Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 14, 2015Winkler County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Jun 14, 2015, 7:39 PM CDT for Winkler County, Texas. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 14, 2015, 7:39 PM CDT (00:39 UTC)
Expired
Jun 14, 2015, 8:15 PM CDT
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Winkler County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 651 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -18 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
651 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-98 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2097 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 14, 6:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 6:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
621 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2015

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
Short term concerns include potential for TSRA at HOB/PEQ/INK/FST
and have included TEMPO there thru 03Z-04Z to cover current radar
trends of storms slowly advancing e. Otherwise toward 08Z-09Z MVFR
CIGS are expected to develop and have included at all but CNM
until 15Z-16Z. More storms will be possible late Monday PM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 404 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2015/

UPDATE...
Sent a quick update for Severe Thunderstorm Watch #300 for
southeast New Mexico and northwest portions of the Permian Basin
through 11pm CDT/10pm MDT tonight.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 241 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2015/

DISCUSSION...

A weak low pressure system will slowly drift east into the plains
with a trailing shortwave rotating around the backside of that low
will cross the region today bringing chances of showers and
thunderstorms for parts of SE New Mexico and the northern Permian
Basin. A lee trough will allow southeast winds to keep good
moisture in place. Instability and deep layer shear is less than
it has been the last couple of days, but mid level rates remain
slightly above 7.0 C/km. This will keep a possibility for at least
some isolated severe storms today with hail, damaging winds and
localized flash flooding. Initiation will be off the higher terrain of
NM and parts of the Upper Trans Pecos with the help of daytime
heating and the approaching shortwave. Additional development
will occur in the Davis Mountains aided similarly by upslope flow
and daytime heating. The Lower Trans Pecos and northern Permian
Basin will be the focus into the evening hours as storms will
potentially grow upscale as they move east. Any potential for severe
weather will likely diminish with the loss of heating, but the
threat for some localized flash flooding will be remain with
Precipitable Water values of 1.25 to 1.50 inches.

A weak front will push through the Texas Panhandle tomorrow afternoon.
Believe it will stay north of the forecast area holding off rain
chances until later in the day.  The trend towards weaker upper
level flow will keep severe chances down heading into the early part
of the week.  A trough axis does remain across the region, which
will be enough to keep some chances of precipitation across West
Texas and SE New Mexico through Tuesday.  Rain chances will decrease
through the end of the week as the upper low moves off to the east
and an upper ridge begins to build in from the west.

A return to the mid to upper 90s for the majority of locations looks
likely as the ridge builds in by next weekend. There are indications
there could be some disturbances that will rotate around the ridge
in northerly flow aloft, but do not have much confidence in
keeping very high precip chances that far out. Will have to keep
an eye on the track of the tropical system in the gulf and the
potential for moisture to reach the area from Hurricane Carlos in
the Eastern Pacific to see how it may effect rain chances for our region.

Arnold

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 1:57 PM CDT, 5 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
157 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-151900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
157 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015 /1257 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE GREATER THREAT WILL BE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF GUSTY WINDS
SMALL HAIL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THE GREATER CONCERN
HOWEVER WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 14, 5:33 PM CDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
533 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

NMZ028-033-034-142300-
SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
433 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING EAST CENTRAL EDDY AND WEST CENTRAL LEA COUNTIES UNTIL 500
PM MDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 13 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF LOCO HILLS AT 433 PM MDT...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3287 10360 3226 10369 3248 10427 3283 10418
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 283DEG 26KT 3265 10407
Special weather statement, Jun 14, 6:04 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
604 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

TXZ058-059-142345-
LOVING-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
604 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON...NORTHWESTERN LOVING AND
NORTHWESTERN REEVES COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH UP TO PENNY SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS
TO 50 MPH WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF ORLA AT 603 PM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN CULBERSON...NORTHWESTERN LOVING AND
NORTHWESTERN REEVES COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION
CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3200 10424 3200 10391 3158 10378 3169 10427
      3191 10430
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 255DEG 14KT 3184 10402

05
Special weather statement, Jun 14, 6:57 PM CDT, 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
657 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

TXZ058>060-067-075-150100-
LOVING-PECOS-WARD-WINKLER-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
657 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
EASTERN REEVES...LOVING...NORTHWESTERN PECOS...WARD AND WESTERN
WINKLER COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

A LINE OF SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED FROM 20 MILES
WEST OF KERMIT TO 30 MILES WEST OF FORT STOCKTON AT 655 PM CDT...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT STRETCHES
OF INTERSTATE 20 WEST OF MONAHANS AND INTERSTATE 10 WEST OF FORT
STOCKTON THROUGH 8 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...HEAVY RAIN...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3200 10320 3152 10279 3064 10296 3077 10349
      3130 10334 3198 10377
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 235DEG 11KT 3200 10358 3140 10321
          3079 10338

05
Special weather statement, Jun 14, 7:03 PM CDT, 36 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
703 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

NMZ033-034-TXZ045-050-059-060-150030-
GAINES-LOVING-WINKLER-ANDREWS-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-
603 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING NORTHEASTERN LOVING...NORTHWESTERN WINKLER...SOUTHEASTERN
LEA...SOUTHWESTERN GAINES AND WESTERN ANDREWS COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM
MDT/730 PM CDT/...

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED
FROM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MONUMENT TO 23 MILES WEST OF JAL AT 603 PM
MDT/703 PM CDT/...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
SUNDAY EVENING/1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING/ FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
AND WEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3278 10302 3199 10303 3198 10372 3277 10342
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 276DEG 11KT 3265 10331 3204 10356
Special weather statement, Jun 14, 7:21 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
721 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

TXZ081-150045-
BIG BEND AREA-
721 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55
MPH WINDS AFFECTING CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH UP TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 50 MPH WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PERSIMMON GAP AT 721 PM
CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 2986 10324 2973 10294 2953 10316 2963 10335
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 206DEG 13KT 2963 10320

05
Special weather statement, Jun 14, 7:39 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
739 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

NMZ034-TXZ050-059>061-150115-
ECTOR-LOVING-WINKLER-ANDREWS-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-
739 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING NORTHEASTERN LOVING...NORTHERN WINKLER...NORTHWESTERN
ECTOR...SOUTHEASTERN LEA AND SOUTHWESTERN ANDREWS COUNTIES UNTIL 815
PM CDT/715 PM MDT/...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 3 MILES
NORTHEAST OF JAL AT 739 PM CDT/639 PM MDT/...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
SUNDAY EVENING/1000 PM MDT SUNDAY EVENING/ FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
AND WEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3241 10296 3239 10264 3190 10280 3201 10342
      3239 10334
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 273DEG 33KT 3215 10316

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 7:21 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBrewster24 min
Jun 14, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFWard, Winkler47 min
Jun 14, 7:43 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFGaines2 hr
Jun 14, 7:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos, Ward, Winkler30 min
Jun 14, 7:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFGaines36 min
Jun 14, 8:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFAndrews, Ector, Pecos23 min
Jun 14, 8:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFGaines30 min
Jun 14, 8:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFGaines2 hr
Jun 14, 8:51 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFAndrews, Brewster, Crane, Ector, Pecos54 min
Jun 14, 9:19 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFEctor116 min
Jun 14, 9:30 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFAndrews2 hr
Jun 14, 9:49 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFMidland116 min
Jun 15, 12:45 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFCrane, Pecos, Reagan, Terrell, Upton3 hr
Jun 15, 1:41 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFReagan4 hr
Jun 15, 5:32 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFReagan3 hr
Jun 14, 7:03 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFLea27 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.