Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 1, NWS Melbourne, FL
NWS Melbourne, FL issued this river flood warning at Sep 25, 2015, 6:22 AM EDT for Lake County, Volusia County, Florida. It was in force for 19 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 25, 2015, 6:22 AM EDT (10:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 14, 2015, 10:45 AM EDT
- In force
- 19 days
- Issued by
- NWS Melbourne, FL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Lake County, FL, Volusia County, FL
The radar
The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point St. Johns River at Astor (ASTF1). The gauge peaked at 3.29 ft at Oct 8, 2015, 7:00 AM EDT.
- Action stage
- 2 ft
- Minor stage
- 2.3 ft
- Moderate stage
- 3 ft
- Major stage
- 4 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02236125, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
027
WGUS42 KMLB 251022
FLWMLB
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
622 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015
...The National Weather Service in Melbourne Fl has issued a flood warning for the
following rivers...
St. Johns River at Astor.
FLC069-127-261022-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FL.W.0001.150925T1022Z-150926T1200Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.150925T0930Z.150926T0600Z.NR/
622 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015
* From this morning Until Saturday morning.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 2.8 feet, Minor flooding occurs to a few homes in low lying areas
along the river. Flooding of low lying streets and yards north of Fox
Road on the Lake County side of Astor, and from River Road northward
on the Volusia side of the river. Docks covered at South Moon Fish
Camp and approaching sea wall at Blair's Jungle Den.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 2.8 Fri 05 AM 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 M.M
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.
&&21 follow-up statements
111
WGUS82 KMLB 251458
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1058 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...ST JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR.
HIGH RIVER LEVELS FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS AND A NORTHERLY WIND COMPONENT
IMPEDING DOWNSTREAM FLOW HAS PUSHED THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR ASTOR TO
REACH FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND FLOOD STAGE THIS WEEKEND
THEN FALL SLOWLY EARLY NEXT.
FLC069-127-270000-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150927T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.150926T0000Z.150926T1800Z.NR/
1058 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015
The Flood Warning ContinueS For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 2.8 feet, Minor flooding occurs to a few homes in low lying areas
along the river. Flooding of low lying streets and yards north of Fox
Road on the Lake County side of Astor, and from River Road northward
on the Volusia side of the river. Docks covered at South Moon Fish
Camp and approaching sea wall at Blair's Jungle Den.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 2.8 Fri 10 AM 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.4
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$051
WGUS82 KMLB 261519
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1119 AM EDT SAT SEP 26 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to the
combination of recent heavy rains and tidal effects. Minor flooding is
expected to continue into Sunday, then the river levels are forecast
to very slowly recede during the upcoming week.
FLC069-127-280600-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150928T0600Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.150926T1230Z.150928T0000Z.NR/
1119 AM EDT SAT SEP 26 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 2.8 feet, Minor flooding occurs to a few homes in low lying areas
along the river. Flooding of low lying streets and yards north of Fox
Road on the Lake County side of Astor, and from River Road northward
on the Volusia side of the river. Docks covered at South Moon Fish
Camp and approaching sea wall at Blair's Jungle Den.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 2.9 Sat 10 AM 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.4
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
GLITTO664
WGUS82 KMLB 271511
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1111 AM EDT SUN SEP 27 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to the
combination of recent heavy rains and tidal effects. Minor flooding is
expected to continue into early week, then river levels are forecast
to only decrease very slightly through late week.
FLC069-127-291511-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150930T1200Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.150927T1430Z.150930T0600Z.NR/
1111 AM EDT SUN SEP 27 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 2.8 feet, Minor flooding occurs to a few homes in low lying areas
along the river. Flooding of low lying streets and yards north of Fox
Road on the Lake County side of Astor, and from River Road northward
on the Volusia side of the river. Docks covered at South Moon Fish
Camp and approaching sea wall at Blair's Jungle Den.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 2.9 Sun 10 AM 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
GLITTO898
WGUS82 KMLB 281505
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1105 AM EDT MON SEP 28 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to the
combination of recent heavy rains and tidal effects. Minor flooding
is expected to continue into late week, then river levels are
forecast to only decrease very slightly into the weekend.
FLC069-127-301505-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-151002T0600Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.150928T1800Z.151002T0000Z.NR/
1105 AM EDT MON SEP 28 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 2.8 feet, Minor flooding occurs to a few homes in low lying areas
along the river. Flooding of low lying streets and yards north of Fox
Road on the Lake County side of Astor, and from River Road northward
on the Volusia side of the river. Docks covered at South Moon Fish
Camp and approaching sea wall at Blair's Jungle Den.
*At 3.2 feet, Water covers yards and further encroaches on many low
lying homes near the river. Flooding of many yards and low lying
roads near the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.0 Mon 10 AM 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$595
WGUS82 KMLB 291522
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1122 AM EDT TUE SEP 29 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to the
combination of recent heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels
have remained nearly steady early this week and minor flooding and is
expected to continue through the upcoming weekend.
FLC069-127-011522-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.150929T0130Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1122 AM EDT TUE SEP 29 2015
The Flood Warning ContinueS For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 2.8 feet, Minor flooding occurs to a few homes in low lying areas
along the river. Flooding of low lying streets and yards north of Fox
Road on the Lake County side of Astor, and from River Road northward
on the Volusia side of the river. Docks covered at South Moon Fish
Camp and approaching sea wall at Blair's Jungle Den.
*At 3.2 feet, Water covers yards and further encroaches on many low
lying homes near the river. Flooding of many yards and low lying
roads near the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.0 Tue 10 AM 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.8
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
GLITTO982
WGUS82 KMLB 301523
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1123 AM EDT WED SEP 30 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to the
combination of recent heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels
have remained nearly steady through mid week and minor flooding and is
expected to continue through the upcoming weekend.
FLC069-127-021523-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.150930T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1123 AM EDT WED SEP 30 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 2.8 feet, Minor flooding occurs to a few homes in low lying areas
along the river. Flooding of low lying streets and yards north of Fox
Road on the Lake County side of Astor, and from River Road northward
on the Volusia side of the river. Docks covered at South Moon Fish
Camp and approaching sea wall at Blair's Jungle Den.
*At 3.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps are under water at South Moon Fish
Camp.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.0 Wed 10 AM 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
GLITTO708
WGUS82 KMLB 011516
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1116 AM EDT THU OCT 1 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to the
combination of recent heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels
are expected to remain steady through the weekend and minor flooding and is
expected to continue through the upcoming week.
FLC069-127-031516-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.150930T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1116 AM EDT THU OCT 1 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps are under water at South Moon Fish
Camp.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.0 Thu 10 AM 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$608
WGUS82 KMLB 011815 CCA
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1116 AM EDT THU OCT 1 2015
A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...ST. JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR.
MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES ON THE ST JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR, DUE TO THE
COMBINATION OF RECENT HEAVY RAINS AND TIDAL EFFECTS. THE RIVER
LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEADY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND MINOR
FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.
FLC069-127-031516-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.150930T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1116 AM EDT THU OCT 1 2015
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR ASTOR.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
*AT 3.0 FEET, DOCKS AND BOAT RAMPS ARE UNDER WATER AT SOUTH MOON FISH
CAMP.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM EST/8 AM EDT
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME FRI SAT SUN MON TUE
ST. JOHNS RIVER
ASTOR 2.8 3.0 THU 10 AM 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$628
WGUS82 KMLB 021517
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1117 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to the
combination of recent heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels
are expected to remain steady through the weekend and minor flooding is
expected to continue through the upcoming week.
FLC069-127-041517-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.150930T0330Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1117 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps are under water at South Moon Fish
Camp.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.0 Fri 10 AM 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$360
WGUS82 KMLB 031459
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1059 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to the
combination of recent heavy rains, north to northeast winds and tidal effects.
The river levels are expected to remain steady through the weekend and minor
flooding is expected to continue through the upcoming week.
FLC069-127-051459-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151003T0815Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1059 AM EDT SAT OCT 3 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps are under water at South Moon Fish
Camp.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.1 Sat 10 AM 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
johnson762
WGUS82 KMLB 041536
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1136 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to recent
heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels Are expected to remain
nearly steady through the remainder of the weekend with only a slight
decrease expected through the upcoming week.
FLC069-127-061536-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151003T0815Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1136 AM EDT SUN OCT 4 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps are under water at South Moon Fish
Camp.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.1 Sun 10 AM 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
GLITTO779
WGUS82 KMLB 051510
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1110 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to recent
heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels are expected to remain
nearly steady through mid week.
FLC069-127-071510-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151003T0815Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1110 AM EDT MON OCT 5 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps are under water at South Moon Fish
Camp.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.0 Mon 10 AM 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$479
WGUS82 KMLB 061503
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1103 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
POINT(S)...
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to recent
heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels are expected to remain
in minor flood stage into this weekend.
FLC069-127-081503-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151003T0815Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1103 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps are under water at South Moon Fish
Camp.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.1 Tue 10 AM 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
GLITTO819
WGUS82 KMLB 071500
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1100 AM EDT WED OCT 7 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to recent
heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels are expected to remain
in minor flood stage through the weekend.
FLC069-127-091500-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151007T1145Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1100 AM EDT WED OCT 7 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.2 feet, Water covers yards and further encroaches on many low
lying homes near the river. Flooding of many yards and low lying
roads near the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.2 Wed 10 AM 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
GLITTO978
WGUS82 KMLB 081518
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1118 AM EDT THU OCT 8 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to recent
heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels are expected to remain
in minor flood stage through the weekend.
FLC069-127-101518-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151008T1115Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1118 AM EDT THU OCT 8 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.2 feet, Water covers yards and further encroaches on many low
lying homes near the river. Flooding of many yards and low lying
roads near the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.2 Thu 10 AM 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1 M.M
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
Johnson306
WGUS82 KMLB 091510
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1110 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to recent
heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels are expected to remain
in minor flood stage through the weekend and into next week.
FLC069-127-111510-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151008T1115Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1110 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.2 feet, Water covers yards and further encroaches on many low
lying homes near the river. Flooding of many yards and low lying
roads near the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.2 Fri 10 AM 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
Johnson742
WGUS82 KMLB 101519
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1119 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to recent
heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels are expected to remain
in minor flood stage through the weekend and into next week.
FLC069-127-121519-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151008T1115Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1119 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.2 feet, Water covers yards and further encroaches on many low
lying homes near the river. Flooding of many yards and low lying
roads near the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.1 Sat 10 AM 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
Johnson254
WGUS82 KMLB 111506
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1106 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to recent
heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels are expected to remain
in minor flood stage through the week.
FLC069-127-131506-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151008T1115Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1106 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps are under water at South Moon Fish
Camp.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.1 Sun 10 AM 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
Johnson522
WGUS82 KMLB 121519
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1119 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St. Johns River at Astor.
POINT(S)...
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to recent
heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels are expected to remain
in minor flood stage this week, with only a very slight decline into
the upcoming weekend.
FLC069-127-141519-
/O.CON.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151008T1115Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1119 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2015
The Flood Warning Continues For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps are under water at South Moon Fish
Camp.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 3.0 Mon 10 AM 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$
GLITTO282
WGUS82 KMLB 131508
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
1108 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2015
A River Flood Warning remains in effect for...St Johns River at Astor.
Minor Flooding continues on the St Johns River at Astor, due to recent
heavy rains and tidal effects. The river levels are expected to remain
in minor flood stage through late week, with only a slight decline in
river levels expected into the upcoming weekend.
FLC069-127-151508-
/O.EXT.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-151017T1200Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151008T1115Z.151017T0600Z.NR/
1108 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2015
The Flood Warning ContinueS For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
* Minor Flooding is Occurring and Minor Flooding is Forecast.
*At 3.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps are under water at South Moon Fish
Camp.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 2.9 Tue 10 AM 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$829
WGUS82 KMLB 141445
FLSMLB
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
ISSUED BY National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1045 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2015
The River Flood Warning is Cancelled for...St Johns River at Astor
Recent drier conditions have allowed the river to fall below flood
stage this morning. Little or no additional rainfall is forecast
through the weekend.
FLC069-127-141515-
/O.CAN.KMLB.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-151017T1200Z/
/ASTF1.1.ER.150925T0915Z.151008T1115Z.151014T0600Z.NR/
1045 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2015
The Flood Warning is Cancelled For
The St Johns River Near Astor.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 7 am EST/8 am EDT
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
St. Johns River
Astor 2.8 2.8 Wed 09 AM 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6
&&
LAT...LON 2910 8142 2935 8157 2932 8169 2908 8150
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 25, 4:20 AM EDT, 2 hours 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 25, 4:20 AM EDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 420 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015 .DISCUSSION... TODAY-TONIGHT... A CONTINENTAL HI PRES RIDGE BLANKETING THE NE CONUS AND ERN CANADA WILL BLOCK OUT A WEAK H100-H70 LOW PRES SYSTEM CENTERED NEAR THE GA COAST...FORCING IT TO RETROGRADE SLOWLY INTO THE DEEP SOUTH/NRN GOMEX. AS IT DOES...A SMALL THERMAL TROF ASSOCD WITH THE LOW WILL DEPART THE LCL REGION...ALLOWING A WEAK H70-H50 THERMAL RIDGE TO REPLACE IT. H70 TEMPS WARMING TO ARND 8-9C...H50 TEMPS TO -6/-7C... RESULTING IN UNIMPRESSIVE LAPSE RATES BTWN 5.5-6.0C/KM THRU THE LYR. THE ATLC RIDGE HAS BEEN WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY BY THE LOW THAT HAS PERSISTED OFF THE E FL COAST FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS...AS WELL AS DISTANT T.C. IDA. THE RESULTING LOW LVL PGRAD OVER THE BAHAMAS AND THE GREATER ANTILLES IS QUITE FLAT WITH LITTLE DEFINITION OF EITHER A TROFFING OR RIDGING FEATURES. FURTHERMORE...AN H85-H50 INVERTED TROF JUST N OF THE WINDWARD PASSAGE WILL LIFT E OF THE BAHAMAS AND PREVENT ANY DEEP LYR RIDGING FROM REBUILDING ACRS THE AREA. ALOFT...AN H85-H50 INVERTED TROF EXTENDING FROM THE DEEP SOUTH TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL MAINTAIN A 10-15KT S/SW FLOW THAT WILL TAP AN AIRMASS WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF MID LVL VORT ENERGY. UPR LVL WIND PATTERN SHOWS A DIVERGENCE FIELD THAT IS LARGELY NEUTRAL OR WEAKLY CONVERGENT. DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE BAHAMA BANK/GREATER ANTILLES WILL ADVECT INTO FL...H100-H70 MEAN RH VALUES ARND 90PCT...H85-H50 VALUES ARND 80PCT. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATING PWAT VALUES IN THE 1.8"-2.0" RANGE... REASONABLE GIVEN THE UPSTREAM PROFILE. HOWEVER...MID/UPR LVL DYNAMIC SUPPORT WILL BE MINIMAL AS THE MID LVL TROF CONSOLIDATES PULLS MOST OF THE LCL ENERGY INTO ITS CORE CIRCULATION. SCT POPS WILL BE THE RULE...HIGHER OVER THE INTERIOR TO ACCOUNT THE ONSHORE LOW LVL FLOW. CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS ANTICIPATED...AND WITH THE DECREASING SUN ANGLE AND DIMINISHING DIURNAL HEATING OF EARLY AUTUMN...EXPECT MAX TEMPS WILL REMAIN BLO THE 90F MARK OVER MOST AREAS...M80S COAST AND U80S INTERIOR. ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP SFC DEWPOINT IN THE L/M70S WITH MIN TEMPS WITH A DEG OR TWO OF THESE. SAT-SUN... LOW PRESSURE LINGERING OFF OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY LIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THIS TIME. EARLY MORNING LIGHT WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT ONSHORE EACH AFTERNOON. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE FORECAST TO EXCEED 2 INCHES AND MID/UPPER SUPPORT SEEMS RELATIVELY WEAK. STORM STEERING FLOW WILL BE UNDER 10 MPH AND OUT OF THE SSW ON SAT...THEN S/SSE ON SUN. THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL BE ACTIVE AND MOVE INLAND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GREATEST OPPORTUNITY FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS OVER COASTAL COUNTIES LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON TRANSITIONING INLAND THRU MID/LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. HIGHS GENERALLY EXPECTED IN THE M/U80S NEAR THE COAST TO AROUND 90 DEGREES INLAND. MON-THU... LARGE MID-UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS EARLY IN THE PERIOD WILL OPEN INTO A TROUGH AND WEAKEN AS ENERGY GETS STRETCHED NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST WITH DEEP LAYER RIDGING BUILDING FROM THE WESTERN ATLC TO ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND FURTHER WESTWARD THROUGH THE GOMEX DURING THIS TIME. AT THE SURFACE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS DEPICT A WEAK LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN GOMEX WITH THIS FEATURE LIFTING NNE'WRD TOWARD ALABAMA/WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WEAKENING. THIS SYSTEM STILL SHOWS NO DIRECT IMPACT ON CENTRAL FLORIDA. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL REMAIN FAIRLY HIGH/CONSISTENT ABOVE 2 INCHES. LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW AT THE SURFACE CONTINUES WITH DAILY ECSB DEVELOPMENT AND PUSH INLAND. SUMMER-LIKE PATTERN CONTINUES WITH POTENTIAL EARLY CONVECTION NEAR THE EAST COAST TRANSITIONING INLAND EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING. && .AVIATION...THRU 26/12 SFC WINDS: COASTAL SITES...THRU 25/14Z...E/NE 4-6KTS. BTWN 25/14Z-25/16Z...BCMG E 7-10KTS. BTWN 26/00Z-26/03Z...BCMG E/SE 4-6KTS. INTERIOR SITES...THRU 25/14Z...E/NE 3-5KTS. BTWN 25/14Z-25/18Z... E/SE 5-7KTS. BTWN 25/18Z-25/21Z...BCMG E 7-9KTS XCPT W/NW 5-7KT AT KLEE. BTWN 26/00Z-26/03Z...BCMG E/SE 4-6KTS. VSBYS/WX/CIGS: THRU 25/14Z...E OF KTIX-KOBE BRIEF ISOLD IFR VSBYS IN NWD MVG SHRAS...W OF KTIX-KOBE AREAS IFR CIGS BTWN FL006-009. BTWN 25/14Z-25/18Z...SCT MVFR SHRAS/ISOLD IFR TSRAS COASTAL SITES. BTWN 25/18Z-25/24Z...SCT MVFR SHRAS/ISOLD IFR TSRAS INTERIOR SITES. AFT 26/06Z...ISOLD MVFR SHRAS BTWN KTIX-KDAB. && .MARINE... TODAY-TONIGHT...WEAK LOW PRES SYSTEM NEAR THE GA COAST WILL RETROGRADE INTO THE DEEP SOUTH/NRN GOMEX. LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS NO DEFINED LOW LVL RIDGE OR TROFFING FEATURES...SO THE LCL PGRAD IS EXPECTED SLACKEN AND BECOME RATHER FLAT AS THE LOW DRIFTS OUT OF THE LCL REGION. LIGHT TO GENTLE ERLY BREEZE WILL AOB 10KTS. A PERSISTENT LONG PD ERLY SWELL WILL ENHANCE LCL WAVE HEIGHTS...COMBINED SEAS 3- 4FT NEARSHORE AND 4-5FT OFFSHORE. SAT-TUE...WEAK LOW PRESSURE OFF OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST WILL FINALLY GET A NUDGE NORTHWARD TOWARD LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. WEAK LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL ALSO SLOWLY BEGIN TO ADVANCE N/NNE BUT WITH NO IMPACTS CURRENTLY SEEN FOR ECFL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. LIGHT TO GENTLE ONSHORE BREEZE WILL PREVAIL AOB 10KTS...OSCILLATING BETWEEN NE/SE AS VARIOUS RIPPLES IN THE LOW LEVEL PRESSURE FIELD WORK THEIR WAY ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. PERSISTENT ERLY SWELL WILL ENHANCE LOCAL WAVE HEIGHTS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...COMBINED SEAS 3-4 FT NEAR SHORE AND 4-5 FT OFFSHORE. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. .HYDROLOGY... THE ST. JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR /ASTF1/ REMAINS IN ACTION STAGE BUT HAS RECENTLY SHOWN A SLOW RISE UP TO 2.75 FT...OR LESS THAN A TENTH OF A FOOT BELOW MINOR FLOOD STAGE PARTLY DUE TO A NORTHERLY WIND COMPONENT IMPEDING DOWNSTREAM FLOW. CURRENT FORECAST KEEPS LEVELS JUST BELOW FLOOD STAGE INTO LATE WEEK WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR ANY POTENTIAL INCREASE INTO MINOR FLOOD STAGE. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 85 74 87 73 / 40 20 40 20 MCO 89 73 90 74 / 50 30 50 20 MLB 87 74 89 75 / 40 20 40 20 VRB 87 73 88 73 / 40 30 40 30 LEE 88 72 90 74 / 50 30 50 20 SFB 89 73 90 74 / 50 30 50 20 ORL 89 74 90 75 / 50 30 50 20 FPR 87 73 88 73 / 40 30 40 30 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. AM...NONE. && SHORT TERM/AVIATION...BRAGAW LONG TERM/IMPACT WX...SEDLOCK
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 25, 5:20 AM EDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 520 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015 AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141- 144-147-252130- FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA- BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM- SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA- BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA- BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM- SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY- NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY- OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN- COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY- NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY- 520 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. .THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AS KEEP MOISTURE PUSHES INTO THE AREA FROM THE BAHAMAS AND POOLS WITHIN A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. STORM COVERAGE WILL BE HIGHEST OVER THE INTERIOR WHERE THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO MERGE. CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...THOUGH SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND LOCAL HEAVY RAIN. .FLOOD IMPACT... LOCAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM MOVE WEST ACROSS THE AREA. SOME WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCH OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED RECENT HEAVY RAIN SUCH AS PORTIONS OF THE TREASURE COAST WILL BE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING FROM ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. .RIP CURRENT IMPACT... A LONG PERIOD EASTERLY SWELL WILL IMPACT THE EAST FLORIDA COAST TODAY AND GENERATE A HIGH RIP CURRENT THREAT ALONG AREA BEACHES. THE THREAT WILL BE HIGHEST BETWEEN 8:30 PM AND 3:30 PM DUE TO TIDAL EFFECTS. CHECK WITH BEACH PATROL FOR LOCAL HAZARDS BEFORE ENTERING THE WATER. ALWAYS SWIM WITHIN SIGHT OF A LIFE GUARD AND NEVER SWIM ALONE. .MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVE WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. A FEW STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH AS WELL AS FREQUENT CLOUD TO WATER LIGHTNING...PARTICULARLY OVER THE INTERIOR LAKES. .RIVER FLOOD IMPACT... THE ST. JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR HAS RISEN DURING THE DAY...AND HAS BEEN FLUCTUATING BETWEEN 2.7 FEET...AND JUST BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE OF 2.8 FEET SINCE LATE AFTERNOON. THE RIVER LEVEL RISE IS PARTLY DUE TO NORTHERLY WIND COMPONENT IMPEDING DOWNSTREAM FLOW COUPLED WITH TIDAL EFFECTS. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT ACTION STAGE...BETWEEN 2.5 FEET AND 2.7 FEET...FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH DAY. THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL REMAIN MODERATE TO HIGH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. BRAGAW
The office that day
Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 7:56 AM EDT | Rip Current Statement | MLB | Volusia | 12 hr |
| Sep 25, 5:01 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MLB | Lake, Seminole, Volusia | 89 min |
| Sep 25, 6:03 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MLB | Orange, Osceola, Seminole | 87 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.