Alert archive / Oregon / Red Flag Warnings in 2015
Red Flag Warning 14, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this red flag warning at Jul 29, 2015, 2:14 PM PDT for 8 counties in Oregon; Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California. It took effect at Jul 30, 2015, 11:00 AM PDT. It was in force for 34 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 29, 2015, 2:14 PM PDT (21:14 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jul 30, 2015, 11:00 AM PDT
- Expired
- Jul 31, 2015, 9:00 PM PDT
- In force
- 34 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Coos County, OR, Douglas County, OR, Harney County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR, Lane County, OR
The radar
The Medford radar (KMAX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 70 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2213 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 9 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -45 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -10 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
508 WWUS86 KMFR 292114 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 214 PM PDT WED JUL 29 2015 CAZ280-ORZ618>620-292215- /O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150729T2100Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST-SOUTHERN OREGON COAST- WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- 214 PM PDT WED JUL 29 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...BUT WINDS WILL NOT MEET CRITERIA. $$ ORZ616-301200- /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0014.150730T1800Z-150731T0300Z/ UMPQUA BASIN- 214 PM PDT WED JUL 29 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM PDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM PDT THURSDAY. * HAINES INDEX: 6 (HIGH). * IMPACTS: HIGH LEVEL HAINES INDEX OF 6 IS CONDUCIVE TO PLUME DOMINATED FIRE. * AFFECTED AREA: IN AND AROUND THE CABLE CROSSING FIRE IN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: NORTH CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY. * HUMIDITY: AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WILDFIRE CREWS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF PLUME DOMINATED FIRE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. && $$ SK VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
9 follow-up statements
460 WWUS86 KMFR 301235 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 535 AM PDT THU JUL 30 2015 ORZ616-310245- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.150730T1800Z-150731T0300Z/ UMPQUA BASIN- 535 AM PDT THU JUL 30 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR A HAINES INDEX OF 6 OVER THE CABLE CROSSING WILDFIRE IN OREGON FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616... * HAINES INDEX: 6 (HIGH). * IMPACTS: HIGH LEVEL HAINES INDEX OF 6 IS CONDUCIVE TO PLUME DOMINATED FIRE. * AFFECTED AREA: IN AND AROUND THE CABLE CROSSING FIRE IN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: NORTH CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY. * HUMIDITY: AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WILDFIRE CREWS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF PLUME DOMINATED FIRE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
178 WWUS86 KMFR 302216 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 316 PM PDT THU JUL 30 2015 ORZ616-311115- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ UMPQUA BASIN- 316 PM PDT THU JUL 30 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR A HAINES INDEX OF 6 OVER THE CABLE CROSSING WILDFIRE IN OREGON FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616... ... * HAINES INDEX: 6 (HIGH). * IMPACTS: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY- GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. * AFFECTED AREA: IN AND AROUND THE CABLE CROSSING FIRE IN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: NORTH CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM OF 10-15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WILDFIRE CREWS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF PLUME DOMINATED FIRE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. && $$ ORZ619>623-311115- /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150731T2200Z-150802T0600Z/ WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 316 PM PDT THU JUL 30 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR POSSIBLE DRY LIGHTNING ON VERY DRY FUELS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: ANY DRY LIGHTNING COMBINED WITH HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. GUSTY THUNDERSTORM WINDS COULD CONTRIBUTE TO FIRE SPREAD. INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES COULD BE OVERWHELMED AND HOLDOVER FIRES ARE POSSIBLE. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 619...620...621...622 AND 623. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ STAVISH VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
114 WWUS86 KMFR 302323 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 423 PM PDT THU JUL 30 2015 ORZ616-311130- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ UMPQUA BASIN- 423 PM PDT THU JUL 30 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT FRIDAY FOR A HAINES INDEX OF 6 OVER THE CABLE CROSSING WILDFIRE IN OREGON FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616... ... * HAINES INDEX: 6 (HIGH). * IMPACTS: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY- GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. * AFFECTED AREA: IN AND AROUND THE CABLE CROSSING FIRE AND THE STOUTS FIRE IN FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: NORTH CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY. * HUMIDITY: MINIMUM OF 10-15 PERCENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WILDFIRE CREWS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF PLUME DOMINATED FIRE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. && $$ ORZ619>623-311130- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150731T2200Z-150802T0600Z/ WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 423 PM PDT THU JUL 30 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR POSSIBLE DRY LIGHTNING ON VERY DRY FUELS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: ANY DRY LIGHTNING COMBINED WITH HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL LIKELY RESULT IN NEW FIRE STARTS. GUSTY THUNDERSTORM WINDS COULD CONTRIBUTE TO FIRE SPREAD. INITIAL ATTACK RESOURCES COULD BE OVERWHELMED AND HOLDOVER FIRES ARE POSSIBLE. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 619...620...621...622 AND 623. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
040 WWUS86 KMFR 311043 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 343 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ORZ617-010000- /O.EXB.KMFR.FW.W.0014.150731T2100Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST- 343 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR HAINES INDEX 6 OVER THE STOUTS FIRE... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR POSSIBLE DRY LIGHTNING ON VERY DRY FUELS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED AND IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR HIGH HAINES OVER EXISTING FIRES REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM. * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY- GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * IMPACTS FROM THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY MAY PRODUCE NEW STARTS. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: STOUTS. * AREA AFFECTED BY DRY THUNDERSTORMS: EASTERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ621-623-010000- /O.EXB.KMFR.FW.W.0014.150731T1800Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T1800Z-150802T0600Z/ SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 343 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER VERY DRY FUELS... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER VERY DRY FUELS... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED AND IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: INCREASING DRY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND MAY CAUSE NEW STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ616-010000- /O.EXB.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ UMPQUA BASIN- 343 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR HAINES INDEX 6 OVER THE CABLE CROSSING FIRE... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR POSSIBLE DRY LIGHTNING ON VERY DRY FUELS... THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR HIGH HAINES OVER EXISTING FIRES REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR POSSIBLE DRY LIGHTNING ON VERY DRY FUELS WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: CABLE CROSSING. * FIRE WEATHER ZONES AFFECTED: EASTERN PORTION OF 616. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ615-010000- /O.EXB.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST- 343 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER VERY DRY FUELS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW WINDS MAY CAUSE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 615. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: COOS AND DOUGLAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ624-010000- /O.EXB.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- 343 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER VERY DRY FUELS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW WINDS MAY CAUSE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...THE WESTERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624...MAINLY IN FOOTHILLS OF THE CASCADES. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ280-281-284-010000- /O.EXB.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA- 343 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER VERY DRY FUELS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW WINDS MAY CAUSE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281 AND 284. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ619-620-622-010000- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ WESTERN ROGUE RIVER-SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 343 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR ISOLATED TO DRY THUNDERSTORMS ON VERY DRY FUELS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... ...THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED... * THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO THE CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS TODAY. HOWEVER, ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SCATTERED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VALLEYS. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW WINDS MAY CAUSE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 619...620 AND 622. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ WRIGHT VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
618 WWUS86 KMFR 311705 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1005 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ORZ624-010515- /O.EXA.KMFR.FW.W.0014.150731T1800Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- 1005 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN SOUTHWEST PORTIONS...AND ALSO POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH. * WIND: NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. STRONG GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ280-281-284-010515- /O.EXA.KMFR.FW.W.0014.150731T1800Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA- 1005 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND ALSO POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281 AND 284. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU. * WIND: NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. STRONG GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ CAZ282-285-010515- /O.EXA.KMFR.FW.W.0014.150731T1800Z-150801T0600Z/ SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY- MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- 1005 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 282 AND 285. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * WIND: SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. STRONG GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ621-623-010515- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.150731T1800Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T1800Z-150802T0600Z/ SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 1005 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ616-010515- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ UMPQUA BASIN- 1005 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: CABLE CROSSING. * FIRE WEATHER ZONES AFFECTED: EASTERN PORTION OF 616. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ617-010515- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.150731T2100Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST- 1005 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY- GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * IMPACTS FROM THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY MAY PRODUCE NEW STARTS. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: STOUTS. * AREA AFFECTED BY DRY THUNDERSTORMS: EASTERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ615-619-620-622-010515- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 1005 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING... * THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO THE CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS TODAY. HOWEVER... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SCATTERED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VALLEYS. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 615...619...620 AND 622. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
662 WWUS86 KMFR 312203 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 303 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 CAZ282-312315- /O.CAN.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ SHASTA-TRINITY NATIONAL FOREST IN SISKIYOU COUNTY- 303 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THIS AREA...HOWEVER...FUELS ARE NOT YET RECEPTIVE IN THIS ZONE. $$ ORZ621-623-011015- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T1800Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T1800Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 303 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623 TODAY AND SATURDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * THUNDERSTORMS: PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ624-011015- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- 303 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN SOUTHWEST PORTIONS...AND ALSO FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH. * WIND: NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ280-281-284-011015- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA- 303 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND ALSO FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281 AND 284. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU. * WIND: WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ617-011015- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST- 303 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY- GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * IMPACTS FROM THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY MAY PRODUCE NEW STARTS. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: STOUTS. * AREA AFFECTED BY DRY THUNDERSTORMS: EASTERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617. * THUNDERSTORMS: PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. && $$ ORZ616-011015- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ UMPQUA BASIN- 303 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR A HAINES OF 6 ON EXISTING FIRES... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: CABLE CROSSING. * FIRE WEATHER ZONES AFFECTED: EASTERN PORTION OF 616. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616. * THUNDERSTORMS: PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. && $$ ORZ622-011015- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 303 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO THE CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS TODAY. HOWEVER...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SCATTERED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VALLEYS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH THE EVENING. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 622. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ615-619-620-011015- /O.UPG.KMFR.FW.A.0009.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- 303 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO THE CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS TODAY. HOWEVER...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SCATTERED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VALLEYS. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 615...619 AND 620. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ ORZ625-011015- /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ /O.EXA.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 303 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN SOUTHWEST PORTIONS...AND ALSO LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 625. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH. * WIND: WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ285-011015- /O.NEW.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- 303 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS: INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * WIND: SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
720 WWUS86 KMFR 312233 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 333 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ORZ621-623-011400- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T1800Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 333 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623 TODAY AND SATURDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * THUNDERSTORMS: PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ624-011400- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- 333 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN SOUTHWEST PORTIONS...AND ALSO FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH. * WIND: NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ280-281-284-011400- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA- 333 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND ALSO FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281 AND 284. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU. * WIND: WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ617-011400- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST- 333 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY- GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * IMPACTS FROM THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY MAY PRODUCE NEW STARTS. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: STOUTS. * AREA AFFECTED BY DRY THUNDERSTORMS: EASTERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617. * THUNDERSTORMS: PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. && $$ ORZ616-011400- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ UMPQUA BASIN- 333 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: CABLE CROSSING. * FIRE WEATHER ZONES AFFECTED: EASTERN PORTION OF 616. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * FIRE WEATHER WATCH INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616. * THUNDERSTORMS: PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. && $$ CAZ285-ORZ625-011400- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 333 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN SOUTHWEST PORTIONS...AND ALSO LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONE....285. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONE....625. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH. * WIND: WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ622-011400- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 333 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO THE CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS TODAY. HOWEVER...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SCATTERED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VALLEYS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH THE EVENING. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 622. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ615-619-620-011400- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- 333 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... * THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO THE CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS TODAY. HOWEVER...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SCATTERED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VALLEYS. * IMPACTS: DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 615...619 AND 620. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
097 WWUS86 KMFR 010205 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 705 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ORZ621-623-011415- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T1800Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 705 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU. * RED FLAG WARNING INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623 THIS EVENING AND SATURDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ624-011415- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- 705 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING IN SOUTHWEST PORTIONS...AND ALSO FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH. * WIND: NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ280-281-284-011415- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA- 705 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...AND ALSO FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281 AND 284. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU. * WIND: WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ617-011415- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST- 705 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY-GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * IMPACTS FROM THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY MAY PRODUCE NEW STARTS. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: STOUTS. * AREA AFFECTED BY DRY THUNDERSTORMS: EASTERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * RED FLAG WARNING INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617. * THUNDERSTORMS: PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. && $$ ORZ616-011415- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ UMPQUA BASIN- 705 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: CABLE CROSSING. * FIRE WEATHER ZONES AFFECTED: EASTERN PORTION OF 616. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * RED FLAG WARNING INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. && $$ CAZ285-ORZ625-011415- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 705 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING IN SOUTHWEST PORTIONS...AND ALSO LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONE....285. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONE....625. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH. * WIND: WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ622-011415- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 705 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO THE CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SCATTERED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VALLEYS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH THE EVENING. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 622. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ615-619-620-011415- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- 705 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SCATTERED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VALLEYS. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 615...619 AND 620. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
002 WWUS86 KMFR 010355 RFWMFR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 855 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ORZ616-011600- /O.EXP.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ UMPQUA BASIN- 855 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: CABLE CROSSING. * FIRE WEATHER ZONES AFFECTED: EASTERN PORTION OF 616. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * RED FLAG WARNING INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 616. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. && $$ ORZ621-623-011600- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T1800Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES- 855 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: JOSEPHINE...JACKSON...KLAMATH...SISKIYOU. * RED FLAG WARNING INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONES 621 AND 623 SATURDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ624-011600- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ KLAMATH BASIN AND THE FREMONT-WINEMA NATIONAL FOREST- 855 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHWEST PORTIONS LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 624. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH. * WIND: NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ CAZ280-281-284-011600- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ WESTERN KLAMATH NATIONAL FOREST- CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY INCLUDING SHASTA VALLEY- SISKIYOU COUNTY FROM THE CASCADE MOUNTAINS EAST AND SOUTH TO MT SHASTA- 855 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 280...281 AND 284. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: SISKIYOU. * WIND: WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ617-011600- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ UMPQUA NATIONAL FOREST- 855 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... * IMPACTS TO EXISTING FIRES: VERY DRY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR. PLUME DOMINATION IS POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY-GENERATED ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS. SPOTTING COULD BE A PROBLEM. IN ADDITION...STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES MAY AFFECT ONGOING FIRES. * IMPACTS FROM THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY MAY PRODUCE NEW STARTS. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR. * ONGOING FIRES AFFECTED BY HAINES 6: STOUTS. * AREA AFFECTED BY DRY THUNDERSTORMS: EASTERN PORTION OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: DOUGLAS. * RED FLAG WARNING INFORMATION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617 ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WILL BE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 617...INCLUDING THE STOUTS FIRE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. && $$ CAZ285-ORZ625-011600- /O.EXT.KMFR.FW.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150801T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ MODOC COUNTY EXCEPT FOR THE SURPRISE VALLEY- SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON DESERT INCLUDING THE BLM LAND IN EASTERN LAKE AND WESTERN HARNEY COUNTIES- 855 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN NORTHERN CA FIRE ZONE....285. IN SOUTH CENTRAL OR FIRE ZONE....625. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: KLAMATH. * WIND: WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ622-011600- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.FW.A.0010.150802T2100Z-150803T0800Z/ EASTERN ROGUE VALLEY- 855 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SCATTERED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VALLEYS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH THE EVENING. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 622. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ ORZ615-619-620-011600- /O.CON.KMFR.FW.W.0015.150801T2100Z-150802T0600Z/ SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-WESTERN ROGUE RIVER- SISKIYOU NATIONAL FOREST- WESTERN ROGUE BASIN INCLUDING THE ILLINOIS VALLEY- 855 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY... * THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SCATTERED IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH ISOLATED STORMS IN THE VALLEYS. * IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS...AND INCREASING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. * AFFECTED AREA: IN SOUTHWEST OR...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 615...619 AND 620. * COUNTIES AFFECTED: CURRY...JOSEPHINE...JACKSON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT EXTREME FIRE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON EXISTING VERY DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE NUMEROUS NEW FIRE IGNITIONS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS COULD ALSO CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. && $$ VISIT US AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jul 29, 9:10 AM PDT, 5 hours 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 9:10 AM PDT, 5 hours 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
910 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015
.DISCUSSION...TODAY IS THE START OF THE MULTI-DAY HEAT EVENT AS
HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO CLIMB TO AROUND 105 FOR THE
ROGUE VALLEY. AT THE COAST THE THERMAL TROUGH CONTINUES WITH
OFFSHORE FLOW THROUGH THIS MORNING. AS A RESULT THE MORNING LOW AT
BROOKINGS WAS 86. EXPECT ANOTHER VERY WARM DAY AT BROOKINGS WITH
HIGHS NEAR 100.
WE ARE STILL CONCERNED WITH THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THIS COMING
WEEKEND. MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING MID LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD.
OUR INITIAL THOUGHT IS THAT FRIDAY WILL BE THE FIRST DAY FOR ANY
THUNDERSTORM BUT THE LATEST 12Z MODEL RUN MOVES THE MOISTURE
OFFSHORE JUST AS IT WAS APPROACHING SOUTHERN SISKIYOU COUNTY.
THEREFORE ANY STORM THAT FORMS WILL LIKELY BE JUST ISOLATED IN
NATURE AT THIS POINT FOR FRIDAY. /FB
&&
.AVIATION...FOR THE 29/12Z TAF CYCLE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GUSTY NORTH WINDS
WILL STRENGTHEN AGAIN ALONG THE COAST WITH GUSTS UP OF 25 TO 30 KT
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
&&
.MARINE...UPDATED 200 AM PDT WEDNESDAY 29 JULY 2015...A STRONG
THERMAL TROUGH NEAR THE COAST WILL KEEP AREAS OF STRONG NORTH WINDS
AND STEEP TO VERY STEEP SEAS OVER THE WATERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...WHEN IT WILL MOVE INLAND. STRONG NORTH WINDS
AND HEAVY WIND-DRIVEN SEAS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER LATE WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. AREAS OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS
MAY CONTINUE INTO THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A WEAK THERMAL
TROUGH GRADIENT REDEVELOPS ALONG THE COAST.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...UPDATED 200 AM PDT WEDNESDAY 29 JULY 2015...A
STRONG SURFACE THERMAL TROUGH NEAR THE COAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. FORECAST TRENDS GENERALLY SHOW 10 TO 20 PERCENT
LOWER HUMIDITIES WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE RED FLAG WARNING AREAS
COMPARED TO TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS SHOW VERY DRY
AIR INTRUDING INTO THE UMPQUA PORTION OF THE CASCADES AS
WELL...ALTHOUGH EASTERLY WINDS THERE ARE NOT AS STRONG AS WHAT IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE GAPS THROUGH THE CASCADES. RED FLAG WARNINGS
REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN OREGON THROUGH 2 PM
WEDNESDAY DUE TO LINGERING GUSTY WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES IN
THAT AREA...UNTIL WINDS WEAKEN LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
VERY HOT CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP INLAND WEDNESDAY...AND THE HOT
TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND. ALSO EXPECT WARMER THAN
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG THE COAST WEDNESDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AS EARLY AS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. MODELS SHOW A WEAK SHORT WAVE MOVING SOUTH TO NORTH OVER
THE FORECAST AREA LATE FRIDAY...ENHANCING THE CHANCES OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LONG RANGE GUIDANCE SHOWS INCREASING MOISTURE IN THE
700 TO 500 MB LAYER...AND THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE WEEKEND. ANY LIGHTNING THAT OCCURS LATE THIS WEEK OR THIS
WEEKEND WILL BE ACCOMPANYING OR FOLLOWING AN EXTREMELY HOT AND
DRY WEATHER PATTERN...AND THUS COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 249 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015/
DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. AT THE SURFACE, STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW REMAINS
IN PLACE AND LAST HOURS BROOKINGS WAS STILL 87 DEGREES AFTER
REACHING A HIGH OF 101 TUESDAY. TODAY, TEMPERATURES WILL EASILY
GET INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS IN THE WESTSIDE VALLEYS WEDNESDAY INTO
NEXT WEEKEND. MEANWHILE THE CHETCO EFFECT WILL CONTINUE AND
BROOKINGS COULD FLIRT WITH TRIPLE DIGITS AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THE
THERMAL TROUGH WILL SHIFT INLAND IN THE AFTERNOONS TODAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AND THESE WILL BE THE DAYS WHERE WE EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO
PEAK OUT FOR WEST SIDE VALLEYS. AS THE THERMAL TROUGH SHIFTS
INLAND, WEAK ONSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP AND THE SOUTH COAST FROM
GOLD BEACH TO BROOKINGS SHOULD END UP MUCH COOLER ON THURSDAY, BUT
STILL ABOVE NORMAL.
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH THURSDAY, THEN THE MODELS SHOW
INCREASING MONSOONAL MOISTURE MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTH INTO THE
CENTRAL CAL THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THEN MOVING INTO OUR AREA FRIDAY.
THE MODELS SUGGEST THE MOST ACTIVE DAY IN TERMS OF THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING. THEY ALL SHOW A
STRONGER SHORTWAVE MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTH ALONG THE OREGON COAST
DURING THE TIME OF MAX HEATING WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH OF A
TRIGGER FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP. THE TIMING AND TRACK OF THE SHORTWAVE
SUGGEST THE MOST FAVORABLE AREAS FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP WILL BE WEST
OF THE CASCADES.
BASED ON CURRENT DATA, THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
TO BE FRIDAY, THEN CONFIDENCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW FOR NEXT
WEEKEND. MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS PRESENT, BUT THE GFS OR EC DON'T
SHOW MUCH IF ANY TRIGGER AND THE UPPER FLOW STARTS TO SHIFT TO THE
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. -PETRUCELLI
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 2 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ORZ618>620.
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR ORZ022.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR
ORZ023.
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR ORZ617.
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR ORZ621>623.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR
ORZ024-026.
CA... RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 11 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR CAZ280.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM PDT SATURDAY FOR
CAZ080-081.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
PZZ350-356-370-376.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 11 PM PDT THURSDAY
FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR PZZ376.
FJB/JRS/NSKThe office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 3:06 PM PDT | Hazardous Seas Warning | MFR | 11 hr | |
| Jul 29, 3:06 PM PDT | Small Craft Advisory for Winds | MFR | 11 hr | |
| Jul 29, 3:06 PM PDT | Small Craft Advisory for Hazardous Seas | MFR | 20 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Oregon, 2015Red Flag Warnings in California, 2015Every red flag warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.