Alert archive / Oregon / Red Flag Warnings in 2015

Red Flag Warning 16, NWS Medford, OR

August 1, 2015Harney County, Lake County, Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this red flag warning at Aug 1, 2015, 3:42 AM PDT for Harney County, Lake County, Oregon. It took effect at Aug 2, 2015, 11:00 AM PDT. It was in force for 16 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 1, 2015, 3:42 AM PDT (10:42 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 2, 2015, 11:00 AM PDT
Expired
Aug 3, 2015, 3:04 AM PDT
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR

Counties Harney County, OR, Lake County, OR

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 00:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 263 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 00:00Z on 2015-08-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 72 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 00:00Z on 2015-08-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 2 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
72 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-131 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
4323 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

538 
WWUS86 KMFR 011042
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
342 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

.AN UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE AND CONTINUE TO PUMP MID
LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY OVER OUR AREA THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. THERE WILL BE SEVERAL DISTURBANCES MOVING OVER THE AREA
AS WELL. THE RESULT WILL BE A PERSISTENT THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS.
THE LOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN VERY DRY SO ANY STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
BE DRY AND PRODUCE LITTLE IF ANY RAIN AT THE GROUND. THE GREATEST
THREAT FOR STORMS WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS,
HOWEVER, STORMS MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT IN MANY LOCATIONS.

ORZ621-623-020000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T1800Z-150803T0600Z/
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
342 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM PDT SUNDAY...
...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM PDT SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY HAS BEEN
UPGRADED.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
  MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623 THIS WEEKEND. STORMS MAY
  BECOME ISOLATED AT NIGHT...HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN DRY.

* IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN NUMEROUS NEW STARTS.
  LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH
  GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE
  BEHAVIOR ON EXISTING FIRES AND NEW FIRE STARTS.

* TIMING: THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING THE
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS, HOWEVER, STORMS MAY CONTINUE
  OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND
  623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ622-020000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150803T0600Z/
EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
342 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT SUNDAY...
...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY HAS BEEN
UPGRADED.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
  HIGHER TERRAIN OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 622 THIS WEEKEND WITH
  ISOLATED STORMS OVER THE VALLEYS. WHILE STORMS MAY DECREASE IN
  COVERAGE AT NIGHT, THEY WILL REMAIN DRY.

* IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN NUMEROUS NEW STARTS.
  LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH
  GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE
  BEHAVIOR ON EXISTING FIRES AND NEW FIRE STARTS.

* TIMING: THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING THE
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS, HOWEVER, STORMS MAY CONTINUE
  OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 622.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JACKSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ624-020000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150803T1200Z/
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
342 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM PDT MONDAY...
...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM PDT MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY HAS BEEN
UPGRADED.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
  MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624 THIS WEEKEND. STORMS MAY BECOME
  ISOLATED AT NIGHT...HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN DRY.

* IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN NUMEROUS NEW STARTS.
  LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH
  GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE
  BEHAVIOR ON EXISTING FIRES AND NEW FIRE STARTS.

* TIMING: THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING THE
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS, HOWEVER, STORMS MAY CONTINUE
  OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH...LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

CAZ280-281-284-020000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150803T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-
342 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT SUNDAY...
...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY HAS BEEN
UPGRADED.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
  MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280, 281, AND 284 THIS WEEKEND.
  STORMS MAY BECOME ISOLATED AT NIGHT...HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN
  DRY.

* IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN NUMEROUS NEW STARTS.
  LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH
  GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE
  BEHAVIOR ON EXISTING FIRES AND NEW FIRE STARTS.

* TIMING: THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING THE
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS, HOWEVER, STORMS MAY CONTINUE
  OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280... 281 
  AND 284.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ625-020000-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0016.150802T1800Z-150803T1200Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
342 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM PDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM PDT
MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
  SUNDAY MORNING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY AND BECOME
  SCATTERED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN NUMEROUS NEW STARTS.
  LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH
  GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE
  BEHAVIOR ON EXISTING FIRES AND NEW FIRE STARTS.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 625.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: LAKE AND HARNEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

CAZ285-020000-
/O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/
/O.EXB.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150803T0600Z/
MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
342 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY HAS BEEN
UPGRADED. 

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
  MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285 THIS WEEKEND. STORMS MAY BECOME
  ISOLATED AT NIGHT...HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN DRY.

* IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN NUMEROUS NEW STARTS.
  LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH
  GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE
  BEHAVIOR ON EXISTING FIRES AND NEW FIRE STARTS.

* TIMING: THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING THE
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS, HOWEVER, STORMS MAY CONTINUE
  OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONE....285. 

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: MODOC.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ615>617-619-620-020000-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150803T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-UMPQUA BASIN-UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
342 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT SUNDAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT SUNDAY. 

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE
  POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SCATTERED IN THE MOUNTAINS
  WITH ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VALLEYS.

* IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN NUMEROUS NEW STARTS.
  LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH
  GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE
  BEHAVIOR ON EXISTING FIRES AND NEW FIRE STARTS.

* TIMING: THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING THE
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS, HOWEVER, STORMS MAY CONTINUE
  OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 615... 
  616...617...619 AND 620.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: COOS...CURRY...DOUGLAS...JOSEPHINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

WRIGHT

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
5 follow-up statements
684 
WWUS86 KMFR 012212
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
312 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

.AN UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE AND CONTINUE TO PUMP MID
LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY OVER OUR AREA THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. THERE WILL BE SEVERAL DISTURBANCES MOVING OVER THE AREA AS 
WELL AND THE LOW LEVELS ARE STILL VERY DRY, SO MOST BUT THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE ONLY LIGHT RAIN. ALL OF THIS
WILL RESULT IN A PERSISTENT CHANCE FOR MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS
OVER MUCH OF OUR AREA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. STORMS BECOME WETTER
SUNDAY EVENING AND MONDAY. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR STORMS WILL BE
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...HOWEVER...STORMS MAY
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT IN MANY LOCATIONS.

ORZ621-623-021415-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T0600Z/
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
312 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT SUNDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER 
  MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623 THIS WEEKEND. STORMS MAY 
  BECOME ISOLATED AT NIGHT...HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN DRY.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS... HOWEVER... STORMS MAY 
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ615>617-619-620-622-021415-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-UMPQUA BASIN-UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
312 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT SUNDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER 
  THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 622 THIS WEEKEND WITH 
  ISOLATED STORMS OVER THE VALLEYS. WHILE STORMS MAY DECREASE IN 
  COVERAGE AT NIGHT... THEY WILL REMAIN DRY.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS... HOWEVER... STORMS MAY 
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN  FIRE ZONE....616.
  IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...615...617...619...620...622.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JACKSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ624-021415-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER 
  MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624 THIS WEEKEND. STORMS MAY BECOME 
  ISOLATED AT NIGHT...HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN DRY.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS... HOWEVER... STORMS MAY 
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH...LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

CAZ280-281-284-021415-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-
312 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT SUNDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER 
  MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280... 281... AND 284 THIS WEEKEND. 
  STORMS MAY BECOME ISOLATED AT NIGHT...HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN 
  DRY.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS... HOWEVER... STORMS MAY 
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281 AND 284.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

CAZ285-021415-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T0600Z/
MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
312 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT SUNDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER 
  MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285 THIS WEEKEND. STORMS MAY BECOME 
  ISOLATED AT NIGHT...HOWEVER THEY WILL REMAIN DRY.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS... HOWEVER... STORMS MAY 
  CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: MODOC.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ625-021415-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0016.150802T1800Z-150803T1200Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE
AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
312 PM PDT SAT AUG 1 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 5 AM
PDT MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 
  SUNDAY MORNING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY AND BECOME 
  SCATTERED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 625.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: LAKE AND HARNEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
403 
WWUS86 KMFR 021015
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
315 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

ORZ617-621-623-030000-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
315 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING
  WILL BECOME SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  TONIGHT. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT MOSTLY DRY, THEY WILL
  BECOME WETTER WITH TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY PRODUCE NEW FIRE
  STARTS AND WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON NEW AND EXISTING
  FIRES. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617...621
  AND 623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

CAZ285-030000-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
315 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING
  WILL BECOME SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  TONIGHT. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT MOSTLY DRY, THEY WILL
  BECOME WETTER WITH TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY PRODUCE NEW FIRE
  STARTS AND WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON NEW AND EXISTING
  FIRES. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: MODOC.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ615-616-619-620-622-030000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-UMPQUA BASIN-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-
SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
315 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING
  WILL BECOME SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
  EVENING. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT MOSTLY DRY, THEY WILL
  BECOME WETTER WITH TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY PRODUCE NEW FIRE
  STARTS AND WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON NEW AND EXISTING
  FIRES.

* TIMING AND LOCATIONS: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS AND IN THE
  MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER, STORMS WILL MOVE OUT OVER THE VALLEYS AT
  TIMES.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES... 615... 616...
  619...620...622.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JACKSON, JOSEPHINE, DOUGLAS, CURRY, AND COOS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ624-030000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING
  WILL BECOME SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH
  TONIGHT. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT MOSTLY DRY, THEY WILL
  BECOME WETTER WITH TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY PRODUCE NEW FIRE
  STARTS AND WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON NEW AND EXISTING
  FIRES. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH...LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

CAZ280-281-284-030000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-
315 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING
  WILL BECOME SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THIS
  EVENING. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT MOSTLY DRY, THEY WILL
  BECOME WETTER WITH TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY PRODUCE NEW FIRE
  STARTS AND WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON NEW AND EXISTING
  FIRES. 

* TIMING AND LOCATIONS: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS AND IN THE
  MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER, STORMS WILL MOVE OUT OVER THE VALLEYS AT
  TIMES.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281
  AND 284.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ625-030000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0016.150802T1800Z-150803T1200Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE
AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
315 AM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
5 AM PDT MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
  DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING...THEN BECOME SCATTERED THIS
  AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT DRY,
  THEY WILL BECOME WETTER WITH TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY PRODUCE NEW FIRE
  STARTS AND WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON NEW AND EXISTING
  FIRES.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 625.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: LAKE AND HARNEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
141 
WWUS86 KMFR 022214
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
314 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

ORZ617-623-031015-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0017.150803T2100Z-150804T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
314 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
  SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE
  STORMS WILL START OUT MOSTLY DRY...THEY WILL BECOME WETTER WITH
  TIME. SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH SCATTERED
  THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617 AND 623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE
NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD
ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ624-031015-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0017.150803T2100Z-150804T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
  SCATTERED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.
  WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT MOSTLY DRY...THEY WILL BECOME
  WETTER WITH TIME. SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH
  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH...LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE
NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD
ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ625-031015-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0017.150803T2100Z-150804T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE
AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
314 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
  SCATTERED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. WHILE STORMS
  WILL START OUT DRY...THEY WILL BECOME WETTER WITH TIME. SKIES
  WILL CLEAR EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
  DEVELOPING AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 625.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: LAKE AND HARNEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE
NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD
ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ621-031015-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-
314 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING 
  WILL BECOME SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH 
  TONIGHT. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT MOSTLY DRY... THEY WILL 
  BECOME WETTER WITH TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 621.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ615-616-619-620-622-030600-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-UMPQUA BASIN-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-
SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
314 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
  SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
  WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT MOSTLY DRY...THEY WILL BECOME
  WETTER WITH TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* TIMING AND LOCATIONS: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS 
  WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS AND IN THE 
  MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER... STORMS WILL MOVE OUT OVER THE VALLEYS AT 
  TIMES.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN  FIRE ZONE....616.
  IN SOUTHWEST OR FIRE ZONES...615...619...620...622.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JACKSON... JOSEPHINE... DOUGLAS... CURRY...
AND COOS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

CAZ280-281-284-030600-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-
314 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
  SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. WHILE
  STORMS WILL START OUT MOSTLY DRY...THEY WILL BECOME WETTER WITH
  TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* TIMING AND LOCATIONS: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS 
  WILL BE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS AND IN THE 
  MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER... STORMS WILL MOVE OUT OVER THE VALLEYS AT 
  TIMES.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281 AND 284.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

CAZ285-031015-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
314 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
  SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE
  STORMS WILL START OUT MOSTLY DRY...THEY WILL BECOME WETTER WITH
  TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR. 

* TIMING: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
  IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: MODOC.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
978 
WWUS86 KMFR 030203
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
703 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

CAZ280-281-284-ORZ615-616-619-620-622-030315-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY-
SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT
SHASTA-SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-UMPQUA BASIN-
WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST-
WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY-
EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-
703 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

* AFFECTED AREA: FIRE WEATHER ZONES 281...622...284...615...
  616...280...620 AND 619 

$$

ORZ617-623-031415-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.150803T2100Z-150804T0600Z/
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
703 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT
   MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT
  MOSTLY DRY...THEY WILL BECOME WETTER WITH TIME. SKIES WILL CLEAR
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
  AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR.

* TIMING: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617 AND 
  623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE
NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS
COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ624-031415-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.150803T2100Z-150804T0600Z/
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
703 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT
  MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT
  MOSTLY DRY...THEY WILL BECOME WETTER WITH TIME. SKIES WILL CLEAR
  EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
  AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR.

* TIMING: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624. 

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH...LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE
NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS
COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ625-031415-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.150803T2100Z-150804T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN
LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
703 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT
   MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CONTINUE TONIGHT. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT DRY...THEY WILL
  BECOME WETTER WITH TIME. SKIES WILL CLEAR EARLY MONDAY MORNING
  WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 625. 

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: LAKE AND HARNEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE
NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS
COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

ORZ621-031200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-
703 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT
  MOSTLY DRY...THEY WILL BECOME WETTER WITH TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR.

* TIMING: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 621. 

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

CAZ285-031200-
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
703 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY...

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE STORMS WILL START OUT
  MOSTLY DRY...THEY WILL BECOME WETTER WITH TIME.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR.

* TIMING: THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DURING 
  THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285. 

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: MODOC.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$


VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
081 
WWUS86 KMFR 031004
RFWMFR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
304 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

ORZ625-040000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0016.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.150803T2100Z-150804T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE
AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES-
304 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS MORNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR THIS MORNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY LEAD TO NEW FIRE
  STARTS AND WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON NEW AND EXISTING
  FIRES.

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 625.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: LAKE AND HARNEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ624-040000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.150803T2100Z-150804T0600Z/
KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST-
304 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS MORNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR THIS MORNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY LEAD TO NEW FIRE
  STARTS AND WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON NEW AND EXISTING
  FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH...LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ617-623-040000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0017.150803T2100Z-150804T0600Z/
UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
304 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS MORNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR THIS MORNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY LEAD TO NEW FIRE
  STARTS AND WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON NEW AND EXISTING
  FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 617 AND
  623.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS...JACKSON...AND KLAMATH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

ORZ621-040000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KMFR.FW.W.0017.150803T2100Z-150804T0600Z/
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-
304 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS MORNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING FOR THIS MORNING. A NEW RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
AND IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
  THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY LEAD TO NEW FIRE
  STARTS AND WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON NEW AND EXISTING
  FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 621.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...AND SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

CAZ285-031115-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0015.000000T0000Z-150803T1200Z/
MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY-
304 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING.

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS MORNING AND THUS THE RED FLAG
WARNING IS CANCELLED. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BUT THEY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED
OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

$$

CAZ280-040000-
/O.EXA.KMFR.FW.W.0017.150803T2100Z-150804T0600Z/
WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-
304 AM PDT MON AUG 3 2015

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM
PDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT
THIS EVENING.

* THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
  OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND
  CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

* IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY LEAD TO NEW FIRE
  STARTS AND WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR ON NEW AND EXISTING
  FIRES. 

* AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 280.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE
OCCURRING OR IMMINENT.

&&

$$

VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jul 31, 8:10 PM PDT, 7 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 8:10 PM PDT, 7 hours 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
810 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...01/00Z NAM IN.

A FAIRLY TYPICAL THUNDERSTORM PATTERN IS IN PLACE OVER THE MEDFORD
CWA WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT ADVECTING MONSOONAL MOISTURE INTO
THE AREA. THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED FRIDAY AFTERNOON...MOSTLY OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND IN OREGON FROM THE
CASCADES EAST. THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY DRY OR MOSTLY DRY...AS THE
REPORTED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE VERY LIGHT AND SPOTTY. IN
ADDITION...TWO FIRES IN DOUGLAS COUNTY BECAME PLUME- DRIVEN DUE TO
THE HOT AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS.

THE OTHER STORY IS THE HEAT...MEDFORD PEAKED AT A TOASTY 109F
TODAY...WHICH BROKE THE RECORD FOR TODAY.

THE NEXT CONCERN IS A SHORT WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW
NOW OVER SISKIYOU AND MODOC COUNTIES. THIS SHORT WAVE IS
SUPPORTING A LINE OF CONVECTION WHICH MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT AS IT MOVES INTO OREGON. THE WAVE WILL WEAKEN AS IT COMES
THROUGH THOUGH...AND WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN OREGON SATURDAY
MORNING. ONCE AGAIN...THE MAIN CONCERN IS DRY LIGHTNING.

THE HOT TEMPERATURES AND AFTERNOON/EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FRIDAY WAS LIKELY THE HOTTEST DAY
OVER THE AREA AND A COOLING TREND WILL COMMENCE SATURDAY...BUT IT
WILL STILL BE QUITE HOT WITH THE FORECAST HIGHS FOR MEDFORD 104F
FOR SATURDAY AND 97F FOR SUNDAY.

CONVECTION ON SATURDAY WILL BE DUE TO SURFACE HEATING AS THERE
WILL NOT BE ANY SHORT WAVES OR DEFORMATION ZONES AROUND TO SUPPORT
UPPER LEVEL INSTABILITY OR DIFLUENCE. EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SISKIYOU COUNTY AND THE
CASCADES.

SUNDAY WILL BE A DIFFERENT STORY THOUGH...AS SHORT WAVES WILL MOVE
OVER THE EAST SIDE DURING MAXIMUM SURFACE HEATING. EXPECT
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THAT AREA AT THAT TIME.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION FROM THE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AFD...MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN AND
SHIFT EAST MONDAY. AS IT BREAKS DOWN...THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT
DECREASES IN SW OREGON BUT REMAINS FOR NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
EAST OF THE CASCADES INTO TUESDAY. LATER IN THE WEEK...THE UPPER
FLOW TURNS SOUTHWEST AND TAKES THE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE TO THE
EAST OF THE AREA. THE SOLUTIONS FROM THE GFS AND EC MODELS HAVE
SOME DIFFERENCES FROM MIDWEEK ON. THE GFS PUTS THE AREA UNDER A
VERY WEAK FLOW BETWEEN A CUTOFF LOW WEST OF 130W AND A SHORTWAVE
IN BRITISH COLUMBIA. THE EC HAS A MORE SUBSTANTIAL LOW ALONG THE
PACNW COAST. THE END RESULT IS PRETTY SIMILAR...COOLER DRY
WEATHER.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 01/00Z TAF CYCLE...TWO MAIN CONCERNS EXIST.
FIRST, ARE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES....NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA AND PORTIONS EAST OF THE CASCADES WITH POSSIBLE GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS UNTIL 4-5Z. SECOND, IS REDUCED VISIBILITY FROM TWO
WILDFIRES IN DOUGLAS COUNTY, WHICH COULD BRING MVFR VISIBILITIES IN
HAZE AND SMOKE EAST OF INTERSTATE 5 IN DOUGLAS COUNTY AND ROGUE
VALLEY INCLUDING MEDFORD THROUGH TONIGHT. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ALONG THE
COAST WHERE MARINE STRATUS WILL RE DEVELOP RESULTING IN IFR CIGS
BETWEEN 5-7Z. -PETRUCELLI

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED 245 PM PDT FRIDAY 31 JULY 2015...A THERMAL TROUGH
NEAR THE COAST WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MODERATE TO STRONG NORTH WINDS
AND CHOPPY WIND-DRIVEN SEAS REACHING ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THIS
EVENING. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW BORDERLINE SMALL CRAFT FOR
WINDS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY FOR THE OUTER WATERS, BUT SUSPECT IT MAY
BE OVERDONE. FOR NOW WE'LL GO WITH THE IDEA OF WINDS AND SEAS
LOWERING TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY GIVEN THE THERMAL TROUGH IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN AND MOVE INLAND. WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
LOWER THIS WEEKEND...BUT WILL REMAIN MODERATE THROUGH NEXT
WEEK...WITH A POSSIBLE RETURN TO ADVISORY CONDITIONS IN THE SOUTHERN
OUTER WATERS AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY. -PETRUCELLI

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...UPDATED 800 PM PDT FRIDAY 31 JULY 2015...RED FLAG
WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HAINES 6 ON EXISTING FIRES FOR BOTH
THE CABLE CROSSING FIRE (FIRE WX ZONES 616) AND THE STOUTS FIRE
(STRADDLING THE BORDER OF 616/617). ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ALSO PROMPTED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE EASTERN
PORTION OF ZONE 617.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER A MUCH WIDER AREA
SATURDAY, OWING TO INCREASING MOISTURE, INSTABILITY, AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF A GOOD TRIGGER ARRIVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT. STORMS WILL LIKELY START OFF DRY AND THEN TEND TO GET
WETTER THROUGH THE EVENING, ESPECIALLY OVER CALIFORNIA. RED FLAG
WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED OVER MUCH OF OUR FORECAST AREA TO
HIGHLIGHT THIS POTENTIAL. IT IS NOTEWORTHY THAT SOME GUIDANCE
SHOWS THESE STORMS CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE
WEST SIDE OREGON ZONES...AND FIRE WEATHER WATCHES ARE ALSO IN
EFFECT FOR SUNDAY.

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
        ORZ621-623>625.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR ORZ624.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
        NIGHT FOR ORZ621>625.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR
        ORZ615>617-619-620-622.
     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ORZ616.
     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR ORZ023.
     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 500 FEET FOR
        FOR ORZ617.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR
        ORZ621-623.
     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR ORZ024-026.

CA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
        CAZ280-281-284-285.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY
        NIGHT FOR CAZ280-281-284-285.
     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR
        CAZ280-281-284.
     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR CAZ080-081.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 11 PM PDT
        THIS EVENING FOR PZZ356-370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS
        EVENING FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.

15/15/15

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 31, 8:16 PM PDTSpecial Weather StatementMFRKlamath29 min

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Oregon, 2015Every red flag warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.