Severe Thunderstorm Warning 236, NWS Little Rock, AR

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
803 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
803 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO ARKANSAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE
HEAVIEST OF THIS PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE OZARK
MOUNTAINS...WHERE AMOUNTS COULD EXCEED FOUR INCHES IN PLACES.

ALL OF THIS LIQUID IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM
BILL. THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK FROM SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS THROUGH DAWN FRIDAY.

IF THE EXPECTED RAINFALL MATERIALIZES...A MAJOR FLASH FLOOD EVENT
COULD UNFOLD. POSSIBLE LIFE THREATENING HIGH WATER PROBLEMS MAY
AFFECT ROADS...HOMES AND BUSINESSES.

RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THIS WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY...
AND BE READY TO REACT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS.

GIVEN THE CIRCULATION AROUND BILL...THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF A
BRIEF WEAK TORNADO OR TWO ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...ESPECIALLY IF
THERE ARE BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER AND SOME HEATING OCCURS. THIS
WILL MAKE THE ATMOSPHERE MORE UNSTABLE AND DEVELOPING STORMS
STRONGER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE REMNANTS OF BILL WILL CONTINUE MOVING FROM NORTHERN ARKANSAS
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. SURROUNDING THE
SYSTEM...AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM LITTLE ROCK
NORTHWARD. PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST MAY RECEIVE AMOUNTS OVER TWO
INCHES. FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN A BIG CONCERN.

ONCE AGAIN...THERE WILL BE AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED WEAK
TORNADO OR TWO IN THE NORTHEAST...ESPECIALLY IF THERE IS ENOUGH
HEATING.

FOLLOWING ALL OF THE RAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
COUNTIES...RIVERS WILL BE ON THE RISE. ARKANSANS ALONG AREA
TRIBUTARIES ARE ASKED TO MONITOR THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS.
TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS BASED ON EXPECTED WATER LEVELS.

AFTER BILL DEPARTS THIS WEEKEND...THE RAIN WILL MOSTLY SHUT OFF. DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND TEMPERATURES WILL
BE ABOVE NORMAL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WHILE SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE SPOTTY THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED GIVEN THE SMALL POSSIBILITY OF
BRIEF TORNADOES SURROUNDING THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BILL.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV AND
CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

55/46

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1137 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

ARZ040-181655-
POLK AR-
1137 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN POLK COUNTY UNTIL NOON
CDT...

AT 1137 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR COSSATOT RIVER STATE PARK...OR 15 MILES
SOUTH OF MENA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SHADY...              OPAL...
  COSSATOT RIVER STATE PARK...                NUNLEY...
  INK...                CHERRY HILL...        BOARD CAMP...

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN!

LAT...LON 3469 9410 3458 9394 3434 9422 3435 9425
      3439 9430
TIME...MOT...LOC 1637Z 217DEG 36KT 3439 9423

44