Alert archive / New Mexico / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 29, 2015Eddy County, New Mexico

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Jun 29, 2015, 5:39 PM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 29, 2015, 5:39 PM MDT (23:39 UTC)
Expired: Jun 29, 2015, 6:15 PM MDT
In force: 36 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Eddy County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 194 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 29, 5:26 PM MDT, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 29, 5:26 PM MDT, 13 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
626 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED STORMS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH ACROSS SE NM... HAVE
INCLUDED TEMP TSRA AT CNM AND HOB BUT REMOVED IT FROM MAF AS NOT
CONFIDENT WILL MAKE IT TO THERE. WIND ERRATIC AND GUSTY NEAR ANY
STORM OTHERWISE IT WILL BE LIGHT SE TONIGHT AND GENERALLY VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 155 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...

NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION TODAY BETWEEN AN
UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER UTAH AND AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MIDWEST.
EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE SEASONAL UNDER THIS REGIME...BOTH HIGHS
AND LOWS...BUT THERE WILL ALSO BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  LOW
LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN...ALONG WITH SURFACE
DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S...SHOULD ALLOW FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED CONVECTION
THIS AFTERNOON DURING MAX HEATING.  THERE ARE ALSO A COUPLE OF LOW
LEVEL BOUNDARIES WHICH WERE NOTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
DRIFTING SOUTH/SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE
WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...SO WILL ADD ISOLATED CONVECTION FOR
LOCATIONS WHERE THESE BOUNDARIES MAY RESIDE THROUGH MAX HEATING.
SHEAR WILL BE WEAK AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MOIST ABIABATIC...SO
TEMP/DWPT SPREADS AROUND 30 DEGREES MAY RESULT IN GUSTY WINDS FROM
A FEW OF THE STORMS.  ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO FORM
ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO...IF NOT ON THE
CAPROCK IN SE NM...WITH A DISORGANIZED CLUSTER OF STORMS POSSIBLY
PUSHING SOUTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.  SINCE THERE DOES
APPEAR TO BE A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH/SHEAR AXIS TRANSLATING
SOUTHWARD THROUGH COLORADO AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO PROVIDE MID
LEVEL SUPPORT...AND A MODEST H3 JET OF 60KT NOSING INTO THE
AREA...WILL CONTINUE WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...BUT
MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.  SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED...BUT OUTFLOW WINDS OF 30 TO 40KT WILL BE POSSIBLE.

IT APPEARS THE UPPER RIDGE WILL EXPAND A BIT FARTHER EAST TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY...SO RAIN CHANCES ARE NOT LOOKING VERY GOOD...WITH
PERHAPS ISOLATED CONVECTION OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  ON
THURSDAY...THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY
TRANSLATE SOUTHEASTWARD OVER NEW MEXICO AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.  IF
THIS IS THE CASE...WE MAY SEE A REPEAT OF TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER
CLUSTER OF DISORGANIZED STORMS MOVING SOUTHWARD INTO THE FORECAST
AREA.  WILL KEEP A CHANCE IN THE FORECAST...BUT NOT INCREASE POPS
TOO MUCH DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF FICKLE SUMMER FEATURES IN
MAINLY WEAK FLOW ALOFT.  RAIN CHANCES...ALTHOUGH NOT GREAT...WILL
BE KEPT IN THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF WEST TEXAS...AND OVER SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO DUE TO THE
PROXIMITY TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE NEAR
NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 29, 12:27 PM MDT, 5 hours 12 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
127 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-301830-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
127 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...THE
PERMIAN BASIN...THE TRANS PECOS SOUTHWESTWARD TO VAN HORN AND THE
PRESIDIO VALLEY. GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE THE
MAIN THREATS WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 29, 4:15 PM MDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
415 PM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

NMZ029-292300-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY NM-
415 PM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY UNTIL 500
PM MDT...

AT 414 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES NORTH OF GLADIOLA...OR 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF TATUM...MOVING
SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TATUM...GLADIOLA...MCDONALD...CROSSROADS AND TATUM AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3355 10308 3337 10310 3339 10306 3304 10307
      3305 10351 3357 10333
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 346DEG 11KT 3340 10313

12

Special weather statement, Jun 29, 5:39 PM MDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
539 PM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

NMZ028-033-300015-
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS NM-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY NM-
539 PM MDT MON JUN 29 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL EDDY AND SOUTHWESTERN LEA
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM MDT...

AT 539 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES NORTHEAST OF AVALON...OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF CARLSBAD
NORTH...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CARLSBAD...CARLSBAD NORTH...LOVING...LAKE AVALON...AVALON...CAVERN
CITY AIR TERMINAL...OTIS...BRANTLEY LAKE STATE PARK...MALAGA...SALT
LAKE AND LIVING DESERT STATE PARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3279 10403 3257 10380 3214 10414 3249 10446
      3275 10428
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 054DEG 9KT 3256 10408

12

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 29, 4:15 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Yoakum	45 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New Mexico, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.