Alert archive / Oregon / Red Flag Warnings in 2015
Red Flag Warning 5, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this red flag warning at Jun 25, 2015, 1:57 PM PDT for 9 counties in Oregon; Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California. It took effect at Jun 26, 2015, 5:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 52 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 25, 2015, 1:57 PM PDT (20:57 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 26, 2015, 5:00 PM PDT
- Expired
- Jun 28, 2015, 9:09 PM PDT
- In force
- 52 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Coos County, OR, Curry County, OR, Douglas County, OR, Harney County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR, Lane County, OR
The radar
The Medford radar (KMAX), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 9:13 PM PDT | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Wnw Takilma, OR | A LOCAL FIRE INFORMATION OFFICER REPORTED THAT A GUST FRONT FROM A COLLAPSING THUNDERSTORM CAME THROUGH THE AREA FROM TAKILMA ROAD TO HOLLAND LOOP AROUND 5 PM. HE ESTIMATED WINDS WERE 30-40 MPH. THE WINDS UPROOTED SEVERAL TREES, WHICH IN TURN TOOK OUT POWERLIN |
| Jun 26, 9:13 PM PDT | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Wnw Takilma, OR | THE BUCKSKIN FIRE INFORMATION OFFICER REPORTED THAT A GUST FRONT FROM A COLLAPSING THUNDERSTORM CAME THROUGH THE AREA FROM TAKILMA ROAD TO HOLLAND LOOP AROUND 5 PM. HE ESTIMATED WINDS WERE 30-40 MPH. THE WINDS UPROOTED SEVERAL TREES, WHICH IN TURN TOOK OUT POW |
| Jun 28, 7:28 PM PDT | TSTM WND GST 62 | 4 N Otis Mountain, OR | ANTELOPE RAWS AT 6560 FEET. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 55 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1869 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 12 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 12 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 45 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
763 WWUS86 KMFR 252057 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 157 PM PDT THU JUN 25 2015 CAZ285-ORZ625-261300- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0004.150627T0600Z-150628T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 157 PM PDT THU JUN 25 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONE....285. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONE....625. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO TO THE AREA LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS: LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED INITIALLY. BY SATURDAY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WETTING RAIN AS MOISTURE INCREASES. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: MODOC COUNTY IN CALIFORNIA AND LAKE COUNTY IN OREGON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ ORZ624-261300- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0004.150627T0000Z-150628T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- 157 PM PDT THU JUN 25 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON DRY FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MAY RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS: LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED INITIALLY. BY SUNDAY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WETTING RAIN AS MOISTURE INCREASES. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTY IN OREGON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ CAZ280-281-284-ORZ616-617-619>623-261300- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0004.150627T0000Z-150628T2200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150628T1800Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-UMPQUA BASIN-UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 157 PM PDT THU JUN 25 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...280...281...284. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES 616...617...619...620...621...622. AND 623. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS: LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED INITIALLY. BY SUNDAY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WETTING RAIN AS MOISTURE INCREASES. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU COUNTY IN CALIFORNIA. COOS...CURRY...DOUGLAS...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON AND KLAMATH COUNTY IN OREGON. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ ORZ615-261300- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0004.150627T0600Z-150627T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150627T1800Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST- 157 PM PDT THU JUN 25 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 AM PDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 AM PDT SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 615. * TIMING: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE AREA LATE FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS: THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DRY... PRODUCING LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: COOS AND CURRY COUNTY IN OREGON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ ORZ618-261300- /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150627T1800Z/ SOUTHERN OREGON COAST- 157 PM PDT THU JUN 25 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 AM PDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM FRIDAY TO 11 AM PDT SATURDAY. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON DRY FUELS WILL RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. * TIMING: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE AREA LATE FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 618. * COUNTY AFFECTED: CURRY COUNTY IN OREGON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
9 follow-up statements
663 WWUS86 KMFR 261039 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 339 AM PDT FRI JUN 26 2015 CAZ285-ORZ624-625-270000- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 339 AM PDT FRI JUN 26 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON DRY FUELS COULD RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. NEW FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY DUE TO THE DRY FUELS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONE....285. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS: LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED INITIALLY. BY SATURDAY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WETTING RAIN AS MOISTURE INCREASES. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN OREGON AND MODOC COUNTY IN CALIFORNIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ CAZ280-281-284-ORZ616-617-619>623-270000- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150628T1800Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-UMPQUA BASIN-UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 339 AM PDT FRI JUN 26 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON DRY FUELS COULD RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. EXISTING FIRES AND NEW ONES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY DUE TO THE DRY FUELS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN FIRE ZONE....616. IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...280...281...284. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...617...619...620...621...622...623. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS: LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED INITIALLY. BY SUNDAY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WETTING RAIN AS MOISTURE INCREASES. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU COUNTY IN CALIFORNIA. COOS...CURRY... DOUGLAS...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON AND KLAMATH COUNTIES IN OREGON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ORZ615-618-270000- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150627T1800Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-SOUTHERN OREGON COAST- 339 AM PDT FRI JUN 26 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM PDT SATURDAY... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON DRY FUELS COULD RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. NEW FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY DUE TO THE DRY FUELS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 615 AND 618. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: COOS AND CURRY COUNTIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ SPILDE VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
513 WWUS86 KMFR 262154 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 254 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 2015 CAZ284-ORZ617-623-271000- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 254 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONE....284. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...617...623. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS: LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED INITIALLY. BY SUNDAY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WETTING RAIN AS MOISTURE INCREASES. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU COUNTY IN CALIFORNIA. COOS...CURRY... DOUGLAS...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON AND KLAMATH COUNTIES IN OREGON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ CAZ285-ORZ624-625-271000- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 254 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONE....285. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS: LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED INITIALLY. BY SATURDAY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WETTING RAIN AS MOISTURE INCREASES. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN OREGON AND MODOC COUNTY IN CALIFORNIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ CAZ280-281-ORZ616-619>622-271000- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150628T1800Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-UMPQUA BASIN- WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 254 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT SUNDAY... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN FIRE ZONE....616. IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...280...281. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...619...620...621...622. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS: LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED INITIALLY. BY SUNDAY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WETTING RAIN AS MOISTURE INCREASES. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU COUNTY IN CALIFORNIA. COOS...CURRY... DOUGLAS...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON AND KLAMATH COUNTIES IN OREGON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ORZ615-618-271000- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.150627T0000Z-150627T1800Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-SOUTHERN OREGON COAST- 254 PM PDT FRI JUN 26 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT SATURDAY... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 615 AND 618. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: COOS AND CURRY COUNTIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ SVEN VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
428 WWUS86 KMFR 270943 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 243 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 2015 CAZ284-285-ORZ617-623>625-280000- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 243 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... * IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE RAPID FIRE SPREAD. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...284...285. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...617...623. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE GREATEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * RAINFALL: SOME STORMS MAY STILL BE DRY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WETTING RAIN POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE THROUGH SUNDAY AS MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN OREGON AND SISKIYOU AND MODOC COUNTIES IN CALIFORNIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ CAZ280-281-ORZ616-619>622-280000- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150628T1800Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-UMPQUA BASIN- WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 243 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT SUNDAY... * IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE RAPID FIRE SPREAD. * AFFECTED AREA: IN FIRE ZONE....616. IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...280...281. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...619...620...621...622. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO SUNDAY. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE GREATEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY. * RAINFALL: SOME STORMS MAY STILL BE DRY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WETTING RAIN POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU COUNTY IN CALIFORNIA. COOS...CURRY... DOUGLAS...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON AND KLAMATH COUNTIES IN OREGON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ORZ615-618-271800- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150627T1800Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-SOUTHERN OREGON COAST- 243 AM PDT SAT JUN 27 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING... * IMPACTS: LIGHTNING STRIKES ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE RAPID FIRE SPREAD. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 615 AND 618. * THUNDERSTORMS: MAINLY ISOLATED THIS MORNING. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: COOS AND CURRY COUNTIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ SPILDE VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
218 WWUS86 KMFR 272154 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 254 PM PDT SAT JUN 27 2015 CAZ284-285-ORZ617-623>625-281300- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 254 PM PDT SAT JUN 27 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...284...285. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...617...623. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE GREATEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * RAINFALL: SOME STORMS MAY STILL BE DRY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WETTING RAIN POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE THROUGH SUNDAY AS MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN OREGON AND SISKIYOU AND MODOC COUNTIES IN CALIFORNIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ CAZ280-281-ORZ616-619>622-281300- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150628T1800Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-UMPQUA BASIN- WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 254 PM PDT SAT JUN 27 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT SUNDAY... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN FIRE ZONE....616. IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...280...281. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...619...620...621...622. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO SUNDAY. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE GREATEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY. * RAINFALL: SOME STORMS MAY STILL BE DRY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WETTING RAIN POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS THE AREA. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU COUNTY IN CALIFORNIA. COOS...CURRY... DOUGLAS...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON AND KLAMATH COUNTIES IN OREGON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
509 WWUS86 KMFR 280217 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 717 PM PDT SAT JUN 27 2015 CAZ284-285-ORZ617-623>625-281430- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 717 PM PDT SAT JUN 27 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT SUNDAY... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...284...285. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...617...623. * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE GREATEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RAINFALL: THE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE WET...BUT WILL MOVE QUICKLY. THEREFORE IT IS UNLIKELY THAT MOST AREAS WILL SEE APPRECIABLE RAINFALL. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN OREGON AND SISKIYOU AND MODOC COUNTIES IN CALIFORNIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ CAZ280-281-ORZ616-619>622-281430- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150628T1800Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-UMPQUA BASIN- WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 717 PM PDT SAT JUN 27 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PDT SUNDAY... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN FIRE ZONE....616. IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...280...281. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...619...620... 621...622. * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH TONIGHT AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE GREATEST SUNDAY MORNING...DIMINISHING FROM THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. * RAINFALL: THE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE WET...BUT WILL MOVE QUICKLY. THEREFORE IT IS UNLIKELY THAT MOST AREAS WILL SEE APPRECIABLE RAINFALL. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU COUNTY IN CALIFORNIA. COOS... CURRY... DOUGLAS...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON AND KLAMATH COUNTIES IN OREGON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
571 WWUS86 KMFR 281243 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 543 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 2015 CAZ280-281-ORZ616-619>622-281345- /O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150628T1800Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-UMPQUA BASIN- WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 543 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ARE POSSIBLE TODAY, BUT THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING HAS DIMINISHED. $$ CAZ284-281345- /O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA- 543 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ARE POSSIBLE TODAY, BUT THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING HAS DIMINISHED. $$ CAZ285-ORZ617-623>625-290045- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT- WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 543 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONE....285. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...617...623. * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE GREATEST FROM THE CASCADES EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RAINFALL: THE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE WET...BUT WILL MOVE QUICKLY. THEREFORE IT IS UNLIKELY THAT MOST AREAS WILL SEE APPRECIABLE RAINFALL. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN OREGON AND MODOC COUNTIES IN CALIFORNIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ MAS VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
937 WWUS86 KMFR 281732 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1032 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 2015 CAZ285-281845- /O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- 1032 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MOSTLY OVER THE WARNERS...THIS AFTERNOON. $$ ORZ617-623>625-290545- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 1032 AM PDT SUN JUN 28 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...617...623. * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE GREATEST FROM THE CASCADES EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RAINFALL: THE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE WET...BUT WILL MOVE QUICKLY. THEREFORE IT IS UNLIKELY THAT MOST AREAS WILL SEE APPRECIABLE RAINFALL. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN OREGON AND MODOC COUNTIES IN CALIFORNIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
008 WWUS86 KMFR 282143 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 243 PM PDT SUN JUN 28 2015 ORZ617-623>625-290600- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 243 PM PDT SUN JUN 28 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625. IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...617...623. * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE GREATEST FROM THE CASCADES EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * RAINFALL: THE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE WET...BUT WILL MOVE QUICKLY. THEREFORE IT IS UNLIKELY THAT MOST AREAS WILL SEE APPRECIABLE RAINFALL. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES IN OREGON AND MODOC COUNTIES IN CALIFORNIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
166 WWUS86 KMFR 290409 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 909 PM PDT SUN JUN 28 2015 ORZ617-623>625-290515- /O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 909 PM PDT SUN JUN 28 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617...623...624 AND 625... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jun 25, 11:05 AM PDT, 2 hours 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 11:05 AM PDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1105 AM PDT THU JUN 25 2015
UPDATED AVIATION SECTION
.DISCUSSION...CURRENT FORECAST COVERING THE NEXT 24 HOURS LOOKS ON
TRACK SO NO IMMEDIATE UPDATES ARE NEEDED. THE CHALLENGE IN THE
FORECAST IS FOR THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE ISSUE IS WHERE ARE THUNDERSTORMS MOST LIKELY
TO DEVELOP? WITH OFFSHORE UPPER LEVEL LOW POISED TO TRACK
NORTHWARD THIS WEEKEND...SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER
SOUTHERN OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. INSTABILITY AND
INCREASING MOISTURE IS A GIVEN. THE BIG QUESTION IS WHERE THE
TRIGGER WILL BE LOCATED TO FIRE OFF THE THUNDERSTORMS. CURRENT
THINKING IS THAT AREAS WEST OF THE CASCADES SHOULD SEE CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. WILL BE LOOKING AT MORE DATA AND REFINING THUNDERSTORM
AREAS FOR THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE.
&&
.AVIATION...FOR THE 25/18Z TAF CYCLE...EXCEPT FOR A PATCH OF IFR LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG NEAR BROOKINGS THAT IS EXPECTED TO PULL SLIGHTLY
OFFSHORE THROUGH 19Z...VFR AREA-WIDE AND HIGH CONFIDENCE OF THIS
CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. ALSO FAIRLY SURE THE COAST WILL SEE
AREAS OF IFR CIGS AND MVFR VIS RETURNING AFTER 00Z AND CONTINUING
INTO EARLY FRI. MTS
&&
.MARINE...NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST MADE THIS MORNING. A STRONG
THERMAL TROUGH IS YIELDING A HIGH CONFIDENCE OF HAZARDOUS SEAS AND
GALES SOUTH OF THE CAPE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. THEREAFTER...
ADVISORY CONDITIONS UNDER DECREASING NORTH WINDS WILL BE PREVALENT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN LATER
MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH POTENTIALLY ELEVATING HEADLINES SOUTH OF
CAPE BLANCO. MTS
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 438 AM PDT THU JUN 25 2015/
DISCUSSION...THE FORECAST IS FOR A LONG PERIOD OF HOT AND
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS. HOT WEATHER BEGINS TODAY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
TO CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BEGINS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WITH A PERSISTENT LONGWAVE PATTERN OF STRONG RIDGING
CENTERED IN THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY.
THE LENGTH OF THIS HEAT WAVE WILL BE UNUSUAL AND ,BY DEFINITION,
THE RECORD HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE SET ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL BE
ALSO. THE HEAT ADVISORY FOR WEST SIDE VALLEYS WAS PARED BACK TO
COVER JUST FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING
WITH THE CONSIDERATION THAT OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY NIGHT WILL PROVIDE LITTLE RELIEF, WHILE THE
AFTERNOON HEAT BOTH TODAY AND DURING NEXT WEEK WILL BE WELL ABOVE
NORMAL BUT NOT REACH EXCEPTIONAL LEVELS.
ANOTHER CHANGE IS THAT AN UPDATE WAS MADE LATE LAST EVENING TO
ADJUST THE FIRE WEATHER WATCHES TO BE MORE IN LINE WITH THE RECENT
OUTPUT FROM THE NAM MODEL. THIS INDICATES EAST SIDE THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL FRIDAY EVENING AND NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND A
PULSE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE UMPQUA AND OVER THE COOS
COAST FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE FORECAST OF
THUNDERSTORMS STILL UTILIZES A RATHER BROAD BRUSH DUE TO
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MODELS REGARDING THE TIMING AND TRACK OF
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES AS WELL AS THE POSITION OF THE MAIN DRIVERS OF
THIS WEATHER...A STRONG RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND A TROUGH
OFFSHORE FROM CALIFORNIA. ONE EXCEPTION IS THAT THERE IS GOOD
CONSISTENCY THAT THIS EVENT WILL BEGIN WITH WEAK 700MB STEERING
WINDS OF ABOUT 5 KNOTS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS INITIAL BATCH OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ISOLATED BUT PRODUCE LITTLE RAINFALL AND
HAVE THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE OVER THE CASCADES AND
EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY. THE FIRST OF THE AFOREMENTIONED EMBEDDED
SHORTWAVES WILL INCREASE THE PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR A
LARGE SWATH OF OUR AREA DURING FRIDAY EVENING AND PRODUCE
NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS PRECIPITABLE
WATER AMOUNTS INCREASE. IT IS ALSO SOMEWHAT UNUSUAL THAT THE PATTERN
WILL FAVOR THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING NORTHWESTWARD TO THE COAST AND
INTO THE COASTAL WATERS LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
THERE WILL BE RELATIVELY LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WITH
THE INCREASINGLY MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW AND VERY HOT SURFACE
TEMPERATURES TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
THE RIDGE AXIS IS FORECAST TO SHIFT SLIGHTLY EASTWARD ON SUNDAY
WHILE THE TROUGH OFFSHORE FROM CALIFORNIA MOVES NORTHEAST TOWARD
CAPE MENDOCINO. THIS WOULD LIKELY PUSH THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY TO EAST OF THE CASCADES.
AS WAS THE CASE 24 HOURS AGO, MODEL DIFFERENCES INCREASE REGARDING
THE FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND GROW THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
BUT, THERE IS GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT A STRONG RIDGE WILL PERSIST
IN THE GREAT BASIN WHILE THE COASTAL TROUGH MOVES INLAND TO
PRODUCE MEAGER COOLING AND FORCE THE MOST FAVORABLE CONDITIONS
FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TO BE PRESENT ON THE EAST SIDE.
FIRE WEATHER...UPDATED 200 AM PDT THURSDAY 25 JUNE 2015...LOW LEVEL
OFFSHORE FLOW IS IN PLACE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST. WIND SPEEDS AND
HUMIDITIES COME CLOSE TO BUT DO NOT QUITE MEET THE RED FLAG CRITERIA
OVER THE COASTAL RANGES...SO WILL CONTINUE TO HEADLINE THE
CONDITIONS.
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...MID LEVEL HAINES RISES TO 6
AT THE COASTAL ZONES BUT THE LATEST MODEL BRINGS HIGH LEVEL HAINES
FOR SW OREGON DOWN TO 5. HOWEVER SOME PARTS OF SOUTHERN
KLAMATH...SOUTHERN LAKE...AND SISKIYOU AND MODOC COUNTIES WILL SEE
HIGH LEVEL HAINES RISING TO 6.
LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST WILL TURN WINDS TO SOUTHERLY ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE BRINGING MONSOONAL MOISTURE NORTHWARD. THIS
WILL SET THE STAGE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AS EARLY AS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
MODELS ARE SHOWING THE ATMOSPHERE TO BE QUITE UNSTABLE BUT MOISTURE
IS STILL LAGGING BEHIND. WHILE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE, WE FEEL
COVERAGE WILL BE ISOLATED...UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING WHEN MOISTURE STARTS
TO CATCH UP. WE HAVE ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH STARTING WITH MOST
OF SISKIYOU COUNTY IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA UP TO SW OREGON. SINCE
THESE STORMS COULD OCCUR AT NIGHT..IN THE SUMMER AROUND HERE TEND TO
BE ON THE DRY SIDE...SO DRY LIGHTNING (LAL 6) OR AT LEAST LIGHTNING
WITH LESS THAN WETTING RAIN IS CERTAINLY POSSIBLE.
BY SATURDAY EVENING...MOISTURE WILL HAVE CAUGHT UP AND STORMS
SHOULD BE WET ALBEIT WITH MUCH GREATER COVERAGE.
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR ORZ615>617-619>625.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 5 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR ORZ023.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 5 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR
ORZ024-026.
CA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR CAZ280-281-284-285.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 5 AM PDT SUNDAY FOR
CAZ080-081.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT FRIDAY FOR PZZ356.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY
FOR PZZ356-376.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 5 AM TO 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR
PZZ350-370.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR PZZ350-370.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR
PZZ376.
GALE WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR
PZZ376.
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR PZZ376.
KRS/MTS/MAPNearby
Red Flag Warnings in Oregon, 2015Red Flag Warnings in California, 2015Every red flag warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.