High Wind Watch 8, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

527 
WWUS74 KMAF 250841
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
341 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE GUADALUPE PASS OF WEST TEXAS TONIGHT
THROUGH MID THURSDAY MORNING... 

.A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. BEHIND
THIS FRONT STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FUNNEL THROUGH
THE GUADALUPE PASS OF WEST TEXAS.

TXZ258-252000-
/O.UPG.KMAF.HW.A.0008.150326T0400Z-150326T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.HW.W.0010.150326T0400Z-150326T1500Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
241 AM MDT WED MAR 25 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
MDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
MDT THURSDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* EVENT...HIGH WIND.

* TIMING...FROM 10 PM MDT TODAY THROUGH 9 AM MDT THURSDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THIS WIND COULD MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT FOR MOTORISTS 
  DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS CAMPERS...VANS AND 
  TRACTOR TRAILERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1228 PM CDT Tue Mar 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR with mostly clear skies. W to NW wind this afternoon will come
around to the S/SW by this evening. A few TAF sites near a surface
trough may be a little gusty this afternoon.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 408 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Current upper air analysis shows a relatively broad jet stream
over the southern United States. This zonal flow will continue today
and tomorrow keeping temperatures above normal. The flow will
amplify late Wednesday with the development of a west coast
ridge/central U.S. trough couplet. This will send a cold front
through the area early Thursday bringing temperatures back down
below normal, even if only briefly. There may be an initial shot
of windy conditions immediately behind the front which could
approach advisory levels, but models are showing these winds will
quickly diminish and thus do not anticipate the need for an
advisory at this time. West winds ahead of the cold front
will push dry air across much of the area and cause the
development of a weak dryline in the far eastern Permian Basin.
The greatest convergence and moisture will be along and east of
the intersection of the dryline and cold front which is where the
highest rain chances were placed Wednesday night.

The upper ridge will broaden as it slowly moves east leaving west
Texas in northwesterly upper flow and a slow warming trend through
the weekend. Early next week could get interesting again, not so
much because of a weak front in the area on Monday, but mostly due
to another upper low approaching from the west. Both the ECMWF and
GFS show this feature moving into Arizona on Monday though the
trajectory of the ECMWF has it dropping southeast out of northern
California while the GFS has a more easterly movement from
southern California and northern Mexico. The GFS solution would be
wetter as it brings better lift across southern New Mexico and
West Texas so PoPs will largely depend on which model solution
proves correct. Currently there is too much uncertainty to go
higher than slight chance PoPs.

Hennig

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
347 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2015

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-250900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
347 AM CDT TUE MAR 24 2015 /247 AM MDT TUE MAR 24 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

COULD SEE BRIEF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS TODAY. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

INCREASED WINDS WEDNESDAY AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...THE SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND POTENTIALLY PORTIONS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND