDT AND 933 PM CDT. THIS MEANS THE TIDE WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND THIS EVENING...
REACHING 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE PREDICATED LEVELS.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-270945-
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-151027T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0021.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
839 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT
TUESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

* COASTAL FLOODING...3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED TIDAL LEVELS.

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS 5 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. 
  THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-270600-
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-151027T0600Z/
MOBILE CENTRAL-BALDWIN CENTRAL-
839 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT
TUESDAY...

* COASTAL FLOODING...3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED TIDAL LEVELS.

* TIMING...THROUGH 1 AM CDT TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG THE COAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$
193 
WHUS44 KMOB 270438
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1138 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...HIGH SURF AND MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...

.A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING HIGH SURF...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR FLOODING TO
THE COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. 

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-271200-
/O.CAN.KMOB.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-151027T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.151027T0438Z-151027T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0021.000000T0000Z-151027T1200Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
1138 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT
TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY. THE COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED TIDAL LEVELS.

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS 5 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. 
  THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW LYING ROADS AND AREAS ALONG
THE SHORE.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. 

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-271200-
/O.CAN.KMOB.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-151027T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.151027T0438Z-151027T1200Z/
MOBILE CENTRAL-BALDWIN CENTRAL-
1138 PM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT TUESDAY. THE COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED TIDAL LEVELS.

* TIMING...THROUGH 1 AM CDT TUESDAY.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING ROADS AND AREAS ALONG
  THE COAST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW ROADS AND AREAS ALONG THE
SHORE.

&&

$$
331 
WHUS44 KMOB 270847
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
347 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015

...A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...HIGH SURF AND MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING HIGH SURF...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR FLOODING TO THE
COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-271800-
/O.EXT.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151027T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151027T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KMOB.RP.S.0021.000000T0000Z-151028T0000Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
347 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED TIDAL LEVELS.

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS 5 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. 
  THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW LYING ROADS AND AREAS
ALONG THE SHORE.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-271800-
/O.EXT.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151027T2100Z/
MOBILE CENTRAL-BALDWIN CENTRAL-
347 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED TIDAL LEVELS.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING ROADS AND AREAS 
  ALONG THE COAST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW ROADS AND AREAS ALONG
THE SHORE.

&&

$$
775 
WHUS44 KMOB 271805
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
105 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015

...A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...HIGH SURF AND MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL WEAKEN
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BUT HIGH SURF...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND
MINOR FLOODING TO THE COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-280000-
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151027T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151027T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0021.000000T0000Z-151028T0000Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
105 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED TIDAL LEVELS.

* WAVES AND SURF...SURF HEIGHTS 5 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...FREQUENT LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED. 
  THE SURF IS DANGEROUS FOR ALL LEVELS OF SWIMMERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW LYING ROADS AND AREAS
ALONG THE SHORE.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-272100-
/O.CON.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151027T2100Z/
MOBILE CENTRAL-BALDWIN CENTRAL-
105 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* COASTAL FLOODING...2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED TIDAL LEVELS.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING ROADS AND AREAS 
  ALONG THE COAST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW ROADS AND AREAS ALONG
THE SHORE.

&&

$$
917 
WHUS44 KMOB 272106
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
406 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015

...A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...HIGH SURF AND MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL
WEAKEN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BUT DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-280000-
/O.EXP.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151027T2100Z/
/O.EXP.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-151027T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0021.000000T0000Z-151028T0000Z/
MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
406 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. 

RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE-THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF. IF
YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP AND REMAIN
CALM. DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

&&

$$

ALZ263-264-272215-
/O.EXP.KMOB.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-151027T2100Z/
MOBILE CENTRAL-BALDWIN CENTRAL-
406 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2015

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE STRONG ONSHORE WINDS HAVE EASED AND HIGH TIDES ARE EASING...SO
THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high surf advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high surf advisory went out at Oct 25, 12:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 25, 12:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1209 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...SEE UPDATED INFORMATION BELOW.

&&

.UPDATE...DID A QUICK UPDATE TO THE CURRENT ZONE FORECAST MAINLY TO
REMOVE MORNING WORDING. LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW SCATTERED SHOWERS
NEAR THE COAST MOVING ONSHORE. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT CAN BE EXPECTED
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. MOVEMENT IS MOSTLY TO THE NORTHWEST
AT 15 TO 25 MPH. 32/EE

&&

.MARINE...A GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT MON MORNING
THROUGH 1 AM TUE CDT TUE MORNING. THIS WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
GULF WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM O TO 60 NM FROM
SHORE. SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS FROM 35
TO 40 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE WARNED PERIOD. FOR THE INSHORE
WATERS A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT TONIGHT
THROUGH 1 PM CDT TUESDAY. WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS CAN
BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE ADVISORY PERIOD. 32/EE

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z ISSUANCE...MOSTLY MVFR CIGS THROUGH 26.18Z. COULD SEE BRIEF
PERIODS OF IFR CIGS MOSTLY IN HEAVIER SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...
ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL BE EAST
SOUTHEAST AT 12 TO 16 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KNOTS. 32/EE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 757 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
12Z ISSUANCE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
BEFORE CIGS LOWER AND RAIN CHANCES INCREASE DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SHRA
AND RA BY TONIGHT. /13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 559 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015/

NEAR TERM /NOW THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...A WELL DEFINED UPPER SHORTWAVE IS
CURRENTLY PROGRESSING ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS. MEANWHILE AN ASSOCIATED
SFC LOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE TO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA BY
TONIGHT. IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM...STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
TRANSPORT DEEP LAYER MOISTURE INTO THE AREA WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES CLIMBING ABOVE 2 INCHES BY THIS AFTERNOON. REGIONAL RADARS
INDICATE INCREASING RAIN COVERAGE TO OUR WEST THAT WILL EXPAND
EASTWARD INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THIS MORNING AND INTO SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST RAIN
IS EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE AREA STARTING
TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE 1-3
INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND COASTAL
ALABAMA...WITH LESS THAN AN INCH ELSEWHERE. AS THE SFC LOW MOVES
INTO SOUTHERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT...SHEAR LEVELS WILL INCREASE.
HOWEVER...WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY KEEP ANY THUNDERSTORMS BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS.

THE STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS WITH HIGH WAVES NEAR THE COAST. AS THIS TIME...TIDAL HEIGHTS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW COASTAL FLOOD CRITERIA. HOWEVER...A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY AND/OR A HEAVY SURF ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED
LATER. /13

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...MODELS SIMILAR IN MOVING
THE SFC LOW INTO SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA ON MONDAY AND THEN BEGINNING
TO WEAKEN THE LOW AND LIFT IT NORTH ACROSS MISSISSIPPI ON TUESDAY
INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH THE FAIRLY STRONG SFC LOW JUST TO THE WEST
OF THE FCST AREA DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...ABUNDANT LOW TO
MID LEVEL GULF MOISTURE WILL SURGE NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. EXPECTED
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 2.00 TO 2.25 INCHES (200 PERCENT OF NORMAL)
ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WILL RESULT IN EFFECTIVE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL. DIFFLUENT FLOW IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE TO THE EAST OF THE SFC LOW (OVER OUR AREA) WILL HELP
CREATE SUFFICIENT LIFT OVER THE REGION...AND COMBINED WITH THE HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT OF THE ATMOSPHERE...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THIS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL MINOR FLOODING
AND LOCAL FLASH FLOODING DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL
AMOUNTS DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY
OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FCST AREA WHERE 3 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE
(WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS POSSIBLE DOUBLE THAT) AND WPC HAS MUCH OF
OUR FCST AREA HIGHLIGHTED WITH A MODERATE RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...AND WE HAVE
ACCORDINGLY ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
FCST AREA FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT FOR ALL OF OUR
COASTAL COUNTIES AS WELL AS FOR STONE/GEORGE IN MISSISSIPPI AND
ESCAMBIA/COVINGTON IN ALABAMA. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR OUR FUTURE FCSTS
FOR RAINFALL TOTALS...AND MAY HAVE TO ADD A FEW MORE INLAND COUNTIES
TO THE WATCH. FOR NOW...WE ARE EXPECTING ABOUT 2 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAINFALL OVER INTERIOR COUNTIES. WITH THE STRONG FORCING AND LARGE
SCALE ASCENT (MENTIONED ABOVE )TO THE EAST OF THE SFC LOW...ALSO
EXPECT SOME EMBEDDED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE LARGER RAIN
AREA. WHILE RESPECTABLE LOW/MID LEVEL SHEAR VALUES WILL BE PRESENT
DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LIMITED. AS A
RESULT...THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT STILL APPEARS TO BE SMALL...
ALTHOUGH WE MAY SEE SOME POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS NEAR
THE COAST (ESPECIALLY FROM MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT). WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR FOR THIS POTENTIAL. EXPECT DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
70S AND NIGHTTIME LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
FCST PERIOD. 12/DS

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
THE SURFACE TROUGH LINGERS OVER THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT...SO THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST BUT LESS COVERAGE AND WEAKER AS INTENSITY
AND DYNAMICS ARE WEAKER AND THE DEEP MOISTURE PLUME HAS SHIFTED
SOUTHEAST. PRECIPITABLE WATER FALLS TO AROUND 1.5 INCHES TUESDAY
NIGHT TO LESS THAN AN INCH BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A STRONG BUT DRY
COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH CLEARING SKIES AND
COOLER TEMPERATURES TO FOLLOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DRY FCST THEN
PERSISTS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH TEMPS PRIMARILY IN THE 70S EACH
DAY. LOW TEMPS TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE 60S...COOLING TO THE UPPER 50S
AND AROUND 60 WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S
THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT WARM A LITTLE AS CLOUD
COVER FROM THE NEXT APPROACHING SYSTEM INVADE THE SKY AND A EAST TO
SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW DEVELOPS. SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY AS A MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER THE
REGION. 12/DS

MARINE...A MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL BECOME
SOUTHEASTERLY AND BUILD THROUGH MONDAY AS A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS
NEAR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST AND MOVES NORTHEAST. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 7
TO 11 FEET OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY NIGHT CONTINUING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL BE
POSSIBLE MOSTLY WELL OFFSHORE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE MARINE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST
TUESDAY...AND A GALE WATCH (FOR LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT)
REMAINS IN EFFECT. TIDES ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH
MIDWEEK. /13

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT
     FOR ALZ059-060-261>266.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR ALZ265-266.

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT
     FOR FLZ201>206.

     HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR FLZ202-204-206.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT
     FOR MSZ078-079.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY FOR GMZ650-655.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR GMZ650-
     655-670-675.

     GALE WARNING FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM CDT TUESDAY FOR GMZ650-655-
     670-675.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT TUESDAY
     FOR GMZ630>635.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY FOR GMZ670-675.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MOB
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 25, 6:47 AM CDT, 7 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
647 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-261200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
647 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY WILL MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD TODAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM AND MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...HIGH SURF ALONG WITH FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS
WILL ALSO BE LIKELY LATE SUNDAY THROUGH MIDWEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-261200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
647 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN GULF WATERS OUT TO 60 NM LATE
TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MARINE
AREA...INCLUDING THE INSHORE WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
THROUGH TONIGHT. TIDES POSSIBLY 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE PREDICATED LEVELS
ARE ALSO EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A GALE WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF MARINE AREA THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL ALSO CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 25, 5:20 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchMOBEscambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa42 hr
Oct 25, 5:39 AM CDTRip Current StatementMOBEscambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa4 days
Oct 25, 1:49 PM CDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryMOBEscambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa20 hr
Oct 25, 11:00 AM CDTGale WarningMOB34 hr

Nearby

High Surf Advisories in Florida, 2015High Surf Advisories in Alabama, 2015Every high surf advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.