Alert archive / Texas / Winter Storm Warnings in 2015
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Lubbock, TX
NWS Lubbock, TX issued this winter storm warning at Jan 21, 2015, 6:01 AM CST for 16 counties in Texas. It took effect at Jan 21, 2015, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 19 hr. 14 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 21, 2015, 6:01 AM CST (12:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 21, 2015, 6:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Jan 22, 2015, 12:32 PM CST
- In force
- 19 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Lubbock, TX
Counties Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 8:07 PM CST | SNOW 2 | Farwell, TX | TWO INCHES ON GROUND. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED IN PARMER COUNTY. |
| Jan 21, 10:50 PM CST | SNOW 1 | Littlefield, TX | |
| Jan 21, 10:50 PM CST | SNOW 2 | Muleshoe, TX | |
| Jan 21, 10:50 PM CST | SNOW 4 | Dimmitt, TX | 3-4 INCHES OF SNOW IN DIMMITT |
| Jan 21, 10:50 PM CST | SNOW 4 | Farwell, TX | 3-4 INCHES OF SNOW IN FARWELL |
| Jan 22, 8:00 AM CST | SNOW 5.5 | 1 E Plainview, TX | MEASURED AT PLAINVIEW DAILY HERALD. |
| Jan 22, 8:00 AM CST | SNOW 6 | Tulia, TX | |
| Jan 22, 9:00 AM CST | SNOW 4 | 9 Nw Mackenzie Reservoi, TX | MEASURED IN VIGO PARK. |
| Jan 22, 9:00 AM CST | SNOW 4 | Silverton, TX | |
| Jan 22, 11:00 AM CST | SNOW 4 | Caprock Canyon St. Park, TX | |
| Jan 22, 11:00 AM CST | SNOW 4 | Muleshoe, TX | |
| Jan 22, 12:00 PM CST | SNOW 4 | Levelland, TX | |
| Jan 22, 12:00 PM CST | SNOW 4.5 | Olton, TX | |
| Jan 22, 12:00 PM CST | SNOW 6 | 1 Wnw Plainview, TX | PLAINVIEW WATER TREATMENT PLANT. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1156 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 66 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -48 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 146 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
311 WWUS44 KLUB 211201 WSWLUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 601 AM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE SOUTH PLAINS REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY... .A PAIR OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL JOIN FORCES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES LATE TODAY BEFORE STEERING SOUTHEAST ACROSS WEST TEXAS LATE THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY. IN ADVANCE OF THIS STRENGTHENING STORM SYSTEM...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BLOSSOM OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWESTERN SOUTH PLAINS THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND QUICKLY TRANSITION TO SNOW THIS EVENING. HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR AT TIMES. CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE THAT SNOW TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL OCCUR...WITH EMBEDDED HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS...WHERE 6 TO 8 INCHES OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE. TXZ021-022-027-212015- /O.UPG.KLUB.WS.A.0002.150122T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KLUB.WS.W.0002.150122T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-BAILEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...DIMMITT...HART... MULESHOE 601 AM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. * TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEGIN BY 6 PM THIS EVENING WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL STARING SHORTLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY. SNOWFALL WILL THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * SNOWFALL...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY 6 TO 8 INCHES FAVORED IN THE FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO THE NORTHWESTERN SOUTH PLAINS. * MAIN IMPACT...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY MAKING FOR TREACHEROUS TRAVEL. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES WILL ALSO RESULT IN RAPID ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOWFALL ON ROAD SURFACES MAKING SOME MINOR ROADS IMPASSABLE. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ TXZ042-212015- /O.EXA.KLUB.WS.A.0002.150122T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ GARZA- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...POST 601 AM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING BEFORE MIDNIGHT WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AROUND SUNRISE. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * SNOWFALL...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 6 INCHES. * MAIN IMPACT...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY MAKING FOR TREACHEROUS TRAVEL. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW TO SERIOUSLY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATED INFORMATION. && $$ TXZ023-024-028>030-033>036-039>041-212015- /O.CON.KLUB.WS.A.0002.150122T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ SWISHER-BRISCOE-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE... LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY...MORTON... LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...SLATON...WOLFFORTH...CROSBYTON...RALLS... PLAINS...DENVER CITY...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA...ODONNELL 601 AM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... * TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEGIN THIS EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN SOUTH PLAINS AND SPREAD SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CAPROCK INTO THE ROLLING PLAINS. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL THEN TAPER OFF THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * SNOWFALL...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH 6 INCHES OR MORE FAVORED IN THE FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE. * MAIN IMPACT...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY MAKING FOR TREACHEROUS TRAVEL. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS MAY RESULT IN RAPID ACCUMULATION ON MINOR ROADWAYS MAKING SOME OF THESE ROADS NOT PASSABLE. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW TO SERIOUSLY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATED INFORMATION. && $$ JORDAN
4 follow-up statements
024 WWUS44 KLUB 212053 WSWLUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 253 PM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER STORM SET TO AFFECT THE SOUTH PLAINS REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .A STRONG STORM SYSTEM TAKING SHAPE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. PRECIPITATION HAS ALREADY FORMED ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AS THE STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN BUT AS TEMPERATURES COOL OVERNIGHT THE RAIN WILL EVENTUALLY CHANGEOVER TO SNOW...FIRST ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN PANHANDLE...AND LAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOWFALL FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...PARTICULARLY ON THE CAPROCK...IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SNOW TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. TXZ023-024-028>030-033>036-039>042-220600- /O.UPG.KLUB.WS.A.0002.150122T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KLUB.WS.W.0002.150122T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ SWISHER-BRISCOE-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULIA...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE... LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...FLOYDADA...LOCKNEY...MORTON... LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...SLATON...WOLFFORTH...CROSBYTON...RALLS... PLAINS...DENVER CITY...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA...ODONNELL...POST 253 PM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOW BEGINNING THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THE EARLY MORNING HOURS THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL WILL THEN TAPER OFF THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * SNOWFALL...AVERAGING 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * MAIN IMPACT...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY MAKING FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SOUTH PLAINS MAY RESULT IN RAPID ACCUMULATION ON MINOR ROADWAYS. SOME ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ TXZ021-022-027-220600- /O.CON.KLUB.WS.W.0002.150122T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-BAILEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...DIMMITT...HART... MULESHOE 253 PM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... * TIMING...ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER 6 PM THIS EVENING WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL STARING SHORTLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL THEN GRADUALLY TAPER OFF THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * SNOWFALL...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES. * MAIN IMPACT...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY MAKING FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES WILL ALSO RESULT IN RAPID ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOWFALL ON ROAD SURFACES MAKING SOME MINOR ROADS IMPASSABLE. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ TXZ025-026-031-032-037-038-043-044-220600- /O.NEW.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.150122T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ HALL-CHILDRESS-MOTLEY-COTTLE-DICKENS-KING-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEMPHIS...TURKEY...CHILDRESS... MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...DICKENS...SPUR...GUTHRIE... JAYTON...ASPERMONT 253 PM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. * TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGEOVER TO SNOW BY MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE AND ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS BEFORE SUNRISE THURSDAY. SNOWFALL RATES WILL DECREASE BY LATE IN THE DAY THURSDAY. * SNOWFALL...1 TO 3 INCHES. * MAIN IMPACT...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND ICY MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES COULD RESULT IN QUICK ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOWFALL ON ROAD SURFACES MAKING SOME MINOR ROADS IMPASSABLE. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
018 WWUS44 KLUB 220529 WSWLUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1129 PM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER STORM MOVING INTO THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS REGION... .A STRONG STORM SYSTEM TAKING SHAPE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOW AMOUNTS WILL FALL ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE... WHILE LESSER TOTALS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE THROUGHOUT THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL AMOUNT TO 6 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ARE NOW EXPECTED FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. TXZ024-028>030-033>036-039>042-221400- /O.CAN.KLUB.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ BRISCOE-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-YOAKUM- TERRY-LYNN-GARZA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...LITTLEFIELD... OLTON...PLAINVIEW...CEDAR HILL...MORTON...LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK... RALLS...CROSBYTON...LORENZO...DENVER CITY...PLAINS...BROWNFIELD... TAHOKA...O'DONNELL...GRAHAM...POST 1129 PM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS...EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE...AND ROLLING PLAINS. SNOW WILL DECREASE BY LATE THURSDAY. * SNOWFALL...1 TO 4 INCHES. * MAIN IMPACT...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND ICY MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES COULD RESULT IN QUICK ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOWFALL ON ROAD SURFACES MAKING SOME MINOR ROADS IMPASSABLE. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ TXZ021>023-027-221400- /O.CON.KLUB.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BAILEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...DIMMITT... HART...TULIA...MULESHOE 1129 PM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... * TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE THURSDAY. * SNOWFALL...GENERALLY 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS OF 8 INCHES OR MORE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. * MAIN IMPACT...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY MAKING FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES WILL ALSO RESULT IN RAPID ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOWFALL ON ROAD SURFACES MAKING SOME MINOR ROADS IMPASSABLE. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ TXZ025-026-031-032-037-038-043-044-221400- /O.CON.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ HALL-CHILDRESS-MOTLEY-COTTLE-DICKENS-KING-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEMPHIS...CHILDRESS...MATADOR... ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...HACKBERRY...SPUR...DICKENS...DUMONT... FINNEY...GROW...GUTHRIE...JAYTON...ASPERMONT 1129 PM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... * TIMING...RAIN WILL CHANGEOVER TO SNOW EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE...AND ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS BEFORE SUNRISE THURSDAY. SNOWFALL RATES WILL DECREASE BY LATE IN THE DAY THURSDAY. * SNOWFALL...1 TO 3 INCHES. * MAIN IMPACT...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND ICY MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES COULD RESULT IN QUICK ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOWFALL ON ROAD SURFACES MAKING SOME MINOR ROADS IMPASSABLE. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
715 WWUS44 KLUB 221351 WSWLUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 751 AM CST THU JAN 22 2015 ...WINTER STORM CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS REGION... .A STRONG STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW AMOUNTS WILL FALL ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE... WHILE LESSER TOTALS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE THROUGHOUT THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. PERIODS OF MODERATE SNOW WILL AMOUNT TO 6 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS OVER THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. ONE TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. TXZ021>023-027-222200- /O.CON.KLUB.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BAILEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...DIMMITT... HART...TULIA...MULESHOE 751 AM CST THU JAN 22 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW...MODERATE AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE TONIGHT. * SNOWFALL...GENERALLY 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS OF 8 INCHES OR MORE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. * MAIN IMPACT...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW PACKED AND ICY MAKING FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES WILL ALSO RESULT IN RAPID ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOWFALL ON ROAD SURFACES MAKING SOME MINOR ROADS IMPASSABLE. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ TXZ024>026-028>044-222200- /O.CON.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-LAMB-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN- HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT- STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MEMPHIS... CHILDRESS...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...PLAINVIEW...CEDAR HILL... MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...HACKBERRY...MORTON... LEVELLAND...LUBBOCK...RALLS...CROSBYTON...LORENZO...SPUR... DICKENS...DUMONT...FINNEY...GROW...GUTHRIE...DENVER CITY... PLAINS...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA...O'DONNELL...GRAHAM...POST... JAYTON...ASPERMONT 751 AM CST THU JAN 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS...EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE... AND ROLLING PLAINS. SNOW WILL DECREASE BY LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. * SNOWFALL...1 TO 4 INCHES. * MAIN IMPACT...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND ICY MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL. LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES COULD RESULT IN QUICK ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOWFALL ON ROAD SURFACES MAKING SOME MINOR ROADS IMPASSABLE. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ JORDAN
792 WWUS44 KLUB 221832 WSWLUB URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1232 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015 ...WINTER STORM CONTINUES TO IMPACT THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS REGION... .A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS IT DOES...IT WILL LOSE INFLUENCE OVER THE SOUTH PLAINS AREA WITH SNOWFALL COMING TO AN END GENERALLY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. SOME ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 1 INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS. TXZ021-022-027-230600- /O.CAN.KLUB.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ PARMER-CASTRO-BAILEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRIONA...BOVINA...FARWELL...DIMMITT... HART...MULESHOE 1232 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * TIMING...PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. * SNOWFALL...UP TO 1 INCH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. * MAIN IMPACT...ROADS MAY BE HAZARDOUS OR IMPASSABLE DUE TO SNOW. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ TXZ023-221945- /O.CAN.KLUB.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ SWISHER- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TULIA 1232 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER STORM WARNING. SOME VERY LIGHT SNOW MAY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...BUT LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. $$ TXZ024>026-029>032-035>038-043-044-221945- /O.CAN.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-HALE-FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-LUBBOCK-CROSBY- DICKENS-KING-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SILVERTON...QUITAQUE...MEMPHIS... CHILDRESS...PLAINVIEW...CEDAR HILL...MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS... PADUCAH...HACKBERRY...LUBBOCK...RALLS...CROSBYTON...LORENZO... SPUR...DICKENS...DUMONT...FINNEY...GROW...GUTHRIE...JAYTON... ASPERMONT 1232 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. SOME VERY LIGHT SNOW MAY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON...BUT LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. $$ TXZ028-033-034-039>042-230600- /O.CON.KLUB.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150123T0600Z/ LAMB-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LITTLEFIELD...OLTON...MORTON... LEVELLAND...DENVER CITY...PLAINS...BROWNFIELD...TAHOKA... O'DONNELL...GRAHAM...POST 1232 PM CST THU JAN 22 2015 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * TIMING...PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. * SNOWFALL...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION UP TO 1 INCH. * MAIN IMPACT...ROADS MAY BE HAZARDOUS OR IMPASSABLE DUE TO SNOW. * OTHER IMPACTS...SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL CREATE SOME BLOWING SNOW AND POOR VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 21, 5:33 AM CST, 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 21, 5:33 AM CST, 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 533 AM CST WED JAN 21 2015 .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS IN PLACE AT ALL TERMINALS CURRENTLY BUT EXPECT A GRADUAL DOWNWARD TREND THIS AFTERNOON TOWARDS MVFR CONDITIONS. STRONG STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING THE REGION WILL RESULT IN PRECIPITATION STARTING OFF AS RAIN THIS AFTERNOON...THEN A GRADUAL TRANSITION TO RAIN/SNOW MIX...THEN ALL SNOW BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES COULD BE HEAVY ENOUGH TO CAUSE SOME PROBLEMS MAINLY AT KLBB AND KPVW AROUND SUNRISE THURSDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO RESULT IN MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY WITH POSSIBLE LIFR CONDITIONS IN HEAVIER SNOWFALL BANDS AT KLBB AND KPVW. SNOW WILL LAST PAST THE END OF THIS TAF THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THURSDAY AT KLBB AND KPVW. KCDS MAY BE FAR ENOUGH NORTHWEST THAT SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BETWEEN 18Z THURSDAY AND 00Z FRIDAY. JORDAN && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CST WED JAN 21 2015/ ..CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE THAT A MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE REGION STARTING TONIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH THURSDAY... SHORT TERM... 00Z UPPER-AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS ZONAL TO WEAK NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. AHEAD OF A DEEPENING TROUGH PUSHING ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WHICH IS PRODUCING A DECK OF HIGH CLOUDS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND THICKNESS. CLOSER TO THE SURFACE...WEAK NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WIND IS HELPING TO KEEP LOW 30 DEWPOINTS IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION. MODELS INITIALIZED THE TROUGH DECENTLY ENOUGH BUT ARE ALREADY STRUGGLING WITH WHETHER THIS FEATURE IS STILL AN OPEN WAVE OR HAS STARTED TO CLOSE OFF. MODELS ALSO CONTINUE TO QUICKLY BRING A SHORTWAVE OUT OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WHICH WILL HELP TO SLOW DOWN THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE TROUGH AND EVENTUALLY/POSSIBLY DEVELOP ANOTHER CLOSED LOW CENTER WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA. BASED ON THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THE WAVE...PREVIOUS FORECAST HAD A GOOD HANDLE ON THINGS AND ONLY HAD TO MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE TIMING OF PRECIPITATION AND ONSET TIMES OF SNOW IN THE GRIDS. EXPECT TO SEE PRECIPITATION START OFF NORTH OF THE AREA ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL GRADUALLY START TO SPREAD SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. DEPENDING ON HOW THICK THE CLOUD COVER IS THIS AFTERNOON...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE DIFFICULT TO FORECAST AND COOLER HIGHS THAN WHAT ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST WILL ALLOW FOR A QUICKER TRANSITION TO SNOW THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO PUSH ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS HELPING TO COOL THE BOUNDARY LAYER AS THE EVENT PROGRESSES. AN INITIAL ROUND OF LIFT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING WHICH WILL HELP TO INITIATE PRECIPITATION BUT THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT ONCE STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT DEVELOPS THROUGH A THICK LAYER ACROSS THE REGION. THE LAYERS BETWEEN 285K AND 300K /OR ROUGHLY FROM 850HPA TO 600HPA/ ALL SHOW STRONG LIFT AND SATURATION SIGNALS WHICH WOULD FAVOR MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION. THE EXACT TRANSITION TIME FROM LIQUID...TO A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW...TO ALL SNOW REMAINS TRICKY AS ANY CHANGES IN SPEED OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH...HOW FAST THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS FROM THE FRONT...OR DRY/MOIST ADIABATIC COOLING FROM LIFT/PRECIPITATION RESPECTIVELY ALL CONTRIBUTE TO COOLING THE COLUMN. THE BIGGEST QUESTION IS NOT HOW HIGH OF POPS TO CARRY AS WE ARE PRETTY MUCH INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA BY MIDNIGHT. THE MILLION DOLLAR QUESTION IS HOW MUCH SNOW AND WHERE THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL. CURRENT THINKING AND FORECAST WILL START OFF WITH ALL LIQUID PRECIPITATION TODAY THROUGH 6 PM AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. TRANSITION TO RAIN/SNOW MIX WILL START AFTER SUNSET ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES AS PRECIPITATION COVERAGE STARTS TO EXPAND. MODELS HAVE COME INTO GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TWO HEAVIER AREAS OF PRECIPITATION...ONE DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE THAT WILL PUSH SOUTH WITH TIME. THE SECOND AREA DEVELOPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS AND SPREADS TOWARDS THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO VALLEY. AS THE COLUMN RAPIDLY COOLS ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN SOUTH PLAINS...ALL SNOW COULD DEVELOP AS EARLY AS 9 PM. RAIN/SNOW MIX LINE WILL SPREAD SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING AND REACH THE EDGE OF THE CAPROCK BY MIDNIGHT WITH THE TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW CLOSELY BEHIND. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES SHOULD START TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDNIGHT AS THE STRONGEST ISENTROPIC LIFT SETS UP ACROSS THAT REGION WHILE A SLIGHTLY WARMER BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS KEEPS THE SECOND AREA OF PRECIPITATION ALL LIQUID THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT. BY SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING...THE ONLY AREA THAT COULD STILL SEE ALL RAIN COULD BE THE SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS AROUND ASPERMONT AS THE REST OF THE AREA WILL HAVE TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX. ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST LIFT WILL BE BELOW THE FAVORED DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE...AMPLE MOISTURE THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN WILL RESULT IN SOME PRETTY SIGNIFICANT SNOW AMOUNTS FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. BETWEEN 6 PM TONIGHT/00Z THURSDAY AND 6 AM/12Z THURSDAY...PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN SOUTH PLAINS COULD RECEIVE UP TO 5-7 INCHES OF SNOW. BECAUSE SNOWFALL WILL START ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN SOUTH PLAINS FIRST...OPTED TO GO AHEAD AND UPGRADE PARMER...CASTRO...AND BAILEY COUNTIES TO A WINTER STORM WARNING THAT GOES INTO EFFECT AT 6 PM TONIGHT. WINTER STORM WATCH FOR ALL BUT THE ROLLING PLAINS WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT WITH THE ADDITION OF GARZA COUNTY. OPTED TO HOLD OFF UPGRADING THE REST OF THE AREA TO GET A BETTER FEEL FOR HOW THE INCOMING STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THE ENTIRE EVENT WILL BE DISCUSSED BELOW AS IT HEADS INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST. JORDAN LONG TERM... THE EFFORTS IN THE EXTENDED WERE CENTERED STRICTLY AROUND THE IMPENDING WINTER STORM...WITH THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM GRIDS LARGELY UNTOUCHED. THE CENTER OF THE PRIMARY UPPER LOW IS PROGGED TO BE NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF THE FOUR CORNERS AT 12Z THURSDAY. THE LOW SHOULD DIG SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE GRADUALLY OPENING AND EJECTING EASTWARD LATE THURSDAY OR EARLY FRIDAY. THE SLOWER AND DEEPER EVOLUTION OF THE STORM SYSTEM WILL MEAN AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF LARGE SCALE LIFT FOR MOST THE SOUTH PLAINS REGION ON THURSDAY...PERHAPS LINGERING WELL INTO THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY IF THE SLOWEST/DEEPEST SOLUTIONS ARE CORRECT. THIS MEANS A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION FOR THE REGION. AT 12Z THURSDAY...IT SHOULD BE COLD ENOUGH THAT ALL THE PRECIPITATION FALLING ON THE CAPROCK WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW. HOWEVER...IT MAY REMAIN JUST WARM ENOUGH IN THE LOWEST LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES...FROM CHILDRESS THROUGH JAYTON AND ASPERMONT...THAT THEY MAY SEE SOME MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW. THE THREAT OF A RAIN/SNOW WINTRY MIX MAY PERSIST MUCH OF THE DAY ACROSS THE EASTERN MOST ZONES...THOUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FA SHOULD REMAIN COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW. SEVERAL MORE INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED TO FALL OVER THE CAPROCK THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS CURRENTLY EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES. OUT EAST...WHERE THE P-TYPE IS LESS CERTAIN...SNOW TOTALS ARE ALSO MORE IFFY...BUT WE CURRENTLY HAVE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO FOR MOST SPOTS. THE SNOW MAY LINGER WELL INTO THURSDAY EVENING/NIGHT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES...CLOSEST TO WHAT REMAINS OF THE UPPER LOW. A LITTLE SNOW COULD EVEN PERSIST AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS...BUT WHATEVER FALLS SHOULD BE LIGHT WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS. THUS...WE HAVE DECIDED TO KEEP THE EXPIRATION TIME OF THE WINTER STORM WATCH AS 06Z FRIDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH COULD RESULT IN AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY BEFORE THEY GRADUALLY DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT. BY THE TIME ALL IS SAID AND DONE...SNOW TOTALS OF A HALF A FOOT OR MORE APPEAR A GOOD BET FOR OUR NORTHWESTERN MOST ZONES...WITH 8 TO 10 INCHES OR MORE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. OUT IN THE ROLLING PLAINS...SNOW TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES SEEM POSSIBLE...THOUGH THE TIMING OF THE TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW WILL HAVE AN IMPACT ON THIS. BETWEEN THE TWO AREA...INCLUDING IN LUBBOCK...A GENERAL 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. AFTER THE STORM SYSTEM DEPARTS...WE SHOULD SEE A RETURN OF ABUNDANT SUNSHINE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOW TO RECOVER...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE HEAVIER SNOW PACK IS IN PLACE. BEYOND FRIDAY...A MODERATING TREND WILL ENSUE UNDER DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...THOUGH ANY RESIDUAL SNOW PACK COULD TEMPER THIS WARMING TREND. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FRIONA 40 25 27 8 33 / 40 100 90 30 0 TULIA 43 28 29 12 36 / 40 100 90 30 10 PLAINVIEW 45 28 30 15 35 / 20 100 90 30 10 LEVELLAND 45 29 30 15 37 / 20 100 90 50 10 LUBBOCK 47 30 31 17 36 / 20 100 90 50 10 DENVER CITY 44 29 32 18 36 / 20 100 90 50 10 BROWNFIELD 45 29 33 19 36 / 20 100 90 50 10 CHILDRESS 51 32 34 23 44 / 20 100 90 20 10 SPUR 50 31 34 23 43 / 20 100 90 50 10 ASPERMONT 52 33 38 27 46 / 20 100 90 50 10 && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WINTER STORM WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ023-024-028>030-033>036-039>042. WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ021-022-027. && 99/99/99
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 21, 5:58 AM CST, 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 558 AM CST WED JAN 21 2015 TXZ021>044-221200- PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 558 AM CST WED JAN 21 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WINTER WEATHER RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO SNOW THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL INITIALLY DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH THE TRANSITION TO SNOW SPREADING SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. WIDESPREAD SNOW IS EXPECTED BY EARLY THURSDAY...THOUGH LOCATIONS ACROSS THE EASTERN ROLLING PLAINS...FROM CHILDRESS TO ASPERMONT...COULD SEE A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THURSDAY EVENING OR EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL...FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO THE NORTHWESTERN SOUTH PLAINS...WHERE A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. REMAINING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS SHOULD GENERALLY SEE BETWEEN 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW AND A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE LOCATIONS FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. OFF THE CAPROCK...SNOW TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED. THE SNOW WILL DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WITH NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED FROM FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 21, 6:01 AM CST, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 601 AM CST WED JAN 21 2015 TXZ025-026-031-032-037-038-043-044-212215- HALL-CHILDRESS-MOTLEY-COTTLE-DICKENS-KING-KENT-STONEWALL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEMPHIS...TURKEY...CHILDRESS... MATADOR...ROARING SPRINGS...PADUCAH...DICKENS...SPUR...GUTHRIE... JAYTON...ASPERMONT 601 AM CST WED JAN 21 2015 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO RETURN TO WEST TEXAS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BLOSSOM OVER THE REGION LATE TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM ORGANIZES WHILE APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS RAIN...BUT WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW TONIGHT AS GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS BRING IN COLDER AIR. THE SNOW WILL START ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE THIS EVENING...THEN EXPAND TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE NIGHT. LOCATIONS WEST OF THE CAPROCK ESCARPMENT SHOULD COMPLETELY CHANGEOVER TO SNOW BY EARLY THURSDAY...THOUGH A MIX OF RAIN OR SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FARTHER EAST ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO THE ROLLING PLAINS. THE SNOW ON THE CAPROCK AND WINTRY MIX FARTHER EAST WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THURSDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW...FROM 6 TO 8 INCHES AND LOCALLY HIGHER...IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS...WHERE A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING UNTIL MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT. FARTHER EAST...AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER...WITH THE TOTALS DEPENDING ON EXACTLY HOW EARLY THE RAIN SWITCHES TO SNOW. CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH PLAINS COULD RECEIVE 3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW...AND A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING THOUGH MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT. THE FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO THE ROLLING PLAINS MAY SEE A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...WITH A QUICK 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW MAY BE POSSIBLE IF THE RAIN DOES COMPLETELY CHANGE TO SNOW. THESE SNOWFALL ESTIMATES ARE SUBJECT TO REVISION...AS DETAILS REGARDING THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE STORM SYSTEM BECOME MORE CERTAIN. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW...GUSTY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ALONG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. PERSONS WITH TRAVEL INTERESTS TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS. MONITOR FORECASTS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION...ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS...AND ADJUST YOUR TRAVEL ACCORDINGLY.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2:53 PM CST | Winter Weather Advisory | LUB | Bailey, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Cochran, Cottle and 17 more | 33 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Texas, 2015Every winter storm warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.