Wind Advisory 18, NWS Medford, OR

064 
WWUS76 KMFR 132200
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
200 PM PST FRI NOV 13 2015

...STRONG SOUTH WINDS EXPECTED LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY SUNDAY...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST SATURDAY EVENING THEN MOVE INLAND SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. STRONG SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD
OF THE SYSTEM STARTING LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AT THE COAST...
AND THEN SATURDAY NIGHT OVER THE SHASTA VALLEY AND EAST OF THE
CASCADES.

CAZ081-141000-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0008.151115T0100Z-151115T1100Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.151115T0100Z-151115T1100Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED
200 PM PST FRI NOV 13 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SATURDAY TO 3 AM
PST SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SATURDAY TO 3 AM PST
SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SATURDAY TO 3 AM
PST SUNDAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SATURDAY
TO 3 AM PST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
  THE HIGHEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED NEAR WEED.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN PEAK 
  SATURDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE 
  FRONT MOVES INLAND.

* LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH WIND WARNING INCLUDE: WEED.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDE: YREKA...MONTAGUE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS... INCLUDING INTERSTATE 5 THROUGH THE SHASTA VALLEY.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-141000-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0008.151115T0300Z-151115T1300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.151115T0300Z-151115T1300Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW
200 PM PST FRI NOV 13 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM
PST SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM PST
SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM
PST SUNDAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY
TO 5 AM PST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE. THE 
  HIGHEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED RIGHT NEAR SUMMER LAKE AND ALSO 
  OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING THEN PEAK SATURDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SUNDAY 
  MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH WIND WARNING INCLUDE: SUMMER LAKE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDE: SILVER LAKE...PAISLEY.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 31. TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES 
  MAY OCCUR.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-141000-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0008.151114T2200Z-151115T0900Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...
GOLD BEACH
200 PM PST FRI NOV 13 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 1 AM
PST SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM SATURDAY TO 1 AM
PST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY THEN PEAK SATURDAY 
  EVENING AND DIMINISH BY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES 
  INLAND. 

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: CAPE BLANCO...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS... 
  HARBOR...GOLD BEACH.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 101. TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES 
  ARE POSSIBLE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

ORZ029-141000-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.151115T0300Z-151115T1300Z/
KLAMATH BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS
200 PM PST FRI NOV 13 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM PST
SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM PST
SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN PEAK 
  SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE EASING BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS.

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 97 AND 140. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

SPILDE

601 
WWUS76 KMFR 140946
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
146 AM PST SAT NOV 14 2015

...STRONG SOUTH WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUNDAY...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
THE COAST THIS EVENING THEN MOVE INLAND TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
MORNING. STRONG SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM
STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AT THE COAST... AND THEN TONIGHT OVER THE
SHASTA VALLEY AND EAST OF THE CASCADES.

CAZ081-150000-
/O.EXT.KMFR.HW.W.0008.151115T0100Z-151115T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.151115T0100Z-151115T1200Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED
146 AM PST SAT NOV 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 AM PST SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM
PST SUNDAY...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 4 AM PST SUNDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM
THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM PST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. 
  THE HIGHEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED NEAR WEED. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON THEN PEAK TONIGHT.
  WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES INLAND.

* LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH WIND WARNING INCLUDE: WEED.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDE: YREKA...MONTAGUE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS... INCLUDING INTERSTATE 5 THROUGH THE SHASTA VALLEY.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-150000-
/O.EXT.KMFR.HW.W.0008.151115T0300Z-151115T1500Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.151115T0300Z-151115T1500Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW
146 AM PST SAT NOV 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
PST SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM PST
SUNDAY...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM PST SUNDAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM
THIS EVENING TO 7 AM PST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE. THE 
  HIGHEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED RIGHT NEAR SUMMER LAKE AND ALSO 
  OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
  THEN PEAK TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SUNDAY MORNING AS THE
  FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH WIND WARNING INCLUDE: SUMMER LAKE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDE: SILVER LAKE...PAISLEY.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 31. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-150000-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0008.151114T2200Z-151115T0900Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...
GOLD BEACH
146 AM PST SAT NOV 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 AM PST SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM PST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE CAPES.
 
* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THEN PEAK THIS
  EVENING AND DIMINISH BY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES
  INLAND.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: CAPE BLANCO...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS... 
  HARBOR...GOLD BEACH.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 101. TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES 
  ARE POSSIBLE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

ORZ029-150000-
/O.EXT.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.151115T0300Z-151115T1500Z/
KLAMATH BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS
146 AM PST SAT NOV 14 2015

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM PST
SUNDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
PST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON, PEAK TONIGHT,
  THEN DIMINISH SUNDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS.

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAYS 97 AND 140.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

WRIGHT

813 
WWUS76 KMFR 142305
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
305 PM PST SAT NOV 14 2015

...STRONG SOUTH WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUNDAY...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
THE COAST THIS EVENING THEN MOVE INLAND TONIGHT AND SUNDAY
MORNING. STRONG SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM
STARTING THIS AFTERNOON AT THE COAST... AND THEN TONIGHT OVER THE
SHASTA VALLEY AND EAST OF THE CASCADES.

CAZ081-151115-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0008.151115T0100Z-151115T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.151115T0100Z-151115T1200Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED
305 PM PST SAT NOV 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SUNDAY. A
WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. 
  THE HIGHEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED NEAR WEED. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON THEN PEAK TONIGHT. 
  WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY SUNDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES 
  INLAND.

* LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH WIND WARNING INCLUDE: WEED.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDE: YREKA...MONTAGUE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA
  ROADS...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 5 THROUGH THE SHASTA VALLEY.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-151115-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0008.151115T0300Z-151115T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.151115T0300Z-151115T1500Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW
305 PM PST SAT NOV 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM PST SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
PST SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM PST SUNDAY. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 AM PST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE. THE
  HIGHEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED RIGHT NEAR SUMMER LAKE...PAISLEY AND
  ALSO OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING 
  THEN PEAK TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SUNDAY MORNING AS THE 
  FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH WIND WARNING INCLUDE: SUMMER
  LAKE...PAISLEY.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDE: SILVER LAKE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 31.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-150900-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-151115T0900Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...
GOLD BEACH
305 PM PST SAT NOV 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE. THE 
  STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE CAPES. 

* TIMING: WINDS WILL PEAK THIS EVENING AND DIMINISH BY SUNDAY
  MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES INLAND.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: CAPE BLANCO...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS... 
  HARBOR...GOLD BEACH.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 101. TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE
  POSSIBLE.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

ORZ029-151115-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.151115T0300Z-151115T1500Z/
KLAMATH BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS
305 PM PST SAT NOV 14 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
PST SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
PST SUNDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING: WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON... PEAK
  TONIGHT... THEN DIMINISH SUNDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT MOVES 
  THROUGH.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS.

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAYS 97 AND 140.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

114 
WWUS76 KMFR 150947
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
147 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

CAZ081-151200-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-151115T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151115T1200Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED
147 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST EARLY THIS
MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST EARLY
THIS MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. 
  THE HIGHEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED NEAR WEED. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH WIND WARNING INCLUDE: WEED.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDE: YREKA...MONTAGUE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 5 THROUGH THE SHASTA VALLEY.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-151500-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-151115T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151115T1500Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW
147 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS
MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE. THE 
  HIGHEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED RIGHT NEAR SUMMER LAKE...PAISLEY 
  AND ALSO OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH WIND WARNING INCLUDE: SUMMER LAKE... 
  PAISLEY.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDE: SILVER LAKE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 31.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

ORZ029-151500-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151115T1500Z/
KLAMATH BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS
147 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS.

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAYS 97 AND 140.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

WRIGHT

076 
WWUS76 KMFR 151142
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
342 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

CAZ081-151500-
/O.CAN.KMFR.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-151115T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151115T1500Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED
342 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WARNING. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST
THIS MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.
  THE HIGHEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED NEAR WEED.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED... YREKA...MONTAGUE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING INTERSTATE 5 THROUGH THE SHASTA VALLEY.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-151500-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-151115T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151115T1500Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW
342 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS
MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS
MORNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS
MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE. THE 
  HIGHEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED RIGHT NEAR SUMMER LAKE...PAISLEY 
  AND ALSO OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE HIGH WIND WARNING INCLUDE: SUMMER LAKE... 
  PAISLEY.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WIND ADVISORY INCLUDE: SILVER LAKE.

* IMPACTS: STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAY 31.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

ORZ029-151500-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151115T1500Z/
KLAMATH BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS
342 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING. 

* WINDS: SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS.

* IMPACTS: GUSTY WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT ON AREA 
  ROADS...INCLUDING HIGHWAYS 97 AND 140.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

WRIGHT

430 
WWUS76 KMFR 151512
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
712 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-151615-
/O.EXP.KMFR.HW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-151115T1500Z/
/O.EXP.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151115T1500Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW
712 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE WIND ADVISORY
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO DIMINISH BUT SOUTHWEST
WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE AT 35 TO 45 MPH IN THE VICINITY OF
SUMMER LAKE THROUGH 8 AM PST.

$$

CAZ081-ORZ029-151615-
/O.EXP.KMFR.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-151115T1500Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-KLAMATH BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS
712 AM PST SUN NOV 15 2015

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1042 AM PST FRI NOV 13 2015

.UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION.

.DISCUSSION...THE MORNING SOUNDING IS SHOWING A MOIST LAYER RIGHT
ABOUT 2400 FT MSL, RESULTING IN THE LOW CLOUD LAYER AROUND THE
VALLEY. THESE EXTEND INTO THE ILLINOIS VALLEY, PORTIONS OF THE
UMPQUA BASIN AND ALONG THE COAST. SINCE THE MOIST LAYER IS NOT AS
DEEP AS YESTERDAY, EXPECT THESE TO BREAK IN MOST AREAS (EXCEPT THE
COAST) LATER THIS MORNING/EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SOME HIGH CLOUDS
WILL CONTINUE TO DIM THE SUN AT TIMES THOUGH. OVERALL, IT SHOULD
BE A BIT MILDER THAN YESTERDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S
HERE IN MEDFORD. IN FACT, HIGHS WILL LARGELY BE IN THE 50S ACROSS
THE CWA AND EVEN SOME LOW 60S ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE CASCADES
WHERE THE SUN COMES OUT SOONER.

AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER CONTINUES TO SEND COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE
INTO WESTERN WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON TODAY ON THE NOSE OF
130-150KT JET. A SURFACE FRONT IS ALSO DROPPING SOUTHWARD INTO
NORTHWEST WASHINGTON. MEANWHILE...A LARGE SCALE TROUGH OVER THE
PACIFIC WILL DIG SOUTHEASTWARD LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A STRONG
SHORTWAVE (OUT NEAR 42N AND 150W) MOVES IN ON THE BACK SIDE.
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A TREND TOWARD A STRONGER SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT AS IT SETTLES SOUTHWARD...WITH MANY
MODELS SHOWING SURFACE PRESSURES DOWN INTO THE 990S AS IT HEADS
INSIDE 130W SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SO WHILE WE ARE STILL
EXPECTING A PRETTY GOOD RAIN EVENT AT THE COAST AND EVEN PORTIONS
OF THE INTERIOR, THE FOCUS HAS SHIFTED TO STRONGER WINDS DUE TO
THE MORE DYNAMIC NATURE OF THE SYSTEM. WE HAVE HOISTED HIGH WIND
WATCHES FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST, THE SHASTA VALLEY AND THE EAST
SIDE FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AND WE'LL BE LOOKING AT
UPGRADING THESE LATER TODAY. A SHARP DROP IN SNOW LEVELS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATER SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING (AROUND 7000 FT DOWN TO 3500 FT). MOST OF THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL BAND WILL OCCUR
ABOVE 5000 FT, BUT THERE COULD EVEN BE A SMALL ACCUMULATION DOWN
TO THE PASSES AT SISKIYOU SUMMIT/LAKE OF THE WOODS BY SUNDAY
MORNING. POST-FRONTAL SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SUNDAY
WITH SOME ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION LIKELY IN THE MOUNTAINS.
SPILDE

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 13/18Z TAF CYCLE...STRATUS AND STRATOCUMULUS
WILL CONTINUE TRAPPED UNDER AN INVERSION INTO MIDDAY ACROSS THE
INLAND WESTSIDE OREGON VALLEYS. CEILINGS WILL BE MAINLY MVFR WITH
AREAS OF MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS. THE LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT
LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN DISSIPATE BETWEEN 20Z AND 22Z ACROSS
INLAND VALLEYS BUT CONTINUE NEAR THE COAST THROUGH THE DAY...THOUGH
VARYING BETWEEN VFR AND MVFR. TONIGHT VALLEY LOCATIONS...INCLUDING
PORTIONS OF THE EAST SIDE...WILL AGAIN EXPERIENCE A MIX OF MVFR
AND IFR CONDITIONS. SK

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED 230 AM PST FRIDAY 13 NOV 2015...STEEP NORTHWEST
SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD TODAY. THE HEAVY LONG PERIOD
NORTHWEST SWELL WILL PEAK AROUND 18 FEET FRIDAY NIGHT. A VERY
STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO GALES SATURDAY
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY EVENING. GUIDANCE INDICATES WIND
GUSTS AT BUOY15 AND BUOY27 COULD PEAK AROUND 45 KNOTS. SEAS WILL
REMAIN HIGH AND CHAOTIC INTO NEXT WEEK WITH ANOTHER FRONT EXPECTED
ON MONDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 AM PST FRI NOV 13 2015/

SHORT TERM...THE MAIN ADJUSTMENT TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING WAS
TO CONTINUE INCREASING WINDS IN THE SATURDAY NIGHT PERIOD AND TO
ISSUE AN ACCOMPANYING HIGH WIND WATCH. MORE ON THIS BELOW.

A VERY WET ATMOSPHERIC RIVER REMAINS AIMED AT WASHINGTON STATE AND
SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS MORNING. THIS IS BEING DRIVEN BY A
130-150 KT JET ALOFT AND IS REPRESENTED AT THE SURFACE BY A COLD
FRONT WHICH IS SAGGING SOUTH ACROSS VANCOUVER ISLAND RIGHT NOW.
THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST TODAY.

IN THE MEANTIME, WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A FAIR AMOUNT OF CLOUD
FROM THE SYSTEM TODAY AND TONIGHT, BUT LITTLE TO NO RAIN. THE
ONLY APPRECIABLE CHANCE FOR RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT IS ALONG THE
NORTH COAST, AND EVEN THERE, IT IS UNLIKELY. OTHERWISE, WE'LL BE
FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER-WISE THROUGH TONIGHT.

THINGS WILL CHANGE TOMORROW AS THE FRONT SLOWLY WORKS ITS WAY DOWN
THE COAST. AT THE SAME TIME, STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG
THE FRONT SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE TOWARD THE OREGON COAST.
ALL MODELS SHOW THE LOW DEEPENING AS IT NEARS THE COAST AND THE
PARENT UPPER TROUGH BECOMES SLIGHTLY NEGATIVELY TILTED. THE LOW
MAKES LANDFALL LATE SATURDAY EVENING OVER THE CENTRAL OREGON COAST
WITH PRESSURES SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 992 AND 997 MB (GFS IS THE
STRONGEST). WE EXPECT A PERIOD OF STRONG SOUTH WINDS ALONG THE
COAST SATURDAY EVENING, BUT ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH COAST WHERE
A COASTAL JET MAY FORM AS THE WINDS ARE SQUEEZED BETWEEN THE FRONT
AND THE COASTAL TERRAIN. A HIGH WIND WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR THE
COAST SOUTH OF CAPE BLANCO.

MODELS ALSO CONSISTENTLY SHOW BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS AROUND 40 KT
AND 700 MB WINDS AROUND 60 KT OVER THE EAST SIDE WHICH ARE
GENERALLY GOOD PROXIES FOR SUSTAINED WINDS AND WIND GUSTS,
RESPECTIVELY. IN ADDITION, STATISTICAL GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS HIGH
WIND POTENTIAL IN THE MANY OF THE USUAL LOCATIONS SUCH AS SUMMER
LAKE AND THE SHASTA VALLEY. HIGH WIND WATCHES WERE ISSUE FOR THESE
LOCATIONS, AS WELL. SEE PDXNPWMFR FOR DETAILS ON WIND WATCHES.

THE FRONT WILL BRING A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN AS WELL, ALTHOUGH AT
THIS TIME, THE RAIN IS LOOKING LIKE A LESS IMPORTANT STORY. THE
MODELS AREN'T SHOWING ANY EXCESSIVE RAIN, AND THE FRONT MOVES
PRETTY QUICKLY THROUGH ONCE IT ARRIVES, SO FLOODING LOOKS LIKE
LESS OF A CONCERN. WE'LL STILL HAVE TO WATCH THIS, BECAUSE THE
FRONT COULD SLOW DOWN IF THE UPPER SYSTEM BECOMES ANY MORE
NEGATIVELY TILTED.

THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON IS STILL EXPECTED TO ARRIVE BEHIND
THE FRONT FOR SUNDAY. WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE STILL TO MOVE
THROUGH, WE OUGHT TO SEE A DECENT SNOWFALL IN THE MOUNTAINS,
ESPECIALLY THE CASCADES. -WRIGHT

LONG TERM...MONDAY, NOV 16TH THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT, NOV 19TH...

A 150-170 KNOT JET STREAM ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL BE DIVING
SOUTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 140 KNOTS OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MONDAY
MORNING. MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT THIS JET STREAM WILL TRANSITION
EASTWARD INTO THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS. THIS WILL LEAVE OUR AREA WITH
COLD AIR IN PLACE IN THE LOWER LEVELS AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES.
THERE DOES REMAIN SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW QUICKLY PRECIPITATION
GETS GOING ACROSS THE AREA. SINCE IT WILL BE A WARM FRONTAL
OVERRUNNING TYPE OF EVENT WITH COLDER AIR IN THE VALLEYS, SUSPECT
THAT LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN ALONG THE COAST RANGE AND INTO
THE UMPQUA BASIN MONDAY MORNING. THIS PRECIPITATION SHOULD SPREAD
INLAND INTO THE CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON, LIKELY REACHING THE EAST SIDE AND SISKIYOU AND MODOC
COUNTIES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. UNCERTAINTY LIES
PRIMARILY IN HOW LOW SNOW LEVELS WILL BE WHEN PRECIPITATION BEGINS
AND HOW LONG IT WILL TAKE FOR THESE SNOW LEVELS TO RISE. THIS
PARTICULAR SITUATION FEATURES LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SOUTH WIND AHEAD
OF IT, WITH THAT CONFINED MAINLY TO ELEVATIONS AT AND BELOW 6000
FEET. STRONG WEST FLOW ALOFT AT THE 700MB LEVEL INDICATES THERE WILL
A STRONG OROGRAPHIC COMPONENT TO THE PRECIPITATION, ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND NEAR THE OREGON CASCADES. IN SHORT, WE EXPECT SNOW LEVELS TO
BEGIN BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000 FEET EAST OF GRANTS PASS AND ROSEBURG
MONDAY MORNING, RISING TO 3500 TO 6000 FEET MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL PRESENT THE POTENTIAL OF ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL, MAINLY ABOVE 3000 FOOT ELEVATION LEVELS FROM THE FOOTHILLS
OF THE SISKIYOUS AND CASCADES EASTWARD. AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS
IMPACTS WILL BE MAINLY ON AND NEAR THE CASCADE AND SISKIYOU MOUNTAIN
PASSES AND ROADWAYS MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH
ROUGHLY 3-6 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE. ON THE EAST SIDE AMOUNTS LOOKS
TO BE MOSTLY 3 INCHES OR LESS, THOUGH THIS KIND OF SITUATION CAN
LEAD TO PROBLEMS IN THE CHEMULT AREA ALONG HIGHWAY 97.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE MODELS DIVERGE SOME, MAINLY WITH THE
ORIENTATION OF THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND
RESULTANT COLDER AIR OVER THE FORECAST AREA. SNOW LEVELS BY TUESDAY
MORNING LOOK AS IF THEY WILL SURGE TO 7 TO 8KFT OVER MOST OF
THE FORECAST AREA. RAIN ON TUESDAY LOOKS AS IF IT MAY WANE SOME,
ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA, BEFORE A COLD
FRONT PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. HAVE SIDED ON A CONSENSUS
SOLUTION THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON, AND THEN LEANED BETWEEN
CONSENSUS AND THE ECMWF DUE TO GUIDANCE FROM THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER. THE ECMWF SOLUTION IS COOLER ACROSS OUR AREA THAN OTHER
GUIDANCE, SO WE'LL HAVE TO COOL OFF THE END OF THE WEEK FURTHER IF
THE FORECAST TRENDS TOWARD THE ECMWF. THEREAFTER, COOLER THAN NORMAL
AND DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE 7-14 DAY PERIOD FROM THE 19TH TO THANKSGIVING DAY. BTL

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM PST
     SATURDAY FOR ORZ021-022.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
     NIGHT FOR ORZ021-022.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR
     ORZ030-031.

CA...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
     NIGHT FOR CAZ081.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
     10 AM PST SATURDAY FOR PZZ350-356.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
     NIGHT FOR PZZ350-356.
     GALE WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR
     PZZ350-356-370-376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM PST
     SATURDAY FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.

MAS/TRW/RES