Alert archive / Virginia / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015
Flash Flood Warning 44, NWS Baltimore/Washington
NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this flash flood warning at Jul 13, 2015, 11:58 AM EDT for Culpeper County, Orange County, Virginia. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 13, 2015, 11:58 AM EDT (15:58 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 13, 2015, 3:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Baltimore/Washington
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Culpeper County, VA, Orange County, VA
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 377 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -41 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 669 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 131 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 119 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 13, 9:38 AM EDT, 2 hours 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 9:38 AM EDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
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</html>Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 6:18 AM EDT, 5 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 618 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015 ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016>018-508-VAZ052>057-141000- CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD- CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD- TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA- PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR- CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY- CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER- PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD- TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH ISLAND-DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES- ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-SOUTHEAST HARFORD- PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA- KING GEORGE- 618 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY SOUTH. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE THE PRIMARY THREAT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO CONTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL...AND THIS COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND URBAN AREAS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MDZ003>006-501>507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501>508-WVZ050>053- 055-501>506-141000- WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE- EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY- NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MONTGOMERY- NORTHWEST HOWARD-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-NORTHWEST HARFORD- AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE- NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-ORANGE-CULPEPER- NORTHERN FAUQUIER-SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-WESTERN HIGHLAND- EASTERN HIGHLAND-WESTERN LOUDOUN-EASTERN LOUDOUN- NORTHERN VA BLUE RIDGE-CENTRAL VA BLUE RIDGE-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN- BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-HARDY-WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT- WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-WESTERN PENDLETON- EASTERN PENDLETON- 618 AM EDT MON JUL 13 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARYLAND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GARRETT COUNTY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL THAT COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND URBAN AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY SOUTH. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE THE PRIMARY THREAT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO CONTAIN HEAVY RAINFALL...AND THIS COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND URBAN AREAS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 13, 9:37 AM EDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Jul 13, 9:46 AM EDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Jul 13, 9:52 AM EDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Jul 13, 10:10 AM EDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Jul 13, 10:11 AM EDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Jul 13, 10:16 AM EDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 5:35 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Page, Shenandoah, Warren | 6 hr |
| Jul 13, 6:44 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Fauquier, Rappahannock, Warren | 3 hr |
| Jul 13, 9:36 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Rappahannock, Warren | 12 hr |
| Jul 13, 10:38 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Culpeper | 3 hr |
| Jul 13, 11:27 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | Page, Shenandoah, Warren | 19 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.