Alert archive / Oregon / Red Flag Warnings in 2015

Red Flag Warning 23, NWS Medford, OR

August 12, 2015Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; 6 counties in Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this red flag warning at Aug 12, 2015, 2:50 PM PDT for Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; 6 counties in Oregon. It took effect at Aug 13, 2015, 11:00 AM PDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 12, 2015, 2:50 PM PDT (21:50 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 13, 2015, 11:00 AM PDT
Expired
Aug 13, 2015, 11:00 PM PDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR

Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Douglas County, OR, Harney County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 90 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2015-08-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 124 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2015-08-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
124 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-316 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1254 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

019 
WWUS86 KMFR 122150
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
250 PM PDT WED AUG 12 2015

CAZ281-131000-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0014.150813T1800Z-150814T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0023.150813T1800Z-150814T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-150813T0300Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
250 PM PDT WED AUG 12 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 281...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR
HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 281...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT THURSDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED.

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WINDS WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
  HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD
  OF NEW AND EXISTING FIRES.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 281.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...CENTRAL SISKIYOU.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF AROUND 15
  PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING WITH SOUTH WINDS OF 25
  MPH GUSTING TO 35 MPH. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...EXCEPT WITH STRONGER SOUTH
  WINDS OF 30 MPH GUSTING TO 45 MPH.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

CAZ285-ORZ624-625-131000-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0014.150813T1800Z-150814T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0023.150813T1800Z-150814T0600Z/
MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE
AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
250 PM PDT WED AUG 12 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR
HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 285...624 AND
625...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS UPGRADED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11
AM TO 11 PM PDT THURSDAY. 

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WINDS WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
  HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD
  OF NEW AND EXISTING FIRES.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONE....285.
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...625...EASTERN 624.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...MODOC. 
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...HARNEY...LAKE...AND EASTERN KLAMATH.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHENING
  TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

CAZ284-ORZ623-131000-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0023.150813T1800Z-150814T0600Z/
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
250 PM PDT WED AUG 12 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR
HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 284 AND 623...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WINDS WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
  HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD
  OF NEW AND EXISTING FIRES.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONE....EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN 284. 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONE....SOUTHERN 623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...CENTRAL AND EASTERN SISKIYOU. 
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...SOUTHWEST KLAMATH. 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...SOUTHEAST JACKSON.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHENING
  TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
6 follow-up statements
029 
WWUS86 KMFR 130921
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 AM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

CAZ281-284-285-ORZ623>625-132200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0023.150813T1800Z-150814T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-
WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE
AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
221 AM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS WITH LOW RELATIVE 
HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281...284...285...623...624 
AND 625...

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WINDS WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
  HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD
  OF NEW AND EXISTING FIRES.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...281...284...285. 
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625. 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONE....SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF 623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...MODOC...CENTRAL AND EASTERN SISKIYOU.
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...KLAMATH...LAKE...AND WESTERN HARNEY.
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...SOUTHEAST JACKSON.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED 
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHENING 
  TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. STRONGER GUSTS UP TO  
  45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
348 
WWUS86 KMFR 131548
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
848 AM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

ORZ621-622-140300-
/O.EXB.KMFR.FW.W.0023.150813T1800Z-150814T0300Z/
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
848 AM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR HIGH
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 622...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS: STRONG...GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
  HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD
  OF NEW AND EXISTING FIRES.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES...FAR EASTERN 621 AND 
  SOUTHEAST 622.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...FAR SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON...INCLUDING THE 
  ROGUE VALLEY SOUTH OF TALENT. 

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT...COMBINED WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS OF
  10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.


&&

$$

CAZ281-284-285-ORZ624-625-140400-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0023.150813T1800Z-150814T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE
AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
848 AM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
281...284... 285...624 AND 625...

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH 
  FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD OF 
  NEW AND EXISTING FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...281...284...285.
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...MODOC...EASTERN SISKIYOU.
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...HARNEY...EASTERN KLAMATH...LAKE.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED 
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHENING 
  TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. STRONGER GUSTS UP 
  TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

ORZ623-140400-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0023.150813T1800Z-150814T0600Z/
SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
848 AM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623...

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH 
  FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD OF 
  NEW AND EXISTING FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...SOUTHERN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...SOUTHWESTERN KLAMATH.
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED 
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHENING 
  TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. STRONGER GUSTS UP 
  TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
726 
WWUS86 KMFR 132151
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
251 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

CAZ281-284-285-ORZ624-625-140400-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150814T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE
AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
251 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
281...284... 285...624 AND 625...

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH 
  FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD OF 
  NEW AND EXISTING FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...281...284...285.
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...MODOC...EASTERN SISKIYOU.
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...HARNEY...EASTERN KLAMATH...LAKE.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED 
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHENING 
  TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. STRONGER GUSTS UP 
  TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

ORZ621-622-140300-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150814T0300Z/
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
251 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND
622...

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH 
  FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD OF 
  NEW AND EXISTING FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES...FAR EASTERN 621 AND 
  SOUTHEAST 622

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...FAR SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON...INCLUDING THE 
  ROGUE VALLEY SOUTH OF TALENT. 

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED 
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT...COMBINED WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 
  10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

ORZ623-140400-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150814T0600Z/
SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
251 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623...

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH 
  FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD OF 
  NEW AND EXISTING FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...SOUTHERN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...SOUTHWESTERN KLAMATH.
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED 
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHENING 
  TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. STRONGER GUSTS UP 
  TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
931 
WWUS86 KMFR 132151 CCA
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
251 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

CAZ281-284-285-ORZ624-625-140400-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150814T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE
AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
251 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
281...284... 285...624 AND 625...

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH 
  FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD OF 
  NEW AND EXISTING FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...281...284...285.
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...624...625.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...MODOC...EASTERN SISKIYOU.
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...HARNEY...EASTERN KLAMATH...LAKE.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED 
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHENING 
  TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. STRONGER GUSTS UP 
  TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

ORZ621-622-140300-
/O.COR.KMFR.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150814T0300Z/
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
251 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND
622...

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH 
  FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD OF 
  NEW AND EXISTING FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES...FAR EASTERN 621 AND 
  SOUTHEAST 622

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...FAR SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON...INCLUDING THE 
  ROGUE VALLEY SOUTH OF TALENT. 

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED 
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT...COMBINED WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 
  10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

ORZ623-140400-
/O.COR.KMFR.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150814T0600Z/
SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
251 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

CORRECTED FOR WORDING IN WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BULLET

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623...

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH 
  FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD OF 
  NEW AND EXISTING FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...SOUTHERN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...SOUTHWESTERN KLAMATH.
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHENING
  TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
974 
WWUS86 KMFR 140257
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
757 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

ORZ621-622-140400-
/O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150814T0300Z/
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
757 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 622...

WINDS HAVE EASED AND SHIFTED TO THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT RISE IN
HUMIDITY.

$$

CAZ281-284-285-ORZ624-625-140600-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150814T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE
AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
757 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
281...284... 285...624 AND 625...

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH 
  FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD OF 
  NEW AND EXISTING FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONES...CENTRAL AND EASTERN 281
  ...NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST 284...ALL OF 285.
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONES...NORTH AND EAST 624...ALL BUT 
  EXTREME NORTH 625.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...MODOC...EASTERN SISKIYOU.
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...HARNEY...EASTERN KLAMATH...LAKE.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED 
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHENING 
  TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH. STRONGER GUSTS UP 
  TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY NEAR WEED.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

ORZ623-140600-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150814T0600Z/
SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
757 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623...

* IMPACTS: STRONG, GUSTY WIND WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH 
  FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A SIGNIFICANT SPREAD OF 
  NEW AND EXISTING FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...SOUTHERN THIRD FIRE WEATHER ZONE 623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...SOUTHWESTERN KLAMATH.
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON.

* WIND AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES: RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED
  TO DROP TO 10 TO 15 PERCENT WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS STRENGTHENING
  TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE FIRES TO SPREAD VERY RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
297 
WWUS86 KMFR 140553
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1053 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

CAZ281-284-285-ORZ623>625-140700-
/O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-150814T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-
WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE
AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
1053 PM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281...284...285... 623...624 AND 625...

THE WIND HAS DECREASED ACROSS THE AREA SO THE RED FLAG WARNING
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Aug 12, 2:29 PM PDT, 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 12, 2:29 PM PDT, 21 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
229 PM PDT WED AUG 12 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED NEAR 40N
130W THIS AFTERNOON WITH MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT
OVER OUR AREA. SUCH A PATTERN IN AUGUST WOULD NORMALLY BE
UNSETTLED, BUT THE THE MID LEVELS DRIED OUT QUITE A BIT TODAY, AND
THAT COMBINED WITH THE LACK OF FORCING OR INSTABILITY HAS RESULTED
IN A TRANQUIL, SUNNY DAY FOR MOST PARTS. WE ARE SEEING SOME
CUMULUS BUILDUPS OVER THE MOUNTAINS, BUT WE DON'T EXPECT TO SEE
ANYTHING OUT OF THEM. SMOKE COLUMNS FROM THE STOUT AND NATIONAL
CREEK COMPLEXES ARE NOTICEABLE ON SATELLITE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH
THEIR SMOKE STREAMING OFF NORTHWARD. THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF
SMOKE AROUND TO THE SOUTH, BUT IT HAS THINNED OUT A LOT OVER THE
LAST 24 HOURS. STREAMLINE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE WINDS COMING AROUND
TO THE NORTHWEST AGAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN NORTH THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT, WHICH MAY DRIVE SOME SMOKE BACK SOUTH.

WE ARE ALREADY STARTING TO SEE WHAT WILL BE THE BIGGER IMPACT FROM
THE STORM OFFSHORE AS IT MAKES ITS WAY ASHORE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS: WIND AND LOW HUMIDITIES. SOUTH WINDS ARE PICKING UP OVER
THE EAST SIDE ALREADY THIS AFTERNOON WITH MANY LOCATIONS GUSTING
OVER 20 MPH AND A FEW OVER 30 MPH. THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE COAST TOMORROW AND THEN COME INLAND TOMORROW NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY. AS IT DOES THIS AND GRADIENTS TIGHTEN FURTHER, WINDS
WILL BE EVEN STRONGER, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EAST SIDE. AS IS
USUALLY THE CASE, IT WILL TAKE A WHILE FOR MOIST AIR WITH THE
SYSTEM TO ARRIVE, SO THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF LOW HUMIDITIES WITH
THE STRONG WINDS TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WHICH WILL BE A
FIRE WEATHER CONCERN. SEE THE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION BELOW FOR
MORE DETAILS. WE COULD SEE WINDS CONTINUE WELL INTO THURSDAY NIGHT
FROM MODOC COUNTY UP THROUGH LAKE COUNTY AS THAT IS WHEN THE
STRONGEST 700 MB WINDS ARRIVE.

IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION, THIS STORM SHOULDN'T BE MUCH TO WRITE
HOME ABOUT. WE CERTAINLY EXPECT SHOWERS, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
NORTH COAST AND NORTH OF THE UMPQUA DIVIDE TOMORROW NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY, AND WE MAY EVEN SEE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES, BUT
I WOULD CATEGORIZE THIS AS A HIGH POP/LOW QPF EVENT. THAT IS,
THOSE AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO GET RAIN, JUST NOT MUCH OF IT. WE
WILL SQUEEZE SOME SHOWERS OUT ELSEWHERE, ESPECIALLY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS, BUT MOST PLACES ARE UNLIKELY TO SEE MUCH MORE THAN
CLOUDS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. POPS HAVE BEEN INCREASED FOR
NORTH OF THE UMPQUA DIVIDE, BUT QPF WAS LOWERED.

THE SYSTEM MOVES ON LATER FRIDAY, AND THEN WE'RE LEFT WITH WEAK
UPPER TROUGHING OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT
WEEK. WE WILL ALSO DEVELOP A THERMAL TROUGH ALONG THE COAST. THIS
WILL RESULT IN A RETURN OF SUNNY SKIES AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WITH STRONG NORTH WINDS OVER THE WATERS. OFFSHORE
FLOW WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTH COAST AND ADJACENT MOUNTAIN
RANGES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AND THEN CONTINUE INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL PRODUCE WARM, DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE
AREA, INCLUDING THE SOUTH COAST AT BROOKINGS WHERE A CHETCO EFFECT
IS PROBABLE BY SATURDAY NIGHT. I'VE NUDGED HIGH TEMPERATURES UP IN
BROOKINGS FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, BUT THEY COULD BE MUCH WARMER
DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE OFFSHORE FLOW. -WRIGHT

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...UPDATED 230 PM PDT WEDNESDAY 12 AUGUST 2015...A LOW
WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE TODAY THEN MOVE NEAR THE COAST ON THURSDAY,
BEFORE TO THE NORTHEAST FRIDAY. AHEAD OF THIS LOW, EXPECT LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 15 PERCENT OR LOWER AND STRONG WINDS OF
20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH AGAIN IN THE SHASTA VALLEY.
OBSERVATIONS THUS FAR TODAY IN WEED AND MONTAGUE HAVE REMAINED JUST
AT CRITERIA FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS, SO WILL LET THE RED FLAG
CONTINUE AS IS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

AS THE LOW SHIFTS INTO THE COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
EXPECT BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. EAST OF
THE CASCADES, STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO COMBINE WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO CREATE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. DAYTIME MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL RANGE FROM
10 TO 15 PERCENT, AND WITH SUSTAINED WINDS APPROACHING 25 MPH,
CONDITIONS WILL AT LEAST APPROACH IF NOT SURPASS RED FLAG CRITERIA.
MODELS HAVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY DRIER AND WINDIER ACROSS THE AREA,
PARTICULARLY  IN THE SHASTA VALLEY, THE EAST SIDE, AND OVER THE
CASCADES SOUTH OF MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN. HAVE THEREFORE UPGRADED THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING. MANY OTHER AREAS IN THE
CASCADES AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FOOTHILLS WILL APPROACH
CRITICAL VALUES, BUT ARE NOT FORECAST TO CROSS THEM. OVERALL, IT
WILL BE A DRY AND WINDY DAY FOR A MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA.

ALSO ON THURSDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES AS THE LOW NEARS. EXPECT ISOLATED
CELLS...SO NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NECESSARY.

FINALLY...ONCE THE LOW EXITS OUR AREA LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT...THE THERMAL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO RETURN. THE USUAL CONCERNS
WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE: OFFSHORE FLOW, GUSTY WINDS, AND LOW
HUMIDITIES WITH MODERATE TO POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES. THESE WILL
MAINLY BE FOCUSED ON WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY, CURRY COUNTY, AND
JOSEPHINE COUNTY, BUT THE ENTIRE WEST WIDE SHOULD BE AFFECTED BY
THE THE PATTERN, ESPECIALLY THE RIDGES AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT
WEEK.

WITH SEVERAL DIFFERENT AREAS EXPERIENCING A RANGE OF CONDITIONS OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, MAIN FOCUS WILL BE ON THE MOST PRESSING
EVENTS. FIRE WEATHER USERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT WHILE CONFIDENCE IS
LOW CONCERNING THE THUNDERSTORM FORECAST, CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO
HIGH CONCERNING THE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY EVENTS. STAY TUNED FOR
UPDATES. -BPN

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 13/00Z TAF CYCLE...MARINE LAYER LOW CLOUDS HAVE
PUSHED TO THE BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON, BUT EXPECT MVFR/IFR CIGS TO
RETURN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...PUSHING INTO THE COASTAL VALLEYS
BY SUNRISE. THE MARINE LAYER WON'T BE DEEP ENOUGH TO MAKE IT TO
KRBG, BUT SOME LOW CLOUDS MAY REACH THE LOWER UMPQUA BASIN NEAR
ELKTON. ELSEWHERE, VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF WILDFIRE SMOKE THAT MAY LIMIT VISIBILITIES IN LOCALIZED
AREAS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE FIRES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATER THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. GUSTY WINDS IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM MAY CAUSE
AREAS OF BLOWING DUST OVER THE EAST SIDE AS WELL. SPILDE

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED 200 PM PDT WEDNESDAY 12 AUGUST 2015...LIGHT WINDS
AND LOW SEAS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. MARINE LAYER
CLOUDS MAY YIELD SOME DRIZZLE LATER TONIGHT OR THURSDAY
MORNING...THEN LOW PRESSURE ALOFT COULD BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. A THERMAL TROUGH
WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE COAST FRIDAY NIGHT...AND THEN STRENGTHEN THIS
WEEKEND...BRINGING GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND CHOPPY SEAS TO ALL AREAS.
BUT...GALES AND VERY STEEP HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF CAPE
BLANCO, ESPECIALLY OVER THE OUTER WATERS. WE'LL BE EVALUATING THIS
POTENTIAL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MODEL CYCLES TO SEE IF ANY WATCHES
ARE NECESSARY. SPILDE

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR
     ORZ623-624-625.

CA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR CAZ281.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR CAZ281
     AND CAZ284-285.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...NONE.

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Oregon, 2015Red Flag Warnings in California, 2015Every red flag warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.