Severe Thunderstorm Warning 40, NWS Lubbock, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1241 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

.AVIATION...
LINE OF TSRA THAT RECENTLY CLEARED LBB AND PVW WILL IMPACT CDS
BEFORE 20Z LIKELY ACCOMPANIED BY SOME TEMPO VIS REDUCTIONS FROM
MODERATE OR HEAVY RAIN.

OTHERWISE...W-SW WINDS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO INCREASE TO 30 MPH BUT
THIS IS STILL EXPECTED TO UNFOLD FROM W-E IN THE COMING HOURS AS
DRIER AIR ARRIVES FROM NEW MEXICO.

LBB LOOKS TO STAY SHY OF AIRPORT WX WARNING CRITERIA OF 30
KNOTS...BUT WILL REVISIT THIS AS TRENDS DICTATE. W WINDS TO SCALE
BACK AT SUNSET BUT WILL REMAIN BREEZY OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1048 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2015/

UPDATE...
UPDATED TO INCREASE CLOUD COVER THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AND ALSO
TO ADJUST POPS HIGHER IN OUR SE ZONES FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND TSTORMS.

START TIME OF WIND ADVISORY AT NOON WILL BE LEFT INTACT FOR
NOW...HOWEVER WIDESPREAD 30+ MPH WINDS WILL LIKELY BE DELAYED A
FEW HOURS LONGER GIVEN A NEARLY MERIDIONAL FETCH OF SUBTROPICAL
CLOUDS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR FROM THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS NNE TO THE
SW PANHANDLE. AS A RESULT...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AS FAR WEST AS
SOUTHEAST NM HAD YET TO EVEN BEGIN MIXING OUT AT 1530Z. HOWEVER...
A SHARP DRY SLOT CRESTING THE SACRAMENTOS WILL MAKE QUICK WORK OF
THIS MOISTURE IN THE HOURS AHEAD AND SHOULD SECURE WINDY
CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF OUR AREA BY MID-LATE AFTERNOON.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ021>042.

&&

93

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
101 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

TXZ021>044-251815-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
101 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ROLLING
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND WIND
GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON CREATING WIND
SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA EXCEPT FOR
THE SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS.

ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS POSSIBLE TODAY ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE FAR
SOUTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS...WITH
STRONG WINDS COMBINING WITH DRY SURFACE CONDITIONS AND ABOVE
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWEST TEXAS
PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST SOUTH PLAINS ON SATURDAY.

THERE MAY BE A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
ROLLING PLAINS LATE SUNDAY.