Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 120, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 19, 2015Reagan County, Upton County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 19, 2015, 1:09 AM CDT for Reagan County, Upton County, Texas. It was in force for 66 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 19, 2015, 1:09 AM CDT (06:09 UTC)
Expired: May 19, 2015, 2:15 AM CDT
In force: 66 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 80.0 mph

Counties Reagan County, TX, Upton County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 634 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2129 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 19, 12:49 AM CDT, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 12:49 AM CDT, 20 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1249 AM CDT Tue May 19 2015

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Showers and thunderstorms continue tonight, and while the bulk of
activity has shifted east of area terminals, high-resolution
guidance indicates the potential for additional development across
SE NM late tonight which would move east across northern portions
of the area, impacting KPEQ, KINK, and KMAF toward daybreak. Have
included TEMPOs to account for associated SHRA/TSRA, and will
continue to monitor tonight. Other concern is for low-end MVFR/IFR
fog and low ceiling development late tonight lasting through
early Tuesday morning. Any low ceilings that develop should
gradually improve to VFR by late Tuesday morning. Otherwise,
breezy southerly to southeasterly winds will continue through the
forecast period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1038 PM CDT Mon May 18 2015/

UPDATE...

Have updated the forecast to drop mention of the severe
thunderstorm watch.

DISCUSSION...

Convection has waned a bit over the Permian Basin but
redevelopment is expected as warm upglide gins up further storms.
With all the outflow boundaries around, it's hard to say where,
but the southern portions of the Basin stand to get the best shot
of precip overnight. Heavy rainfall is still indicated, and a
flash flood watch remains in effect until Tuesday afternoon for
the upper Trans Pecos, Permian Basin, and western Low Rolling
Plains portions of west Texas, and all of southeastern New Mexico.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Tuesday morning FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Central Lea County...Eddy County Plains...Northern
     Lea County...Southern Lea County.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through this afternoon FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Andrews...Borden...Crane...Dawson...Ector...
     Gaines...Glasscock...Howard...Loving...Martin...Midland...
     Mitchell...Reagan...Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos...
     Scurry...Upton...Ward...Winkler.

&&

84/72

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Hazardous weather outlook, May 18, 2:45 PM CDT, 10 hours 24 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
245 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-191945-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
245 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015 /145 PM MDT MON MAY 18 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. THE
MAIN THREATS INCLUDE VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL ALTHOUGH THE POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO OR TWO IS ALSO
POSSIBLE.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT MAINLY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...UPPER TRANS PECOS AND PERMIAN BASIN
REGIONS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN AND A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BE STRONG TO
SEVERE WITH HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 18, 8:32 PM CDT, 4 hours 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
832 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0828 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GRANDFALLS              31.34N 102.85W
05/18/2015                   WARD               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WINDS CAUSED A 20 FOOT TREE TO SPLIT IN HALF.

&&

MSCHULDT

Local storm report, May 18, 8:46 PM CDT, 4 hours 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
846 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0841 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S COYANOSA            31.21N 103.07W
05/18/2015                   PECOS              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL CARS WERE SWEPT OFF THE ROAD.

&&

MSCHULDT

Local storm report, May 18, 8:47 PM CDT, 4 hours 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
847 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0841 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S COYANOSA            31.21N 103.07W
05/18/2015                   PECOS              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            POWERLINES WERE DOWN AND THERE WERE HAIL DRIFTS.

&&

MSCHULDT

Special weather statement, May 18, 9:08 PM CDT, 4 hours 1 minute before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
908 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

TXZ061-062-069-190300-
ECTOR-MIDLAND-UPTON-
908 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
MIDLAND...NORTHERN UPTON AND SOUTHEASTERN ECTOR COUNTIES UNTIL 1000
PM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 18 MILES WEST OF MIDKIFF AT 908 PM
CDT...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO REACH MIDLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3202 10233 3206 10181 3155 10180 3156 10230
TIME...MOT...LOC 0208Z 176DEG 20KT 3166 10215

Local storm report, May 18, 11:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1151 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1147 PM     HAIL             MCCAMEY                 31.13N 102.22W
05/18/2015  M1.75 INCH       UPTON              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JP

Special weather statement, May 19, 12:47 AM CDT, 22 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1247 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

TXZ062-063-069-070-190645-
GLASSCOCK-MIDLAND-REAGAN-UPTON-
1247 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS
AFFECTING GLASSCOCK...REAGAN...SOUTHEASTERN MIDLAND AND UPTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 145 AM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED 4 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF RANKIN AT 1247 AM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3115 10136 3108 10194 3108 10213 3166 10217
      3204 10180 3205 10131
TIME...MOT...LOC 0547Z 255DEG 22KT 3119 10196

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 18, 7:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Reeves, Ward	45 min
May 18, 7:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Yoakum	47 min
May 18, 7:42 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Pecos	33 min
May 18, 8:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reagan	30 min
May 18, 8:08 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Pecos	3 hr
May 18, 8:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Reeves, Ward	48 min
May 18, 8:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	22 min
May 18, 8:25 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Pecos, Reeves, Ward	4 hr
May 18, 8:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Upton	47 min
May 18, 8:37 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Reeves, Ward	3 hr
May 18, 9:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Reeves, Ward	44 min
May 18, 9:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	52 min
May 18, 10:32 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Ector	3 hr
May 18, 10:40 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Upton	3 hr
May 18, 10:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Upton	48 min
May 18, 10:59 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Reeves, Ward, Winkler	10 hr
May 18, 11:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Upton	65 min
May 18, 11:48 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Crane, Upton	3 hr
May 19, 12:02 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Glasscock, Martin, Midland	3 hr
May 19, 12:35 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	40 min
May 19, 12:47 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Glasscock, Midland, Reagan, Upton	58 min
May 19, 1:18 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Midland	3 hr
May 19, 1:48 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Glasscock, Reagan	57 min
May 19, 7:23 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson	52 min
May 19, 7:36 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Dawson	24 min
May 19, 10:49 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	MAF	Pecos, Reeves, Ward	20 hr
May 19, 3:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Upton	45 min
May 19, 3:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Crane	51 min
May 19, 3:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Upton	61 min
May 19, 3:36 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Pecos	39 min
May 19, 3:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Upton	51 min
May 19, 4:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos	55 min
May 19, 4:12 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Pecos	33 min
May 19, 4:44 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Pecos	46 min
May 19, 5:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Terrell	64 min
May 19, 5:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson	56 min
May 19, 5:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	62 min
May 19, 5:28 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	47 min
May 19, 6:12 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	48 min
May 19, 6:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	63 min
May 19, 6:30 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.