Wind Advisory 3, NWS Medford, OR

871 
WWUS76 KMFR 020615
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1015 PM PST SUN FEB 1 2015

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-021415-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.150203T1800Z-150204T0300Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
1015 PM PST SUN FEB 1 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM PST
TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM PST TUESDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 30 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS.

* TIMING: BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND PEAKING BY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN SUMMER LAKE AND 
  PAISLEY...THE WARNER MOUNTAINS AND OTHER HIGH TERRAIN OF THE 
  EAST SIDE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT AT 
  TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THESE
AREAS.

&&

$$
SVEN

821 
WWUS76 KMFR 021145
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
345 AM PST MON FEB 2 2015

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-030000-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.150203T1800Z-150204T0300Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
345 AM PST MON FEB 2 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM PST
TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM PST TUESDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING: BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND PEAKING BY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN SUMMER LAKE AND 
  PAISLEY...THE WARNER MOUNTAINS AND OTHER HIGH TERRAIN OF THE 
  EAST SIDE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT AT 
  TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THESE
AREAS.

&&

$$

SK

157 
WWUS76 KMFR 022143
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
143 PM PST MON FEB 2 2015

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-031215-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.150203T1800Z-150204T0300Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
143 PM PST MON FEB 2 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM PST
TUESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM PST TUESDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING: BEGINNING LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND PEAKING BY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN SUMMER LAKE AND 
  PAISLEY...THE WARNER MOUNTAINS AND OTHER HIGH TERRAIN OF THE 
  EAST SIDE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT AT 
  TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THESE
AREAS.

&&

$$

514 
WWUS76 KMFR 031159
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
359 AM PST TUE FEB 3 2015

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-032000-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.150203T1800Z-150204T0300Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
359 AM PST TUE FEB 3 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM
PST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING: BEGINNING LATE THIS MORNING AND PEAKING THIS AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN SUMMER LAKE AND 
  PAISLEY...THE WARNER MOUNTAINS AND OTHER HIGH TERRAIN OF THE 
  EAST SIDE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT AT 
  TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THESE
AREAS.

&&

$$

SPILDE

440 
WWUS76 KMFR 031940
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1140 AM PST TUE FEB 3 2015

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-040000-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-150204T0300Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
1140 AM PST TUE FEB 3 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING: PEAKING THIS AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALONG HIGHWAY 31 BETWEEN SUMMER LAKE AND 
  PAISLEY...THE WARNER MOUNTAINS AND OTHER HIGH TERRAIN OF THE 
  EAST SIDE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT AT 
  TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THESE
AREAS.

&&

$$

576 
WWUS76 KMFR 032257
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
257 PM PST TUE FEB 3 2015


CAZ085-ORZ030-031-040700-
/O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0004.150205T0300Z-150205T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.A.0002.150205T1200Z-150207T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-150204T0300Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
257 PM PST TUE FEB 3 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST
THURSDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST
THURSDAY. A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS HIGH WIND
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS
EVENING. 

* TODAY: SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* LATER THIS WEEK: WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BECOMING
  SOUTHWEST AT 35 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. WINDS WILL
  INCREASE FURTHER BY THURSDAY MORNING, POSSIBLY REACHING 45 TO 50
  MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY...REMAINING STRONG
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: SUMMER LAKE, PAISLEY, ALKALI LAKE, PORTIONS
  OF HIGHWAYS 395, 31, AND 140 IN OREGON, AND HIGHWAY 299 IN
  CALIFORNIA.

* IMPACTS: STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT AT 
  TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THESE
AREAS.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

CAZ081-040700-
/O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0004.150204T1800Z-150205T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.A.0002.150205T0600Z-150207T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED
257 PM PST TUE FEB 3 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY.
A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS HIGH WIND WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING...LIKELY INCREASING TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH
  GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY...REMAINING STRONG THROUGH
  THE WEEKEND. 

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED...PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 5 AND HIGHWAY
  97 WITHIN THE SHASTA VALLEY.

* IMPACTS: THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA
  VALLEY NEAR WEED...AND MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-040700-
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.A.0002.150205T0900Z-150207T1800Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...
GOLD BEACH
257 PM PST TUE FEB 3 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH
  THURSDAY...WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE FRIDAY. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY...REMAINING STRONG THROUGH
  THE WEEKEND. 

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...GOLD
  BEACH...HUMBUG MOUNTAIN...CAPES AND HEADLANDS...AND PORTIONS OF
  US 101 ALONG THE SOUTHERN OREGON COAST.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS COULD RESULT IN DAMAGE TO ITEMS NOT
  PROPERLY SECURED. DRIVING COULD BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
  ALONG EXPOSED AREAS OF US 101. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

507 
WWUS76 KMFR 040300
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
700 PM PST TUE FEB 3 2015

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-041100-
/O.EXP.KMFR.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-150204T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0004.150205T0300Z-150205T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.A.0002.150205T1200Z-150207T0600Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
700 PM PST TUE FEB 3 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM
PST THURSDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM PST THIS EVENING. A WIND
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM PST
THURSDAY. A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS: INCREASING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 35 TO
  40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER BY
  THURSDAY MORNING...POSSIBLY REACHING 45 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 60 MPH WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY...REMAINING STRONG 
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: SUMMER LAKE, PAISLEY, ALKALI LAKE, PORTIONS
  OF HIGHWAYS 395, 31, AND 140 IN OREGON, AND HIGHWAY 299 IN
  CALIFORNIA.

* IMPACTS: STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT AT 
  TIMES...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THESE
AREAS.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

CAZ081-041100-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0004.150204T1800Z-150205T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.A.0002.150205T0600Z-150207T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED
700 PM PST TUE FEB 3 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM PST
WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM PST
WEDNESDAY. A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY
EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WEDNESDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING...LIKELY INCREASING TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY...REMAINING STRONG
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED.

* IMPACTS: THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN
  SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED...AND MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT... 
  ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING IN THESE
AREAS.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-041100-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.A.0002.150205T0900Z-150207T1800Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...
GOLD BEACH
700 PM PST TUE FEB 3 2015

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH THURSDAY... 
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE FRIDAY. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY...REMAINING STRONG
  THROUGH THE WEEKEND. 

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...GOLD 
  BEACH. 

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS COULD RESULT IN DAMAGE TO ITEMS NOT
  PROPERLY SECURED. DRIVING COULD BECOME DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
  ALONG EXPOSED AREAS OF US 101. POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/ZYV5

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

SK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
839 AM PST SUN FEB 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...BUMPED UP POPS THIS MORNING PARTICULARLY FOR THE
MEDFORD AREA AND ALSO REMOVED FOG WORDING FOR THE WEST SIDE
VALLEYS. NO OTHER UPDATES WERE MADE AS THE GOING FORECAST LOOKS
ON TRACK. RADAR SHOWS SOME SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA WITH A
FEW SITES MEASURING A COUPLE HUNDRETHS AT BEST. THE 01/12Z KMFR
SOUNDING SHOWS A FAIRLY DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER HOWEVER, PRECIPITATION
HAS MADE IT TO THE GROUND HERE AT THE KMFR AIRPORT. SUSPECT THAT
WHAT IS FALLING IS MAKING IT TO THE GROUND ALBEIT VERY LIGHT.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND TOTALS WILL INCREASE AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES. FOR MORE DETAILS SEE THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.
MND

&&

.AVIATION...BASED ON THE 01/12Z TAF CYCLE...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING WITH ISOLATED MVFR VISIBILITIES IN PATCHY
FOG FOR INLAND WEST SIDE VALLEYS THROUGH 16Z. THEN AN INCOMING WEAK
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND SOME WEST SIDE MVFR CIGS
THROUGH THE DAY, MAINLY COAST AND UMPQUA BASIN. ALSO EXPECT PARTIAL
TERRAIN OBSCURATIONS CASCADES WEST TODAY. THEN THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT, MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AS AREAS
OF RAIN CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. ALSO EXPECT WIDESPREAD MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. /CC

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED 815 AM PST SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 1, 2015...LIGHT SOUTH
WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A WEAK FRONT PUSHES
IN FROM THE WEST. MODERATE WEST SWELL WILL BUILD AS A SOMEWHAT
STRONGER FRONT APPROACHES THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT, THEN GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS AND STEEP SEAS ARE LIKELY AS THIS FRONT PASSES ON
MONDAY. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK,
WITH A STRONG STORM SYSTEM POSSIBLY RESULTING IN AND EXTENDED PERIOD
OF GALES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEAS OF 15 TO 20 FT DEVELOPING LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY DUE TO WIND SEAS AND FRESH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SWELL.
-CC/BPN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 AM PST SUN FEB 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...TODAY REPRESENTS A TRANSITION DAY TOWARDS AN ACTIVE
WEATHER PATTERN AFTER WEEKS OF GENERALLY STAGNANT WEATHER. A WEAK
FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY...BRINGING
GENERALLY LIGHT RAIN TO THE AREA...FOCUSED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
UMPQUA DIVIDE AND WEST OF THE CASCADES. THIS FRONT WILL MIX UP THE
ATMOSPHERE JUST ENOUGH TO END THE AIR STAGNATION ADVISORIES BY
THIS AFTERNOON. A SECOND...MORE POTENT COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
BRING AN INCH OF RAIN TO THE CURRY COUNTY COAST...A QUARTER INCH
TO MOST WEST SIDE VALLEYS...AND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN TO THE
EAST SIDE. THESE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE VIRTUALLY ALL RAIN...WITH SNOW LEVELS AT 7500
FEET AND HIGHER. ADDITIONALLY...WINDS WILL BECOME
GUSTY...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE CASCADES MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH
700MB FLOW REACHING 50KT FROM THE WEST ON BOTH THE NAM AND GFS
MODELS.

THIS BOUNDARY WILL STALL MONDAY NIGHT OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...AND
THEN GET RE-ENERGIZED AS ANOTHER SHOT OF SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE
ARRIVES TUESDAY MORNING...WAVING NORTH AND BRINGING MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN TO THE COAST AND HIGHER TERRAIN WEST OF THE CASCADES.
WE HAVE FAVORED THE HEAVIER RAIN SOLUTIONS OF THE NAM AND GFS FOR
THIS PERIOD...THOUGH HAVE TEMPERED THEM A LITTLE BY BLENDING SOME
OF THE DRIER ECMWF SOLUTION. WINDS WILL ALSO BE SIGNIFICANT WITH
THIS SYSTEM...WITH 700MB WINDS PEAKING AT 55KT PER THE GFS...SO
EAST SIDE WINDS WILL BECOME VERY GUSTY AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
IF ADVISORY CRITERIA ARE MET...OR MORE. RIDGING BUILDS OVERHEAD
WEDNESDAY...AND THIS SHOULD BE THE DRIEST DAY OF THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES COULD GET UNSEASONABLY WARM IN VALLEYS IF FOG DOES
NOT DEVELOP...AND DENSE FOG LOOKS UNLIKELY GIVEN THAT STRONG
INVERSIONS REALLY WON'T HAVE TIME TO SET UP BEHIND THE FRONT.

THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY HAS THE POTENTIAL OF BEING A HEAVY RAIN AND
STRONG WIND EVENT. GEFS-BASED TOOLS THAT HELP GAUGE HOW SIGNIFICANT
A RAIN EVENT WILL BE ARE SHOWING GOOD POTENTIAL FOR A ONCE-IN-TEN-
YEAR TYPE EVENT FOR THE COAST IN TERMS OF RAINFALL. RIVERS ARE
CURRENTLY WELL BELOW NORMAL IN TERMS OF STREAMFLOW...SO ANTECEDENT
CONDITIONS DO NOT FAVOR FLOODING...BUT DO BELIEVE THERE IS STILL
SOME POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL RIVER OR STREAM FLOODING IF THE VERY WET
GFS SOLUTION VERIFIES. CERTAINLY THERE WILL BE MARINE IMPACTS WITH
GALES AND POSSIBLY STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE WATERS THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY...AND GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT THE COAST...HIGH
TERRAIN...SHASTA VALLEY...AND EAST SIDE DURING THE SAME TIME FRAME.

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ORZ023-024-026-616-620-622.
     AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     ORZ029>031-623>625.

CA...NONE.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...NONE.

MND/NSK/CC