Tornado Warning 6, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

321 
WWUS52 KMHX 112113
SVSMHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
513 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

NCC133-112122-
/O.CAN.KMHX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150811T2130Z/
ONSLOW NC-
513 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ONSLOW COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT 
OF THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3496 7729 3514 7707 3510 7705 3509 7705
      3510 7704 3497 7696 3491 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 240DEG 22KT 3494 7726 

$$

NCC049-103-112130-
/O.CON.KMHX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-150811T2130Z/
CRAVEN NC-JONES NC-
513 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL CRAVEN AND EAST CENTRAL JONES COUNTIES...
    
AT 512 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MAYSVILLE...OR 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF PUMPKIN CENTER...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEW BERN...JAMES CITY...TRENT WOODS...RIVER BEND...COASTAL CAROLINA
REGIONAL AIRPORT AND POLLOCKSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE
HOME OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND
PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

IF A TORNADO OR OTHER SEVERE WEATHER IS SPOTTED...REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHO
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT. THIS ACT MAY SAVE THE LIVES OF OTHERS IN THE
PATH OF DANGEROUS WEATHER.

&&

LAT...LON 3496 7729 3514 7707 3510 7705 3509 7705
      3510 7704 3497 7696 3491 7723
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 240DEG 22KT 3494 7726 

$$
DAG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
249 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK. A COASTAL TROUGH WILL SET UP OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL TRY TO BUILD IN AT THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 202 PM TUE...GOOD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AS ENERGY SWINGS THROUGH THE BASE OF A MID
LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST OF THE AREA. FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA WILL APPROACH THE AREA TONIGHT AS MAIN LOBE OF ENERGY
MOVES THROUGH. INSTABILITY REMAINS MARGINAL...AND EVEN THOUGH NO
HEAVY RAINS HAVE BEEN NOTED ON REGIONAL RADARS THUS
FAR...PRECIPITABLE WATERS FROM FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING OVER 2.3
INCHES DURING THE EVENING HOURS. FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH WIND BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY AND
PRECIPITATION ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE PREDAWN HOURS.
MAY HAVE AREAS OF FOG DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 212 PM TUE...ANY AREAS OF FOG THAT MAY DEVELOP IN THE PREDAWN
HOURS WILL DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
BE OVER THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. BASE OF
MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE AREA WITH MAINLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT.
EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF AN
ISOLATED SHOWER IN THE COASTAL SECTIONS.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 250 PM TUE...COLD FRONT NOW FORECAST TO TAKE LONGER TO MOVE
OFF THE COAST...NOT MOVING OFF UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LINGERING
SHOWERS ON THE SOUTH COAST AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS WILL END BY
LATE EVENING. FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE OFFSHORE
WATERS INTO SATURDAY AFTER WHICH IT SLOWLY DISSIPATES. PREVIOUS
RUNS OF THE GFS HAVE BEEN MOSTLY DRY FROM LATE WEEK THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...AND NOW THE ECMWF IS TRENDING TAHT WAY AS WELL. THURSDAY
REMAINS DRY THROUGHOUT AND FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY I HAVE
REMOVED ALL POPS EXCEPT FOR A NARROW BAND OF SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS CLOSER TO THE FRONT
OFFSHORE. EARLY NEXT WEEK THE INLAND TROF RETURNS SO HAVE INCLUDED
A SLIGHT CHANCE POP FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTION INLAND FROM THE
COAST.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 1244 PM TUE...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA TAF SITES AT THIS TIME. AN AREA OF SCATTERED SHOWERS IS
MOVING ACROSS THE REGION BRINGING CONDITIONS BRIEFLY TO MVFR OR IFR.
THESE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OFF AND ON THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON
WITH TEMPORARY MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS AS THEY PASS OVER A TAF SITE.
COLD FRONT TO THE WEST OF THE AREA WILL APPROACH THROUGH THE DAY AND
EVENING. WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MORE SUB VFR
CONDITIONS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHTTIME
HOURS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF THE FRONT MAY SEE AREAS
OF FOG DEVELOP IN THE PREDAWN HOURS WITH IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
RETURN TO VFR AFTER SUNRISE THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 250 PM TUE...VFR AND DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS NORTH
AROUND 5 KNOTS WEDNESDAY...THEN EAST NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KNOTS
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 147 PM TUE...MAINLY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE NORTH
CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS FOR MUCH OF THE FIRST PERIOD WITH SPEEDS 10
TO 15 AND SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET. FRONT TO THE WEST WILL APPROACH THE
WATERS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. TIGHTENING GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WILL HELP PICK PRE-FRONTAL WIND SPEEDS UP TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
WIND WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT WHICH IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE OVER THE WATERS AFTER SUNRISE...THEN BECOME NORTH AND
NORTHEASTERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SEAS TO REMAIN IN THE 2 TO
4 FOOT RANGE THROUGH THE PERIOD...BUT CANT RULE OUT A 5 FOOTER IN
THE OUTER WATERS AHEAD OF THE FRONT TONIGHT.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 250 PM TUE...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...BECOMING STATIONARY OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND
EVENTUALLY DISSIPATING LATE THIS WEEKEND. LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE
ENTIRE PERIOD...FROM THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN EAST
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. SEAS THROUGH THE PERIOD 2-3 FEET.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CCG
NEAR TERM...CCG
SHORT TERM...CCG
LONG TERM...HSA
AVIATION...CCG/HSA
MARINE...CCG/HSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
352 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>094-120800-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
352 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ095-098-103-104-120800-
CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
352 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
316 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

NCZ090-112000-
DUPLIN-
316 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT DUPLIN COUNTY...

AT 316 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROSE
HILL...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WARSAW...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WALLACE...WARSAW...ROSE HILL...BEULAVILLE...KENANSVILLE...HARRELLS...
MAGNOLIA...GREENEVERS AND TEACHEY.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3490 7815 3504 7816 3500 7772 3472 7772
      3472 7794 3471 7798 3473 7802 3473 7803
      3472 7811 3471 7813 3474 7820
TIME...MOT...LOC 1916Z 273DEG 28KT 3489 7816

DAG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
401 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

NCZ090>092-098-112045-
ONSLOW-JONES-DUPLIN-LENOIR-
401 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN DUPLIN...
SOUTHWESTERN LENOIR...NORTHWESTERN ONSLOW AND WEST CENTRAL JONES
COUNTIES...

AT 401 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR BEULAVILLE...OR 14
MILES NORTHEAST OF WALLACE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JACKSONVILLE...HALF MOON...RICHLANDS...BEULAVILLE...RICHLANDS SOUTH
AND ALBERT J ELLIS AIRPORT.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY CAN RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN NEWPORT.

LAT...LON 3503 7785 3500 7736 3464 7750 3466 7765
      3472 7768 3472 7796
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 268DEG 30KT 3486 7780

DAG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
448 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

NCZ092-093-095-098-112145-
CARTERET-ONSLOW-JONES-CRAVEN-
448 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ONSLOW...WEST CENTRAL
CARTERET...SOUTH CENTRAL CRAVEN AND SOUTHEASTERN JONES COUNTIES...

AT 448 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER HALF MOON...MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JACKSONVILLE...HALF MOON...NEW RIVER STATION...PINEY GREEN...CAMP
LEJEUNE CENTER...PUMPKIN CENTER...SWANSBORO...CAPE CARTERET...
RICHLANDS...MAYSVILLE...RICHLANDS SOUTH...HAMMOCKS BEACH STATE PARK
AND CEDAR POINT.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY CAN RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN NEWPORT.

LAT...LON 3459 7740 3464 7732 3471 7740 3474 7735
      3472 7741 3474 7744 3464 7737 3459 7744
      3460 7763 3461 7763 3470 7767 3497 7751
      3495 7698 3465 7706 3466 7715 3470 7718
      3465 7716 3464 7712 3459 7724
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 268DEG 29KT 3482 7749

DAG